ICIC 2014 Valuing IP in the Chemical Space – Science, Art and Special Considerations

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VALUING IP IN THE CHEMICAL SPACE SCIENCE, ART AND SPECIAL CONSIDERATIONS Bob Stembridge Customer Relations Manager Thomson Reuters 13 th October 2014 REUTERS/Nikola Solic

description

The valuation of intellectual property is becoming an increasingly important component of realising return on R&D; investment, overall business strategy and IP portfolio management. Like other forms of property, the value of intellectual property is determined by what the buyer is prepared to pay for its perceived value, and what the seller is willing to accept. This is ultimately decided by negotiation. However, there is much that can be done to substantiate the value in support of the position of either the seller or the buyer. From the seller’s viewpoint, being able to place the IP accurately on the competitive landscape is critical to establishing how important the IP is, and hence its perceived market value. On the buyer’s side, the accurate assessment of the market position held by the IP on the technology landscape against competition will help determine whether this is a blocking technology, or whether it can ultimately be worked around. This is a combination of science and art. There are also special considerations to be factored in for the chemical technology space. In all cases, IP information and analysis tools play a central role in providing support for valuation of IP. This presentation will use a case study approach to examine the issues and provide insight into how organizations can more accurately assess the importance of their IP, and hence the current and potential market value of that IP.

Transcript of ICIC 2014 Valuing IP in the Chemical Space – Science, Art and Special Considerations

Page 1: ICIC 2014 Valuing IP in the Chemical Space – Science, Art and Special Considerations

VALUING IP IN THE CHEMICAL SPACE – SCIENCE, ART AND SPECIAL CONSIDERATIONS

Bob Stembridge Customer Relations Manager Thomson Reuters 13th October 2014

REUTERS/Nikola Solic

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AGENDA

• The importance & value of IP

• How IP can be exploited

• Valuation of IP

– Quantitative

– Qualitative

• Information to support valuation

• Case study

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THE IMPORTANCE OF IP

• Protection for innovation

• Various types

– Copyright©

– Designs

– Trademarks®, Service marksSM

– Patents

• Utility, design, petit..

• Can be bought, sold,

licensed etc…

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VALUE OF INTANGIBLE ASSETS

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after Ocean Tomo

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THE VALUE OF PATENTS

Research &

Innovation

Application &

Prosecution

Maintenance &

Monitoring Licensing &

Commercialization

Protection &

Assertion

COMMERCIAL

RETURN ON

INVESTMENT

A patent is a

contract between

the state and an

individual whereby

the state grants

monopoly rights to

the individual to

exploit their

invention in return

for which the

individual provides

full disclosure of

the invention

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HOW CAN IP VALUE BE EXPLOITED?

• Direct

– Licensing agreements

– Sale

– Investment collateral

– Infringement damages

• Indirect

– Joint ventures

– Partnerships

– Spin offs

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WHAT MAKES VALUABLE IP?

• Gateway technology (standard essential patents)

• Disruptive technology – e.g. Digital photography

• High value and/or

global markets

• Solutions to important

unsolved problems

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QUANTITATIVE METHODS FOR VALUATION

1. Cost-based method

2. Market-based method

3. Income-based method

4. Option-based method

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COST-BASED VALUATION

• Based on direct relation between costs of

development of the IP and its economic value

• Two key methods:

– Reproduction cost method: estimates of costs to

reproduce IP through purchase or development

– Replacement cost method: estimate of costs to obtain

equivalent IP asset

• Costs considered:

– a) Direct expenditures, such as costs of materials, labour

and management

– b) Opportunity costs, relating to the lost profits due to

delays in market entrance or lost investment opportunities

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MARKET-BASED VALUATION

• Based on estimation of value of similar market

transactions (e.g. similar licence agreements)

• Comparison is performed in terms of utility,

technological specificity and property

• Comparable transactions may be recorded in

– company annual reports;

– specialised online databases;

– publications dedicated to licensing and royalties;

– court decisions concerning damages

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INCOME-BASED VALUATION

• Based on the existing or expected income flow of

the IP asset

• A discount factor is applied to the estimated income

to adjust it to present circumstances

– Discounted cash flow method

– Relief from royalty method

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OPTION-BASED VALUATION

• Based on options and opportunities related to the

investment

• Reliant on option pricing models (e.g. Black-

Scholes) for stock options to achieve a valuation of

a given IP asset

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QUALITATIVE EVALUATION

• Valuation through analysis of different indicators to

determine the importance of the IP asset

• Valuation indicators include:

– Technology level of the innovation

– Competition activity in the innovation space

– Market for the innovation

– Legal aspects (validity, remaining term)

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INFORMATION TO SUPPORT VALUATION

• Technology landscape

• Competitive landscape

• Market landscape

• Strength of IP

– Maintenance status

– Remaining protection time

– Likely validity

– Technological importance (impact)

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INFORMATION SOURCES, TOOLS AND SERVICES TO SUPPORT VALUATION

• Derwent World Patents Index® (DWPI)

• Thomson Innovation

• Trademark.com®

• SAEGIS

• File Histories

• Thomson IP ManagerSM

• IP Search Services

• IP Translation Services

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THOMSON INNOVATION: THE NEW STANDARD IN IP RESEARCH

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Patent Search: Access the most

relevant and comprehensive, global

IP data, including the Derwent World

Patents Index®, Asia-Pacific patents

and Scientific Literature.

Streamline your work with powerful

productivity and collaboration tools.

Patent Analysis: Turn large

volumes of data into actionable

intelligence with interactive

analysis and visualization tools.

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THE THEMESCAPE ANALYTICAL AND VISUALIZATION TOOL

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ThemeScape Map

• Integrates data from multiple patent records in a visual form

• Uncover relationships between patent documents and helps focus on

related technology in a crowded space

ThemeScape Map allows you to understand quickly

the patent landscape and market dynamics

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MAPPING IP TO THE INNOVATION SPACE

• ThemeScape Map can be used to support IP

valuation through:

– Technology landscape: understand how

patents fit in the overall technology

landscape and identify dependencies

– Competitive landscape: compare

IP position in the landscape relative to

competitors to identify threats/opportunities

• Thomson Innovation can be used to support IP

valuation through:

– Market landscape: determine potential market size

– Legal considerations: claims scope, citation impact

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CASE STUDY

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MAJOR PLAYERS

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TECHNOLOGY LANDSCAPE

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Key Novartis technology links to other areas

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COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

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Major competitors in the Valsartan space

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MARKET LANDSCAPE

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MARKET LANDSCAPE

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MARKET LANDSCAPE

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MARKET LANDSCAPE

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LEGAL CONSIDERATIONS

• Strength of IP

– Maintenance status

– Remaining protection time

– Likely validity

– Technological importance (impact)

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MAINTENANCE STATUS/REMAINING TERM

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1 2 3 3 3 4

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US Patent term normally 20 years from date of filing

1: Filing date 2: Grant date 3: Maintenance fees 4: Patent expiry 1 2 3 4

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LIKELY VALIDITY

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Original claims

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LIKELY VALIDITY

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Patent office examination finds novelty destroying

prior art

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LIKELY VALIDITY

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Modified claims of granted patent

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TECHNOLOGICAL IMPORTANCE (IMPACT)

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VALUE OF NOVARTIS VALSARTAN PATENTS

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SPECIAL CONSIDERATIONS

• Given high failure rate, early stage licensing is high

risk, therefore lower value

• To bolster value, product on offer should form part

of a strong portfolio

– Patents should cover broad chemistry space and sizeable

market

– Patents surrounding core technology are useful to ring

fence the core offering – novel molecules, synthesis,

compositions, method of treatment, administration routes

etc.

– Patents should be valid and in force in anticipated

markets of interest

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CONCLUSIONS

• The value of IP can be realised through licensing or

sale, as investment collateral, or as the basis of joint

ventures, partnerships or spin-offs

• IP valuation is a mixture of science and art

• Quantitative methods exist to help put a dollar value on

the IP

• True value lies in how important the IP is, how

dependent other technologies are, the market the IP

addresses, what the competition are doing in the IP

space and how strong the IP is

• Reliable information sources, tools and services are

critical in determining the status of IP and its value

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