2 0 1 6 1

2016

TAIWAN RESEARCH INSTITUTE

2 0 1 6 2

-

-

IT

ITGDP

.

.

.

.

.

5.0

2 0 1 6 3

-

2 0 1 6 4

200

2011 2016

20111020%

201631049%

10

(ExxonMobil)

(Apple)

(PetroChina)

10

(Apple) (Alphabet)

(Microsoft)

VS (ICBC) (ExxonMobil) (Petrobras-Petrleo Brasil) (Berkshire Hathaway)

(BHP Billiton) (Johnson & Johnson)

(China Construction Bank) (General Electric)

(General Electric) (Wells Fargo)

(Microsoft) (China Mobile)

(Royal Dutch Shell) (Nestle)

(Apple) (Alphabet)

(Microsoft)

(Apple) (Alphabet)

(Microsoft)

2 0 1 6

KPMGs 2015 Global Innovation Survey, https://softwarestrategiesblog.com/2015/11/14/5-insights-predictions-on-disruptive-tech-from-kpmgs-2015-global-innovation-survey/

ASPAC() EMEA()

Technologies ASPAC EMEA

CloudSaaS/PaaS/IaaS 11% 14% 15% 13% 11% 6% 11%

APP Mobileplatforms & apps 9% 9% 3% 10% 8% 11% 9%

Internet of Things/M2M

9% 8% 9% 3% 9% 9% 9%

Data & analytics 9% 14% 3% 10% 7% 8% 7%

IT Biotech/digital health/healthcare IT

8% 15% 3% 3% 7% 7% 7%

3D 3D Printing 7% 2% 4% 3% 6% 12% 10%

Cyber security 6% 5% 8% 10% 7% 7% 7%

Robotics 6% 5% 6% 3% 6% 8% 8%

Artificial intelligence 5% 4% 15% 10% 8% 2% 5%

Digital currency platforms (e.g., bitcoin)

4% 2% 6% 7% 6% 5% 4%

5

~

5

2 0 1 6 6

2 0 1 6

Analog Modem

9.6-56 kbps

ISDN

128K-2Mbps ADSL

7-24 Mbps

FTTH

> 1Gbps

2G (GSM )

FTTx(G.fast/VDSL)

100Mbps-500Mbps

1G

2.5G (GSM+GPRS )

115kbps GSM 10 3G (CDMA2000WCDMA

TD-SCDMA )

Kbps

4G (LTE)

4G 3G 10

2013-2014 81.9% 41.6%970.6

37.3%870

2013-2014 Ookla1020

84.8% 20146725.4298.241%

16.1 Mbps

40.7 Mbps

7

2 0 1 6 8

5.0 -

2 0 1 6

-4.0

9

2 0 1 6

5.0

5.0(Society 5.0)2016IoTAI

10

2 0 1 6 11

-

2 0 1 6

(%) (%)

~ITIT

12

0

20

40

60

80

IT IT

0

5

10

15

20

25

IT IT

% %

2 0 1 6 13

59% 41%

Asia-Pacific Europe and America

74%

26% 41%

59%

IT IT

Taiwan

IT()()

:WITSA: Digital Planet

2 0 1 6

IT

14

IT

IT

ITGDPITGDPITGDP

2003~2013

GDP() 53,608 38,948 36,509 34,551 20,798 17,659 7,130 1,014

2003~2013

IT /GDP(%) 3.21% 1.57% 1.87% 2.00% 1.01% 0.90% 0.87% 0.65%

2 0 1 6 15

2 0 1 6

NICI

NICI38 105-05-17

105-05-20

(101~105)

NICI

106

16

NICI

2 0 1 6

IT

17

2 0 1 6

(NICI)

-

-

:

18

2 0 1 6

19

/ (HetNet) (2025)

()()()4.0

Europe 2020

2020

2025

????

2 0 1 6

()

20

2009 2010 2011

-0.07 0.066 0.034

-0.06 0.112 0.047

0.113 0.084 0.011

GDP

1000

2 0 1 6 21

ITGDP

IT

2 0 1 6 22

IT GDP

1

2

GDP

Yong Jin Kim et al. (2008) 1GDP0.067GDP1GDP0.274

Theo and Thomas(2008)19912004

3 (2007)

2 0 1 6

t-1t-2

GDP

:i(64)t() GDPCpSw_pr Sw_pu Lb_Sw Lb_Cp Edu_puFSwEdu_puFCpu

titititi SwLbbpuSwbprSwbcCpba ,4,3,2,10ti, ____GDP

tititi uFEdubCpLbb ,,6,5 __

()

23

2 0 1 6

GDP

(Cp_C) L1. 0.019 (0.013)

L2. 0.027 (0.018)

(Sw_pr)

--. -0.066 (0.036)**

L1. 0.051 (0.042)

L2. 0.171 (0.055)***

(Sw_pu)

--. 0.079 (0.039)**

L1. -0.043 (0.041)

L2. 0.042 (0.06)

(Lb_Sw)

L1. 0.076 (0.039)**

(Lb_Cp)

--. -0.003 (0.019)

L1. -0.080 (0.05)

L2. 0.073 (0.012)***

(Edu_F)

--. 3.756 (1.158)***

_cons -66.435 (23.744)***

24

1,,2,1, _05.0_06.0_02.0_01.04.66GDP LiLiLiLi prSwprSwcCpcCp

2,2,,2,, _04.0_04.0_07.0_17.0_07.0 LiLiLiLiLi puSwpuSwpuSwprSwSwLb

LiLiLiLi FEduCpLbCpLbCpLb ,2,1,, _75.3_07.0_08.0_003.0

2 0 1 6

:

()

25

2 0 1 6 26

2 0 1 6

1.

2.

3.

2015.12.29

27

2 0 1 6

(Smart Taiwan)ICT

ICT44.0

(Smart Taiwan)

28

2 0 1 6

1041229

2./

1.

4.

3.

6.

5.

7.

29

2 0 1 6

()

(OPEN DATA)

30

2 0 1 6 31