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    Research And Analysis Report: Ryanair Holdings PLC Page 2

    List of contents Page

    Introduction 3

    Information Gathered 5

    Use of Analysis techniques and Models 7

    Ryanair: The Company Overview 9

    Financial Analysis 10

    Business Analysis 25

    Conclusion 28

    Appendix 1 30

    Appendix 2 32

    Appendix 3 35

    Appendix 4 39

    Skills and Learning Statement 42

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    INTRODUCTION

    This research report contributes towards the Research and Analysis Project for submissionto the Oxford Brookes University. This research report, in all respects, is prepared in

    accordance with the codes and guidelines prescribed by the University and does not breach

    confidentiality and anonymity of the organisation(s) involved and the industry being

    analysed.

    THE TOPIC

    Having read all the research topics approved by the University, one of them sounded like a

    familiar choice among all and seemed the most interesting. Therefore I chose to work on

    The Business and Financial Performance of an Organisation over a three year

    period.

    The reason I chose this topic was that being an ACCA student I have always been interested

    in analysing the published Annual Reports of companies and I took this research work as an

    opportunity to exploit my technical and professional skills. The other reason for choosing this

    topic was that there was a vast amount of financial and business-related information

    available from many different sources.

    THE ORGANISATION

    For the purpose of this research work I have chosen RYANAIR HOLDINGS PLC. The

    reason I chose this organisation was simply because of my familiarity with the airline

    industry. Even in the European Airline Industry there was a vast choice of airlines which

    could be strategically categorised as:

    Scheduled Airlines (Flag carriers)

    Charter Airlines

    Low Cost Airlines (Budget airlines)

    RYANAIR is strategically placed in the Low Cost Airlines industry. To me RYANAIR was the

    best choice for this analysis because of its rapid expansion, profitability, the success of it low

    cost business model and its capture of the market share Europe-wide. According to the

    figures provided by International Air Transport Association (IATA) in 2009, RYANAIR is the

    largest airline in terms of annual international passenger numbers. And secondly in terms of

    information, taking the fact that RYANAIR is the market leader, I was able to find a vast

    amount of published information on this particular airline.

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    THE OBJECTIVES AND THE APPROACH

    As the name suggests, this research project will be focused on the business and financial

    analysis of RYANAIR extending over a period of three years. Through this analysis I will beable to conclude the financial position and performance of RYANAIR and analyse its

    business strategy and the industry it operates in. For the purpose of this analysis this report

    has been divided into two sections.

    (A) FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

    To serve this purpose the financial analysis of RYANAIR will be conducted on the

    published audited financial statements for the years 2007, 2008 and 2009 under:

    1) Trend Analysis

    Comparison of present financial ratios with the historic or future ratios to evaluatewhether RYANAIR is financially improving or deteriorating under:

    o Profitability

    o Liquidity

    o Gearing

    o Investor

    2) Industry Comparison

    Comparison of the financial ratios and market-share of RYANAIR with that of a

    competitor in the same industry, EASYJET Airline Company Ltd.

    (B) BUSINESS ANALYSIS

    And to serve this purpose the following business models and analysis techniques will

    be brought into use:

    1) Five Forces model

    Porters 5-Forces Model will be used to analyse the European airline industry under:

    o Threat of new Entrants

    o Substitute Productso Power of Suppliers

    o Power of Customers

    o Industry Competitors

    2) SWOT Analysis

    Analysing and identifying:

    o Strengths

    o Weaknesses

    o

    Opportunitieso Threats

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    INFORMATION GATHERED

    For any research process the information is vital and it is quite a task to gather relevant

    information for analysis and evaluation. The nature of the information gathered for an

    analysis depends largely upon the purpose. The information sources can be categorised as:

    Primary Sources

    This is the data collected by the researcher by means of questionnaires, interviews, surveys

    etc.

    Secondary Sources

    This is the data collected by other people but which can be used by the researcher for hisown purpose.

    SOURCES USED AND DATA COLLECTION TECHNIQUES

    To carry on with this project I decided to take into account only the secondary information

    sources to obtain relevant organisation and industry data. The main secondary sources used

    are listed below:

    o Annual Reports & Published Accounts

    As for the financial analysis I had to gather financial data of the two companies

    (RYANAIR and EASYJET) for the years 2007, 2008 and 2009. This contained the

    annual audited accounts, the financial and business overview of the companies and

    the summary of the business activities. I obtained these reports from the investor

    relations websites of the respective companies. This secondary data was easiest to

    gather as it was publicly available and could be used for the purpose of this research.

    o European Low Fares Airline Association (ELFAA)

    This body represents the budget airlines operating in the Europe. Their websitecontained detailed statistics of the low-cost airline industry. Their published statistics

    served as a means to reconcile the Annual Reports of the companies operating in the

    industry. Their publications were accessed online.

    o International Air Transport Association (IATA)

    IATA is the global trade organisation of the air transport industry in the world. It is a

    representative body of about 93% of the scheduled airlines operating in the world. It

    served as a means of preliminary research into the airline industry via online access.

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    o Civil Aviation Authority (British and Irish)

    CAA is the regulatory authority of all the aspects of aviation. This was a good source

    of overall regulatory framework observed by the airlines. This was again accessed

    online and their publications which were free to be used and downloaded were

    considered at different stages of this analysis.

    o Articles and Online News Archives

    The BBC, The Financial Times and The Economist are only a few to mention under

    this category. Their articles and news archives were a great means of obtaining

    financial and business news. These again were all online accesses and the data

    collected was of vital use.

    o Other Relevant Secondary Sources

    This contained the online access to the websites which were used for the

    understanding of the business models and books used to grasp better knowledge of

    the financial indicators. Also included in this was the material accessed to get athorough understanding of the key purposes of this RAP and acquire technical

    business report writing skills. The best sources were the Wikipedia, Google and other

    search engines.

    LIMITATIONS AND ETHICAL ISSUES

    During the process of information gathering, I came across many sources that were subjectto copyright and that material could not be used or copied without the express consent of the

    organisation involved. This proved to be a barrier to the analysis as I decided not to use any

    of the copyrighted material. Therefore in this project, all of the data gathered is free to use

    and is publicly available. All the data is from the secondary sources and no primary sources

    were used and so no other ethical issues arose during the data collection process. During

    the process there was no access to confidential information, data was free from financial

    inducements and the research complied fully with the ethical standards published by the

    University.

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    USE OF ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES & MODELS

    In this section the underlying principles of the financial techniques and business analysismodels have been elaborated. It is important to highlight the issues and the body of

    knowledge that underpins each concept and the principles followed throughout this report.

    These are dealt as under:

    (A) FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

    Method used by the stakeholders to evaluate past, current and projected condition

    and performance of the firm and ratio analysis is the most common method.(Allbusiness.com Inc., 2010)

    The two types of financial analysis techniques listed under the approach heading are

    taken as standard and are self explanatory. They are used as indicators and can be

    calculated from the information available from the financial statements. There are

    many uses of the financial ratios but these uses come with certain limitations which

    are as follows:

    o There is no absolute definition of calculating a ratio

    o Ratios can be subject to manipulation

    o Ratios can vary according to the accounting policies adapted

    o Only takes into account the financial numbers ignoring the more important

    non-financial indicators that affect the companys performance

    o Does not take into account the time value of money

    (B) BUSINESS ANALYSIS

    Investigation into the operation of the business to expose the causes behind the

    results achieved, and the effects of those results on the business.(WebFinance inc., 2010)

    To carry on a business analysis, I came across a number of techniques and models.

    For this purpose I decided to use the two models mentioned earlier. Here I take the

    opportunity to further elaborate each of the models used for this research.

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    RYANAIR: THE COMPANY OVERVIEW

    THE FACTS

    o RYANAIR is a low cost airline having its headquarter at the Dublin Airport, Ireland.

    o RYANAIR is floated on the Dublin and the NASDAQ Stock Exchanges.

    o It serves over 150 destinations in 26 countries and operates over 1000+ routes.

    o RYANAIR has a fleet size of 210 aircrafts (233 as of March 2010).

    o RYANAIR serves routes across Europe and has a well-established market share

    particularly in the UK and in the EU.

    o It continues to operate from over 40 bases Europe-wide and has a long history of

    growth and rapid expansion after the deregulation of the European airspace in 1997.

    o Until the end of December 2009, RYANAIR had captured 40.18% of the market

    share of the total European passengers making it a market leader in its strategic

    group (i.e. 65.3 million passengers travelled with RYANAIR out of the total 162.5

    million European passengers that travelled on low cost airlines.)(ELFAA, 2009)

    o In terms of international passengers carried per year, RYANAIR is the largest airline

    of the world.

    (IATA, 2009)

    (Ryanair PLC, 2009)

    THE BUSINESS STRATEGY

    o In its early years, RYANAIR operated as a secondary carrier in Ireland but later as a

    result of the deregulation of the European airspace in 1990s it diversified into the

    Low-Cost Carriers Industry.

    o RYANAIR has a cost-based competition business strategy. This low-cost airlinebusiness model has been explicitly adapted from the USAs Southwest Airline.

    This business model has always kept RYANAIR in direct competition with other Low-

    Cost Airlines and Flag-carriers such as EasyJet, AerLingus, and British Airways etc.

    (Bamber et al, 2009)

    o RYANAIR has a no-frills low-cost strategy and has a standard fleet, provides just

    the very basic services and charges its customers for whatever it can, saving

    company the costs and generating revenues.

    (Osborne A., 2009)

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    Part A: FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

    (1) Trend AnalysisThis is the comparison of the Financial Ratios of RYANAIR for 2007, 2008 and 2009. Please

    see Appendix 2 for calculations and Appendix 3 for the Financial Statements.

    PROFITABILITY RATIOS

    It measures a firms use of its assets and its cost control to generate an acceptable

    return.

    (Groppelli, A. et al.2000)

    2009 2008 2007

    Operating Margin 3.1 19.8 21.1

    Net Profit Margin 3.6 17.7 17.9

    Return on Capital

    Employed1.8 11.3 10.3

    0.0

    5.0

    10.0

    15.0

    20.0

    25.0

    Percent(%)

    Profitability Ratios

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    Operating Profit Margin

    2007

    o At 21.1%, the Operating margin was highest this year, 1% lower compared to 2006.

    o There was an overall 32% increase in sales.

    Scheduled passenger revenue was up by 31% to 1874.8m reflecting a 7%

    increase in average fare to44.

    Ancillary revenue increased by 44% due to growth in on-board sales and non-

    flight scheduled revenues.

    o There was an increase of 33% in total operating expenses partially due to:

    The growth of the airline. Other contributing factors were higher fuel prices which rose by 50% due to

    28% increase in cost per gallon

    Rising route and airport charges at some sectors which increased by 21%

    and 27% respectively.

    o The total operating profits were up 26% to 471.7m.

    2008

    o Decreased by 1.3% to 19.8% inconsistent with the growth of the airline.

    o Total revenues increased by 21% to 2713.8m.

    Scheduled passenger revenue increased by 19% with 1% decrease in fares

    and a 20% increase in passengers due to the launch of 201 new routes this

    year.

    Ancillary revenue increased by 35% to 488.1m as compared to 362.1m last

    year.

    o Total operating expenses increased by 23%, excluding the 10.6m Accelerated

    depreciationto2166.1m. This was due to:

    Higher staff costs, up by 26% to165.3m due to a 32% increase in

    employees.

    23% increase in fleet size resulting in higher depreciation charge.

    Higher lease cost due to addition of 25 leased aircrafts.

    Route and airport charges increase by 30% and 45% respectively due to

    addition of new routes, rising passengers and doubling of the charge at a fewbases and airports.

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    Fuel cost rose by 14% to793.1m. This was due to the increase in hours

    flown. This was offset by fuel hedging and making aircrafts fuel efficient. Fuel

    accounts for 37% of the total operating expenses.

    o Total operating profits increased by 14% to 537.1m.

    2009

    o There was a steep decline of 16.7% compared to the previous year.

    o Total revenues increased by 8% to2942m which was inconsistent with the 15%

    actual increase in passengers.

    Scheduled passenger revenues increased by 5.3%, lower than the 19%

    growth the previous year. There was an 8% decrease in average fare (i.e.

    40) Ancillary revenues increased by 22.5%, an increase of about110m.

    o There was an overall increase of 30.9% in the total operating costs. This was due to

    the following:

    Increase in the number of passenger and sectors flown.

    There was a 21% increase in the number of employees which was partially

    offset by a decrease in the average rates of pay.

    The cost of fuel increased by 59% from791m in 2008 compared to1257m

    in 2009. An increase of 11% in the fleet size.

    45.6% rise in depreciation and amortisation due to additional aircrafts.

    A 10.5% increase in route charges and 11.9% increase in airport charges was

    another cause.

    o Total operating profit decreased 82.7% to92.6m.

    Net Profit Margin

    2007

    o At 17.9%, it was again the highest this year.

    o Net profit was 42% higher amounting to435.6m.

    o Adjusted net profit increased by 33% to401.4m.

    o Finance income was higher due to rise in cash balances and rising interest rates and

    the Finance expense was up 12%, again due to rising payable interest rates.

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    390.7m transferred to retained earnings as profit for the year.

    8.4m exercised as share options.

    And a reduction of436.7m due to IFRS treatment of specific items.

    o There was a net increase of404.4m in the long-term debt.

    2009

    o There was a decline of 9.5% in ROCE this year bringing the 11.3% return in 2008

    to1.8% in 2009.

    o This is mainly attributable to a lower operating profit this year due to rapid increase in

    operating costs of the business.

    o The operating profit was 16.7% lower than 2008.

    o There was a 3% fall in the shareholders equity mainly because of the reported loss

    for the year of169.2m transferred to retained earnings.

    o Long-term debt increased by 14% mainly due to debts drawn to finance the purchase

    the non-current assets.

    LIQUIDITY RATIOS

    These ratios measure the ability of a company to meet its short-term debt. These indicate

    the short-term financial stability of the company.

    2009 2008 2007

    Current Ratio 1.8 1.5 2.1

    Quick Ratio 1.8 1.5 2.1

    0.0

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    Times

    Liquidity Ratios

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    Current Ratio

    It is the rule of thumb that the current ratio be at least 2.0 times, meaning that a company

    should have current assets that are twice the current liabilities.

    2007

    o A ratio of 2.1 times suggests that the current assets were twice the amount of current

    liabilities. Although a drop of 12.5% as compared to 2006, yet it was stable.

    o Total current assets increased by300.7m (14.6%) to2354.3m in 2007, this change

    was mainly due to:

    164% increase in Other Assets which includes prepayments, interest

    receivable etc.

    A 22% decrease in Trade Receivables was reported.

    There was a 180% increase in Derivative Financial Instruments consisting of

    cash deposits, fuel derivatives and interest rate swaps.

    There was a 6.5 %(93m) decrease in cash.

    o There was a 32% decrease in current liabilities. This was due to:

    31% (i.e.24.5m) decrease in trade payables.

    Accruals and other liabilities increased by237m (41.6).

    There was a 100% increase in the Derivative financial instruments.

    Current tax rose by about5m (33%) in 2007.

    2008

    o In 2008, the current ratio decreased by 28.5% to 1.5 times. This is a continued trend

    from the year 2006/2007 when the ratio decreased 0.3 times. If such a trend

    continues, then the company could be in severe liquidity problems.

    o Total current assets decreased by32.8m to2387.1m, a change of 1.0% which

    could be linked to:

    Significant rise (118%) in Other Assets of 92m.

    A decrease of about42m in derivative financial instruments and a33.6m

    rise in other derivatives offsets each other.

    There was an increase on124m in cash balances

    o Current liabilities increased by439m, a rise of 39%. This was mainly due to the

    following:

    Trade payables increased by 136% to129.3m.

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    A 105%, about188m, rise in current maturities. And 85.6% (85.6m) rise in

    financial instruments. These were the borrowings falling within one year.

    These were the main reasons for a falling current ratio.

    o A drop in the ratio of current assets/current liabilities concludes that RYANAIR had to

    borrow more and more to finance its sales growth of 21%.

    2009

    o Current ratio in 2009 increased by 20% to 1.8 times. Although the ratio was lower

    than in 2007 (2.1 times), RYANAIR showed signs of financial stability.

    o There was a 7% rise (156m) in the total current assets which is attributable to:

    Increase in cash balances of112m (8% change). Derivative financial instruments increased by 119.7m. This increase was due

    to the gains on cash-flow hedging instruments.

    o The total current liabilities decreased by 11.4% to1379m i.e. a change of178m.

    This change was mainly due to:

    A 1% decline of13.6m in Accrued expenses and a 3% decrease in Trade

    payables.

    A decrease of164m in current maturities of debt.

    o A rise in the current ratio this year shows a stable financial position of RYANAIR.

    Quick Ratio

    A quick ratio is similar to the current ratio but the current assets in the numerator do not

    include inventories in the calculation. RYANAIR carried an average inventory of 2.2m in

    each of the three years. This amount is relatively immaterial to the balance sheet and

    therefore does not bring any change to the quick ratio.

    Thus, an analysis of the quick ratio will be exactly same as of the current ratio.

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    GEARING RATIOS

    This is a measure of financial risk incorporated in a company.

    Gearing is a measure of financial leverage, demonstrating the degree to which a firm's

    activities are funded by owner's funds versus creditor's funds.

    (Investopedia ULC, 2010)

    Interest Cover

    It is a measure to determine the ability of a company to meet its interest payments on its

    debts.

    2007

    o There was a12% rise in the ratio in 2007 as compared to 2006 and the interest cover

    ratio was 5.7 times.

    o This was due to 26% rise in operating profits to471.7m.

    o A 100% increase in lease financing to183.1m.

    o To finance the aircrafts and simulators, the company drew185m (net of

    repayments) in loans.o Bank loans increased by 12% to82.4m.

    2009 2008 2007

    Debt to Equity 106.5 90.6 80.1

    0.0

    50.0

    100.0

    150.0

    Percent(

    %)

    Debt to Equity

    2009 2008 2007

    Interest Cover 0.7 5.5 5.7

    0.0

    1.0

    2.0

    3.04.0

    5.0

    6.0

    Times

    Interest Cover

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    o Due to the above, the total interest charge increased by 12.2% to82.8m.

    2008

    o In 2008, the ratio decreased by 3.5% to 5.5 times.

    o The total operating profits increased by 14% to537m.

    o Loans raised to finance the assets increased by 22% (404m).

    o There was a 72% increase in finance leases to316m.

    o As a result the total annual interest charge to the income statement increased by

    17%, more than the increase in operating profits, thus decreasing the cover ratio.

    2009

    o This year, interest cover ratio decreased drastically by 87% to 0.7 times.o The operating profit was in steep decline and reduced by 82.7% to92.6m. This was

    mainly due to some exceptional items and rising fuel prices.

    o Finance lease liabilities increased by 32% to435m.

    o Loans raised to finance the assets increased 5.8%, a change of132m.

    o Therefore the total interest charge increased 34% to130.5m.

    Debt to Equity Ratio

    The debt to equity ratio indicates the relative proportion of shareholders equity and debt

    used to finance the companys assets.

    (Peterson, 1999)

    2007

    o The debt to equity ratio was 80.1% in 2007, indicating that the debt was 80.1% of the

    total shareholders equity. This is a decrease of 11.2% compared to the previousyear.

    o The total non-current debt increased by 13% to2033.7m. (The reasons of its

    increase have been outlined in the Interest Cover ratio of the same year).

    o The total shareholders equity increased by 27.5% to 2539.7m due to:

    The share capital and premium accounts increased by 1.8%. This was due to

    the issue of new ordinary shares and the exercise of the share-options.

    The change in Other Reserves was due to the changes in accounting

    policies (adoption of IFRS in the prior year).

    The remaining increase was in the retained earnings i.e. profits for the year.

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    2008

    o The D/E ratio increased by 13% to 90.6% this year, reflecting an increase in the

    financial risk to the company.

    o The total non-current debt increased by 12% to2268.2m.

    o Shareholders equity decreased this year by 1.0% to 2502.2m. This decrease wasdue to the net effect of:

    The issue of 3.2m new shares and the cancellation of 59.5m shares relating

    to a share buyback.

    The change in reserves was due to the net effect of the addition of the profit

    for the year to retained earnings and a loss on the fair value of available for

    sale financial assets.

    2009

    o This year the D/E ratio increased 17.5% to 106.5% as the total non-current debt of

    RYANAIR was more than the shareholders equity. This year the company was very

    highly geared representing a very high financial risk.

    o The total non-current debt increased by 14% to2583.6m. (Reasons outlined in the

    Interest Cover ratio).

    o The shareholders equity decreased by 3% due to the effect of the following:

    The issue of 0.7m new shares and the cancellation of 18.1m shares throughbuyback.

    Losses of169.2m suffered during the year, reducing the retained earnings.

    Other Reserve changed due to the gains on the fair valuation of f inancial

    assets, i.e. the impairment of investment in AerLingus.

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    INVESTMENT RATIOS

    Earnings per Share (Basic)

    EPS is an indicator of a companys profitability. It is the portion of a firms profit allocated to

    each outstanding ordinary share.

    (Investopedia ULC, 2010)

    2007

    o EPS increased by 41% to 28.2 Euro cents.o Net profits increased by 42% to435.6m.

    o Ordinary shares increased by 0.7%

    2008

    o A decrease of 8.4% dropped the EPS to 25.84 Euro cents in 2008.

    o This was due to a 10% fall in the profits for the year.

    o And a decrease of 2.1% in the no. of ordinary shares.

    2009

    o EPS decreased by 144% to -11.44 Euro cents this year.

    o A decrease of 143% in the net profits this year (a loss of169.2m) led to the

    disastrous fall in the EPS.

    o And a further 2.2% decrease in the ordinary shares.

    2007 2008 2009

    Basic Earnings per

    Share28.2 25.84 -11.44

    -20-10

    010203040

    EuroCents

    Basic Earnings per Share

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    Price-Earnings Ratio

    It is the valuation of the companys share price compared to its per-share earnings.

    (Investopedia ULC, 2010)

    2007

    o P/E ratio increased by 5.6% to 20.7 times, this was due to:

    A 48% (1.91) increase in the share price of RYANAIR in 2007.

    Increased EPS by 41% to 28.2 Euro cents.

    2008

    o The P/E ratio decreased by 48% to 10.8 times, due to:

    A fall of3.03 (52% change) in the share prices.

    And a decrease of 8.4% in the EPS.

    2009

    o A fall of 334% was recorded in the P/E ratio this year, due to:

    A 144% decrease in the EPS to -11.44 Euro cents this year.

    Although the share-price went up by 9.0 Euro cents (a 3% rise), it could not

    accommodate the heavy fall in the EPS and therefore a falling P/E ratio.

    Dividend per Share

    Since the incorporation, it is the policy of RYANAIR that it does not pay or intend to pay or

    declare any dividends to the holders of its ordinary shares. Such a dividend policy is

    formulated by the directors due to the capital intensive nature of the business and its growthprospects.

    2007 2008 2009

    P/E Ratio 20.7 10.8 -25.3

    -40.0

    -20.0

    0.0

    20.0

    40.0

    Times

    P/E Ratio

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    (2) Industry Comparison

    This is the comparison of the financial ratios of RYANAIR with that of its biggest

    competitor EASYJET, for the financial year 2009.

    Comparison of Market-Share

    In the year 2009, the European Low-Cost Airline Industry showed a modest growth of 8.7%

    in passenger numbers. An analysis by passenger numbers and market share can be done

    as under:

    (ELFAA, 2009)

    (ELFAA, 2008)

    easyJetNorwegi

    anRyanair vueling Wizz Air Others

    PASSENGERS 46.1 10.8 65.3 8.2 7.8 24.3

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    Passengers(millions)

    EU LCC Industry Passenger Numbers

    (2009)

    28%

    7%

    40%

    5%

    5%

    15%

    Market Share (2009)

    easyJet

    Norwegian

    Ryanair

    vueling

    Wizz Air

    Others

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    Research And Analysis Report: Ryanair Holdings PLC Page 23

    As compared to 2008, RYANAIRs EU market-share has increased by 3.6% to 40% whereas

    EasyJets share decreased by 6% to 28% in 2009. This is a clear indicator that RYANAIR

    has outperformed EasyJet and will remain the dominant firm in the European air-space.

    Comparison of Financial Ratios

    The key financial ratios of the two companies are as under:

    RATIO RYANAIR EASYJET

    2009 2009

    PROFITABILITY RATIOS

    Operating Margin (%) 3.1 2.3

    Net Profit Margin (%) 3.6 2.3Return on Capital Employed (%) 1.8 2.3

    LIQUIDITY RATIOS

    Current Ratio (Times) 1.8 1.4

    Quick Ratio (Times) 1.8 1.4

    GEARING RATIOS

    Interest Cover (Times) 0.7 2.2

    Debt to Equity (%) 106.5 99.7

    INVESTOR RATIOS

    Basic Earnings per Share ( Cents)-

    11.4418.20

    Basic Earnings per Share( Pence) - 16.62

    P/E Ratio-

    25.2624.98

    SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

    no of shares 31st Mar (in '000)1,478,472

    -

    no of shares 30th Sep -428,300,000

    price per share 31st Mar ( Cents) 289.00415.2

    price per share 30th Sep ( Pence) -379.2

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    In 2009, although there was severe loss of profitability for RYANAIR yet its profit margins

    were higher than that of EasyJet. This indicates RYANAIRs better cost control techniques

    such as fuel hedging, interest rate swaps and a 3% cut down on other related costs.

    EasyJets revenue increased by 12.9% as compared to 8% of RYANAIRs which was due tolowering of average fares by 8%, but this was in-line with the industry growth of 8.7%.

    RYANAIRs financial risk in 2009 was more than that of EasyJet as it was financed more by

    the non-current debts than equity. This is a very high-risk capital structure adopted by

    RYANAIR and is primarily due to the capital intensive nature of the industry. Investors may

    perceive RYANAIR a high-risk investment as the Interest Cover is relatively low.

    RYANAIRs EPS fell by 144% while EasyJet sustained the downturn with only a 14.6% drop

    avoiding a loss this year. RYANAIRs loss was due to heavy losses on investments which

    can be treated as exceptional and therefore the company has very bright future prospects for

    investors taking in view its market dominance, profitability and growth potential. Through this

    comparison we can conclude that RYANAIR is a relatively high-risk investment with lower

    returns and its shareholders suffering capital losses.

    0.0

    1.0

    2.0

    3.0

    4.0

    Operating Margin

    (%)

    Net Profit Margin

    (%)

    Return on Capital

    Employed (%)

    Percent(%)

    Comparison of Profitability Ratios

    RYANAIR

    EASYJET

    96.0

    98.0

    100.0

    102.0

    104.0

    106.0

    108.0

    Debt to Equity

    (%)

    Percent

    (%)

    Comparison of Financial Gearing

    RYANAIR

    EASYJET

    -15.00

    -10.00

    -5.00

    -

    5.00

    10.00

    15.00

    20.00

    Basic Earnings

    per Share (

    Cents)

    C

    ents

    Comparison of Basic EPS

    RYANAIR

    EASYJET

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    Research And Analysis Report: Ryanair Holdings PLC Page 25

    Part B: BUSINESS ANALYSIS

    Porters Five Forces model

    The nature and degree of competition in an industry hinge on five forces: the threat of

    new entrants, the bargaining power of customers, the bargaining power of suppliers, the

    threat of substitute products or services [where applicable), and the jockeying among

    current contestants.

    (Porter, 1979, p.137)

    The analysis of the EU Airline industry is as follows:

    1) Threat of new entrants

    This makes the industry less attractive for existing firms. For RYANAIR, this threat is

    moderate.

    o European airspace is de-regulated and air lines can fly freely among the EU

    countries, eliminating any political constraints.o The industry requires very high capital-injection which acts as a high barrier.

    o Airlines already operating and the new-comers have to seek authorisations from the

    Civil Aviation Authorities.

    o Availability of landing rights and slots at airports also acts as a barrier to entry.

    o New entrants have to cope with immediate price-wars with existing firms who have

    already experienced the Experience Curve.

    2) Power of Customers

    The customers of RYANAIR are powerful because:

    o They are price-sensitive to the fares.

    o There are no associated switching costs.

    o Power of travel agents has been eliminated.

    o The customers lack loyalty in no-frills airlines and are attracted only to low prices.

    3) Power of Suppliers

    The suppliers bargaining powers were moderate because:

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    o A uniform Boeing 737 fleet with high seat-density, high load factor, lower turn-around

    times and lower training and maintenance costs.

    o A non-unionised labour force with lowest rates of pay in the industry.

    WEAKNESSES

    o Aggressive implementation of low-cost business model has led to unhappy

    customers with no loyalty to the airline.

    o Issues of staff morale and loyalty as RYANAIR have the lowest pay rates and the

    employment contract includes the non-unionisation clause.

    o Negative publicity through press which leads to a longer-term disadvantage.

    o Allegations of controversial and misleading advertisements by the regulators.

    o The low-cost business model has made RYANAIR to be very sensitive as all the

    costs and savings are transferred directly to the customers.

    o Use of secondary airports which are, in most cases, far from the cities they actually

    serve.

    o Very poor customer service, on the ground and even on-board the flight.

    o Sensitivity to governments regulations over passenger air duty.

    OPPORTUNITIES

    o Orders of new aircrafts reflect tremendous growth potential of the airline and can be

    seen as an opportunity.

    o Being a dominant firm, RYANAIR still has potential to capture more of the European

    market-share.o Launch of long-haul routes in 2014 with a complete diversification towards

    Differentiation rather than Cost-based can prove to be very fruitful for RYANAIR.

    o The current and continuing economic downturn has been good for the low-cost

    carriers profitability.

    THREATS

    o Rising fuel prices will adversely affect the companys profits.

    o Customers are becoming more price-sensitive.o There has been an increased competition with airlines directly targeting each other.

    o Airport handling and other charges are rising significantly.

    o Any adverse changes in the government regulations over passenger duty, tax and

    other matters may have severe consequences for the airline.

    o Price wars with immediate competitors continue and the intensity of the competition

    keeps on rising.

    o A ruling against RYANAIR by the Competition Regulators over the AerLingus take-

    over has limited the growth of airline through acquisition.

    (Ryanair PLC, 2008)

    (Ryanair PLC, 2009)

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    CONCLUSION

    The European airline industry is very dynamic and is growing at a moderate pace.

    RYANAIRs current business strategy based on the low-cost operating model has been

    adapted from the Southwest Airline Company (USA) and since the early 1990s, it has been

    aggressively implemented. And as a result of this successful implementation of the low-cost

    business model, RYANAIR has emerged to be the largest airline in Europe with

    achievements such as the best in punctuality, Europe coverage, traffic growth, highest

    market capitalisation (5.3bn until May 2009), lowest average fares and highest number of

    international passengers carried are just to name a few. RYANAIR is currently the dominant

    firm in the European industry and If the current growth rate in the number of passengers

    continue, then in a few years time RYANAIR will probably face a monopoly situation.

    FINANCIALS

    RYANAIR has a history of growth in profitability and records an annual increase in the

    amount of assets held, thus a strong balance sheet. But at this point it should be noted that

    the future operating results of the company are dependent on the following factors:

    Passenger volume

    Fuel prices Competitive pricing

    Seasonal fluctuations

    Availability of finance

    Relations with suppliers

    Availability of airports (for growth)

    Economic and political conditions

    Terrorist threats

    (Ryanair PLC, 2009)

    As far as the financial position and past performance of the company is concerned, from

    2007 through to 2009, RYANAIRs total operating revenues (scheduled and ancillary) has

    been increasing (2007: +32%, 2008: +21%, and 2009: +8%). This increase is not in line with

    the rising number of annual passengers or even the rate of decrease in the average fares.

    Implementing the low-cost business model, RYANAIR tends to lower its fares to make itself

    attractive to the price sensitive customer which explains the falling scheduled revenues. But

    a significant proportion of the revenues are attributable to Ancillary Revenues generated

    from non-scheduled services, in-flight sales of beverages, foods and merchandise etc.

    RYANAIRs reliance on such revenues is vital and its slowing growth rate (2007: + 40%,

    2008: +35% and 2009: +22%) could be a factor for the airline to place its focus on.

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    APPENDIX 1: List of References

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    Investopedia ULC (2010)www.investopedia.com[Online] Investopedia ULC. Retrieved from:

    http://www.investopedia.com/terms/e/eps.asp[Accessed 19 May 2010]

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    http://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/price-earningsratio.asp[Accessed 19 May 2010]

    Learned Edmund P., C. Roland Christiansen, Kenneth Andrews and William D. Guth (1969)

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    Osborne, A. (2009) Ryanairs lose loss strategy typifies itswin, win focus on low fares

    Telegraph, 2 June 2009 [Online] Retrieved from:

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/5431689/Ryanairs-lose-loos-strategy-typifies-

    its-win-win-focus-on-low-fares.html[Accessed 9 May 2010]

    Peterson, P. (1999)Analysis of Financial Statements. New York: Wiley

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    Ryanair Holdings Plc. (2009)Annual Report 2009 [Online]. Ryanair Holdings Plc. Retrieved

    from:http://www.ryanair.com/en/investor/download[Accessed 1 May 2010]

    Ryanair Holdings Plc. (2008)Annual Report 2008 [Online]. Ryanair Holdings Plc. Retrieved

    from:http://www.ryanair.com/en/investor/download[Accessed 1 May 2010]

    Ryanair Holdings Plc. (2007)Annual Report 2007 [Online]. Ryanair Holdings Plc. Retrieved

    from:http://www.ryanair.com/en/investor/download[Accessed 1 May 2010]

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    APPENDIX 2: Ratio Analysis Spreadsheet

    Calculation of Financial Ratios using Microsof t Excel 2007

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    Sample Formula Sheets

    Calculation of Ratios: RYANAIR 2007 and 2008

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    Calculation of Ratios: Ryanair and EasyJet (2009)

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    APPENDIX 3: Financial Statements of Ryanair

    Holdings PLC

    (This page is intentionally left blank)

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    Oxford Brookes University

    BSc (Hons.) in Applied Accounting

    SKILLS AND LEARNING STATEMENT

    Word count: 1891

    Presented by: Mohammad Saad Hassan Khan

    ACCA Registration: 1624360

    Submission period: 20

    MAY 2010.

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    At the third meetingI had to deliver a presentation to my mentor about my project findings

    which was a task more difficult than the actual analysis. By this time my project was on the

    verge of completion and a draft was ready to be handed over to the mentor for further advice

    and changes if needed. There were five people present at the presentation and I was of

    course nervous but it went well and I was praised at the end. The 15-minute time limit was

    very difficult to maintain and was easily breached. This made me learn a new skill ofpresenting your findings in a logical and effective way.

    ANSWERS TO THE RESEARCH QUESTIONS

    The research questions and the objectives of this research report were clear from the title

    Business and Financial performance of an organisation and the main objectives were toevaluate and analyse the financial performance of the company internally and comparing it

    to the industry averages (competitor comparison). This financial analysis would answer my

    research question that whether Ryanair was performing well or its financial performance was

    deteriorating over time. Another aspect to be covered was the business analysis which

    would provide me with the answers about the strategic position of Ryanair, and its external

    and internal analysis. This analysis would have provided me with the answers as to the

    relative position of Ryanair in the market and its future prospects. And from the beginning of

    information gathering process through to the analysis and evaluation stages, I was in pursuit

    of answering the research questions up to the extent the available information allowed me

    to. Answering these questions and meeting the project objectives was pretty clear in my

    mind and I had devised a plan on how to achieve them through discussions with my mentor

    which proved to be a lot of help in this case.

    The major threat was that the information was available online in bulk quantities and the

    selection of relevant points was crucial as I could have easily crossed the word limit

    prescribed. I eliminated this threat by efficiently managing the information relevant to my

    objectives.

    Evaluating ones own performance isnt easy but in my opinion I think that I have been fully

    able to answer my research questions and meet the project objectives. Being an

    accountancy student it was easy for me to reach a conclusion to the financial analysis as it

    was not a great deal for me to reach a conclusion related to historic and current financial

    performance of Ryanair. Concerning this issue, I would rate my overall performance as

    above-average and in my view I have had no difficulty answering my research questions.

    But the business analysis part of this report was the one I was new to and lacked experience

    of analysing the companys internal and external factors that affect it and due to my hard

    work and focus I was finally able to reach a conclusion on the Business Analysis portion,

    successfully answering all of my research questions. This project takes the knowledge of

    Business Analysis Models and Techniques as pre-requisite but I had to really word hard

    enough on these techniques, firstly grasping the breadth of knowledge underlying the issues

    and secondly applying them in my project work was a great deal which I think I have beensuccessful in.

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    Research And Analysis Report: Ryanair Holdings PLC Page 45

    INTERPERSONAL AND COMMUNICATION SKILLS

    Before this project I had never undertaken any research report and it was challenging for me

    to finalise it even with the advice of my mentor. But having done this report I have not onlymastered the skill of the business report writing but I have also learned a lot from my project

    mentor who was absolutely potent to guide me all the way through and help me with his

    valuable advice.

    I took this research report as a learning tool and this RAP was an opportunity for me to

    exploit my strengths and overcome my weaknesses. My information gathering was

    particularly strong and part of which is attributable to my familiarity with the airline industry.

    Being an ACCA student I have always been interested in the financial performances of the

    organisation and with this project I have polished my analytical skills and techniques

    providing me with a vast experience of analysing the business and financial performances.

    During the three meetings, as prescribed by the University, the interaction with the mentor

    played a vital part in the overall learning process and from meeting 1 I was keen to take

    part in discussions. From the first meeting I critically observed my mentor and started

    adapting things from him. It is quite obvious that when two people interact with each other,

    its not only the verbal communication that is important but the body language is equally

    important. And when the meetings are held in a formal setup, then behaving in an

    appropriate manner is the key to a successful dialogue.

    At the first meeting I was a bit hesitant and it was my mentor who emphasised on my taking

    part in the discussion so that the outcomes are appropriate. Observing my mentor I realisedthat the skill of communicating my thoughts in an effective way was the one which I had to

    work on. From my mentor I also learned the skill of time management which was for me the

    core of this whole project as the deadline was approaching. I have had many experiences of

    working under time pressure sitting exams and also in my previous employment, but this

    project was an extraordinary task to me which had a time frame in weeks instead of hours or

    days. Working under such conditions was a whole new experience and I was able to

    accomplish the task at the end.

    By the second meeting I was part-way through the project and was a lot more confident

    regarding many of the issues explained in the prior paragraph. Therefore I was actively

    taking part in the discussions with my mentor and benefiting from his advice and constructivecriticism. He is a qualified accountant and a member of the ACCA and those formal

    interactions with him were one of its kind.

    The requirement of the presentation at the third meeting plays a crucial part in the overall

    learning process and I again took it as an opportunity to exploit my strengths. This

    presentation made me learn new skills and during the preparation of the presentation I

    polished my Microsoft Office skills.

    The overall experience of undertaking this RAP has made me learn a lot of new transferable

    skills and analyse my strengths and weaknesses which will one day be very useful for me in

    my practical life. This made me realise my potential and I fell a lot more confident as far as

    my communication and interpersonal skills are concerned.

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    RAP AND THE ACCOUNTING STUDIES

    As already mentioned that I took this RAP as a tool to learning and exploiting my knowledge,

    I was able to practically apply the knowledge gained from the ACCA qualification to an

    existing business which led to an in-depth understanding of the ideas and logics that

    underpins them.

    While doing this project I was also preparing for the ACCA papers Corporate Reporting (P2)

    and Business Analysis (P3). This project work was reasonably the best method for the

    application of the business models that I was learning from my lecturers which led to a better

    understanding and provided me with a whole new horizon of knowledge.

    Through this project I have pretty much improved my writing skills and now can easily

    communicate my thoughts and plot my views according to the situations. The 6500 word

    limit was a barrier and this project has taught me an additional skill of concise writing. This

    will particularly be of help when I will be sitting my ACCA exams where time is a major factor

    in passing and failing. During the writing of this project I learnt where to place emphasis and

    where not to and now while sitting the theory papers, I will be much more confident than I

    previously was and can communicate effectively while expressing my views particularly on

    case studies.

    This project has armed me with the practical know-how of the companies, how they operate

    and strive for the customers in a market, the affect of the regulations from the governmentand other regulators and the internal and external risks involved. With this real-life

    understanding of the firms, I would be better able to grasp other technical knowledge further

    in my studies.