Warming 2010ppt

8/9/2019 Warming 2010ppt

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3/76

O{oed `drldpd`9 mo~d T%Q%


4/76

Clonjl sj~mhec

Ldww H^ dwgjrdw


5/76

Ktwphgd Wpdqdew `dlhqd~d` pfd orhehoe oa pfd Got~p%

J sdll-`ogtmdepd` ~hwd he clonjl pdmrd~jpt~dw fjw gohegh`d`

shpf j whcehahgjep heg~djwd he pfd goegdep~jphoe oa gj~noe `hovh`d

he pfd jpmowrfd~d% ^dwrdgpd` wghdephwpw ndlhdqd pfd pso p~de`w

j~d ~dljpd`% Ao~ sfde gj~noe `hovh`d hw ~dldjwd` hepo pfd

jpmowrfd~d, hp jgpw lhid pfd gdhlhec oa j c~ddefotwd, p~jrrhec wolj~ded~cx je` ~dpj~`hec pfd dwgjrd oa ~daldgpd` fdjp% Hp hw pfd~dao~d j

wrdghdw pfd mowp hmro~pjep wrdghdw oa j c~ddefotwd cjw%

Gj~noe `hovh`d jw j rolltpjep? Jr~hl >, >223

WTR^DMD GOT^P OA PFD TEHPD@ WPJPDW


6/76

C^DDEFOTWDCJWDW


7/76

G% @% Iddlhec je` P% Sfo~a, >224

Mjtej Loj, Fjsjhh

he

^d`

Heg~djwhec goegdep~jphoew oa jpmowrfd~hg gj~noe `hovh`d

78> rrm, Mjx >2:2

^%A% Iddlhec


8/76

K% FJEWDE, >2:2

Clonjl Pdmrd~jpt~d Gfjecd

Xdj~


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10/76


11/76

^J@HJEG

D

:>;20 CMP>8E

6%1S

022 122 622 :222 :>22 :022 :122

SJQD ETMND^ &gm-:(

HEA^J^D@ OND^QD@ A^OM WRJGD

Wjfj~j @dwd~p

F>O


12/76

Gjlgtljpd` Wt~ajgd Pdmrd~jpt~d oa Dj~pf

jw j fop wrfd~d; :6G &2A(

Onwd~qd` Wt~ajgd Pdmrd~jpt~d oa Dj~pf;

) :0G &43A(

Ejpt~jl C~ddefotwd Daadgp

) 7>G 43A


13/76

^J@HJEG

D

::;0: CMP06%3W

:0%>D

022 122 622 :222 :>22 :022 :122

SJQD ETMND^ &gm-:(

HEA^J^D@ ONWD^QD@ A^OM WRJGD

Wotpf Jpljephg Ogdje

F>O


14/76

Qh~che Hwlje`w, :836


15/76

Ehgolj Nljid

Ro~pjcd Cljghd~, Jljwij


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18/76


19/76

Clonjl Mdpfjed ^dldjwd

Depd~hgAd~mdepjphoe

&62 Pc/x~(

:4$

Gljpf~jpd

@dgomrowhphoe

&4 Pc/x~(

:$Ogdjew

&:2 Pc/x~(

>$

Pd~mhpdw&02 Pc/x~(

3$

Sdplje`w&::4 Pc/x~(

>>$

A~dwfsjpd~w

&4 Pc/x~(

:$^hgd Rj``hdw

&::2 Pc/x~(

>:$

Lje`ahllw

&02 Pc/x~(

3$

Nhomjww

Nt~ehec

&44 Pc/x~(

:2$

Gojl Mhehec

&74 Pc/x~(

1$

Cjw R~o`tgphoe

&04 Pc/x~(

6$


20/76

C^DDEFOTWDCJWDW


21/76

^ollhec clonjl jqd~jcd mhvhec ~jpho

Mj~gf :4, Kted :4, Wdrp% :4, @dg% :4

^dgo~`d` jw Jtctwp :

Kted :4, Wdrp :4, @dg% :4, Mj~gf :4

^dgo~`d` jw Eoqdmnd~ :

Wdrp% :4, @dg%:4, Mj~gf :4, Kted :4

^dgo~`d` jw Adn~tj~x :

@dg% :4, Mj~gf :4, Kted :4, Wdrp% :4

^dgo~`d` jw Mjx :

Mj~gf :4, Kted :4, Wdrp% :4, @dg%:4

^dgo~`d` jw Jtctwp :

dpg%


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:862 :882 >222 >2:2XDJ^

^ollhec oed-xdj~

Clonjl jqd~jcd


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C^DDEFOTWDCJWDW


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JPMOWRFD^HG EHP^OTW OVH@D, E>O

HRGG


26/76

C^DDEFOTWDCJWDW


27/76

JNWOLTPD ^DLJPHQD

>6%77 :%74

>1%30 :%>3

>4%>: :%>2

>7%31 :%:7

>>%76 :%21

>:%23 :%22

>6

>1

>0

>>

>2

QJRO^ R^DWWT^DF>O &mm Fc(

>> >7 >0 >4 >1 >3 >6G

:( SJ^MD^ JH^>( MO^D F>O HE JH^7( MO^D H^ P^JRRD@ NX F>O

WP^OECD^ C^DDEFOTWD DAADGP

C^DDEFOTWD DAADGP

SJPD^ QJRO^ ADD@NJGI


28/76

JNWOLTPD ^DLJPHQD

>6%77 :%74

>1%30 :%>3

>4%>: :%>2

>7%31 :%:7

>>%76 :%21

>:%23 :%22

>6

>1

>0

>>

>2

QJRO^ R^DWWT^DF>O &mm Fc(

>> >7 >0 >4 >1 >3 >6G

:( SJ^MD^ JH^>( MO^D F>O HE JH^7( MO^D H^ P^JRRD@ NX F>O


C^DDEFOTWD DAADGP

SJPD^ QJRO^ ADD@NJGI

Mhehmtm ao~ Ft~~hgjedY>3G = 6:A]


29/76

C^DDEFOTWDCJWDW


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C^DDEFOTWD DAADGP

WEOS JLND@O ADD@NJGI

R^DWDEP SJ^MD^

C^OTE@ WEOS C^OTE@ WEOS

2%> 2%6 JLND@O 2%> 2%6

:( SJ^MD^ JH^>( WEOS MDLPW JP MJ^CHE7( MO^D WOLJ^ QHWHNLD JNWO^ND@0( MO^D H^ ^J@HJPHOE EDD@D@ PO NJLJEGD



31/76

C^DDEFOTWD DAADGP

HGD JLND@O ADD@NJGI

R^DWDEP SJ^MD^

HGD HGD

2%: 2%6 JLND@O 2%: 2%6

SJPD^ SJPD^

:( SJ^MD^ JH^>( HGD MDLPW JP MJ^CHE7( MO^D WOLJ^ QHWHNLD JNWO^ND@0( MO^D H^ ^J@HJPHOE EDD@D@ PO NJLJEGD



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33/76

Sjppwrd~wztj~dmdpd~

goolhec

sj~mhec

HRGG


34/76

C^DDEFOTWDCJWDW


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Goegdep~jphoe oa GGl>A> &GAG-:>( qw% phmd% Tehpw rj~pw rd~ :2:> %

Eo~pfd~e Fdmhwrfd~d &nltd(, Clonjl &c~dde(, Wotpfd~e Fdmhwrfd~d &~d`(%@tppoe dp jl%, EOJJ/GM@L

472

4>2

4:2

422

:881 >222 >220

GAG-:>&rrp(


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Goegdep~jphoe oa GGl7A &GAG-::( qw% phmd% Tehpw rj~pw rd~ :2:> %

Eo~pfd~e Fdmhwrfd~d &nltd(, Clonjl &c~dde(, Wotpfd~e Fdmhwrfd~d &~d`(%@tppoe dp jl%, EOJJ/GM@L

>62

>32

>12

:881 >222 >220

GAG-:

:&rrp(

Mjvhmtm jp c~ote` ldqdl jnotp :887


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Hmro~pjep jpmowrfd~hg

fjlogj~noew he >2:2Ejmd Ao~mtlj Lhadphmd%

xdj~w

GAG-:> GGl>A> :22GAG-:: GGl7A 04

FGAG->> GFGlA> :>

Gj~noe Pdp~jgflo~h`d GGl0 >1

GAG-::7 GGl>AGGlA> 64

FGAG-:70J GF>AGA7 :0

FGAG-:0:N GF7GGl>A 8%7

FGAG-:0>N GF7GGlA> :3%8

FAG-:4>J GF7GFA> :%0

Idx; Oedw, 'A9 Pdew, 'F ) :9 Fte`~d`w, 'G - :9 Ldppd~w, jwxm%


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Ztdlggjxj Cljghd~,

Rd~tZZfdlggjxj

CZWztdl


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A~om Lo~htw

dp jl, :882


43/76

Pdmrd~jpt~d oqd~ pfd ljwp 0>2,222 xdj~wHepd~coqd~emdepjl Rjedl oe Glhmjpd Gfjecd

Sd j~d

fd~d

GO>


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Mdpfjed qw% Ljphpt`d; Kje%:862

Eo~pf Wotpf


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Mdpfjed qw% Ljphpt`d; Kje%:862-@dg%:863

Eo~pf Wotpf


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Mdpfjed qw% Ljphpt`d; Kje%:862-@dg%>222

Eo~pf Wotpf


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Mdpfjed qw% Ljphpt`d; Kje%:862-@dg%>220

Eo~pf Wotpf


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442

122

142

322

342

622

642

-4

2

4

:2

:4

>2

:864 :882 :884 >222 >224 >2:2

Xdj~

Dpfjed

GF0

c~ospf

Clonjl ~teehec jeetjl dpfjed mhvhec ~jpho rloppd` shpf

clonjl jeetjl GF0 c~ospf ~jpd &:860->228(


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J~djw wfose he ~d` j~d

Wtnkdgp po hete`jphoe japd~J :-mdpd~ ~hwd he wdj ldqdl

Wot~gd; Dldqjphoe a~om TWCW `hchpjl `jpjR~drj~d` nx T%W% Cdolochgjl Wt~qdx, :883

Wp%

Rdpd~wnt~c

Idx Sdwp

O~lje`o

Ao~p Mxd~w

Ao~p Rhd~gd

Ao~p

Ljt`d~`jld

Pjmrj

Sdwp Rjlm

Ndjgf

Mhjmh


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@dj` Wr~tgd, Idejh Rdehewtlj

0,222,222 jg~dwihlld` nx Wr~tgd Nj~i Nddpld

EJPHOEJLCDOC^JRFHG MJCJ[HED WDRPDMND^ >220


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M/Q Pt~mohl

Mjx >22>


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^dchoejl Wpt`x '>; Jr~hl >6 po Mjx 7, >22>

Sdwp Loechpt`d


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Mdpfjed Jr~hl >3 Mjx 0, >22>Wotpfsdwpd~e Tehpd` Wpjpdw

>%2)

:%83

:%84

:%87

:%82

:%66

:%61

:%60

:%6>

:%62

:%36

:%31 rrmq

mjvhmtm 7%72

::2 :26 :21 :20 :2> :22 86 81 80 8> 82

02

76

71

70

7>

72

>6

mhehmtm :%30

::2 :26 :21 :20 :2> :22 86 81 80 8>

Sdwp Loechpt`d

Eo~pfLjphpt`d


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:422

:222

422

2

Wt~ajgd e-Ntpjed Goegdep~jphoew

Wotpfsdwpd~e Tehpd` Wpjpdw Jr~hl/Mjx >22>

mjvhmtm :7,222

::2 :24 :22 84 82Sdwp Loechpt`d

02

76

71

70

7>

72

>6

Eo~pfLjphpt`d

mhehmtm :7


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Sfhpd Fotwd,Ktlx :883


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Clonjl sj~mhec sotl` ndgomd pfd

mopfd~ oa jll deqh~oemdepjl hwwtdw,

ndgjtwd hp wp~tgi jp pfd qd~x ~oop oa

dgoeomhg jgphqhpx; pfd twd oa ded~cx% Wo

rd~fjrw eop wt~r~hwheclx, pfd wjmd rdorld

sfo fj` ztdwphoed` jgh` ~jhe, `otnpd` pfdo{oed fold, je` `dade`d` ponjggo eos

jppjgid` pfd wghdephahg dqh`degd oa clonjl

sj~mhec%

Md~gfjepw oa @otnp, &>2:2(

O~dwidw ! Goesjx, r% :16


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64/76

322

122

422

022

722

-712

-762

-022

-0>2

-002

GF0&rrnq(

@

&$o(

>62

>12

>02

>>2

>22E>O&rrnq(

2 >2 02 12 62 :22 :>2 :02 :12 :62 >22 >>2

Jcd &ihlo xdj~ Ndao~d R~dwdep(


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Clonjl Jpmowrfd~hg Gj~noe @hovh`d, Adn~tj~x :, >224

Nhomjww Nt~ehec Rltmd

O O


66/76

O{oed Fold Ogpond~ 6, >224

Popjl O{oed &@onwoe Tehpw(

::2 >>2 772 002 442

Fjlldx Njx ::7 @%T

Rtepj J~dejw, Gfhld :41 @%T%

Twftjhj, J~cdephej :1: @%T%


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Gomrj~hwoe shpf dpfjed


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Gomrj~hwoe shpf G>Gl0

GF0 je` G>Gl0 @o eop go~~dljpdLoec-pd~m clonjl

G>Gl0 `dglhed

Wot~gd-`~hqde @dg~djwheche`twp~hjl dmhwwhoewYWhmrwoedp jl%, >220]

Wfo~p-pd~m G>Gl0

:881; Rdji- Moep~djl R~opogol

:886; Eo rdji >227; Wmjll rdji

- OF a~om nhomjww

nt~ehec?


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Gomrj~hwoe shpf G>Gl0

GF0 je` G>Gl0 @o eop go~~dljpdLoec-pd~m clonjl

G>Gl0 `dglhed

Wot~gd-`~hqde @dg~djwheche`twp~hjl dmhwwhoewYWhmrwoedp jl%, >220]

Wfo~p-pd~m G>Gl0

:881; Rdji- Moep~djl R~opogol

:886; Eo rdji >227; Wmjll rdji

- OF a~om nhomjww

nt~ehec?


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Pd=Dmhwwhoe Pdmrd~jpt~d, Nljgi No`x

&Pd(0= &:-J( Aw =

0w&2%32( &:716 S/m>(

&0( &4%13v:2-6 S/m>I-0(

Pd=&2%32( &:716(

&0( &4%13v:2-6( = >44 Idlqhe

>44I = -:6G o~ 2 A

Onwd~qd`; ) :0G o~ 43A

Ejpt~jl C~ddefotwd Daadgp;

)7> G o~ )43A

:/0


73/76

442

122

142

322

342

622

642

-4

2

4

:2

:4

>2

:864 :882 :884 >222 >224 >2:2

Xdj~

Dpfjed

GF0

c~ospf

Clonjl ~teehec jeetjl dpfjed mhvhec ~jpho rloppd` shpf

clonjl jeetjl GF0 c~ospf ~jpd &:860->228(


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Md~gfjepw oa @otnp,

Ejomh O~dwidw ! D~hi Goesjx &>2:2(

Fos j Fje`atl oa Wghdephwpw Onwgt~d` pfd

P~tpf oe Hwwtdw a~om Ponjggo Wmoid po

Clonjl Sj~mhec

Pfd Glhmjpd Gfjecd @dnjpdw, Rfhlhr

Ihpgfd~, Wghdegd, 7>6, :>72-:>70 &>2:2(%

Dwwjx ^dqhds oa O~dwidw/Goesjx !

wdqde opfd~ glhmjpd nooiw%


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Md~gfjepw oa @otnp,

Ejomh O~dwidw ! D~hi Goesjx &>2:2(

Fos j Fje`atl oa Wghdephwpw Onwgt~d` pfd

P~tpf oe Hwwtdw a~om Ponjggo Wmoid po

Clonjl Sj~mhec

Orhehoe, Ejpt~d, 014, 161-163 &>2:2(

O~dwidw ! Goesjx, Glhmjpd gfjecd;

@dadjphec pfd md~gfjepw oa `otnp

Warming 2010ppt

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