70011

download 70011

of 91

Transcript of 70011

8002 .

: :

51

: 72 / 1 / 8002

" " . : 72 / 1 / 8002 : -------- -------- ---------

61

) ( --------

. . . . . .

.

71

_____________________________________________________ _____

81

1 : 4 6 7 7 8 01 : 11 31 61 _____________________________________________________ _____ 72 33 93 34 65 75 : 85 85 95 06 06 16 46 56 66 : 76 96 47 77 48 : 58 78 09 _____________________________________________________ _____

91

19 89

02

21

22

. )59( )03( )56(

32

. ) One (Sample T- test )Independent (Sample T test . :

.

. )5%( . ) 5% ( .

42

The Relative Importance of the Financial Ratios Derived from Cash Flows Statement in Evaluating Liquidity and Earnings' Quality From the Viewpoint of Credit Analysts in Jordanian Commercial Banks and the Analysts of Paper Notes in Amman Stock Exchange

Prepared by Abed Alnaser Shehdy Alsayed Ahmad Supervised by Prof. Dr. Mohammed Matter

AbstractThis study aimed to present the role of financial ratios derived from Cash Flow Statement, and distinguishing between the accounting net profit and net cash flow; as well as identifying the opinions and points of view of both the credit supervisors in Jordanian commercial banks and the analysts of paper notes in Amman Stock Exchange about the relative importance of financial ratios derived from cash flow statement in evaluating firm's liquidity and earnings' quality, and the range of its impact on what financial decisions they take in their functional practices. In order to accomplish the study objectives, a questionnaire has been distributed t0 a sample of (95) individuals; (30) of them are credit analysts in Jordanian commercial banks and (65) of them are paper notes analysts in Amman stock

25

exchange. As well as, the mathematical averages and standard deviations have been used to identify the importance of the financial ratios derived from the cash flows statement, and the (One Sample T-test) to examine the first four hypotheses, and the (Independent Sample T-test) to examine the fifth and sixth hypotheses. The study reached a group of results, the most important are: Financial ratios derived from cash flows statement are considered important tools in evaluating the firm's liquidity from the view point of credit analysts and paper notes analysts. Financial ratios derived from cash flows are considered important tools in evaluating firm's earnings' quality from the viewpoint of credit analysts and paper notes analysts. There was a difference between the viewpoint of credit analysts and paper notes analysts about the relative importance of the percentages of cash flows statement in evaluating the liquidity on the artificial level, which is (5%) in this study. There was no difference between the viewpoints of credit analyst and papers notes analysts about the relative importance of the percentages of cash flows statement in evaluating the profits quality on the artificial level, which is (5%) in this study.

26

: : : : : :

) ( . .

1

. ) 6002 87( . . : " " ) 5002 25 ( " " ) 4002 73( . ) 5002 902 (. ) 3002 37 ( . : 1. . 2. . 3. ) ( . 4. ) (

2

. 5. . ) 3002 96(. . . . ) 6002 161-561( .

: ) ( Accrual Basis . Net Income Net Cash Flow Financial Position Cash Position . .

3

. : 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6.

: : 1. . 2. . 3. .

4

4. . 5. . 6. .

: . : 1. . 2. . 3. .

: : 1. . 2. .

5

3. .

: ) 4002 451( . . ) 3002 773 ( . ) 383 . ( Wild, et al., 2003, P ) 136 . ( International Federation of Accountants , 2006 , P ) 6002 77- 67 ( : = - ) + ( .

6

: : . . . . . .1. 2. 3.

4.5. 6.

:

7

: 1/1 . ) 6002 951 - 161 856 : ( Elliot & Elliot , 2002 , P ) 3 ( ))AICPA American Institution Certified Public Accountants 3691. ) 91 ( )) FASB Accounting Standards Board Financial 1791. ) 59 ( FASB 7891 )7( " " ) IASC ) International Accounting Standards Committee 2991 4991 . ) . ( Fund Capital Working . Equavilents Cash & Cash ) 6002 161( :

8

. . :

. . .

. . . . .

1/2 . ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( . . . .

9

)593-393 . ( Wild,et al.,2003,P : . . . . . . ) 6002 31( . . .

01

. : . . . ) -http://www.muflehakel.com/kaemat . (altadafokat-alnakdia

1/3 . )Wild , et al., 2003, P 483( . . . :

11

1. . 2. . 3. . 4. . . 5. ) 6002 667 ( . :

: . . . . ) 6002 261 ( . . )& Needlse 4002 ,,Powers

21

, 416 . (P : ) ( 1- : / . ) 6002 361 ( . . ) 98 - 57 ( Fried lob & Schaefer , 2003, P . 2-

: / . . ) 6002 361( .

3-

: / . . ) ) 1991 , .Carslaw & Mills 4- :

31

/ . ) 6002 561 (. 5- : - / . ) Gibson , 2001 , P (. 6-

663

: / . . . ) 6002 86 ( . 7- : / . . )1991 , . ( Carslaw & Mills

:

41

)651 . ( Schroeder , et al . , 2001, P . . . : 1- : / . : . . . .-

. )& Friedlob 19 - 9 . (Schleifer , 2003 , P 2- : / .

51

) 6002 461 ( . 3- : / . . ) 763 . ( Gibson , 2001 , P 4- : / . . ) 6002 261 ( : . . . . 1-2-

3-4-

5- : / . .

61

)Kieso, et al., 2005 , P 691( . 6- : / + . . )463 .( Gibson , 2001 , P 7- : / . . )Roehl Anderson & Bragg , 2005 , P 923 ( . 8-

: / . . 1:1 ) . ( Brown , 1999 , P 154&Stickney

71

9-

: + / . . ) 132 . ( Bergevin , 2002 , P 01- : / . ) 6002 57 ( . 11- : ) + ( . . ), Bergevin 032 . ( 2002 , P 21-

81

: / . . ) 5002 761 ( . 31- : / . . . ) 6002 561 ( .

1/4 ) 7 ( . : ) 3002 661( . ) (IASC ) 7 ( " " 2991 4991 " " 7791.

91

. ) 6002 077 - 667 ( :

.

)3( .

. . .

. .

02

. ) 4002 825 - 925 (: . ) ( . . : . . . . .

) 6002 67 ( : . . . :

12

. . . . . . )7 ( ) 6002 177 - 677 ( :

.

.

.

.

.

.

22

.

.

.

.

1/5 ) 5002 531( : * . * .

32

* ) 4131 : ( Kieso , Weygand & Warfield , 2001, P 1. . 2. . . 3. . : . . . ) 6002 077 ( . ) , Needles & Powers 626 - 916 : (2004 , P * . . .*

42

) ( . ) ( . ) ( . ) ( .* ) ( . ) ( . . . ) 7 ( . . . )193-583 .( Wild , et al., 2003 , P )7( ) 6002 977 ( : 21/13

52

) 6002 087 ( : 21/13

62

1/6 . . ,.al )Robinson , et ) 3002 611 ( : * . * . 525 4002 , . ( P

72

* . * . ) ( . ) ( FIFO . 941 ( Fridlob & Schefier, 2003, P 151 - ( . ), Stickney & Brown 426-326 : (1999, P * . * . * . . * . * .

82

* . * . * . ) Palepu , et al. ,2004 , P 52-51 (: . . . . )7 & P106-10, 2005Brigham :(,Ehrhardt . . . .

) ,kieso 791 : ( et al., 2005 , P

92

1. 2. 3.

: . . : 1. ) 8791 ( Ijiri " " Cash Flow Accounting and its Structure . .

03

2. )6891 , ( Day " " The Use of Annual Reports by UK Investment Analysts . )81( . . 3. ) 4991 , (Zeller and Stanko "Operating Cash Flow Ratios Measure:A Retail Firm Ability " to Pay . )43( ) 902 532 042 902 ( 8891 9891 0991 1991 . . 4. ) 6991( " : "

44

. . .

5. ) 7991 ,( Ward and Foster A Note on Selecting a Response Measure for Financial "" Distress . ) 6( )3 ( . )352( )92( )53( 8891 9891. . 6. ) 8991 , ( Black "?Which is More Value Relevant: Earnings or Cash Flow "Life Cycle Examination

54

) ( : . )16973( . . . . 7. ) 8991 , ( Jones and Widjaja " " The Decision Relevance of Cash Flow Information )6201( . )38( )67( . . . . 8. ) 9991( " : "

64

. )27( . 9. ) 0002 ( " " . )52( )21( . .

01. ) 1002 ( " : " . )82( )53( : .

74

. . . 11. ) 2002 ( " : " . )97( )85(. . .

84

21. ) 3002( " : " 6991 1002. )47( . : . 31. ) 4002 ( " " . )42( 3991 0002. )04( : . . 41. ) 4002 (

94

" : " . )215( )23( 4891- 9991. . 51. ) 5002 ( " " . )62( 2002 . . 61. ) 6002 ( " "

05

. )37( . 9891 1002 )81( )81( 2002 5002 )3( )43( . : . . : . . .

71. ) 7002 (

15

" " . )62( . : . 8991 2002 ) 37( 3002 ) 232 ( . : . .

: . . .

25

.

: : : : : : : : :

35

: 1. : * )51( )1( . * )56( )2( . 2. )03( ) 56( )59( . .

: ) ( : : . : .

: )3( . ) 4( .

45

) 5002 022 (. : )5( . )4( . )3( . )2( . )1( .

: )( )( ) (Chronbach's Alpha ) 17.0( .

: : 1. )7( . 2. . . 3. )59( )03( )56( .

55

4. )59( . )98( ) 49 %( . 5. . 6. .

: )1( ) ( )3( )4( ) ( . )1( :

)1(

1- L 2- L 3- L*

65

4- L 5- L 6- L 7- L L L L L L 8- 9- 01- 11- 21-

* : . )2( . 1- P 2- P 3- P 4- P 5- P 6- P 7- P * : *

: 75

. ) (SPSS : 1. . 2. . 3. ) ( One Sample T- test . 4. ) ( Independent Sample T test . T-test )50.0( . 5. ) (Chronbach's Alpha )( .

: : 1. . 2. . 3. .

85

: : : : :

95

.

: )54( )6.05%( )34( )3.84%( )1( )1.1%( . )73( )6.14%( )82( )5.13%( )22( )7.42%( )2( )2.2%( . 5 01 )45( )7.06%( 5 )13( )8.43%( 01 )4( )5.4%( )3( . )3( % 6.05 3.84 1.1 0.0 6.14 7.42 54 34 1 0 73 22

06

% 5.13 2.2 8.43 7.06 5.4 5.13 5.86

82 2 13 45 4 82 16

5 5 01 01

)88( )9.89%( . . ) 1.37%( . )16%( ) 5( )01( .

: )3( . : 0 - .99 1 33.2 43.2 76.3 86.3 - 5

16

)4( . )4(

11.4 93.4 09.3 20.3 78.2

86.4 45.4 12.4 05.4 41.4

1 2 3 4 5 6

57.2

11.4

34.3 86.4

7

26

47.3 15.2 16.2 93.3 97.3 73.3

45.4 08.2 05.4 41.4 11.4 52.4

8 9 01 11 21

)4( : : : . . . . .1. 2. 3. 4. 5.

.6.

: : . . .1. 2. 3.

.4.

.5.

36

.

6.

: )11( : 1. . 2. . 3. . 4. . 5. . 6. . 7. . 8. . 9. . 01. . 11. . : : )5( : . . . .1. 2. 3. 4.

.5.

46

: )5( . )5(

15.4 66.4 02.4 26.4 77.4 29.4 78.4 56.4

11.4 93.4 28.3 98.3 70.4 23.4 34.4 51.4

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

)5( : : :

56

. . . . . . .

1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7.

: : . . . . . . .1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7.

: : . . . . . . .1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7.

66

: : : " " ) (One Sample T-test )6(. )6( ) (One Sample T-test 100.0 )( 20.2 )( 37.81 72 43.0 12.4

)6( ) 100.0( )50.0( T-test ) 50.0( . : " " ) (One Sample T-test )7(. )7( ) (One Sample T-test )( )(

76

100.0

00.2

68.6

06

34.0

83.3

) 100.0( )50.0( T-test ) 50.0( . : " " ) (One Sample T-test )8(. )8( ) (One Sample T-test 100.0 )( 20.2 )( 28.51 72 83.0 51.4

) 100.0( )50.0( T-test ) 50.0( .

86

: " " ) (One Sample T-test )9(. )9( ) (One Sample T-test 100.0 )( 00.2 )( 87.04 06 23.0 56.4

) 100.0( )50.0( T-test ) 50.0( .

: " " )(Independent Sample T -test )01(. )01( ) (Independent Sample T-test )( )(

96

43.0 100.0 00.2 20.9 78 34.0

52.4 73.3

) 100.0( ) 50.0( T-test ) 50.0( . : " " )(Independent Sample T-test )11(. )11( ) (Independent Sample T-test )( )(

83.0 100.0 00.2 84.6 78 13.0

51.4 56.4

07

) 100.0( ) 50.0( -T test )50.0( .

: : : :

17

:

: :

.

.

. .

27

) 6991( .

.

. ) 9991( .

. )4991 , .( Zeller and Stanko ) 2002 ( .

: :

37

. ) 3002 ( .

. . ) 4002 ( .

.

) 5% ( . . . ) , Jones and Widjaja 8991 ( .

) 5% ( .

47

.

" " " " ) 86.4 ( " " ) 08.2 ( . " " ) 93.4 ( " " ) 15.2 ( .

" " ) 34.4 ( . " " ) 29.4 ( .

.

. ) 1.37%( . )16%(

57

)5( ) 01( .

: :

.

.

.

) ( . "

" " " .

: ) 4002(.

. : .

67

)9991(.

: . . 3. 2. . / 7002. ) 2002(.

: . . : .. )5002(. : ) 6002(. ) 4002(.

.

. . .

. . 13. 2. 902- 332. ) 6002(. ) ) 5002(. :

: . : .

4002(. . : .

. : .

) 5002(. . . 23. 1. 141-351. ) 4002(.

. : .

77

) 4002(.

: . . 11. 2. 381-402. )7002(.

. . 3. 1. 27-38 . ) 3002 (. )5002(. ) 6002(.

. : .

.: .

. . . . ) 3002(.

: . . : . . ) 0002(.

. . : . . ) 3002(. )5002(.

. : .

: . : .

87

) 3002(. : ) 6002(. : ) 1002(. :

. : .

. : .

. . 5. 1. 7-16. / / )6991(.

7002. : . . 63. 2. . 43-64.

:

Bergevin, P.M.(2002).Financial Statement Analysis: An :Black, E.L. (1998).Which is More Value Relevant

.Integrated Approach. New Jersey: Prentice Hall, Inc

Earning or Cash Flow? A Life Cycle Examination.University . of Arkansas. Fayetteville: Department of Accounting .AR 72701,May ./(Online).Available:http://www.expresstrainig.com.br

. ) 5002 ( .Brigham , E.F ., and Ehrhardt , M.C

Financial Management, 11th.Ed . New York: Thomson, south.western

Carslaw, C.A., and Mills, J.R.(1999). Developing Ratios

for Effective Cash Flow Statement Analysis , Journal of .36-07 Accountancy, November,pp

97

Da

y, J. S. F. (1986) . The Use of Annual Reports by UK Investment Analysts. Accounting and Business Research. V.16, No.64, autumn,pp 295-307.

Ell

iott, B., and Elliott, J. (2002). Financial Accounting & Reporting. UK: Pearson Education Limited.

Friedlob, G.T., and Schneider, L.L.F. (2003). Essentials of Gibson, C.H. (2001). Financial Reporting and

Financial Analysis. New Jersey: Wiley.

Analysis. New York: Thomson, south-western. .

International Accounting Standard Board.(2006, Jan). IAS

7 :CashFlowStatement(OnLine).Available:www.IASPLUS.com.

International Federation of Accountants.(2006).

Handbook of International Auditing, Assurance and EthicsPronouncement.

Ijiri, I. U. (1978). Cash Flow Accounting and its Structure .

Journal of Accounting, Auditing and Finance. May.pp 72-84.

Kieso,D.E.; Weygand, J.J.; Warfield, T.D. Accounting. New Jersey: Wiley. Kieso, D.E; Weygand, J.J; Warfield, T.D.

(2005).International

(2001).Intermediate Accounting, 10th Ed . New Jersey: Wiley.

Needles, B.E., and Powers, M. (2004). Financial

Accounting, 8th Ed. New York: Houghton Mifflin Company.

80

Palepu,K.G. ; Healy,P.M. ; Bernard,V.L . (2004) .

Business Analysis & Valuation: Using Financial Statements.New York: Thomson, south western.

Robinson,T.R.; Minter,P.; Grant,J.(2004). Financial

Statement Analysis: A global Perspective. USA: Pearson Education, Inc.

Roehl - Anderson, J. M, and Bragg, S. M. ( 2005 ). The Controllers Function: The Work of the Managerial Accountant. New Jersey: Wiley.

Schroeder,R.G.; Clark, M.W.; Cathay, J.M.(2001). Accounting Theory and Analysis, Text Cases and Readings. New Jersey: Wiley.

________SFAS,No.95, Statement of Cash Flow, FASB, S

1987.

tickney, C. P, and Brown, P. R.(1999). Financial Reporting and Statement Analysis: A Strategic Perspective's. USA : Harcourt Brace & Company.

W

ard, T. J, and Foster, B. P.(1997). A Note on Selecting a Response Measure for Financial Distress. Journal of Business Finance & Accounting .V.24, No.6.July.pp 869-879.

Widjaja, L., and Jones, S.(1998). The Decision Relevance

of Cash Flow Information: A Note. ABACUS. V .34, No.2.pp 204 -219.

81

Wild, J.J.; Subramanian, K.R.; Halsey, R .F. (2003).

Financial Statement Analysis , 8th Ed . New York: McGraw Hill Companies, Inc.

On Line. Available.www.muflehkel.com/kaematZeller, T.L., and Stank, B.B. (1994). Operating Cash Flow

altadafokat-alnakdia

Ratio Measure: A Retail Firms Ability to Pay. Journal of Applied Business Research.10 (4).pp 51-5.

82

38

)1(:

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 01 11 21 31 41 51 : . )2(: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 01 11 21 31 41

48

51 61 71 81 91 02 12 22 32 42 52 62 72 82 92 03 13 23 33 43 53 63 73 83 93 04 14 24 34 44 54 64 74 84 94 05 15 25 35

58

45 55 65 75 85 95 06 16 26 36 46 56 : .

)3(: " " .

68

. . .

:

) ( 1. : ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( 2. :) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( 3. :) ( 5 ) ( 5- 01 ) ( 01 ) ( 4. : ) (

: ) ( .

78

= / . .

4

= / . .

5

= / + . .

6

= / . .

7

= /

8

88

. = + / .

9

= / . .

1 0

= ) + (. .

1 1

=

1 2

/ .

: ) ( .

= / . . .

1

= / . . .

2

3

98

= / . .

= / . .

4

= / . .

5

= / . .

6

= / . .

7

09

91

)4(: 1 2 3

29