Chuyn 1: Tng Cu trong

1

nn KT ng (M hnh IS-LM)

1. Nu I, T v G c nh th APE dc ln v c dc bng MPC 2. Trong m hnh giao im Keynes, ng 45o ch rng chi tiu k hoch lun bng thu nhp Y 3. Khi gim li sut=> Lm tng cu u t; Lm dch chuyn APE ln trn; Chi tiu k hoch s bng chi tiu thc t ti mc thu nhp cao hn (Sai nu lm dch chuyn IS sang phi) 4. Gim thu s lm dch chuyn ng APE ln trn v IS sang phi 5. LM dc ln v n c v vi mt mc cung tin thc t cho trc 6. Tng cung tin lm dch chuyn LM sang phi 7. Theo pt Mv=PY, nu tc chu chuyn khng i th LM s thng ng 8. Mt ng LM thng thng c xd t pt s lng nu nh gi thit rng r cao hn s lm gim cu tin v lamgf tng tc chu chuyn 9. Ti giao im gia IS v LM: Chi tiu thc t bng chi tiu k hoch; Ms=Md; Y v r tha mn cc k cn bng cu tt HH v TT 10. Trong nn KT ng, G tng s lm dch chuyn IS sang phi, v lm tng li sut v mc thu nhp 11. Trong mt nn KT ng, tng thu th dch chuyn IS sang tri v lm gim li sut v thu nhp 12. Trong nn KT ng, tng cung tin =>dch chuyn LM sang phi, tng thu nhp nhng gim li sut 13. Nu Y tng v r gim sau khi c s gia tng chi tiu CP th NHTW cn phi tng cung tin trong thi gian 14. Nu NHTW gim cung tin trong khi CP tng thu thu nhp th r s gim v Y t nh s tng 15. IS dch chuyn sang phi nu: Cc h gia nh lc quan v trin vng vic lm v Y trong tng lai; Cc DN lc quan hn v kt v qd u t nhiu hn mi mc r; CP tng tr cp cho cc h gd. 16. Nu dn c t ngt mun gi nhiu tin hn ti m mc r v thu nhp cho trc th Md s dch chuyn sang phi=> LM dch chuyn sang tri, v Thu nhp thc t s gim 17. ng tng cu dc xung v mc gi thp lm tng cung thc t=> LM dch chuyn sang phi v mc thu nhp tng 18. Khi trt dc ng tng cu nhn t lun c nh l cung tin danh ngha 19. Nu r v I nhy cm hn th IS thoi hn 20. MPC nh hn lm cho m (s nhn chi tiu CP nh hn: M=1/1-MPC) 21. Nu Md t nhy cm vi Y th ng cu tin ko dch chuyn nhiu sang phi khi Y tng; ng LM thoi 22. ng tng cu s tng i thoi nu MPC ln Chuyn 2: M hnh tng cu trong nn KT m (M hnh Fundell Fleming) 1. Nu t gi c nh ngha l s v ngoi t cn thit mua 1 v ni t th t gi cao hn s lm gim Xk rng 2. Trong m hnh Mundell Fleming vi thu nhp tt l Y v r thc t c biu din trn trc ta th khi e tng=> XK rng gim v IS dch chuyn sang tri 3. Khi LM* thng ng=> e khng tham gia vo pt cu tin hay cung tin 4. Giao im ca IS* v LM* quyt nh mc t gi hi oi cn bng 5. Trong nn kt nh, m ca vi e th ni, CSTK khng hiu qu trong vic thay i sn lng v XK rng s thay i trit tiu hon ton nh hng ban u ca CSTK n tng cu 6. Trong nn KT nh, m ca, t gi th ni khi tng cung tin th Ycb s tng, e ni t gim, XK rng tng Nhng r s khng gim n tp KT V M 2- Nguyn Th Bch-CN17A

2 7. Hn ch thng mi ko nh hng n thu nhp trong mt nn KT nh, m ca vi t gi th ni v t gi ni t tng lm trit tiu nh hng ban u n XK rng 8. Nu t gi ca ng ni t ang cao hn mc c nh c n nh bi NHTW, th cc nh u c c th kim li bng cch mua ni t trn TT ngoi hi v bn chng cho NHT=> tng lng cung tin trong nc=> dch chuyn LM* sang phi 9. Trong nn KT nh, m ca vi t gi c nh, CSTK m rng s buc NHTW tng cung tin t ngn ng ni t tng gi; Tng thu nhp thc t; Lm IS* v Lm* dch chuyn sang phi 10. Nu gtri ca ng ni t gim thng qua chnh sch ph gi th LM* dch chuyn sang phi, XK rng v thu nhp u tng 11. Trong nn KT nh, m ca vi t gi c nh, cs hn ch thng mi s c nh hng ging nh h thng t gi th ni 12. Trong m hnh MF, CSTK c nh hng ln hn n thu nhp quc dn nu t gi hi oi c nh, trong khi chnh sch tin t hiu qu hn nu t gi hi oi th ni 13. Chnh sch ti kha s c nh hng mnh nht trong ngn hn n thu nhp quc dn cn bng trong mt nn KT nh, m vi t gi hi oi c nh 14. Trong k t gi th ni, CSTK khng c hiu qu, ngc li CSTT li rt c hiu qu 15. Trong k t gi c nh, CSTK m rng rt c hiu Nhng CSTT m rng li khng c hiu qu 16. M hnh FL trn h trc e-Y: trong nn kt nh, m ca t gi th ni th CSTK khng c hiu qu, CSTT li c hiu qu 17. M hnh FL trn h trc e-Y: trong nn kt nh, m ca t gi c inh th CSTT khng c hiu qu, CSTK li c hiu qu 18. Chuyn 3: Tng cung v ng Philip 1. ng phillips l s m rng m hnh tng cung v tng cu bi v trong ngn hn, tng tng cu lm gim tht nghip 2. Theo ng Phillips trong ngn hn nu cc nh hoch nh cs chn Csr rng tng cu gim t l tht nghip th nn KT s tri qua tky c lm pht cao hn 3. Dc theo ng Phillips ngn hn, t l lm pht cao hn i cng vi t l tht nghip thp hn 4. Theo ng Phillips t l lm pht ph thuc vo 3 yu t sau: lm pht d kin, s chnh lch gia t l tht nghip thc t v t nhin; cc c sc v cung 5. Khi tht nghip thp hn mc t nhin (tht nghip chu k) => lm pht tng th n c miu t l lm pht do cu ko 6. Cc c sc bt li (gi du tng) lm cho lm pht thc t tng (chi ph y) 7. Lm pht d kin tng=> ng Phillip dch chuyn ln trn (lm pht cao hn ti mi mc tht nghip) v ngc li. 8. Trong di hn, mi ngi c thng tin hon ho v mi gi c hon ton linh hot. Khi ng Phillips di hn s thng ng Chuyn 4: Cc L thuyt v tiu dng 1. Theo l thuyt ca Keynes v tiu dng, khi thu nhp ca ngi dn tng ln, th tiu dng s tng ln t hn lng tng ln ca thu nhp 2. Cng ng theo l thuyt ca ng, yu t ch y quyt nh tiu dng l thu nhp ca ngi tiu dng 3. Theo m hnh Fisher v tiu dng th: Nu tiu dng hin ti tng, ngun lc cho tiu dng trong tng lai s gim; Trong thi k th nht, tit kim bng thu nhp tr i tiu dng;(Sai nu tiu dng trong thi k 1 phi nh hn hoc bng tiu dng trong thi k 2) 4. Trong m hnh Fisher, nu r thc t ln hn 0 th Tiu dng trong thi k th 2 t tn km hn lng tiu dng tng t trong tk th nht nu tnh theo thu nhp n tp KT V M 2- Nguyn Th Bch-CN17A

3 5. Nu tiu dng trong tk th nht gim cng nhiu tiu dng trong thi k th 2 phi tng cng nhiu gi cho mc tha mn ca ngi tiu dng ko i (Sai nu n l tiu dng trong tky 2 tng t) 6. ng bng quan c h s gc bng t l thay th cn bin 7. Trong m hnh Fisher, mc ti u ca tiu dng i vi mt ngi tiu dng xy ra khi t l thay th cn bin bng h s gc ca ng ngn sch BL 8. S gia tng li sut thc t s lm gim tiu dng tng tt c cc thi k do chuyn n mt ng bng quan cao hn l v d v hiu ng thu nhp ( ko phi hiu ng thay th, gi thit vng i hay gi thit thu nhp thng xuyn) 9. Khi li sut tng=> hiu ng thu nhp lm tng C1 va C2 i vi nhng ngi tieu dng ban u tit kim mt phn thu nhp trong thi k 1; Hiu ng thay th lm tng C2 v lm gim C1. 10. Nu 1 ngi mun tiu dng nhiu hn thu nhp hin ti ca anh ta trong tk1 th quyt nh tiu dng nhiu hn phi tha mn c gii hn ca ng ngn sch BL v gii hn vay n ca anh ta. 11. Hm tiu dng theo l thuyt vng i KHNG tnh n thm ht ngn sch 12. Theo gi thit thu nhp thng cuyn, ngi dn s dng tit kim n nh tiu dng nhm i ph vi nhng thay i tm thi traong thu nhp Chuyn 5: Chnh sch n nh 1. tr trong l khong thi gian t lc C mt chnh sch c thc hin cho n lc n tc ng n nn kinh t 2. Chnh sch tin t c tr ngoi rt di 3. CSTK c tr trong rt di 4. C ch t n nh loi b mt phn ca tr trong trong vic thc hin chnh sch ti kha 5. H thng bo him tht nghip c th c dng minh ha cho c ch t iu chnh ca nn kinh t khi c mt c sc 6. Cc nc vi NHTW c lp hn c xu hng t l lm pht thp hn 7. Theo ph phn ca Lucas, S nh gi chnh sch theo truyn thng khng tnh n tc ng ca vic thay i chnh sch i vi k vng mt cch tha ng 8. Cc c tnh truyn thng v t l hy sinh l khong ng tin cy 9. Cc nh KT khng th hon ton t tin khi nh gi tc ng ca cc chnh sch KT khc nhau 10. Vic ng h quy tc cn bng ngn sch chnh ph dn n khng th gim thu sut khuyn khch nn KT khi c suy thoi

n tp KT V M 2- Nguyn Th Bch-CN17A