Connected(Home(or(Ho(Hum?( - Argus Insightsin(FirstHalf(of(2015(and(Con6nues(Rapid(DropOff (Really)...

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Connected Home or Ho Hum? June 2015 Consumer Demand for Connected Home Products Slows Drama6cally in First Half of 2015 and Con6nues Rapid Drop Off

Transcript of Connected(Home(or(Ho(Hum?( - Argus Insightsin(FirstHalf(of(2015(and(Con6nues(Rapid(DropOff (Really)...

Connected  Home  or  Ho  Hum?  

June  2015  

 Consumer  Demand  for  Connected  Home  Products  Slows  Drama6cally  in  First  Half  of  2015  and  Con6nues  Rapid  Drop  Off    

(Really) Brief Intro to Argus Insights

23-­‐Feb-­‐13   23-­‐Mar-­‐13   23-­‐Apr-­‐13   23-­‐May-­‐13   23-­‐Jun-­‐13   23-­‐Jul-­‐13   23-­‐Aug-­‐13   23-­‐Sep-­‐13   23-­‐Oct-­‐13   23-­‐Nov-­‐13  

Actual  Sales/Returns  for  Specific  Handset  Predicted  Sales  Using  Argus  Metrics  from  8  weeks  prior  

Eight  Weeks  Predic6ng  Adjusted  R2  =  87.8%  p-­‐value  =  4.547E-­‐22        

Hand

set  U

nit  

Sales/Re

turns  

COLLECT   REPORT  ANALYZE   TAKE  ACTION  

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A  Brief  History  of  Argus  Insights  

Nokia,  Blackberry,  Motorola  fail  to  compete  with  Apple  

Best  Buy  first    major  customer  

Consumer  Innova6on  Analy6cs  SaaS  pla^orm  launched  

Social  media  integra6on  

Profitable  and  Cash  Flow  posi6ve  

Pla^orm  segment  agnos6c.  Expansion  into  B2B,  B2B2C,  B2C  

Processing  over  1  million  social  men6ons  a  day  

2008   2009   2010   2011   2012   2013   2014  

Argus  Insights    founded  by  dr.  John  Feland  

SDN  /  NFV  B2B  Solu6on  

2015  

Launch  of  Tools  2.0  

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Key  Takeaways  

•  Though  the  connected  home  market  saw  growth  throughout  2014,  it  is  now  shrinking    –  Product  segments  suffer  from  long  reported  flaws  in  connec6vity  and  

installa6on,  and  lack  the  innova6on  to  intrigue  new  customers  •  Early  adopters  have  goeen  what  they  need,  and  now  products  

are  not  compelling  typical  consumers  to  create  a  connected  home  

•  IDC  reported  that  “Technology  firms  including  Google  Inc,  Intel  Corp,  Cisco  Systems,  Samsung  Electronics  and  telecoms  majors  including  Vodafone  and  Verizon  are  being  heavily  on  Internet  device-­‐connected  homes  for  future  revenue  and  profit”    –  Acquisi6ons  by  Google  and  Samsung  have  done  liele  to  spark  

consumer  interest  

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Consumer  Demand  for  Connected  Home  products  has  slowed  drama6cally  in  the  first  half  of  2015  

-­‐40%  

-­‐20%  

0%  

20%  

40%  

60%  

80%  

100%  

120%  

140%  

160%  

May   Jun   Jul   Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov   Dec   Jan   Feb   Mar   Apr   May  

2015  Year  Over  Y

ear  C

hange  in  Con

sumer  Dem

and  for  

Conn

ected  Ho

me  

Robust  demand  growth  during  2014  for  all  Connected  Home  segments  

Connected  Home  demand  is  now  15%  less  than  it  was  in  May  2014  

Change  in  Connected  Home  Demand:  May  2014-­‐May  2015  

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Connected  home  growth  was  led  by  Security  Cameras,  but  interest  in  cameras  and  all  other  segments  is  waning    

Post  holiday  demand  slumped  across  Home  Automa6on  segments,  rever6ng  market  growth  

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Though  users  are  repor6ng  improving  sa6sfac6on,  consumers  are  losing  interest  in  major  Security  Camera  brands  

Despite  a  rise  in  delight  the  most  popular  Security  Camera  

brands  are  seeing  consumer  interest  shrink  (O

ut o

f 100

%)

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Security  Camera  users  report  major  issues  with  speed,  performance  and  connec6vity.  The  persistence  of  these  problems  is  affec6ng  further  consumer  adop6on  

Color  corresponds  to  sen6ment  Red=  nega6ve,  Green=posi6ve,  Gray=neutral  

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Clout  of  Samsung  and  Google  names  did  liele  to  increase  consumer  awareness,  as  all  three  acquired  companies  saw  rela6vely  steady  volumes  of  consumer  feedback  post  acquisi6on  

As  shown  by  the  size  of  the  bubbles,  consumer  aeen6on  is  falling  off  with  

delight  

Acquired  by  Samsung  

Acquired  by  Google  

Acquired  by  Google  

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Social  conversa6on  about  the  Internet  of  Things  is  led  by  discussion  of  Wearables,  while  there  is  liele  talk  or  excitement  surrounding  developments  in  Home  Automa6on  

Home  Automa6on  is  rarely  men6oned  within  IoT  Social  Men6ons