It전망 3x(김재윤) (1) (1)
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Transcript of It전망 3x(김재윤) (1) (1)
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( vs. PC) V32 5 000 M h 7 $50- : V32, 5,000 mpg, Mach 7, $50
- GM ?
DVD Player Sandal ?
3
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IT
2011
1 IT?1 IT?
- 3 IT 550( 20 )
2 ?
- 2.5 (2012.3)
- 30 (2012.7)
- 2,100
3 IT ?
,
- , 2.7
4
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IT : +
(%)
IT 30
(%)
80
0
107.4
93.92007.7
2012.7
[: $B]
565.3
30
40
0
80.1
9.8 4 5
62.2 54.1
29.118.5
52.742.5 42.238.2
6 9
21.3 19.2
[ $ ]
[]
: US Census, Technology Review(2012.5)
0
0 20 40 60 80
9.8 0.45 4.5
6.91.3
[FT Global500 IT ( ) 30 ]
HP Dell
5
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12 : 2.9% (12) 3.0% (13)
: + : +
:
Gray Swan
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: ,
,
Shale Gas
vs, +
: ,
: :
, ,
8
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[] Shale Gas
: , ,
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2013 IT
Display : Display :
, , , ,
Big Number : , , Complexity
100 : 20
2013 15 Smart Device 2013 15 Smart Device
IT U IT User
, IT ,
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Big 4
Apple Google Amazon Facebook Apple, Google, Amazon, Facebook
Wintel vs. Google + Qualcomm
Sony, Panasonic, Sharp
, ,
1
M&A , , 11
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[] IT
NHK TV 60 3 : Made in Japan
CES 2013
Huawei , Huawei
OLED TV, UHD TV,
() , ()
12
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:
: +
Qualcomm : Qualcomm :
:
i Innovation
13
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Post Smartphone?
Glass Watch Glass, Watch
Smart + Something : Smart Car/Grid/City
Cloud computing, Context Awareness, Big data Analytics, Pervasive Computing, Sensor Network
?
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1.
+
/ UI/UX Si /, , UI/UX, Size
: Smartphone
IT IT :
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[] IT Spiral
UD // UD, , , //
Application
17
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2.
Dilemma
, vs. , vs.
- : , PC ,
- ( , )
,
- :
200 400- 200~400
18
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[]
,
:
- , , , Natural UI
Moores Law
Gods Law
Threshold of
* Th t l "F t F ti h d t
Frustration
* htt // billb t /L I M ht l
* : Thompson et. al., "Feature Fatigue : when product capabilities become to much of a good thing", Journal of Marketing Research, 2005. 12
* : http://www.billbuxton.com/LessIsMore.html
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3. Big Number
Cloud Security , Cloud, Security
- ()
- * (, , )
20
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= X (F = m X a) X (F m X a)
IT = ( ) X ( )= ( ) X ( )
38, TV 13
5
4, 3, 2( : )
1 3
2 2
22
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: Synchronize Cycle(Fast Mover)
- IT
: Strategic Integrator : Strategic Integrator
- OS, , ( : )( : , , )
- :
: Sufficient Volume
-
- IT
23
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IT
IT
- , ,
- 3 ,
Big Number
Att ti Ti E Skill S f t - Attention, Time, Energy, Skill, Safety
- : IC
- : 24
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=
[] 4 ?
(Order) ()(Order) ()
10,000
12,000
14,000
2 000
4,000
6,000
8,000
0
2,000
25