1 由 2009 諾貝爾獎經濟學得主談 起 Chi, Tze-wen Retired Assoc. Prof. Dec. 29, 2009.
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Transcript of 1 由 2009 諾貝爾獎經濟學得主談 起 Chi, Tze-wen Retired Assoc. Prof. Dec. 29, 2009.
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由 2009諾貝爾獎經濟學得主談起
Chi, Tze-wen
Retired Assoc. Prof.
Dec. 29, 2009
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Outline
Common-Pool Resources (Common Go
ods)
Elinor Ostrom’s Work
Kuznets Environmental Curves
Basic Legal Documents
A Broad Brush Model
Pause for Thought
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Goods/services Classification
Excludable Non-excludable
Rivalrous Private goods
food, clothing, toys, furniture, cars
Common goods(Common-pool resources)
fish, hunting game, water
Non-rivalrous
Club goods
satellite television
Public goods
national defense, free-to-air television, air
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Elinor Ostrom’s Work
Hardin’s Tragedy of the Commons Prisoners’ Dilemma Ostrom’s Institutional Design
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Ostrom’s Institutional Design Clearly defined boundaries Congruence between appropriation and provision rules and lo
cal conditions Collective-choice arrangements allowing for the participation o
f most of the appropriators in the decision making process Effective monitoring by monitors who are part of or accountabl
e to the appropriators Graduated sanctions for appropriators who do not respect com
munity rules Conflict-resolution mechanisms which are cheap and easy of a
ccess Minimal recognition of rights to organize (e.g., by the governm
ent) In case of larger CPRs: Organisation in the form of multiple lay
ers of nested enterprises, with small, local CPRs at their bases
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Nobel Laureates Whose Works Relating to Environment
1) Economics 1991, R. Coase,: Property right & transaction cost.
2) Chemistry 1995, P. Crutzen, M. Molina, S. Rowland: Ozone destruction by NOx & Cl.
3) Peace 2007, Al. Gore: Global climate changes.
4) Economics 2009, E. Ostrom, O. Williamson: Governance of commons, transaction cost, and firm’s boundaries.
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Chinese Nobel Laureates
1) Physics 1957, Chen-ning Yang, Tsung-dao Lee
2) Physics 1976, C .C. Ting.
3) Chemistry 1986, Y. T. Lee
4) Physics 1997, Steven Chu
5) Physics 1998, Chee Tsui
6) Literature 2000, Xingjian Kao.
7) Chemistry 2008, Roger Y Tsien
8) Physics 2009, Charles Kao
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Kuznets Environmental CurvesPopu without safe water Urban popu without
adequate sanitation
Urban PM concentration
Urban SO2 concentration
Municipal wastes per capita
CO2 emissions per capita
World Bank Report(1992)
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中華民國憲法增修條文 / 民國 94年
第 十 條 第二項 :
經濟及科學技術發展,應與環境及生態保護兼籌並顧。
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環境基本法
第 三 條 基於國家長期利益,經濟、科技及社會發展均應兼顧環境保護。但經濟、科技及社會發展對環境有嚴重不良影響或有危害之虞者 (p),應環境保護優先 (q) 。
Proposition: If p, then q
。
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Declaration of Independence
It is an argument (Syllogism): If p, then q P Therefore q
http://www.ushistory.org/declaration/document/index.htm
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A Broad Brush Model (Consider a Cylindrical Cow, by John
Harte)
Economic Output
Y
Economic Activity
X
Ecosystem Services
Z
Human
Welfare
W
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Assumptions for functional relationship:
W (human welfare) = aYZ
Y (economic output) = bXZ
Z (environmental condition) = Zo – cX
where a,b,c are parameters, Zo stands
for pristine or initial environmental
condition.
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Problem 1: Maximize economic output (GNP)
Max. Y = bXZ S.t. Z = Zo – cX
Or Max. Y = bX(Zo – cX).
Setup N.C. for solution (with subscript 1): X1* = Zo/2c
Z1* = Zo/2
Y1* = b(Zo)2/4c
W1* = ab(Zo)3/8c
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Problem 2: Maximize human welfare
Max. W = aYZ
S.t. Y = bXZ, Z = Zo – cX
Setup N.C. for optimal solution (with subscript 2): X2* = Zo/3c
Z2* = 2Zo/3
Y2* = 2b(Zo)2/9c
W2* = 4ab(Zo)3/27c
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Comparison
Human welfare W1*/ W2* = 27/32
Economic output Y1*/ Y2* = 9/8
Economic activity X1*/ X2* = 3/2
Environmental condition Z1*/ Z2* = ¾
Refer to www.gapminder.org
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Discussion:
Shadow price of Zo: d(W2*)/d(Zo) (Zo)2
Functional forms
Parameter values
More linkages
Dynamics
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Thank for your attention ~
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For your brains ( and mine)
Economic development is a N.C. for human welfare enhancement.
Is subsidy for scooters a N.C. or S.C. for air quality improvement?
What are N.C. (S.C.) for ambient O3 reduction? Is halting over-drafting of ground water a N.C.
or S.C. for land subsidence prevention? For Prevention, control N.C., whereas
implement S.C. for Promotion