OVERVIEW OF CLIMATE SCIENCE. What is the difference between climate and weather?
Climate Science Research
13
Climate Science Research in Support of the Wind Power Industry • Wind resource availability • Seasonal prediction • Impacts of climate change Prepared for Visit to ISU by Florida Power and Light
-
Upload
scarlett-mcmillan -
Category
Documents
-
view
21 -
download
0
description
Climate Science Research. in Support of the Wind Power Industry. Prepared for Visit to ISU by Florida Power and Light. Wind resource availability Seasonal prediction Impacts of climate change Environmental impacts. In the Upper Midwest, Wind Resources are Influenced by:. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Transcript of Climate Science Research
Climate Science Research
in Support of the Wind Power Industry
• Wind resource availability
• Seasonal prediction
• Impacts of climate change
• Environmental impacts
Prepared for Visit to ISU by Florida Power and Light
In the Upper Midwest, Wind Resources are Influenced by:
• Seasonal pressure patterns• Diurnal temperature stratification• Buffalo Ridge• Low-level jet• El Niño/La Niña (?)• Pacific Decadal Oscillation (?)• North Atlantic Oscillation (?)• Climate change (??)
“Given that a 1% error in wind speed estimates for a 100 MW wind generation facility can lead to losses approaching $12,000,000 over the lifetime of that plant, a better understanding of the physical and dynamic processes across the range of scales that create a particular wind climate is needed.”Draft recommendations, DOE Workshop on Research Needs for Wind Resource Characterization, 14-16 Jan 2008, Broomfield, CO
Wind Speed (m/s) departures from monthly means from 70-m tall towers in MinnesotaKlink, K., 2007: J. Appl. Meteor. Clim. 46, 446
Seasonal and Interannual Variability of Wind Speeds
Wind Speed (m/s) departures from monthly means from 70-m tall towers in MinnesotaKlink, K., 2007: J. Appl. Meteor. Clim. 46, 446
Seasonal and Interannual Variability of Wind Speeds
Seasonal and Interannual Variability of Wind Speeds
QuickTime™ and aTIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
Seasonal and Interannual Variability of Wind Speeds
QuickTime™ and aTIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
Seasonal and Interannual Variability of Wind Speeds
QuickTime™ and aTIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
Seasonal Climate Prediction
Multi-RCM Ensemble Downscaling (MRED) of Multi-GCM Seasonal Forecasts*- Iowa State University- Experimental Climate Prediction Center (UC San Diego)- NOAA Climate Prediction Center- Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
* NOAA funding 2008-2011
Trends in Wind Speeds, 1973-2005*
* Pryor,Barthelmie, Takle, Anderson, 2008. EGU Annual Meeting, Vienna
Observations do not agree with reanalysis
North American Regional Climate Change Assessment
Program (NARCCAP)
An international, multi-agency program to produce multiple realizations of future scenario climates at regional scales by use of global climate models (GCMs) and regional climate models (RCMs)
NARCCAP Plan
A2 Emissions Scenario
GFDL CCSM HADAM3link to EU programs
CGCM3
1960-1990 current 2040-2070 futureProvide boundary conditions
MM5Iowa State/
PNNL
RegCM3UC Santa Cruz
ICTP
CRCMQuebec,Ouranos
HADRM3Hadley Centre
RSMScripps
WRFNCAR/PNNL
Reanalyzed climate , 1979-2000
Eugene S. [email protected]
515-294-9871
Professor of Atmospheric Science
Professor of Agricultural Meteorology
Professor of Aerospace Engineering (courtesy appointment)
Director, ISU Climate Science Initiative
Contact information:
