MODUL 1 - WRI Indonesia...MODUL 1 PENGANTAR PARADIGMA SYSTEMS THINKING SESI 2 CLOSED LOOP THINKING...
Transcript of MODUL 1 - WRI Indonesia...MODUL 1 PENGANTAR PARADIGMA SYSTEMS THINKING SESI 2 CLOSED LOOP THINKING...
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MODUL 1
PENGANTARPARADIGMA SYSTEMS THINKING
SESI 2
CLOSED LOOP THINKING
Dr. Mahawan Karuniasa
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System
Systems Thinking
System Dynamics
Siklus Permodelan
Modelling
Susunan Ilmu System Dynamics
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Sistem Terbuka (sistem tanpa umpan balik)
Sistem Terbuka yaitu sistem yang menghasilkan output yang tidak
mempengaruhi input sistem.
(Forrester, 1971).
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Sistem Tertutup
(sistem tanpa umpan balik)
Sistem Tertutup adalah sistem yang menghasilkan output yang mempengaruhiinput dan mengendalikan kinerja sistem
berikutnya
(Forrester, 1971).
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Feedback dalam Sistem Tertutup
Sistem tertutup memiliki struktur closed loop(Forester, 1971). Struktur closed loop terbentuk
karena adanya output yang dikembalikankepada sistem, atau feedback.
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Sistem Terbuka(sistem tanpa umpan balik)
Linier
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Loundry List Thinking
Kesempatan Kerja
Pendapatan
Korupsi
PendidikanKemiskinan
Suatu fenomenadipikirkan hanya sebagai
sesuatu yang dimunculkan olehsejumlah faktor
Sumber: Soesilo & Karuniasa (2013)
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Sistem Tertutup
Kapital
AlamProduk Barang & Jasa
Closed Loop
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Systems ThinkingPendidikan
Pendapatan
Kesempatan Kerja
Korupsi
Kemiskinan
Sumber: Soesilo & Karuniasa (2013)
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Paradigma Systems Thinking
Closed-loop thinking
Memahami bahwa sebab dan akibat tidakselalu linier, dan akibat (effect) dapat menjadi
sebab (cause) baru yang mempengaruhisebab awal.
(Richmond, 1997 dalam Maani & Cavana, 2000)
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PARADIGMA HOLISTIK SDGS
(MENYELURUH, TERINTEGRASI, SISTEMIK, NONLINIER)
MENDORONG
MENDUKUNG
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PARADIGMA HOLISTIK PERUBAHAN IKLIM
(MENYELURUH, TERINTEGRASI, SISTEMIK, NONLINIER)
MENDORONG
MENDUKUNG
REDUKSI
EMISI
PENDAPATAN
MASYARAKAT
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PARADIGMA HOLISTIK NAWA CITA
(MENYELURUH, TERINTEGRASI, SISTEMIK, NONLINIER)
MELESTARIKAN
MENDUKUNG
PRODUKTIVITAS KAPITAL ALAM
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Systems Thinking adalah cara pandangterhadap fenomena sebagai suatu sistem. Jadi
Systems Thinking adalah suatu paradigma.
Definisi Systems Thinking
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Karakteristik Sistem 1
Sistem terdiri atas unsur-unsur atau sub sistem.
Unsur-unsur atau subsistem saling memilikiketerkaitan dengan struktur tertentu.
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Struktur Sistem dan Subsistem
Kapital
Alam
Kapital
Manusia
Kapital
FisikProduk Barang & Jasa
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Karakteristik Sistem 2
Fungsi sistem melibatkan keseluruhan unsur-unsur atau subsistem.
Suatu sistem adalah sub sistem dari sistemyang lebih besar
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Fungsi Sistem KSP Maloy
Kapital
Alam
Kapital
Manusia
Kapital
FisikBarang dan Jasa
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Sistem dan Perubahan
Suatu sistem memiliki sifat melawansetiap perubahan terhadap sistem.
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Retensi Sistem CPO
Kapital Alam
Kapital Manusia
Pabrik
Kelapa SawitProduk
CPO dan PKO
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Umpan Balik Positif
UMPAN BALIK POSITIF adalah umpanbalik yang memperkuat kerja sistem
berikutnya.
(Forrester, 1971)
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Kapital Alam
Kapital Manusia
Industri KSP
MaloyProduk CPO Turunan
+
Umpan Balik Positif
+
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Umpan Balik Negatif
UMPAN BALIK NEGATIF adalah umpanbalik yang berupaya mencapai tujuannya
dengan memberikan respon terhadapKegagalan pencapainnya.
(Forrester, 1971)
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Kapital Alam
Kapital Manusia
Produk CPO Turunan
+
Umpan Balik Negatif
-
+
Industri KSP
Maloy
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Leverage
Leverage adalah unsur atau sub sistem yang memiliki pengaruh perubahan paling sensitifatau paling besar pada kinerja sistem secara
keseluruhan.
Setiap sistem memiliki Leverage
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Model Mental
Model Mental adalah persepsi mental ataurepresentasi mental dari sistem yang meliputiinteraksi serta perilaku yang dihasilkan oleh
sistem (Martin, 1997)