Innovation in China: Trends and...

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FUTURE Research- based foresight STRATEGY Future- based strategy ACTION Strategy enforcement Innovation in China: Trends and Conditions Tomas Larsson, Director ChinaLab

Transcript of Innovation in China: Trends and...

FUTURE Research-

based foresight

STRATEGY Future- based

strategy

ACTION Strategy

enforcement

Innovation in China:

Trends and Conditions Tomas Larsson, Director ChinaLab

We assist organizations and leaders in

understanding and shaping their futures

FUTURE Research-based

foresight

STRATEGY Future-based

strategy

ACTION Strategy

implementation

Kairos ( )

is an ancient Greek word meaning

”the right time” or ”time for change”

Invention patent applications

54%

82%

46%

18%

173

210

245

290 315

391

527

653

0

200

400

600

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Nu

mb

er

of

inve

nti

on

pate

nt

ap

plic

ati

on

s

(th

ou

sa

nd

)

ANP

ACP

AP

Source: SIPO

Granted invention patents

39%

66%

61%

34%

53 58

68

94

128 135

172

217

0

100

200

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Nu

mb

er

of

gra

nte

d in

ve

nti

on

pate

nts

(t

ho

usa

nd

)

GNP

GCP

GP

Source: SIPO

Granted patents as share of applications

(Chinese priority)

29%

2009

27%

2012

Source: SIPO

21%

2006

Wrong place in the value-chain

Price: $299

Apple’s profit: $80

Distribution and sales: $75

Japanska manufacturers: $93

License fees $48

Chinese manufacturers $3

Who?

China’s long march up the value

chain?Don’t forget the long tail!

Analysis: Kairos Future

The entrepreneurs are coming

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,00019

95

19

96

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

Number of corporate inventors

Share of patents by top 10% of corporate inventors

Analysis: Kairos Future

A changing industrial landscape

Top applicants 1995 Top applicants 2012

1. China Petroleum & Chemical Corp. Huawei Technology Co.

2. Baosteel Group ZTE Corp

3. China Nonferrous Metals Industry Corp. CSOT Co.

4. China Sinopec Qilu Petrochemical Co. BOE Technology Group Co.

5. Anshan Iron and Steel Co. Huali Microelectronics Corp.

6. Qiyang County Sanhe Industry Co. Chery Automobile Co.

7. Shougang Corp. Guangqi Inc.

8. Yanshan Petrochemical Co. State Grid Corp. of China

9. Huawei Technology Co. Zoomlion Heavy Industry S&T Co.

10. Sinopec Luoyang Petrochemical

Engineering Corp.

Sany Heavy Industry Co.

Where?

China’s innovation geography

Analysis: Kairos Future

Emerging R&D ecosystems

Source: Kairos Future

China’s top 20 cities for agriculture R&D

1. Beijing

2. Shanghai

3. Nanjing

4. Qingdao

5. Guangzhou

6. Hangzhou

7. Tianjin

8. Suzhou

9. Zhenjiang

10. Wuhan

11. Kunming

12. Chengdu

13. Xi’an

14. Harbin

15. Changsha

16. Wuxi

17. Shenzhen

18. Zhengzhou

19. Shenyang

20. Xianyang

What?

It used to take 24 months for

an idea from Silicon Valley to

reach China. Now it takes 24

hours.

Li Gong, CEO Mozilla China

Thank you!

Tomas Larsson

[email protected]

070-615 55 57

www.kairosfuture.com

www.chinamapofinnovation.com

We map companies, research institutions, and R&D trends.