- 1. Plan your trade Trade your plan
2.
- How to win in the markets?
- Let your winners run and cut your losers soon .
3. Investing with theKelly criter ion
- The Kelly Criterion is abet-sizingtechnique, which balances
bothriskandrewardfor the advantage gambler.
- Kelly Value and Equity Curve of a trading system
4. 5. The Shannon Method
- In the1960 s, Shannon gave a lecture in a hall packed with
students and teachers alike in MIT, on the topic of maximizing the
growth rate of wealth. He detailed a method on how you can grow
your portfolio byrebalancingyour fund between astock andcash ,
while this stock stays in a random ranging market.
6. Rebalancing Method cash stock 7. Martingale( ) 8.
- 1 ( ) 2 (21)n 1 2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 ( )
9.
- 1+2+4+8+16+32+54+128+256+512=1023
10.
- There is very simple,BUT HIGHLY EFFECTIVEtechnique. This
operation simply consists ofdoubling your bet whenever you
lose.
Martingale( ) 11. Traditional European Roulette
- Once wewinwith one color, we will start it all over again
betting one on the opposite color until we win again, going on and
on time after time.
12. Martingale( )
- IF YOU WIN WITH ONE COLOR, BET ON THE OPPSITE COLOER... IF YOU
LOSE; BOUBLE YOUR BETS UNTIL YOU WIN!
13. The following are Monte Carlo simulations by method
ofMartingalefor 1000 betting. 14. Martingale( )
15. Anti-Martingale ( )
16. When is the right time to double bet? 17. 18.
Anti-Martingale ( )
19. Win twice Double bet
- The players usually increase bets after they win and reduce
bets after they lose.(Kelly criterion)
TM 20. Win twice Double bet
TM 21. 22.
Win twice Double bet TM TM 23.
Win triple Double bet TM 24.
WinNtimes Double bet TM 25. Kelly log twice triple 26.
Fibonacci
- Fibonacci Sequence 1 1 2 3 5 8
- Fibonacci Sequence F(n)->F(n+1) k=1.618 ,
27.
- P G =0.8,f= 0.6,k 1 = 1 + f = 1.6 , k 2 = 1 f =0.4
- A.11.61.63841.62.621441.6.
- 1 -> 1.6 ->1.6 -> 1.6 -> 1.6384 -> 2.62144
->
28. log 29. Method of Double Betting TM 30. Method of Double
BettingI
TM 31. Method of Double BettingI
TM 45 40 60 32. Method of Double BettingI TM 33. Method of
Double BettingI TM 34. Method of Double BettingI TM 35. Method of
Double BettingI TM 12/28 8057 36. Method of Double BettingI TM
12/30 8112 37. Method of Double BettingII
TM 38. Method of Double BettingIII
TM 39. Method of Double BettingIII
TM 40. Method of Double BettingIII TM 41. Method of Double
BettingIV
TM 42. 1 2 3 1 0 Method of Double BettingIV TM 43. ->
44. W : L = 7 : 3 P G= 0.7 45.
46. 47. B S B B 48. S S S S S S B S B 49. 50.
51. Anthony Bolton 52.
- 1979 12 2007 1990-2002 2000 2003 2008 9 10 Investing Against
the Tide 2008
53.
54. Susan 55.
- Nicolas Darvas 1 1,000 6 1950 4 18 200 How I Made $2,000,000 In
The Stock Market 40
56. 57. TO GAMBLE OR NOT TO GAMBLE 58. We are all gamblers with
life
- I do not go to the Casino, neither gamble...but while living my
own life and watching the common behavior of myself and the others,
it often seems to me as act of gambling.
- Casino is not only place where people gamble, we are all
gamblers with life. We enter completely unprepared into various
life situations, driven by our desires and wishes and cope with the
positive and negative consequences of our decisions afterwards,
about which we knew nothing at the time when we were choosing
them.
Tatjana-Mihaela 59.
- Choose Where You Want toLiveand How to Live.
- Life allows you to make many choices - one of which is where
you live. Some say that you can change your place and change your
luck: how to win at Life depends on your surroundings.
We are gambling with our lives! 60.
- Simon Cowell : ? : 47 : : ? :
I Dreamed a Dream I Dreamed a Dream 61.
- 19 20 20% 80% 80% 20% 80% 20% 80% 20%
62. 20 , , , , , , ,