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investor presentation 2007 DB Chi - corpasia.net · 本公司 控制範圍以外 ......
Transcript of investor presentation 2007 DB Chi - corpasia.net · 本公司 控制範圍以外 ......
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2007125
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IV.
2
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11% 108
2005
2.0%
25.0%
73.0%
2005 20042003(1)
721 931 1,331
27 47 68
52 91 104
5 6 7
0.8% 0.7% 0.6%
23.3% 16.6% 11.5%
2.6% 8.5% 22.9% :(1) 2004
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2.4%
2
N/A
< 0.1%
0.1
9/1992 3/200312/20011/19977/1963
29149(259)7,363 ()
< 0.1% 0.7%25% 73%(%)
-0.3%1.5%10.9%(%) (2)
1 5108358 /
0.069.5338.5967.6 ()
(1) (2)
:(1) 2005/12/31 (2) 2006718,2005
2006109
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: ()/ AIG
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23.3%
16.6%
11.5%
2003 2004 2005
5,2476,372 7,163
2003 2004 2005
26,742
46,530
68,301
2003 2004 2005
NT$
NT$
%
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9M 2006
6%-34%
128%
4.2% 0% 0.4% 1.4%
=82
3.5
0.98.2
4.2
-0.4
9M
9M
34
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IV.
9
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2005
2005
NT$ 20042003
132.4 154.6 159.0
5.0 6.5 7.4
708.7 834.3 967.6
32.0 47.8 54.4
ROE (1) 24.9% 21.8% 18.7%
ROA 0.77% 0.85% 0.82%
63%
13%
14%
63%
: NT$1,590
,11%312,00035010
,
:
(1)
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2005
29.3
26.5
16.0
15.3
112.7
67.0
51.8
51.7
48.7
30.6
9.6%
11.2%
9.2%8.3%
14.4%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
:
NT$ %
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(2004)
ISO (20001998)
(2005)
A+ (2005)
(2006)
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9M 2006
(-6%)
: 2/3VUL1/3
3.0
8.0
27.2
12.616.0
2.5 2.548.7
11.7
34.8
9M 2005 9M 2006
=
0%
27%
241%
-74%
40%
=13.2%
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0.14 2.87 3.01
VUL () 18.15 18.15
9.01 9.01
9.30 0.05 9.35
6.67 6.67
2.54 2.54
18.45 5.41 24.87 48.73
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25
77.271.0
0102030405060708090
9M 2005 9M 2006
%
13
81.3
89.5
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
9M 2005 9M 2006
%
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2 5
2929
33 31
2 4
1110
8 7
66
8%9%
2005 9M 2006
968
834
709
598528
-100
100
300
500
700
900
1,100
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
6.4% 5.3% 5.5% 5.2% 5.1%
16.3%
919 1,004
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(1) CMBS,
(2)
(3) 20061
CMBS#1 CMBS#2 REIT#1 CMBS#3
01/10/05 06/22/05 12/26/05 Q1 2007
$28 $31 $113 $14
56%(1) 46%(1) 20% 40%(1)
1 1
2, 1
, 1
3
(@2.85%)(2)
(@2.69%)(2)
(@2.25%)(2)
5 7 5
$7.9 $7.3 $35 (3) N/A
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(, 30MBS6%), () ()
(currency swap)50% (proxy hedging)
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IV.
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20015010850
2005
NT$Bn 200520042003
52.20 54.34 207.10
64.64 74.68 289.44
(2.00) 0.02 (0.25)
69.26 86.27 338.53
3.44 10.51 19.81
6%
1%
39%
31%
20%
3%
: NT$2,210
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480
379329 320 312 307 291
341411
565
891959
1,012
1,225
1,522
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
(1)
:(1)
: 200512
Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
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80%
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QoQ
-5.9%
7.3%
6.5%
0.5%
8.7%
9.3%
7.1%
33 34
3%
: 11
33 34
30 30
20 20
9 95 4
3%3%
Q2 2006 Q3 2006
217 232
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8 53 61
5 45 50
7 13 20
0 2 2
13 12 25
() 28 80 108
0 1 1
28 81 109
93
6750
6450 47
30
4760
4558 59
123114 110 109 108 102
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1.22% 1.24%
0.79%
9M 2005 2005 9M2006
14.40%
21.21%20.09%
9M 2005 2005 9M 2006
2.99% 3.02%
2.48%
9M 2005 2005 9M 2006
(NIM)
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14%11% 12%
2005 1H 2006 9M 2006
()
: 110780
12.0
2.2
6.6
2005 1H 2006 9M 2006
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2.32%2.37%2.36%2.39%
2005 Q1 2006 Q2 2006 Q3 2006
(20)
NPL 2.5% 40%60%
43.67% 42.53% 45.32%47.04%
2005 Q1 2006 Q2 2006 Q3 2006
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2.66%2.45%2.75%2.76%
2005 Q1 2006 Q2 2006 Q3 2006
4.9%7.5%
10.0%13.7%
2005 Q1 2006 Q2 2006 Q3 2006
90
(2)
(1)
:(1) / (2)
276%
115%
190%
256%
2005 Q1 2006 Q2 2006 Q3 2006
9.711.5
13.510.3
2005 Q1 2006 Q2 2006 Q3 2006
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4.04%
2.99%2.33%
1.34%
2005 Q1 2006 Q2 2006 Q3 2006
25.0 24.9 25.3 25.8
2005 Q1 2006 Q2 2006 Q3 2006
0.00%
0.62%
0.00%
0.83%
2005 Q1 2006 Q2 2006 Q3 2006
(2)
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(, )
90
(1)
:(1) (2) (3) Q2 20060.18%0.62%
(2) (3)
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2002 2003 2004 2005 5,452 5,811 6,674 8,825 642 1,636 1,929 1,881 (3,728) (4,083) (4,740) (6,492) 2,453 3,779 4,244 4,402 (1,204) (2,550) (3,011) (4,729) (1,000) (1,000) (1,000) - 249 229 233 (326) () (85) (46) (27) 68 164 183 206 (258) (NIM) 3.93% 3.57% 3.67% 3.03% / 10.27% 21.97% 22.42% 17.57% / 61.35% 54.82% 55.10% 60.64% 10.23% 6.36% 4.26% 2.39% 10.76% 20.62% 24.39% 47.04% 1.43% 1.75% 1.87% 1.30% 23.29% 35.26% 38.86% 22.21%
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2002 2003 2004 2005
3,671 3,382 2,922 10,017
(1) 103,125 123,889 134,326 204,769
171,737 215,886 227,503 338,539
148,476 170,025 190,769 289,443
10,534 10,719 10,921 19,818
(1) 69.46% 72.87% 70.41% 70.75%
/ 6.13% 4.97% 4.80% 5.85%
7.69% 6.32% 6.39% 8.24%
11.28% 9.33% 9.69% 10.53%
(1)
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120.5125.9122.9140.7104.9EV (before COC)
84.892.788.3107.868.5EV (after COC)
35.7
35.9
84.6
32.9
56.1
84.6
33.234.636.4Cost of Capital (COC)
Inv Return 5.30%
Inv Return 4.80% RDR 12.9%RDR 10.9%
41.338.320.3VIF
84.684.684.6Net Worth
All else equal except:Inv Return 5.05% p.a.
RDR 11.9% p.a.
All else equal except:
Base Case ScenarioUnit: NT$BnValuation Date: 31 December 2005Solvency Basis:200% RBC
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84.892.788.3107.868.5EV after COC
107.2121.2113.3135.291.5AV (5 years NB)
35.733.234.632.936.4Cost of Capital(COC)
7.28.87.98.77.2V1NB after COC
After COC
131.9
35.9
84.6
167.8
56.1
84.6
157.4143.0118.5AV (20 years NB)
Inv Return 5.3%
Inv Return 4.8% RDR 12.90%RDR 10.90%
41.338.320.3VIF
84.684.684.6Net Worth
All else equal exceptInv Return 5.05% p.a.
RDR 11.90% p.a.
All else equal except
Base Case Scenario
Unit: NT$BnValuation Date: 31 Dec, 05Solvency Basis:200% RBC