신흥안보와 미래전략: 개념적·이론적 이해 · 30 제1부 자연 및...
Transcript of 신흥안보와 미래전략: 개념적·이론적 이해 · 30 제1부 자연 및...
27
I.
5
SARS MERS
WEF 900
2015
5
10
28
제1장
*
2016
50 1 pp.75 102
28 1 29
emerging security
non-traditional security
emergence self-organiza-
tion criticality structural hole
X extreme event non-human actor
securitization
WEF 2015
1980
1990
speech-act
30 1 31
network state
Bob Jessop meta-
governance Jessop 2003
the governance of governance
fitness resilience
II
III
IV
21
32 1 33
societal
security
securitization
2
20
2 Wæver et al. 1993; Wæver
1995; Balzacq ed. 2011; Hansen and Nissenbaum 2009
II.
1980 1990
Barry Buzan
1985
COPRI: Copenhagen Peace Research Institute
1
1 Buzan et al. 1998; Buzan and
Hensen 2009; McSweeney 2007; Huysmans 2007; Hough, Malik, Moran and Pil-
beam 2015
34 1 35
2012: 138
21
2000
2006
regional security complex
2006
2007
world risk society
Ulrich Beck
21 Beck 2005
2000
2010
1980 1990
2010
20
1990
1993
36 1 37
chaos
order
fractal
security
security
securi-
ty secure to make safe
safety protection
network security
2010; 2012; 2014
III.
1.
emergence
3
3 ‘emergence
emergence
‘
’
38 1 39
2.
critical point ?
1 3
criticality 3
3 transform
3
safety
security
individual safety collective
safety collective security
general
security
Per Pak SOC: self-organized criticality
4
4
2012
40 1 41
structural hole
Burt 1992
2
WEF
WEF 2015
1
2015 17.
3
World Economic Forum 2015.
WEF 2015
42 1 43
3.
X extreme event
X
avalanche
catastrophe
X
44 1 45
3 fat-tail Casti
et al. 2011
John Casti X
X
X
2012
ANT: actor-
network theory non-human actor
2010 ANT
agency
DDoS: Distributed De-
nial of Service
2015
Casti et al. 2011 51.
X X
46 1 47
Hansen and Porter 2015
hyper-securitization
hyper-discourse
2008
GMO
2014
X
IV.
1.
Carnoy and Castells 2001; Ansell and Weber 1999; Ansell 2000;
2006
48 1 49
2014: 298
303
G20
21
centrality
broker
Jessop 2003
anarchy
hierarchy heterarchy
Ansell 2000: 309
the governance of governance
Jessop 2003: 242 243
50 1 51
2.
Herbert Kitschelt
Kitschelt 1991 Charles Perrow
Oliver Williamson
Perrow 1984; Williamson 1985
degree of coupling
complexity of causal interactions Kitschelt 1991;
2007
speed
scope
4
1
52 1 53
2
3
4
5
Yoon 2015
1
1 2
3 4
2007 116 Yoon 2015 197
54 1 55
2
3
4
Yoon 2015 198
3
1
4
2
56 1 57
3.
?
variation
selection amplification cooperation
Modelski and Poznanski et al. 1996; 2007 6
X
fitness
6
path-dependent learning
2007
meta-governance
resilience
fitness
58 1 59
6
revolutionary learning
4.
5
2009
Folke 2006: 253 267
?
Kathleen Tierney Michel Bruneau
7 Tierney and
Bruneau 2007
5 Holling 1973; Renn 2005; Folke 2006; Tierney and
Bruneau 2007; 2009; 2014
60 1 61
robustness redundancy rapidity
resourcefulness 8
2014
Tierney and Bruneau 2007 15.
100
t0 t1
2014 21.
B
A
A
A
A
B
B
B
robustness A < B
rapidity A < B
redundancy A < B
resourcefulness A < B
62 1 63
adaptability
transformability
2014: 23
V.
1990
2010
64 1 65
66 1 67
21
68 1 69
2007.
_______ 2014.
_______ 2015. Issue Paper 2015 18.
2006.
pp. 13
62.
_______ 2007. 50 2 pp.
23 55.
_______ 2012. 21
pp. 118 146.
Pak, Per 2012. ?
2014. VI
2014.
pp. 293 329.
2006.
pp. 263 286,
2015.
2015 02.
2013.
29 4 pp. 9 45.
2009.
2014. 4 Future Horizon 21, pp. 20 23.
Casti, John 2012. X-event ? Future Horizon 13, pp. 10 13.
1993.
2006. 21
_______ 2010.
_______ 2012.
2010.
Ansell, Christopher K. 2000. The Networked Polity: Regional Development in Western
Europe. Governance. 13 3 pp. 303 333.
Ansell, Christopher K. and Steven Weber. 1999. Organizing International Politics:
Sovereignty and Open Systems. International Political Science Review. 20 1 pp.
73 93.
Balzacq, Thierry. ed. 2011. Securitization Theory: How Security Problems Emerge and
Dissolve. London and New York: Routledge.
Beck, Ulrich. 2005. World Risk Society and the Changing Foundations of Transnational
Politics. in Edgar Grande and Louis W. Pauly, eds. 2005. Complex Sovereignty:
Reconstituting Political Authority in the Twenty-first Century. Toronto: University
of Toronto Press.
Burt, Ronald S. 1992. Structural Holes: The Social Structure of Competition. Cambridge,
MA: Harvard University Press.
Buzan, Barry and Lene Hensen. 2009. The Evolution of International Security Studies.
Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Buzan, Barry, Ole Wæver, and Jaap de Wilde. 1998. Security: A New Framework for
Analysis. Boulder: Lynne Rienner.
Carnoy, Martin, and Manuel Castells. 2001. Globalization, the Knowledge Society, and
the Network State: Poulantzas at the Millennium. Global Networks. 1 1 pp. 1 18.
Casti, John, Leena Ilmola, Petri Rouvinen, and Larkku Wilenius. 2011. Extreme Events.
Helsinki: Taloustieto Oy.
Folke, Carl. 2006. Resilience: The Emergence of a Perspective for Social-ecological
Systems Analyses. Global Environmental Change. 16, pp. 253 267.
Hansen, Lene and Helen Nissenbaum. 2009. Digital Disaster, Cyber Security, and the
Copenhagen School. International Studies Quarterly. 53 4 pp. 1155 1175.
Hansen, Hans Krause, and Tony Porter. 2015. What do Big Data do in Transnational
Governance? Paper Presented at the International Studies Association Meetings,
New Orleans, February 21, 2015.
Holling, C. S. 1973. Resilience and Stability of Ecological Systems. Annual Review of
Ecology and Systematics. 4, pp. 1 23.
Hough, Peter, Shahin Malik, Andrew Moran and Bruce Pilbeam. 2015. International
Security Studies Theory and Practice. Routledge: Londond and New York.
Huysmans, Jef. 2007. Revisiting Copenhagen: Or, on the Creative Development of
a Security Studies Agendas in Europe. in Barry Buzan and Lene Hensen. eds.
International Security. v4. Los Angeles, SAGE, pp. 43 66.
Jessop, Bob. 2003. The Future of the Capitalist State. Cambridge, UK: Polity Press.
Kitschelt, Herbert. 1991. Industrial Governance Structures, Innovation Strategies and
the Case of Japan: Sectoral or Cross-National Comparative Analysis. International
Organization. 45 4 pp. 453 493.
McSweeney, Bill. 2007. Identity and Security: Buzan and the Copenhagen School. in
Barry Buzan and Lene Hensen. eds. International Security. v3. Los Angeles, SAGE,
pp. 121 134.
70 1
Modelski, George and Kazimierz Poznanski. et al. 1996. Special Issue: Evolutionary
Paradigms in the Social Sciences. International Studies Quarterly. 40 3
Perrow, Charles. 1984. Normal Catastrophes. New York: Basic Books.
Renn, Ortwin. 2005. Risk Governance: Towards an Integrative Approach. White Paper
No.1, Geneva: IRGC.
Tierney, Kathleen and Michel Bruneau. 2007. Conceptualizing and Measuring
Resilience: A Key to Disaster Loss Reduction. TR News 250, May-June, pp. 14 17
Wæver, Ole, Barry Buzan, Morten Kelstrup, and Pierre Lemaitre. 1993. Identity,
Migration and the New Security Agenda in Europe. London: Pinter.
Wæver, Ole. 1995. Securitization and Desecuritization. in Ronny Lipschutz. ed. On
Security. New York: Columbia University Press, pp. 46 86.
Williamson, Oliver. 1985. The Economic Institutions of Capitalism. New York: Free
Press.
World Economic Forum WEF 2015. Global Risks 2015, 10th Edition.
Yoon, J. 2015. Indonesia’s Crisis Response Strategies: The Indian Ocean Tsunami of
2004. Global Journal on Humanites Social Sciences. Online 02, pp. 195 202.
제2장