Maitoa taidolla myös tulevaisuuddessa
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Transcript of Maitoa taidolla myös tulevaisuuddessa
Maitoa taidolla myös tulevaisuuddessa
Chiefadvisor Ole Kristensen, Knowledge Center for Agriclture, Denmark
AGRICULTURE IS GLOBALIZING, WHAT DOES THAT MEAN FOR OUR
DAIRY FARMERS.
Local community
National community
European community
World community
To be economic sustainable dairy farms have to be in line with their surrounding environment
The role of agriculture within the local community (neighbouring issues, job creation, community)
National conditions regarding• Economy• Politics• Environment • Animal welfare• Social conditions
• A growing population and a growing middleclass
• Increasing demand for food good market prospects
• Management of resources/resource efficiency
• Decreasing income support in exchange for providing public goods• Intervention system only to be used in crisis situations• No milk quota regulation after 2015• Production on market terms implying much greater volatility in prices
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
More developed regionsLeast developed countriesLess developed regions, excluding least developed countries
Bil
lio
ns
A growing population
A growing middle class
Positive market prospects
Volatile prices
Resource management and efficiency
Animal welfare
Future production conditions- production on market terms
Competitive milkproduction
Denmark
Competitive compared to:Other milkproducers
Other types of farmproducts
Other use of farmland
Finland New Zealand
Price of milk
Price of production factors
5...|
Factors that influence competitiveness(special for Finland)
Geografic and climatic conditions. (water, short growing season, distances)
Holding structure. (FI relative small holdings, < 40 cows, strong consolidation (-40% 2003-2010))
Ownership, workforce and level of skills. (family farms, less than 13% other workers, well educated farmers)
Production facility Level of investment. (374 to 558 euro cow/year from 2000 to 2009, transition from tied up to loose housing)
Economy in milkproduction (high cost, to labour consuming - efficiency)
Strenght of the value chain
6...|
Precipitation Tons milk pr. km2
45%
2%
6%
8%
18%
26%
7...|
Net investments in dairy farming1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
-750
-500
-250
-
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
1,500
2005-2009 2000-2004
Net
in
vest
men
t p
er c
ow
, E
uro
s
Source: FADNFI
The costs of producing milk (average 2007-2009)
Slovak
ia
Sloven
ia
Luxe
mbo
urg
Malt
a
Sweden
Ger
man
y
Hunga
ry
Franc
e
Nethe
rland
s
Eston
ia
Poland
Spain
Portu
gal
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Cash costs DepreciationInterest on own capital Own labour costsMilk output per kg milk Milk output + other output per kg milkMilk output + other output + subsidies
Eu
ros
per
100
kg
mil
k
Feed and other input
supply
Production
Processing
RetailConsumi
ng
Profit recirculated in the value chain
Profit
• Product innovation and development• Keep and maintain the cooperatives competitvenes• Through productionstrategies Cooperative can mitigate the price variation
2 July 201010...|
The value chain is dominated by strong Cooperatives
International networks
The European Dairy Farmers is a network of leading dairy farmers to exchange experience and knowledge. www.dairyfarmer.net
International Farm Comparison Network www.ifcndairy.org
European Cattle Innovation Partnershiphttp://www.scar-cwg-ahw.org/index.php/livestock-sectors/cattle/
2 July 201011...|
Klik på ikonet for at tilføje sekundært logo
Leadership and management tools
- managerial coaching(advisory board,
legal board, mentor)
- management roles, allocation and staffing
- tools ex SOP, LEAN,
- management implementation.
Key Performance Index (KPI)
13...|
The KPI ToolTranslated - generic
14...|
Rene Rasmussen Marts 13th 2014Reproduction results
Nu
mb
er of in
semin
ation
Average
Target
Fer
tili
ty r
ate
Achived
Ready for pregnancy test
Advisory BOARD support you the way you choose
Established by the farmer
Group of advisors e.g• Economy• Production• Political• Car dealer• Public person
Fixed agenda
National discussion groups - Focus
1. Leadership
2. Strategy
3. Economy
• SWOT, budget etc• Strategy plan• Economy reports
Tools
• Meeting on the farm• Dialog and discussion• Input to the host
Choose what you need
”Coffeeclub”
Club One to one
Mentor
National discussion group
Advisory board
Stable School
Local network groups
“Many of the really good leaders are not head of anyone.
People follow them nonetheless - consciously or unconsciously.”
Board
Education and social media
2 July 201018...|
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Video
Pictures
Files
Word
Network
Branding
Promote
Engagement
DiscussionCrowdsource
Co-produce
Cooperate
Disseminate
0
5
10
Facebook TWITTER
19...|
• Conditions inherent in nature• Low density long distances extra costs• Farm structure (FI) extra costs• Strongly dependent on economic support
• Strong value chain• Research, advisory service• Less strong competition
from other types of farming• Level of investment• Relatively high solvency• Age structure <35/>55 (FI=
0,25 EU average=0,11)
Will Finish milkproduction be competitive in the future?
Geografic conditions Huge distances, short growing season, not the best land allocation
high cost to produce Structure of the holdings
Average herd size number 19 in EU 70% of the cows in herdsize less than 100 cows
Owner and workforce Good age distribution between (<35 years/>55 years) About 87% is family labour Farmers with a good education. More education needed? Investment
Cost of production ? Valuechain A good advisory system (AKIS)