고령화리뷰 The Trends of International Population Aging

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  • The Trends of International

    Population Aging

    ()

    () () ()

    I. () () ()

    .

    .

  • .

    / 1

    , / 18

    .

    1. / 34

    - , ,

    / 34

    / 43

    2. / 50

    / 50

    3. / 58

    / 58

    4. / 68

    / 68

    / 79

    5. / 87

    / 87

    .

    1. / 96

    . / 96

    . / 98

    2. / 100

    . / 100

  • 3. / 103

    . / 103

    . / 107

    . / 110

    4. / 114

    . / 114

    . / 118

    5. / 121

    . (Job Quality) / 121

    . / 124

    . () / 128

  • .

    1.

    .

    .

    , ,

    .

    .

    .

    , , , , , ,

    , , .

  • 2

    1997 1)

    , 2008 2)

    .

    2012 12 (,

    ) , 2013 5 (, )

    .

    2013 7 (, )

    .

    -

    ,

    .

    ,

    , .

    , , .

    ,

    , .

    .

    1) 1997 ,

    .

    1 6 2 .

    2)

    2009 5

    .

  • 3

    2.

    .

    ,

    .

    .

    ,

    .

    (Euthanasia) Euthanatos ,

    ,

    .3)

    ,

    .4)

    - .

    5),

    (Living Will) (Advanced Medical Directives)6) .

    3) (2010).

    4) (2009) .

    5) (Voluntary Euthanasia),

    (Involuntary Euthanasia),

    (Non-voluntary Euthanasia)

    .

    6)

    . ,

    .

  • 4

    (Death with Dignity)

    ,

    .

    .7)

    :

    ,

    (, ),

    , , ,

    .

    1)

    .

    7) 2009 7

    ,

    .

  • 5

    ,

    .8)

    - , , .

    ,

    , .

    ,

    .

    - 100 ,9) 1

    795 12 , 60

    5 .10)

    ,

    .11)

    - 1 1 , 1

    ( 870 ) ( 1,760 )

    .

    ,

    .

    , ,

    8) (2009).

    9) 2013 100

    , .

    10) (2014). , 1 3 2 ,

    .

    11) (2014).

  • 6

    .

    - (The Slippery Slope)

    ,

    .

    , ,

    .

    2)

    .

    , , , 1 1

    , , , ,

    +

    + 2 2 + 2

    + 2 + 2 ( )

    : (2013).

    2013

    .12)

  • 7

    .

    ,

    .

    -

    ,

    .

    .

    -

    ,

    .

    3.

    ,

    .

    ,

    , .

    .

    ,

    , .13)

    12) (2014. 7. 7).

    13) (2013) .

  • 8

    1973 30

    ,

    .

    2001 4 14) , 2002 4

    .

    .

    40

    ,

    .15)

    .

    .

    ,

    , ,

    .16)

    14)

    (Review procedures of termination of life on request and assisted suicide and amendment to

    the Penal Code and the Burial and Cremation Act).

    15) (2013).

    16) (2009).

  • 9

    1)

    ,

    ,

    .

    ,

    .

    ,

    17)

    ,

    ,

    .

    ( )

    .

    1980 (Right-to-die-movement)

    , 1990 .

    - 1990

    1997

    (Death with Dignity Act) .

    - , (2009), (2009)

    2013 .

    17) (

    ), ( , ),

    .

  • 10

    2)

    .

    .

    1976 (The Natural Death Act)

    Living Will .

    1980 Living Will

    (Durable power of attorney for health care, health care proxy)

    .18)

    1990 , 1995 (Patien-Self Determination

    Act)

    .

    (Living Will)

    (Advanced medical directives),

    .

    ,

    .

    - 1976 (The Natural Death Act)

    ,

    , , , , ,

    18) (2009).

  • 11

    .

    , , , .

    -

    , .

    , ,

    .

    ,

    ,

    .

    .

    ,

    .

    .

    3)

    .

    ,

    , .

    - , .

    ,

    .

  • 12

    1)

    (

    )

    - ()(Termination of Life on Request and Assited Suicide(Review Procedures) Act) (2002)

    - (Patientenverfugungsgesetz)

    (2009)

    6

    ,

    18

    12

    (, 12~16

    )

    /

    15

    48 2

    (

    )

    (

    )

    : 1) '(Death with Dignity Act)' .

    : (2009); (2010).

  • 13

    .

    ,

    .

    19)

    ()20)(2002)

    .

    - 1990 1.9%( 2,447)

    , 0.3%( 400) , 1995

    1990 27%, 40% .

    - 2005

    .

    - 2001 0.7%

    2005 0.4% .

    (The Slippery Slope)

    .21)

    2001 2005

    (%)

    (%)

    3,500 2.6 2,325 1.7

    300 0.2 100 0.1

    950 0.7 550 0.4

    29,000 21 33,700 25

    28,000 20 21,300 16

    : (2010).

    2001 2005

    19) 1990, 1995, 2001 , 2005

    .

    20) Termination of Life on Request and Assited Suicide(Review Procedures) Act.

    21) Dignity in dying(2011).

  • 14

    4.

    . ,

    .

    .22)

    , .

    ,

    .

    .

    ,

    .

    .

    ,

    .

    , ,

    .

    22) (2013).

  • 15

    ,

    .

    .

    ,

    .

    .23)

    2003

    .

    - ,

    .

    .

    - , ,

    , .

    ,

    .

    638 2 1 ,

    .

    -

    .

    23) (2014) .

  • 16

    ,

    .

    ,

    .

    .

    638 2

    .

    .

    .

    .

  • 17

    (2009), .

    (2009), .

    (2013. 7. 31), , .

    (2014), ,

    3.

    (2009), .

    (2010), () ,

    27 4.

    (2010), , 10 3, .

    (2014. 9, 4), 10.

    (2013), , 21 2.

    (2014. 7. 7).

    Dignity in dying (2011), A matter of facts, http://www.dignityindying.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/A-matter-of-facts.pdf)

  • 18

    ,

    .

    .

    ,

    1.

    .

    .

    .

    OECD , 1)

    70~80% .

    40%2) ,

    , 30~40% .

    , 25~30%

    30~40% .

    1) .

    ,

    .

    2) 2007 2028 40 40%

    .

  • 19

    . ,

    65% .

    ,

    .

    .

    ,

    ,

    3)

    1

    .

    ,

    .

    2.

    2026 20%

    , 2060 .

    65 1990 5.1% 2014

    12.7%(638 6), 2030 24.3%, 2060 40.1% .

    ,

    .

    3) OECD , 50~150% .

  • 20

    (2013) 60

    38.6%, 35.5% .

    (60 )

    : (2013).

    , ,

    .

    - 3% , 20~30 1~2%

    .

    - ,

    .

    , 2013 60

    65% .

    60 269 416

    64.7%, 208 63.7%

    .

    1 4) 84.4%,

    83.2% .

    4) .

  • 21

    (: , , , %)

    60 1)(A) (, B)

    1 1

    2.49-

    3.25-

    68.65 49.66

    2,692 (64.7) 1,081 (84.4) 4,162 1,281

    2,534 (63.0) 1,018 (82.2) 4,025 1,238

    2,079 (63.7) 835 (83.2) 3,262 1,004

    1,600 (64.5) 643 (84.2) 2,481 763

    60 (2013)

    : 1) 2 60 .

    2) ( ) 60 .

    : (2014) .

    65 ( ) 44.9%

    , 37.2% ,

    (23.7%), (13.9%) .

    (, )

    , 10%

    .

    ,

    .

    , 55.1%, 27.1%

    .

    ()

    2)

    3)

    , ,

    1) 72.9 100.0 52.5 7.8 11.3 4.6 17.4 5.3 0.6 0.4

    65

    44.9 100.0 37.2 12.6 4.9 5.1 23.7 13.9 0.2 2.5

    (, 2013)

    (: %)

    : 1) 19 . 2) , , . 3) , . : (2014).

  • 22

    50

    .

    , 30

    35% .

    50 20.44%

    , 50 65.78%

    .

    (: %)

    : (2014).

    .

    2007~2012 (32.1%) OECD

    ( ) GDP 9.3%

    OECD ( 21.9%) .5)

    6) GDP

    (2009 ) (1.4%) 1.7% , OECD

    5) http://www.oecd.org/korea/OECD-SocietyAtaGlance2014-Highlights-Korea.pdf.

    6) 40

    , 1988 26 .

  • 23

    ,

    185.1%, 71.4%, 29.1% . ,

    1.85

    .

    ,

    46.6% .

    , ,

    .

    6% ( ).

    ,

    .7)

    , GDP OECD

    8) .

    2007~2012

    (%)

    GDP

    : http://www.oecd.org/korea/OECD-SocietyAtaGlance2014-

    Highlights-Korea.pdf.

    : GDP , 2009 .

    : (2013).

    3.

    7) (2014).

    8) (2013).

  • 24

    .

    , ,

    .

    ,

    .9)

    , ( )

    ,10) 70% .11)

    .

    , (/)

    .

    -

    .12)

    (, )

    ,

    .

    9) (2000), (2002), (2003), (2005), (2005),

    (2009), (2010), (2011), OECD(2011), OECD(2013), Scholz et al.(2009)

    .

    10) (,

    ?) ,

    .

    11)

    . , , , ,

    .

    12) (2010) .

  • 25

    .

    13) (1), 1

    (2) (3).

    (4) (5).

    1 OECD 50~150%

    2 ( 1)) - 1

    3

    - /

    4 (, , ) - /

    5

    : 1) OECD .

    .

    (2013 )

    , 42.2% , 8.2% .

    ( ).

    13)

    .

    ,

    .

  • 26

    (: %)

    13.3 (10.7) 43.2 (8.4) 19.1

    56.6 (45.6) 42.2 (8.2) 53.8

    30.1 (24.3) 14.6 (2.8) 27.1

    100.0 (80.6) 100.0 (19.4) 100.0

    : 1) (+ ), OECD

    50% , 50~150% , 150% .

    2) (+) ,

    5%14) .

    3) ( ) .

    : (2013 ) ( ).

    892 ,

    185.1%, 71.4%,

    29.1% .

    892

    ( ).

    185.1% ,

    1.85 .

    71.4% (

    70%) .

    , 96.1%, 71.4%, 54.3%

    .

    (A)

    (B)

    1)

    B/A100 892/A100

    482 463 96.1 185.1

    1,250 892* 71.4 71.4

    3,064 1,664 54.3 29.1

    (: , %)

    : 1) 892 (*) (A)

    .

    14) (http://basicpension.mw.go.kr/Nfront_info/basic_pension_2_2.jsp).

  • 27

    ,

    ,

    .

    ,

    .

    ,

    .

    1)

    2)

    35.6 12.1 98.8 68.3100.0 30.9 2.4 44.3 30.3

    (166) (547) (126) (13) (242)

    65.8 40.1 89.3 55.6100.0 80.5 9.8 24.4 13.8

    (195) (1,411) (733) (139) (344)

    72.1 58.4 81.5 30.7

    100.0 94.1 19.0 19.7 3.5

    (131) (3,768) (2,176) (717) (744)

    (: %, )

    : 1) = / 2) = / ( ).

    3) ( ) . 4) .

    () ()

    ,

    ( ).

    -61.2 -82.9 -90.7 -29.7 -14.8

    167.1 197.0 415.8 115.9 -32.6

    (: %)

    : 1)

    . , ( - )/

    100 .

    2) .

  • 28

    .

    - ,

    .

    15),

    16) .

    .

    - 4 ,

    .

    .

    .

    85.1%

    .

    71.4% 46.6%17)

    .

    ,

    .

    ,

    15)

    .

    16) .

    .

    17) (2013 ) 71.4%

    46.6% .

  • 29

    .

    - 40.2%, 22.3%,

    18.1% 144.9%,

    49.1%, 11.0% .

    (A)

    (B)1)

    (A-B)

    2)

    3)

    185.1 26.1 40.2 (144.9) 33.8 -85.1

    71.4 58.6 22.3 ( 49.1) 19.1 28.6

    29.1 71.0 18.1 ( 11.0) 10.9 70.9

    (: %)

    : 1) .

    2) . (2008) 65

    .

    3) , (, ).

    , ,

    .

    , (, 75 ) .

    - (

    ) 29.4% .18)

    - 65~74 1,673 , 75~84 44%

    940 , 85 58% 699 .19)

    .

    ,

    .

    18) (2008).

    19) (2013 ) .

  • 30

    (, ) .

    ,

    , ,

    , ,

    .

    4.

    ,

    .

    85.1%

    .

    , (, 75 )

    .

    ,

    , .

    .

    , .

    ,

    .

    , (, )

    .

    , ,

    , .

    40 40% ,

  • 31

    25~30%

    , .

    , .

    .

    - ,

    ,

    (, ).

    -

    (, IRA 20)).

    - 21)

    .

    .

    -

    .22)

    - 12%

    .

    - ()

    , .

    -

    .23)

    20) (2014).

    21) 30 10% (50% ) .

    22) (36 ) .

    23) 3 ,

    ( 2014).

  • 32

    (2010), , 2010-2,

    .

    (2014), , , .

    (2009), ,

    2009-4, .

    (2011), .

    (2013), 3 .

    (2014), .

    (2013), , 26 1,

    pp. 79~113.

    (2005), , 15, pp. 5-33.

    (2002), , 40(3), pp. 83-97.

    (2014), , , .

    (2000), , 45, pp. 32-42.

    (2013), , , LG

    Business Insight, LG.

    (2014), ,

    , .

    (2005), ,

    , 16 3 46, , pp. 89-121.

    Lisa F. Berknam(2008),

    , 2008-03, .

    (2013), 2013 .

    _______________(2014), 2014 .

  • 33

    http://www.oecd.org/korea/OECD-SocietyAtaGlance2014-Highlights-Korea.pdf.

    OECD(2011), Pensions at a Glance 2011.

    _____(2013), Pensions at a Glance 2013: OECD and G20 Indicators, OECD Publishing.

    Scholz, John Karl and Ananth Seshadri(2009), What Replacement Rates Should Households

    Use?, Working Paper WP 2009-214, Michigan Retirement Research Center

    University of Michigan.

  • .

    2014 , ,

    ,

    .

    1.

    - , ,

    .

    2000

    2002 2010

    1 2 .

    2014 3

    .

    .

  • 35

    .

    2006

    1.30 .

    .

    .

    (: )

    1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2012

    1.54 1.42 1.36 1.26 1.39 1.41

    1.45 1.25 1.38 1.34 1.39 1.38

    2.87 2.05 1.56 1.55 1.63 -

    1.57 1.63 1.47 1.08 1.23 1.30

    OECD 1.91 1.72 1.67 1.66 1.75 1.71

    : UN .

    : OECD(2014); UN(2014).

    , , ,

    .

    .

    1990 , 1),

    1) (1995~1999): (),

    (2000~2004):

    ).

  • 36

    ,

    .

    1990 1.54 2005 1.26 2012

    1.41

    .

    - , 2013

    24 1899 .2)

    .3)

    .

    - , , 50%

    2.0% .4)

    .

    .

    .

    .

    2) (http://www.mhlw.go.jp).

    3) (2014).

    4) OECD(2014).

  • 37

    ,

    ,

    .

    .

    .

    2014 2 24 3

    .

    - 100 1 20

    .

    , .5)

    .

    .

    2012 1.38

    .

    .

    - .

    5) (2012).

  • 38

    .

    , , ,

    .

    -

    ,

    .6)

    2002 2010 1 2

    .

    2007 , 2008

    .

    .

    2011 4 6 ,

    2010 1.3~1.5 ,

    2025~2030 .7)

    2000

    .

    1980 1 1

    .

    6) (2008).

    7) (2011).

  • 39

    - 1, 1.5(

    , ) ,

    .

    .

    2013 11 18 3

    .

    2014 3 9

    80 4,000, 200

    .8)

    .

    () 2,052 ,

    75%

    .9)

    - 58% .

    .

    .

    8) WSJ(2014. 11. 7).

    9) (2014. 11. 27).

  • 40

    ,

    ,

    .

    -

    .

    OECD

    1.7 1.41 1.38 1.30

    25~54 73.3 69.2 78.2 61.2

    15

    65.2 52.5 67.2 -

    26.4 34.5 37.8 15.0

    : 15 2011 .

    : OECD(2014).

    (2012 )

    (: %)

    , .

    .

    .

    ,

    .10)

    .

    10) (2014).

  • 41

    .11)

    .

    , .

    .

    ( )

    11) (2014).

  • 42

    < >

    (2014), , , 207,

    .

    (2011), , LG.

    (2014), , .

    (2014. 11. 27), , .

    (2008), , , .

    (2012), , .

    (2014), 1990.

    OECD(2014), Family Database.

    UN(2014), World Population Prospects: The 2012 Revision.

    WSJ(2014. 11. 7), China changed one-child policy doesnt give baby boost.

    (http://www.mhlw.go.jp).

  • 43

    10 10.3%

    , 14.8% . -

    (2014. 9. 12)

    ,

    .

    .

    ,

    .

    .

    .

    2013 614 2001(358 ) 1.7

    .

    65 2001

    1.8% 6.5% .

  • 44

    : = / * 100

    : (2014), .

    .

    .

    .

    10 ,

    65 .

    2013 17,590 2001

    3,759 4.7 .

    2013 2001 260,579 17%(215,354)

    .

  • 45

    () ()

    : (2014), .

    2013 (17,590) 737 .

    2005 3.2%

    8.6% .

    51.6%

    ,

    .

    9,082

    (13) 2,261, 1,675 .

    13 45%(23) 14 2

    62.5%(10) .

    - 2

    .

    .

    , .

  • 46

    .

    6 1,000

    65 184 42.9%

    .

    -

    .

    .

    10 65

    5 1

    .

    - 1 2

    .

    - 2

    .

    6 .

    -

    .

    - (CREDOS) 4,377

    1 54.6%

    .

    .

    28%(14 2 )

    16% .

    80 122 .

  • 47

    .

    (3%) .

    (, , )

    .

    -

    .

    - ( )

    .

    -

    .

    .

    .

    ,

    .

    - 80 ,

    .

    - 70 70

    5, 70 4, 71 3 .

    5

    .

    - 4~10

    1~5 ,

    .

  • 48

    .

    .

    -

    .

    .

    ( 3%)

    .

    .

    .

    ( )

  • 49

    < >

    (2013. 12. 8), ,

    .

    (2012),

    , 2012-0113-116.

    (2014. 9. 12), ,

    .

    (2014. 3. 24), ,

    .

    (2014), :

    , 2014 .

  • 50

    2.

    16.0% 2035 23.3% 343

    . - (2014. 9. 29), 2014

    (2011) (21%)

    (37.9%), (34.4%), (34.1%)

    1990

    .

    (12.8%)

    .

    OECD

    .

    .

    (2014) 65

    12.7%, 2026 12)

    .

    ,

    .

    12) 65 20% .

  • 51

    2006 OECD

    , 96 50 ,13)

    25 24 14) .

    .

    .

    ( ).

    ,

    .

    -

    .

    , 50.8%, 62.8%

    .

    13) 96

    50 (HelpAge International 2014).

    14) 25 24 5 D

    (Australian Centre for Financial Studies 2014).

  • 52

    (: %)

    : 60 .

    : (2011).

    .

    (60 ) .

    (37.9%), (34.1%),

    (34.4%)

    ( ).

    - ,

    .

    .

    1980

    (60

    ) 2010 21.0% ( ).

    (12.8%)

    , 1990 20 ( 7.2%p)

    (9.7%p).

  • 53

    (: %)

    : 60 1 .

    : (2011).

    65 2014 132 2035 343

    .

    2000 54.4 2035 343 6.4

    .15)

    2010 16% 2035 23.3%

    .

    .

    ()16)

    .

    15) (2012).

    16) NHK

    3 2 (NHK

    2012).

  • 54

    - -

    - - .

    96.7% 3.86 , 1

    34.9%17)

    .

    8.6% 3 1

    .

    , ,

    .

    2000 1,161 2012 4,023

    3.5 .

    65 50% 2010 674

    2013 878 .

    .

    .

    60

    ( 73.0%),

    33.2% .

    , ,

    , , 1

    17) (2011).

  • 55

    .

    .

    4 .

    , (1) .

    ,

    .

    ,

    .

    ,

    (2) .

    ,

    .

    (2013) ( 20.6%)

    (16.0%)

    .

    ,

    ,

    .

  • 56

    ,

    (3) .

    (2014) 62% ,

    (54.%) (38.8%) .

    .

    , , ,

    ,

    .

    , ,

    (4)

    .

    ( )

  • 57

    < >

    (2011), , .

    (2012), 2010~2035.

    ______(2013), 2013 ().

    ______(2014), 2014 .

    NHK (2012), , .

    Australian Centre for Financial Studies(2014), Melbourne Mercer Global Pension Index.

    HelpAge International(2014), Global AgeWatch Index 2014 Insight report.

    (2011), 2010 .

  • 58

    3.

    2014 7

    , (Mother's Pension)

    . - Deutsche Welle(2014. 5. 3)18)

    45

    65 63 ,

    1992 .

    , .

    .

    .

    ,

    , (1) , (2) , (3)

    (parametric reform) .

    ,

    .

    18) Deutsche Welle(2014. 5. 23), German parliament approves contested pensions package; DEUTSCHLAND.de(2014.

    7. 1); Financial Times (2014. 4. 21); Reuter (2014. 5. 19; Wall Street Journal(2014. 1. 29)

  • 59

    2014 2014 7

    65 63 ,

    .

    .

    .

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    ,19) ,20) 21)

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    , 2007 2012

    63 65 .22)

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    , 23)

    , .

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    .

    20) 2001 , 2004

    . ,

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    22) 45 65 . , 2012

    , 2023 66, 2029 67 .

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  • 60

    .24)

    , , 1980

    .25)

    45

    ,

    .26)

    -

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    .

    (CDU: Christian Democratic Union) (SPD: Social

    Democratic Party of Germany) 2013

    , 2014 7 .28)

    .

    24) (2013. 5. 5), , 2029 67 .

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    .

    26) ,

    ((2010. 10. 21),

    ). (: 60

    62, : 65 67) 2010 6 24

    ((2010. 6. 24), ).

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    (Pay-as-you-go System)

    , (Funded System) ,

    .

    28) (Merkel) (CDU) 2013

    , (CDU)(CSU) (SPD)

    (November 'grand coalition').

    .

  • 61

    - 65 63

    850 , 1992

    .

    ,

    .

    2014 45

    65 63 ,

    .

    - 2007

    65 67

    .

    , 2020 600

    ,29) .

    - Gerhard Schrder (Bundesvereinigung der Deutschen

    Arbeitgeberverbnde: BDA) 2030 (Payroll

    Tax)30) , 1,600

    , .31)

    29) Chicago Tribute(2014. 1. 16), German pension reform to cost 60 billion euros by 2020.

    30) .

    31) The Street Journal(2014. 1. 29), Germany Moves to Cut Retirement Age, Raise Pensions;

    BNP PARIBAS(2014. 3. 21), German pension reform reverses course.

  • 62

    OECD

    (Pensionable Age or Pension Eligibility Age)

    .

    OECD 65 67 ,

    69 .

    OECD

    : OECD(2012), OECD Pensions Outlook 2012.

    OECD 90 50 2

    62.5, 61.1,

    2050 65 .

    , 2050

    20.3 24.6

    , .

    .

  • 63

    OECD

    (1950~2050) (1960~2050)

    : Chomik & Whitehouse(2010).

    . : ,

    (SPD) Andrea Nahles

    2014 44 6

    60 .32)

    .

    ,

    .

    -

    32) THE LOCAL de(2014. 1. 17), Minister unveils 60 Euro billion pension reforms; ,

    Weise

    . 63 (1) 5% 61 2

    1 9,000 , (2) 15% 10 , (3) 25%

    17 .

  • 64

    , 2010

    24.2%.

    , 45 63

    ,

    .

    ,

    .

    45

    1,411 1,085 899 532

    49.2 46.6 39.8 30.4

    14.8 15.3 16.6 18.2

    (: , )

    : Krickl & Hoffmann (2013).

    ,

    .

    1980 2010 70, 78 8

    65 67 ,

    62.2 64.1 .

    ,

    .

    - 33) .

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  • 65

    , EU

    ,

    .34)

    .

    .

    .

    - ,35)

    .

    .

    ,

    , .

    - ,

    .36)

    34) The New York Times(2014. 6. 30), After Tightening Pensions, Germany Eases Rules for Some;

    ,

    ; (2011), (2012)

    / .

    35) ,

    .

    36) ,

    .

  • 66

    ,

    .

    , .

    - .

    ( )

  • 67

    < >

    Anika Rasner(2014), Early Retirement at 63: Fair Compensation or Pension Giveaway?, Politik

    im Fokus, DIW Roundup.

    Chicago Tribute(2014. 3. 25), German firms fret about lowering of pension age.

    Deutsche Welle(2014. 4. 24), German pension plans prompt EU reply.

    _____________(2014. 5. 23), German parliament approves contested pensions package.

    DEUTSCHLAND.de(2014. 7. 1), Andrea Nahles and the Pension Reform - The Grand

    Coalitions pension reform is closely associated with the name Andrea Nahles.

    Dieter Bruninger(2014), German pension policy ignores demographics, Economic and

    European policy issues, Deutsche Bank Research.

    Financial Times(2014. 4. 21), Germany Attacked Over Plan to Cut Retirement Age.

    Laurent Belsie(2014), Disability, Pension Reform, and Early Retirement in Germany.

    Reuters(2014. 5. 19), Germany finalises flagship pension reform.

    ______(2014. 5. 23), German parliament clears way for retirement at 63.

    The Economist(2014. 3. 8), In the wrong direction - The government is reversing some of its

    predecessors sensible pension reforms.

    The New York Times(2014. 6. 30), After Tightening Pensions, Germany Eases Rules for Some.

    Wall Street Journal(2014. 1. 29), Germany Moves to Cut Retirement Age, Raise Pensions.

  • 68

    4.

    9 11 , ,

    . - (2014. 9. 11)

    20 354 841

    9 12 .

    WHO 2012 81

    73

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    ,

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    15 OECD ,

    37) .

    15 37.6% OECD 25.4%

    .

    2013 , 2012 ,

    38) .

    37) 1 7 , 5

    2 .

    38) 1 1 .

  • 69

    - 2013 18.6% 2012 16.1% 2%p ,

    2008 54.1% 2013 59.5% .

    - OECD , 15 2012

    9.1 OECD (9.0) 1990~2011

    2.2% OECD (3.6%) .

    .

    ,

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    - 600 ,

    500 , 60 .39)

  • 70

    CDC(Centers for Disease Control and Prevention) 1965

    2 .

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    (43.16%), (18.85%), (8.60%),

    (5.42%), (3.78%) .

    .

    (WHO) 2014 5 41)

    2012 330 .

    5.9%, 7.6%, 4.0%.

    1/3 .

    42) 5.1%

    7.4%, 2.3% .43)

    24.6%

    , 20.4% .

    - 4%

    1/4 .

    39) WHO(2013).

    40) (2012).

    41) WHO(2014), Global status report on alcohol and health 2014.

    42) (DALYs: Disability Adjusted Life Years) .

    43)

    .

  • 71

    : WHO(2014).

    .

    (Alcohol-attributable Years of Life Lost Score)44) ,

    5 .

    - 194 32 5 .

    2011

    8.6%( 3.38%,

    5.26%) .

    2007 1 512 2011 1 5,633

    48.7% .

    1 7,057 2 4,336 42.68% .

    44) 5

    .

  • 72

    (: )

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    10,512 12,052 13,260 14,66215,633

    (48.70%)

    17,057 19,297 21,133 23,04724,336

    (42.68%)

    : ( ) 2007 .

    : (2012).

    , 20%

    , 33.78%

    .

    : (2012).

    .

    1)

    (WHO)

    .

  • 73

    2005 WHO (FCTC: Framework Convention on Tobacco

    Control) ()

    .

    2008 645)

    .

    1995

    .

    2014 9 , ,

    .

    2020 19 43.7%

    29.0% .46)

    - 2,500 4,500 2,000

    .

    ,

    .

    .

    - 2004 (500) 57.8%

    2006 45.9% , 26% .

    45) MPOWER(M: , P: , O:

    , W: , E: , , , R:

    ) 6

    .

    46) (2014. 9. 11).

  • 74

    1971

    , 1980

    .

    2000~2011 34 1.01

    ( 42 1.46 ).47)

    - 2009 39 1.01

    8.3% 1932 .

    1965 42% 2012 18%

    .

    2003 40% 2 ,

    2012 10, 2013 7 2014 1

    , .48)

    3~4

    .

    1980 15~19

    70 40% 1991 20% .49)

    2)

    WHO

    , , ,

    47) Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids, "Increasing the Federal Cigarette Tax Reduces Smoking"

    (http://www.tobaccofreekids.org/research/factsheets/pdf/0021.pdf).

    48) (2012).

    49) (2008).

  • 75

    .

    2010 (Global Strategy to Reduce

    Harmful Use of Alcohol) 10 50)

    .

    , , , , ,

    .51)

    18 21

    17,359(1975~1997) .

    , , TV

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    2006 2010

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    .53)

    50) 10 ,

    , , , , ,

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    51) (2006).

    52) (2010).

    53) (2011).

  • 76

    .

    ,

    .

    .

    .

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    - 1995 1997

    ,

    .

    , .

    ,

    OECD

    .

    - World Bank ,

    .

    -

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  • 77

    (: )

    10% 2%

    10% 2%

    -38 -19 -9 -4

    -4 -4 -1 -1

    -42 -23 -10 -5

    : World Bank(2000).

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    ,

    .

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    ,

    .54)

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    54) (2014).

  • 78

    < >

    (2010),

    - , , , -, 18

    2.

    (2012), .

    (2008), 2008 .

    (2014. 9. 11), (), .

    (2013), .

    (2011), 2020.

    (2006), .

    (2014), , .

    Centers for Disease Control and Prevention(2014), The Health Consequences of Smoking50

    Years of Progress: A Report of the Surgeon General.

    WHO(2014), Global status report on alcohol and health 2014.

    _____(2013), WHO report on the global tobacco epidemic, 2013-Enforcing bans on tobacco

    advertising, promotion and sponsorship.

    World Bank(2000), Price and Other Measures to Reduce Demand is Key to Tobacco Control,

    Tobacco Control in Developing Countries

    (http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTETC/Resources/375990-1089904539172/4

    74683-1089904575523/TobaccoFacts1-6.pdf).

    Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids(http://www.tobaccofreekids.org).

  • 79

    OECD Health Data 2014 OECD

    , OECD .

    OECD

    .

    ,

    .

    .

    .

    .

    OECD OECD

    .

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    OECD ,

  • 80

    .

    OECD Heatlh Data 2014 , 2012 MRI 100

    23.5 OECD (13.9) 9.6 , CT 100

    37.1 OECD (23.7) 13.4 .

    2012 OECD MRI 2012 OECD CT

    : OECD Health Data 2014.

    OECD CT MRI ,

    OECD .

    (: / )

    2002 2012 2002~2012

    MRI 7.9 23.5 15.6

    OECD 7.7 13.9 6.1

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    OECD 17.7 23.7 6.0

    : OECD OECD .

    : OECD Health Data 2014.

    OECD MRI CT

  • 81

    2012 1,000 10.3 OECD 4.8

    2 .

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    2002 4.8 2012 10.3 2 .

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    : OECD Health Data 2014.

    .

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    , 2012 1 55) 16.1

    OECD 7.4 2 .

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  • 82

    .

    2006 2010 CT MRI 2006

    1.1, 1.5 2.2 1.6

    .

    - CT 20% , MRI 10% .

    CT

    2006 2,411,327 1,629 1,480

    2010 5,247,488 1,742 3,012

    (10 / 06) 2.2 1.1 2.0

    21.5 1.7 19.4

    MRI

    2006 440,169 657 670

    2010 726,204 980 741

    (10 / 06) 1.6 1.5 1.1

    13.3 10.5 2.6

    : (2013).

    CT MRI ()

    50% .

    -

    .

  • 83

    CT MRI

    (%) (%)

    201 10.8 132 11.3

    410 22.1 339 28.9

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    1,854 100.0 1,173 100.0

    : 2012 .

    : (2013), 2013 .

    CT MRI

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    2009 CT 65.5% 10,000

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    53.5% 500 .56)

    - CT 10

    100 .

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    5 CT 11.7%, 11.0%

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    - 5 9.1% .

    56) (2012).

  • 84

    .

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    58)

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    58) (2011. 5. 24).

    59) (2012).

  • 85

    -

    ,

    .

    ( )

  • 86

    < >

    (2013), .

    (2011. 5. 24), .

    (2013), 2013 .

    (2011), 2011 - -, .

    ______(2013), , ,

    .

    (2012), : , ,

    55 10.

    OECD(2014), Health Data.

  • 87

    5.

    ,

    Thomas Piketty 21 (Capital in the

    Twenty-First Century) . - The Guardian(2014.

    5. 5)60)

    ,

    ,

    .

    .

    .

    (Kuznets) U (Inverted U

    hypothesis) ,

    .61)

    (Trickle Down Effect)62) .

    60) The Guardian(2014. 5. 5), The Piketty phenomenon: big picture economics; The New York Times(2014.

    4. 24), The Piketty Panic .

    61) Kuznets(1955).

    62) (; Trickle Down Effect)

    , GDP

    .

  • 88

    ,

    (Piketty)

    .

    U 1950

    , 1970 .63)

    - 1910~1920 (National Income) 40~45%

    10% 1950 35% , 1980

    2000 45% .

    (Income Inequality) (1910~2010) - 10%

    : Thomas Piketty(http://piketty.pse.ens.fr/en/capital21c2).

    .

    63) 1920 1950

    .

    (Capital) .

  • 89

    1% U

    ,

    .

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    (: %)

    : The World Top Incomes Database(WTID); ((2013), .

  • 90

    . 64)

    (Capital) ,

    .

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    .

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    (Rate of Return on Capital: ) /(Capital

    Income Ratio: ) .65)

    , (Capital Stock) 6

    64) (Income) (Wealth) . (Income)

    , (Capital) (Labour) , (Wealth, Capital)

    .

    65) , , , ,

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    (Rate of Return on Capital: ) .

  • 91

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    - ,

    .

    () .

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    () (Economy's Growth Rate: )

    (Net-of-depreciation Saving Rate: ) .

    , 12% 2%

    6 .

    -

    .

    () , ()

    (Capital Share: ) .

    (1970~2010)

    : Thomas Piketty(http://piketty.pse.ens.fr/en/capital21c2).

  • 92

    1970 (Private Capital) 2~3.5

    2010 4~7 ,

    ( ).

    ,66) () ()

    ,

    .

    4~5% , 1~1.5%

    ,

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    : Thomas Piketty(http://piketty.pse.ens.fr/en/capital21c2).

    - ,

    , /()

    66) (2) (1) . or

    (Capital Share: ) (Net-of-depreciation Saving Rate:

    ) .

  • 93

    ( ).

    , ,

    (Patrimonial Capitalism) .

    (Global Tax on Capital) .

    /( ) : 1870~2100

    : Piketty (21 1.5%, 10% ), 21

    / 700% .

    : Thomas Piketty(http://piketty.pse.ens.fr/en/capital21c2).

    .

    , .

    ,

    , , .

  • 94

    , 1985~2010 67)

    OECD , 0.03 1

    (GDP) 0.35%p .68)

    - 0.35%p , 10%

    10% 7 9.5 .

    ,

    .

    ,

    .

    - , , ,

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    ( )

    67) 0 , 1 .

    68) Cingano, F.(2014), Trends in income inequality and its impact on economic growth, OECD Social,

    Employment and Migration Working Papers, No. 163, OECD Publishing.

  • 95

    < >

    (2013), , Working Paper 2013-06,

    (2013), , 19 2,

    (2014), Thomas Piketty, Capital in the Twenty-Fist Century, Cambridge, Mass.:

    Harvard University Press.

    (2014), , Working Paper 2014-05, .

    , (2014), 21 , : .

    Brooks, D.(2014. 4. 24), The Piketty Phenomenon, Opinion Pages, The New York Times.

    Cingano, F.(2014), Trends in Income Inequality and its Impact on Economic Growth, OECD

    Social Employment and Migration Working Papers, No. 163, OECD Publishing.

    Krugman, P.(2014. 4. 24), The Piketty Panic, Opinion Pages. The New York Times.

    Piketty, Thomas(2014), Capital in the Twenty-First Century, The Belknap Press of Harvard

    University Press.

    The Guardian (2014. 5. 5), The Piketty phenomenon: big picture economics.

  • .

    2014 , ,

    .

    1.

    .

    : 2013 1000 8.6 ( 2014. 8. 26)

    2013 2013 8.6 (1970

    ) , 1.187 (1.297) 0.11

    .1)

    2013 8.6 2012(9.6) 1.0 ,

    .

    - (48 4 6 ) 9.9% 43 6 5 2005

    .

    2005 1.076 2012 1.297

    , 2013 1.187 .

    - 1983(2.06) 2)

    1) = 1 , = 1

    2) 2.1.

  • 97

    1.3

    .

    : (2014), 2013 .

    1970 OECD ,

    OECD .

    OECD 1970 2.76 2012 1.71 1.06

    4.53 1.30 3.23 .

  • 98

    OECD

    : OECD(2014), Family Database.

    .

    : 2014 12.7% ( 2014. 9. 29)

    2014 65 12.7% 8 1 .

    2008 10% 2026

    20% .

    : (2011).

  • 99

    OECD 65 2010 15% 2050 27%

    .

    , , 65 2050 40%

    .

    80 2050 2010 OECD

    , 2010 2% 2050 14%

    .

    OECD 65 OECD 80

    : OECD(2013). : OECD(2013).

    3) .

    2013 16.7 OECD

    2050 65.7 OECD (46.4)

    .

    3) =(65 /15~64 )*100, 100 65

  • 100

    OECD

    : UN(2013), World Bank(2014).

    2.

    .

    : OECD (4))

    ( 2014. 7. 31).

    OECD ( )

    .

    .

    - , , , ,

    15% .

    - , , , , ,

    5% .

    4) ()

    .

  • 101

    - 2.94%

    OECD .

    OECD

    .

    (2013)

    : OECD(2014), Taxing wages 2014.

    2000

    .

    OECD 2000 36.74% 2013 35.85% 0.89%p

    .

    , , 5% OECD 34 23

    .

    , , 5% 9 .

    - OECD 30

    .

    - 2000 12.40% 2013 36.94% 6.82%p

    2000 16.36% 2013 21.41% 5.05%p .

  • 102

    -

    .

    : OECD(2014), Taxing wages 2014.

    , ,

    ( ) OECD

    .

    13 35.8%

    0% .

    - (25.9%) (22.0%), (21.8%) 20%

    .

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    (5.9%), (6.7%) .

    .

    - 19.0%

    0% .

  • 103

    - 28.7% ,

    , 0% .

    - 30% OECD 34

    10 , , , , , ,

    , , , .

    : (Payropp Taxes) .

    : OECD(2014), Taxing wages 2014.

    3.

    .

    : 5 2003

    ( 2014. 12. 14).

  • 104

    14 3 4,388 3.0% (

    1.6% ) , , .

    4.9%

    7 25 .

    (2013. 3/4 25,410, 2014. 3/4 25,927)

    (3.3%) , (1.2%)

    .

    13. 3/4 14. 2/4 14. 3/4 13. 3/4 14. 2/4 14. 3/4

    4,20 4,152 4,388 100.0 2.9 2.8 3.0

    4,121 4,026 4,245 96.8 2.8 2.9 3.0

    2,867 2,762 2,961 67.5 3.3 4.1 3.3

    856 872 866 19.7 0.7 0.7 1.2

    18 18 19 0.4 -12.7 -10.8 6.7

    380 374 398 9.1 4.6 -0.1 4.9

    139 126 142 3.2 4.8 -0.4 2.2

    : (2014. 11. 21).

    (: , %)

    5 5)( 3/4, ) 03

    .

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    (1) 03 4.73

    .

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  • 105

    5

    (: )

    : (2014. 11. 21).

    : ( 2014. 12. 18).

    7 25 433 (14 11 )

    ,

    .

    500

    (44.2%) , (30.2%), (15.8%) .

    (36.3%) (35.6%)

    (48.7%) .

  • 106

    : (2014. 12. 17).

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    .

    80 72.3% .

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    (55.0%)

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    51.1 38.7 50.5 38.8

    25.4 34.2 24.5 35.2

    14.3 17.1 16.0 15.6

    : (2014. 12. 17).

  • 107

    .

    13 12 2.0% 20,745 ,

    3.8% 3,653 .

    05 .

    - 12 13 0.6% 8,514,

    177.

    (: , %)

    2011 2012 2013

    19,885,911 20,329,060 20,744,780

    (3.4) (2.2) (2.0)

    10,976,501 11,464,198 11,935,759

    (5.4) (4.4) (4.1)

    8,675,430 8,568,396 8,514,434

    (0.01) (-1.2) (-0.6)

    171,134 207,890 177,569

    (89.7) (21.5) (-14.6)

    62,846 88,576 117,018

    (27.3) (40.9) (32.1)

    3,184,601 3,518,090 3,653,113

    (6.4) (10.5) (3.8)

    : ( ) .

    : (2014), 2013 .

    40 10 ,

    (6,692) (9,476) .

  • 108

    12 60 (88,585) 13

    32.1% 10 .

    20 30

    .

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    1.57% 2,119.

    2.25% 9,476

    4.64% 6,692 .

    (2013)

    : (2014), 2013 .

    1,250 1,710

    .

    265 885 40%

    12 9.7% 13 14.4% .

    12 (27.5%) 885 1,250

    50.6% 1,948 .

    -

    .

  • 109

    (2013)

    : ( ) .

    : (2014), 2013 .

    13 3.8% 3,653

    94.5% 3,451.

    2,840

    536, 75.

    , , .

    (: , %)

    20112,489,614

    (78.2)

    75,895

    (2.4)

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    459,700

    (14.4)

    137,422

    (4.3)

    18,490

    (0.6)

    20122,748,455

    (78.1)

    75,934

    (2.2)

    2,862

    (0.1)

    496,073

    (14.1)

    176,531

    (5.0)

    18,235

    (0.5)

    20132,840,660

    (77.8)

    75,041

    (2.1)

    2,993

    (0.1)

    536,161

    (14.7)

    180,233

    (4.9)

    18,025

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  • 110

    13 12 323,230 419,790,

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    301,010

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    313,620

    (407,380)

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    308,880

    (463,993)

    323,230

    (474,340)

    4.6%

    (2.2%)

    411,360 419,790 2.0%

    241,790 248,590 2.8%

    9,494,990 11,375,560 19.8%

    3,638,640 3,924,930 7.9%

    1,693,170 3,722,290 119.8%

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    13 16.9%

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  • 111

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  • 113

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  • 114

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    OECD ,

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    : OECD (OECD 2014. 6)

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  • 119

    OECD

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  • 120

    OECD ,

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    2012 54.5% OECD (72.3%)

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  • 121

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    : OECD (OECD 2014. 9)

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    .

    2013 3.1% OECD 7.9% .

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    : OECD(2014), Labour force statistics.

    OECD

    .

    2012 22.1% OECD 4

    , (55~64) 39.4% OECD

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  • 122

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    , 6) , , 3

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    2 3 5 2 2 4 2 2 4

    3 4 6 3 5 1 6 6 13

    7 6 14 1 1 2 17 17 18

    10 13 2 17 20 11 1 8 1

    15 10 28 25 24 20 13 23 2

    20 20 15 32 32 24 29 20 28

    21 21 10 11 9 23 20 13 24

    23 23 29 6 3 22 25 26 17

    30 30 25 26 27 18 27 29 19

    31 31 30 28 26 31 32 32 32

    : 10 10 .

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    2011 0.307 OECD 0.315

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    - 5.3 30.5

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    : , 2010 .

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    .

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  • 126

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    10% .

    - 10% 1.61% , 10% 0.78%

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    10% 0.9% , 10% 0.6%

    .

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    : OECD(2014).

  • 127

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    (2014. 8. 26), 2013 ().

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    ______(2014), Labour force statistics.

    ______(2014), Rising Inequality: Youth and poor fall further behind, Income Inequality

    Update.

    ______(2014), Taxing wages 2014.

    UN(2013), World Population Prospects, 2012 Revision.

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  • , , , ,

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    .

    . ()

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    2.

    (Tax Revenue)

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    (2013)

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  • 129

    3.

    (2013)

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    (15 1)

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  • 130

    1.

    (: )

    2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    80.0 80.3 80.6 80.9 81.1 81.4 81.5 81.6 81.8 82.0 82.1

    78.8 78.7 79.3 79.4 80.0 80.3 80.5 80.4 80.7 81.1 81.0

    78.2 78.2 79.0 79.1 79.5 79.9 79.8 80.1 80.3 80.7 80.5

    79.5 79.7 79.9 80.1 80.4 80.5 80.7 80.9 81.2 81.5 -

    77.4 77.4 77.4 77.9 78.4 77.8 77.8 78.8 79.0 78.9 78.9

    75.4 75.3 75.8 76.1 76.7 77.0 77.3 77.4 77.7 78.0 78.2

    77.1 77.4 77.8 78.3 78.4 78.4 78.8 79.0 79.3 79.9 80.1

    71.4 71.8 72.4 72.9 73.1 73.2 74.2 75.2 75.9 76.4 76.5

    78.3 78.5 79.0 79.1 79.5 79.6 79.9 80.1 80.2 80.6 80.7

    79.4 79.2 80.3 80.3 80.9 81.2 81.3 81.5 81.8 82.2 82.1

    78.5 78.6 79.2 79.4 79.8 80.1 80.2 80.3 80.5 80.8 81.0

    79.0 79.2 79.3 79.5 79.9 79.7 80.3 80.4 80.7 80.8 80.7

    72.5 72.6 73.0 73.0 73.5 73.6 74.2 74.4 74.7 75.0 75.2

    80.6 81.0 81.1 81.6 81.2 81.5 81.7 81.8 82.0 82.4 83.0

    77.7 78.2 78.6 79.0 79.3 79.7 80.2 80.3 80.8 80.8 81.0

    79.5 79.7 80.2 80.2 80.6 80.6 81.0 81.5 81.7 81.7 81.8

    80.3 80.1 80.9 80.9 81.4 81.5 81.6 81.7 82.1 82.3 82.3

    81.8 81.8 82.1 82.0 82.4 82.6 82.7 83.0 82.9 82.7 83.2

    76.9 77.3 77.9 78.5 79.1 79.4 79.9 80.4 80.6 81.0 81.3

    78.1 77.8 79.2 79.5 79.4 79.5 80.6 80.7 80.7 81.1 81.5

    73.6 73.8 73.9 74.0 74.1 74.2 74.1 74.0 74.1 74.2 74.4

    78.4 78.7 79.2 79.5 79.9 80.3 80.5 80.8 81.0 81.3 81.2

    79.0 79.3 79.5 79.8 80.1 80.2 80.4 80.8 81.0 81.2 81.5

    79.0 79.6 80.1 80.3 80.6 80.6 80.8 81.0 81.2 81.4 81.5

    74.6 74.7 74.9 75.1 75.3 75.4 75.7 75.8 76.4 76.9 76.9

    77.4 77.5 78.4 78.2 79.0 79.2 79.5 79.7 80.0 80.6 80.5

    73.8 73.8 74.2 74.2 74.4 74.5 75.0 75.3 75.6 76.1 76.2

    76.6 76.4 77.2 77.4 78.3 78.3 79.1 79.3 79.8 80.1 80.2

    79.9 79.7 80.4 80.3 81.1 81.2 81.5 81.9 82.4 82.6 82.5

    79.9 80.3 80.6 80.7 81.0 81.1 81.3 81.5 81.6 81.9 81.8

    80.6 80.6 81.2 81.4 81.7 82.0 82.2 82.3 82.6 82.8 82.8

    71.9 72.3 72.7 73.1 73.4 73.7 73.9 74.1 74.3 74.6 74.6

    78.3 78.4 79.0 79.2 79.5 79.7 79.8 80.4 80.6 81.0 81.0

    76.9 77.1 77.4 77.4 77.7 77.9 78.1 78.5 78.6 78.7 -

    OECD 77.7 77.8 78.3 78.5 78.8 79.0 79.3 79.6 79.8 80.1 80.2

    : OECD(2014), Health Data.

  • 131

    (: )

    2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    20.8 21.0 21.1 21.4 21.5 21.6 21.6 21.8 21.8 22.0 22.0

    19.8 19.7 20.2 20.3 20.7 21.0 21.1 21.2 21.4 21.7 21.3

    19.7 19.6 20.2 20.2 20.6 21.0 20.9 21.1 21.3 21.6 21.3

    20.5 20.6 20.8 20.9 21.1 21.1 21.2 21.4 21.6 21.7 -

    19.8 19.6 19.5 19.7 20.2 19.5 20.4 20.6 20.8 20.2 20.0

    17.3 17.2 17.6 17.7 18.3 18.5 18.8 18.8 19.0 19.2 19.2

    18.2 18.5 19.0 19.1 19.2 19.2 19.5 19.5 19.7 20.1 20.2

    17.4 17.5 17.8 18.1 18.4 18.5 18.9 19.3 19.5 20.1 20.3

    19.8 20.0 20.7 21.0 21.2 21.2 21.3 21.5 21.5 21.7 21.6

    21.4 21.1 22.1 22.0 22.7 23.0 23.0 23.2 23.4 23.8 23.4

    19.6 19.5 20.1 20.1 20.5 20.7 20.7 20.8 20.9 21.2 21.2

    19.5 19.4 19.8 20.0 20.2 20.1 20.5 20.8 20.9 21.2 21.0

    17.0 16.9 17.3 17.2 17.7 17.8 18.1 18.2 18.2 18.3 18.1

    20.8 20.2 21.1 21.0 20.7 21.0 20.6 21.0 21.5 21.5 21.5

    18.8 19.1 19.5 19.7 19.9 20.1 20.3 20.7 20.8 20.9 21.1

    19.7 19.9 20.3 20.2 20.4 20.2 20.7 21.0 21.2 21.1 21.0

    20.9 20.4 21.3 21.1 21.6 21.7 21.7 21.8 22.1 22.2 22.1

    23.0 23.0 23.3 23.2 23.4 23.6 23.6 24.0 23.8 23.7 23.8

    18.7 19.0 19.4 19.9 20.1 20.5 21.0 21.5 21.6 21.9 22.0

    20.0 18.9 20.5 20.4 20.3 20.3 21.0 21.4 21.6 21.6 21.4

    18.4 18.4 18.4 18.4 18.5 18.5 18.5 18.5 18.5 18.5 18.6

    19.3 19.5 19.9 20.1 20.3 20.7 20.7 21.0 21.0 21.2 21.0

    20.1 20.2 20.4 20.5 20.6 20.7 20.8 21.1 21.2 21.3 21.4

    19.8 20.3 20.7 20.9 20.8 20.8 21.0 21.1 21.2 21.4 21.0

    18.0 18.0 18.3 18.5 18.8 18.9 19.1 19.2 19.5 19.9 19.9

    19.4 19.2 20.0 19.7 20.5 20.4 20.6 20.8 21.0 21.6 21.3

    16.9 16.9 17.1 17.1 17.3 17.5 17.8 18.0 18.0 18.4 18.5

    19.0 18.7 19.4 19.3 20.0 20.2 20.5 20.5 21.0 21.1 21.1

    21.0 20.8 21.4 21.2 21.9 21.9 22.1 22.5 22.9 23.0 22.8

    20.1 20.4 20.7 20.7 20.9 20.8 20.9 21.2 21.2 21.3 21.1

    21.3 21.1 21.6 21.7 22.1 22.2 22.3 22.2 22.5 22.6 22.3

    15.3 15.4 15.5 15.6 15.7 15.7 15.8 15.9 16.0 16.1 16.1

    19.1 19.1 19.6 19.7 20.1 20.2 20.2 20.7 20.8 21.1 20.9

    19.1 19.2 19.5 19.5 19.7 19.9 20.0 20.3 20.3 20.4 -

    OECD 19.4 19.4 19.8 19.9 20.2 20.3 20.4 20.7 20.8 21.0 20.9

    : OECD(2014), Health Data.

    65 ()

  • 132

    (: )

    2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    17.4 17.6 17.8 18.1 18.3 18.5 18.6 18.7 18.9 19.1 19.1

    16.3 16.4 16.8 17.0 17.3 17.5 17.7 17.6 17.9 18.1 18.1

    15.8 15.9 16.5 16.6 17.0 17.3 17.3 17.5 17.6 18.0 17.7

    17.0 17.2 17.4 17.6 17.9 18.0 18.2 18.3 18.6 18.8 -

    15.9 15.9 15.9 16.2 16.7 16.2 17.0 17.1 17.1 17.1 17.1

    13.9 13.8 14.2 14.4 14.8 15.1 15.3 15.2 15.5 15.6 15.7

    15.4 15.6 15.9 16.1 16.2 16.5 16.6 16.8 17.0 17.3 17.5

    12.8 12.8 13.0 13.1 13.2 13.2 13.7 14.1 14.3 14.8 14.8

    15.8 16.2 16.5 16.8 16.9 17.0 17.5 17.3 17.5 17.7 17.8

    17.0 17.0 17.7 17.7 18.2 18.4 18.5 18.7 18.9 19.3 19.1

    16.2 16.2 16.7 16.9 17.2 17.4 17.5 17.6 17.8 18.2 18.2

    16.6 16.7 16.9 17.1 17.4 17.3 17.7 17.9 18.2 18.2 18.1

    13.2 13.0 13.4 13.3 13.6 13.7 13.9 14.0 14.1 14.3 14.3

    17.7 18.1 17.9 18.4 18.5 18.4 18.4 18.6 18.3 18.9 20.1

    15.4 15.8 16.1 16.5 16.6 17.0 16.8 17.4 17.7 17.9 18.0

    17.7 17.5 17.8 18.0 18.3 18.1 18.5 18.7 18.9 18.9 18.8

    16.9 16.7 17.3 17.3 17.7 17.9 17.9 18.1 18.3 18.5 18.5

    18.0 18.0 18.2 18.1 18.5 18.6 18.6 18.9 18.7 18.7 18.9

    14.9 15.1 15.5 15.8 16.1 16.3 16.6 17.0 17.2 17.4 17.5

    15.9 15.3 16.5 16.7 17.0 16.4 17.4 17.6 17.3 17.8 18.4

    16.5 16.5 16.5 16.6 16.6 16.6 16.6 16.6 16.6 16.7 16.7

    15.6 15.8 16.3 16.4 16.8 17.1 17.4 17.6 17.7 18.1 18.0

    17.0 17.2 17.5 17.7 18.0 18.1 18.3 18.6 18.8 19.0 19.1

    16.2 16.8 17.1 17.2 17.7 17.4 17.6 18.0 18.0 18.2 18.3

    13.9 13.9 14.2 14.3 14.5 14.6 14.8 14.8 15.1 15.4 15.4

    15.7 15.7 16.3 16.1 16.6 16.8 17.0 17.2 17.2 17.8 17.6

    13.2 13.2 13.3 13.3 13.4 13.6 13.8 14.1 14.1 14.5 14.6

    14.5 14.3 15.0 15.2 15.8 15.9 16.4 16.4 16.8 16.9 17.1

    16.9 16.8 17.2 17.2 17.8 17.7 18.1 18.3 18.6 18.8 18.7

    16.9 17.1 17.5 17.4 17.7 17.9 18.0 18.2 18.3 18.5 18.5

    17.6 17.6 18.2 18.1 18.5 18.6 18.9 19.0 19.0 19.2 19.3

    13.6 13.7 13.8 13.9 13.9 13.9 14.0 14.0 14.0 14.1 14.1

    16.2 16.3 16.7 17.0 17.3 17.5 17.6 18.0 18.2 18.5 18.5

    16.2 16.4 16.7 16.8 17.0 17.2 17.3 17.7 17.7 17.8 -

    OECD 15.9 15.9 16.3 16.4 16.7 16.8 17.0 17.2 17.4 17.6 17.6

    : OECD(2014), Health Data.

    65 ()

  • 133

    (: )

    2000 2007 2012 2007 2012 2007 2012

    70 74 73 71 74 61 71

    69 72 71 69 73 62 69

    69 72 71 67 73 64 69

    70 73 72 69 73 65 71

    68 70 70 70 72 64 68

    66 70 69 70 71 64 66

    68 72 70 72 72 67 69

    63 66 67 72 71 68 63

    69 72 71 72 73 68 69

    70 73 72 74 74 68 69

    69 73 71 73 73 69 70

    69 72 71 74 73 69 69

    63 66 66 73 69 69 63

    71 74 72 74 73 70 72

    68 73 71 74 73 70 70

    69 73 72 73 73 70 71

    70 74 73 75 74 70 71

    73 76 75 74 75 71 70

    68 71 73 73 77 71 72

    69 73 72 75 73 71 70

    66 67 67 76 69 71 65

    69 73 71 75 72 71 70

    69 73 72 74 73 71 71

    69 73 71 74 72 72 70

    65 67 67 75 71 71 64

    68 71 71 74 73 72 69

    65 67 67 74 70 72 64

    67 71 70 74 73 72 67

    70 74 73 75 75 72 71

    70 74 72 75 73 73 71

    71 75 73 76 74 73 71

    61 66 65 76 67 71 63

    69 72 71 75 72 72 70

    68 70 70 76 71 73 68

    OECD 68 72 71 78 72 73 69

    : WHO(2014), Global Health Observatory Data Repository.

  • 134

    (: / 10 )

    2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    791 762 753 - 706 713 723 687 678 673 -

    928 943 896 879 842 820 804 809 787 763 776

    - 977 918 912 859 846 843 823 823 - -

    833 819 799 787 754 753 741 718 701 690 -

    951 951 948 920 878 890 827 848 884 824 -

    1,246 1,279 1,210 1,191 1,120 1,086 1,055 1,055 1,026 1,004 997

    1,063 1,040 1,001 972 967 957 929 923 901 858 837

    1,441 1,417 1,365 1,329 1,302 1,275 1,198 1,134 1,090 1,031 1,015

    967 942 898 875 856 851 829 821 815 789 788

    850 870 789 794 748 730 725 713 701 679 -

    941 952 899 889 854 837 835 827 811 787 785

    1,000 1,002 985 952 915 928 881 850 820 802 -

    1,393 1,417 1,361 1,371 1,302 1,294 1,246 1,232 1,217 1,185 1,194

    824 812 784 773 774 764 765 749 - - -

    1,038 995 956 914 909 878 857 853 775 - -

    890 876 843 846 812 816 776 720 711 708 -

    823 853 - - 751 746 734 723 699 - -

    672 672 659 666 645 636 634 613 622 633 -

    1,055 1,005 971 935 898 865 825 784 779 754 754

    915 997 857 849 857 851 773 767 764 755 724

    1,024 1,032 1,005 1,032 987 968 1,001 985 1,020 972 958

    978 963 911 893 866 831 824 798 790 769 779

    892 862 865 796 811 792 790 765 727 - -

    928 880 843 827 814 816 801 783 775 762 764

    1,221 1,234 1,195 1,182 1,148 1,139 1,117 1,107 1,055 1,020 1,021

    1,039 1,044 - - - 914 883 864 846 796 813

    1,341 1,352 1,292 1,316 1,284 1,265 1,222 1,195 1,189 - -

    1,086 1,118 1,037 1,035 957 940 894 887 852 - -

    850 865 812 821 765 770 751 728 704 697 694

    875 850 826 818 801 794 783 764 757 744 752

    790 802 754 749 721 713 697 694 679 - -

    - - - - - - - 836 833 849 -

    967 969 918 898 865 852 845 803 791 - -

    964 950 913 910 885 873 855 826 823 - -

    OECD 987 985 944 938 895 885 862 844 832 814 853

    : OECD(2014), Health Data.

  • 135

    (: )

    2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    1.77 1.77 1.78 1.85 1.88 1.99 2.02 1.97 1.95 1.92 1.93

    1.39 1.38 1.42 1.41 1.41 1.38 1.41 1.39 1.44 1.43 1.44

    1.62 1.64 1.70 1.74 1.78 1.80 1.86 1.83 1.84 1.81 1.79

    1.50 1.53 1.53 1.54 1.59 1.66 1.68 1.67 1.63 1.61 -

    1.94 1.89 1.85 1.84 1.83 1.88 1.92 1.94 1.92 1.89 -

    1.17 1.18 1.23 1.28 1.33 1.44 1.50 1.49 1.49 1.43 1.45

    1.72 1.76 1.78 1.80 1.85 1.85 1.89 1.84 1.88 1.76 1.73

    1.36 1.36 1.47 1.52 1.58 1.69 1.72 1.70 1.72 1.61 1.56

    1.72 1.76 1.80 1.80 1.84 1.83 1.85 1.86 1.87 1.83 1.80

    1.86 1.87 1.90 1.92 1.98 1.95 1.99 1.99 2.02 2.00 2.00

    1.34 1.34 1.36 1.34 1.33 1.37 1.38 1.36 1.39 1.36 1.38

    1.27 1.28 1.30 1.33 1.40 1.38 1.47 1.49 1.51 1.39 1.34

    1.31 1.28 1.28 1.32 1.35 1.32 1.35 1.33 1.26 1.24 1.34

    1.93 1.99 2.03 2.05 2.07 2.09 2.14 2.22 2.20 2.02 2.04

    1.98 1.98 1.95 1.88 1.94 2.03 2.07 2.07 2.06 2.06 2.02

    2.89 2.95 2.90 2.84 2.88 2.90 2.96 2.96 3.03 3.00 3.05

    1.27 1.29 1.33 1.32 1.35 1.37 1.42 1.41 1.41 1.39 1.42

    1.32 1.29 1.29 1.26 1.32 1.34 1.37 1.37 1.39 1.39 1.41

    1.17 1.18 1.15 1.08 1.12 1.25 1.19 1.15 1.23 1.24 1.30

    1.63 1.62 1.66 1.62 1.64 1.61 1.60 1.59 1.63 1.52 1.57

    2.56 2.52 2.49 2.45 2.42 2.38 2.35 2.32 2.28 2.26 2.24

    1.73 1.75 1.73 1.71 1.72 1.72 1.77 1.79 1.80 1.76 1.72

    1.89 1.93 1.98 1.97 2.01 2.17 2.18 2.12 2.15 2.06 2.00

    1.75 1.80 1.83 1.84 1.90 1.90 1.96 1.98 1.95 1.88 1.85

    1.25 1.22 1.23 1.24 1.27 1.31 1.39 1.40 1.38 1.30 1.30

    1.47 1.44 1.41 1.42 1.38 1.35 1.40 1.35 1.39 1.35 1.28

    1.19 1.20 1.24 1.25 1.24 1.25 1.32 1.41 1.40 1.45 1.34

    1.21 1.20 1.25 1.26 1.31 1.38 1.53 1.53 1.57 1.56 1.58

    1.25 1.30 1.31 1.33 1.36 1.38 1.45 1.38 1.37 1.34 1.32

    1.65 1.72 1.75 1.77 1.85 1.88 1.91 1.94 1.98 1.90 1.91

    1.39 1.39 1.42 1.42 1.44 1.46 1.48 1.50 1.54 1.52 1.53

    2.17 2.09 2.11 2.12 2.12 2.16 2.15 2.08 2.06 2.03 2.09

    1.64 1.71 1.77 1.78 1.82 1.87 1.96 1.90 1.93 1.91 1.92

    2.01 2.04 2.05 2.06 2.11 2.12 2.07 2.00 1.93 1.89 1.88

    OECD 1.63 1.64 1.65 1.66 1.69 1.72 1.76 1.75 1.75 1.709 1.706

    : OECD(2014), Family Database.

  • 136

    2.

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

    17.0 16.4 16.3 16.3 17.5 17.4 17.2 17.8 18.3 19.0 19.0

    27.1 26.8 26.5 25.9 26.4 28.6 28.6 27.7 27.9 28.3 28.4

    25.6 25.6 25.5 25.4 26.7 29.1 28.8 29.4 30.3 30.9 30.7

    16.3 16.2 16.3 16.2 16.9 18.5 17.9 17.4 17.4 17.2 17.0

    9.1 8.7 8.2 8.3 9.6 11.2 10.5 10.1 10.2 10.0 -

    18.8 18.5 18.1 17.9 17.9 20.3 19.9 20.1 20.2 20.5 20.6

    27.7 27.3 26.6 26.0 26.2 29.7 29.9 30.1 30.2 30.2 30.1

    13.4 13.1 12.7 12.7 15.7 19.8 18.8 16.8 16.2 16.1 16.3

    24.9 25.0 24.7 23.7 24.3 28.3 28.7 28.3 29.4 30.6 31.0

    29.6 29.6 29.0 28.8 29.1 31.5 31.7 31.4 31.5 32.0 31.9

    26.8 27.0 25.8 24.8 25.0 27.6 26.8 25.5 25.4 25.6 25.8

    20.0 21.1 21.3 21.5 22.2 24.4 24.2 25.7 26.1 24.3 24.0

    21.4 22.3 22.6 22.9 23.1 24.7 23.5 22.6 22.3 22.1 22.1

    17.4 16.3 15.9 15.3 15.8 18.5 17.9 18.1 17.5 17.1 16.5

    15.8 15.8 15.9 16.6 19.5 23.4 23.3 22.3 22.0 21.9 21.0

    16.2 15.6 15.2 14.9 14.8 15.4 15.2 15.2 15.1 15.0 -

    24.7 24.9 25.0 24.8 25.8 27.8 27.8 27.5 28.1 28.7 28.6

    17.9 18.4 18.3 18.6 19.7 22.0 22.1 23.1 - - -

    6.0 6.5 7.4 7.6 8.2 9.4 9.0 9.0 9.6 10.2 10.4

    22.8 22.0 20.7 19.5 21.8 24.3 23.0 22.5 23.4 23.4 23.5

    6.4 6.5 6.6 6.7 7.2 7.7 7.8 7.7 7.9 - -

    21.2 21.8 21.5 21.3 20.9 23.1 23.7 23.5 24.1 24.6 24.7

    17.5 17.9 18.8 18.4 19.9 21.0 21.0 20.7 21.0 20.8 -

    22.7 21.1 19.8 20.0 19.5 22.8 22.4 21.8 21.7 22.0 22.0

    21.2 20.7 20.5 19.4 19.9 20.7 20.7 20.1 20.1 20.7 20.6

    22.0 22.8 22.6 22.4 22.8 25.3 25.2 24.8 24.8 25.8 25.2

    16.3 16.1 15.9 15.6 15.7 18.5 18.4 18.1 18.3 18.7 18.4

    21.9 21.8 21.4 20.0 20.2 23.0 23.9 24.0 24.0 23.8 23.7

    20.6 20.9 20.9 21.3 22.8 26.1 26.7 26.8 27.1 27.3 26.8

    29.2 28.7 28.1 27.0 27.2 29.4 27.9 27.2 27.7 28.2 28.1

    19.4 19.4 18.4 17.7 17.9 19.7 19.5 19.3 19.7 19.9 19.4

    - 9.7 9.8 10.7 11.1 13.2 12.6 12.2 12.3 12.5 -

    20.2 20.2 20.0 20.1 21.6 23.9 22.8 22.7 23.0 22.5 21.7

    15.7 15.5 15.7 15.8 16.4 18.5 19.3 19.0 18.7 18.6 19.2

    OECD 19.5 19.4 19.2 18.9 19.7 21.9 21.7 21.4 21.6 21.7 21.6

    : OECD (2014), Social Expenditure Data

    (: GDP %)

  • 137

    2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    29.9 30.3 29.9 29.5 29.6 27.0 25.8 25.6 26.3 27.3 -

    42.3 41.8 40.8 40.4 40.5 41.4 41.0 40.9 41.0 41.7 42.5

    43.3 43.3 43.4 43.0 42.4 42.9 42.0 42.4 42.9 44.0 44.6

    32.7 32.5 32.3 32.6 32.3 31.6 31.4 30.5 30.4 30.7 30.6

    18.7 19.1 20.7 22.0 22.8 21.4 17.2 19.5 21.2 21.4 20.2

    34.4 34.7 34.5 34.1 34.3 33.5 32.4 32.5 33.4 33.8 34.1

    46.8 47.8 49.5 48.1 47.7 46.6 46.4 46.5 46.6 47.2 48.6

    30.8 30.5 30.4 30.4 31.1 31.3 34.9 33.2 31.9 32.1 31.8

    42.4 41.8 42.1 42.2 41.5 41.2 40.9 40.8 42.0 42.8 44.0

    42.0 42.2 42.8 43.1 42.4 42.2 41.3 41.6 42.9 44.0 45.0

    34.7 33.9 33.9 34.5 34.9 35.3 36.1 35.0 35.7 36.5 36.7

    30.9 30.0 31.3 30.4 30.9 31.2 29.6 31.1 32.5 33.7 33.5

    37.4 37.2 36.8 36.7 39.6 39.5 39.0 37.6 36.9 38.5 38.9

    35.6 36.6 39.4 40.4 38.7 35.1 32.0 33.3 34.5 35.3 35.5

    28.0 29.2 29.5 31.0 30.4 28.6 27.0 26.8 26.7 27.3 28.3

    34.2 34.1 34.3 34.7 34.7 32.1 29.8 30.6 30.9 29.6 30.5

    40.1 39.3 39.1 40.6 41.7 41.5 41.9 41.5 41.4 42.7 42.6

    25.3 26.1 27.3 28.1 28.5 28.5 27.0 27.6 28.6 29.5 -

    22.7 22.0 22.5 23.6 24.8 24.6 23.6 23.2 24.0 24.8 24.3

    38.2 37.2 38.2 36.5 37.2 37.2 39.0 38.0 37.5 38.5 39.3

    17.1 16.8 17.7 17.9 17.6 20.7 17.2 18.5 19.5 19.6 19.7

    34.7 35.1 36.4 36.7 36.3 36.6 35.4 36.1 35.9 36.3 -

    33.4 34.5 36.4 35.7 34.5 33.5 31.0 31.0 31.4 33.0 32.1

    42.3 43.1 43.2 43.5 42.9 42.1 42.0 42.6 42.7 42.3 40.8

    32.5 31.6 32.9 33.8 34.5 34.2 31.3 31.3 31.8 32.1 -

    30.9 29.7 30.2 30.7 31.3 31.3 29.5 30.0 32.0 31.2 33.4

    32.4 31.0 30.8 28.8 28.8 28.7 28.4 27.7 28.3 28.1 29.6

    37.3 37.4 38.0 37.6 37.1 36.4 36.2 36.7 36.3 36.5 36.8

    33.2 34.2 35.2 36.0 36.4 32.2 29.8 31.4 31.2 32.1 32.6

    45.4 45.6 46.6 45.9 44.9 43.9 44.0 43.1 42.3 42.3 42.8

    26.8 26.5 26.5 26.4 26.1 26.7 27.1 26.5 27.0 26.9 27.1

    25.9 24.1 24.3 24.5 24.1 24.2 24.6 26.2 27.8 27.6 29.3

    32.9 33.4 33.8 34.4 34.1 34.0 32.3 32.8 33.6 33.0 32.9

    24.6 24.7 26.1 26.8 26.9 25.4 23.3 23.7 24.0 24.4 25.4

    OECD 33.5 33.4 34.0 34.1 34.2 33.6 32.7 32.8 33.3 33.7 34.1

    : GDP (+) .

    : OECD(2014), Revenue Statistics.

    (Tax Revenue)

    (: GDP %)

  • 138

    2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    28.25 28.19 28.51 28.28 27.70 26.93 26.75 26.83 26.65 27.21 27.41

    47.38 48.27 48.14 48.45 48.76 49.03 47.95 48.17 48.54 48.84 49.12

    55.74 55.43 55.51 55.49 55.56 55.88 55.65 55.93 56.09 55.99 55.80

    31.68 31.87 31.87 31.76 31.27 31.27 30.53 30.42 30.67 30.82 31.06

    7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00

    43.21 43.52 43.73 42.53 42.88 43.44 42.01 42.13 42.60 42.46 42.38

    42.36 41.03 40.92 40.99 41.12 40.90 39.53 38.30 38.43 38.55 38.24

    42.32 41.47 39.92 39.03 39.01 38.38 39.17 40.09 40.26 40.41 39.90

    44.77 44.22 44.39 44.02 43.88 43.84 42.50 42.29 42.35 42.56 43.12

    50.11 50.30 50.51 49.75 49.75 49.76 49.84 49.90 49.96 50.13 48.92

    53.20 52.24 52.13 52.31 51.80 51.34 50.79 49.05 49.68 49.63 49.33

    39.91 41.44 41.25 42.27 42.06 41.50 41.29 40.06 43.19 42.91 41.56

    50.76 51.74 51.07 51.92 54.53 54.10 53.10 46.61 49.49 49.52 49.03

    31.52 31.93 32.05 31.76 30.54 30.94 30.53 33.36 34.08 33.40 33.45

    24.39 24.06 23.47 22.97 22.23 22.30 24.74 25.83 25.82 25.91 26.60

    27.66 26.44 25.52 24.32 24.93 22.90 21.30 20.72 20.79 20.39 20.66

    45.97 46.28 45.91 46.05 46.39 46.65 46.79 47.17 47.56 47.70 47.78

    27.36 27.34 27.74 28.79 29.31 29.47 29.18 30.23 30.85 31.28 31.64

    16.40 17.05 17.31 18.16 19.72 19.98 19.47 20.15 20.50 21.05 21.41

    33.47 33.87 34.72 35.32 36.31 34.66 33.87 34.33 36.25 35.92 37.01

    16.72 15.23 14.69 15.01 15.92 15.06 15.31 15.53 18.71 18.99 19.22

    37.17 38.83 38.92 38.40 38.67 39.20 38.02 38.10 38.03 38.72 36.94

    19.46 19.71 20.03 20.44 21.08 20.51 18.07 16.99 15.87 16.39 16.89

    38.09 38.15 37.25 37.42 37.54 37.59 37.30 37.29 37.59 37.42 37.34

    38.24 38.44 38.70 38.95 38.16 34.69 34.12 34.21 34.32 35.51 35.56

    37.37 37.40 36.80 37.52 37.33 36.95 36.54 37.13 38.00 37.60 41.15

    42.51 42.16 38.01 38.30 38.44 38.84 37.72 37.92 38.83 39.62 41.13

    46.16 46.28 45.55 45.29 43.29 42.88 42.24 42.54 42.65 42.50 42.34

    38.58 38.81 38.97 39.11 38.99 37.99 38.26 39.75 39.99 40.62 40.66

    48.23 48.40 48.05 47.75 45.32 44.81 43.23 42.76 42.81 42.86 42.93

    22.43 22.21 22.22 22.11 22.40 21.86 21.98 22.10 22.32 21.95 21.99

    42.20 42.76 42.80 42.69 42.74 39.86 37.40 37.88 38.17 38.38 38.64

    33.8 33.92 33.94 33.98 34.12 32.78 32.41 32.58 32.46 32.10 31.48

    29.89 29.85 29.75 29.88 30.27 29.85 30.05 30.46 29.66 29.82 31.33

    OECD 36.30 36.35 36.10 36.12 36.15 35.68 35.14 35.11 35.59 35.71 35.85

    : 1) .

    2) () .

    : OECD(2014), Taxing wages.

    (Tax Wedge)

    (: %)

  • 139

    (: %, USD)

    SSC SSC 1)

    55.8 22.0 10.8 23.0 72,974

    49.3 16.0 17.1 16.2 68,962

    22.0 10.2 5.9 5.9 68,317

    37.3 18.9 6.9 11.5 67,289

    49.1 12.6 14.0 22.6 64,980

    37.0 15.1 11.0 11.0 64,680

    36.9 14.3 14.2 8.4 63,585

    48.9 10.4 9.8 28.7 61,648

    42.9 13.7 5.3 23.9 59,649

    43.1 18.4 6.2 18.6 57,406

    31.5 13.3 8.5 9.8 56,797

    27.4 21.8 0.0 5.6 55,766

    31.6 6.7 12.2 12.8 54,790

    31.3 15.4 7.0 8.9 53,223

    47.8 16.3 7.2 24.3 52,080

    21.4 4.6 7.5 9.3 51,895

    38.2 35.8 2.7 0.0 51,772

    40.7 12.8 4.9 23.0 49,723

    33.4 25.9 0.4 7.1 48,334

    26.6 13.3 3.6 9.7 44,494

    31.1 13.7 6.6 10.8 43,643

    41.6 7.1 12.9 21.5 40,650

    16.9 16.9 0.0 0.0 36,381

    41.1 13.1 8.9 19.2 35,511

    38.6 11.6 12.9 14.2 34,293

    42.3 9.4 19.0 13.9 34,282

    20.7 8.4 7.5 4.8 34,046

    42.4 8.8 8.2 25.4 30,096

    49.0 12.5 14.4 22.2 29,465

    39.9 13.0 1.5 25.4 28,430

    35.6 5.9 15.3 14.4 26,822

    41.1 7.1 10.2 23.8 25,867

    7.0 0.0 7.0 0.0 18,989

    19.2 7.5 1.2 10.5 13,964

    : 1) (USD) . 2) () .

    : OECD(2014), Taxing wages.

    (2013)

  • 140

    (: %)

    27.4 16.9

    49.1 38.4

    55.8 41.0

    31.1 18.7

    7.0 7.0

    42.4 20.5

    38.2 27.6

    39.9 32.3

    43.1 38.1

    48.9 41.6

    49.3 33.8

    41.6 44.5

    49.0 34.1

    33.4 19.1

    26.6 6.8

    20.7 17.4

    47.8 38.2

    31.6 26.1

    21.4 19.0

    37.0 14.3

    19.2 19.2

    36.9 30.8

    16.9 2.4

    37.3 31.2

    35.6 29.8

    41.1 29.8

    41.1 27.6

    42.3 23.1

    40.7 34.8

    42.9 37.7

    22.0 9.5

    38.6 37.4

    31.5 27.0

    31.3 20.3

    OECD 35.9 26.4

    : OECD(2014), Taxing wages.

    (2013)

  • 141

    3.

    1988

    4,432,695 58,583 4,431,039 - - 1,370 286

    3,076,928 - 3,075,813 - - 854 261

    1,355,767 - 1,355,226 - - 516 25

    2001

    16,277,826 250,729 5,951,918 5,704,389 4,475,722 29,982 115,815

    11,251,239 - 4,229,393 4,126,654 2,825,589 4,108 65,495

    5,026,587 - 1,722,525 1,577,735 1,650,133 25,874 50,320

    2003

    17,181,778 423,032 6,958,794 5,399,355 4,564,879 23,983 234,767

    11,300,507 - 4,732,851 3,729,122 2,699,053 4,835 134,646

    5,881,271 - 2,225,943 1,670,233 1,865,826 19,148 100,121

    2005

    17,124,449 646,805 7,950,493 4,489,216 4,634,459 26,568 23,713

    11,061,739 - 5,323,606 2,971,503 2,751,152 6,346 9,132

    6,062,710 - 2,626,887 1,517,713 1,883,307 20,222 14,581

    2007

    18,266,742 856,178 9,149,209 3,956,340 5,106,803 27,242 27,148

    11,462,183 - 5,981,796 2,525,462 2,939,611 6,911 8,403

    6,804,559 - 3,167,413 1,430,878 2,167,192 20,331 18,745

    2009

    18,623,845 979,861 9,866,681 3,627,597 5,052,264 36,368 40,935

    11,409,767 - 6,304,399 2,230,372 2,853,147 9,115 12,734

    7,214,078 - 3,562,282 1,397,225 2,199,117 27,253 28,201

    2011

    19,885,911 1,103,570 10,976,501 3,775,873 4,899,557 171,134 62,846

    11,769,499 - 6,826,308 2,179,663 2,714,760 29,713 19,055

    8,116,412 - 4,150,193 1,596,210 2,184,797 141,421 43,791

    2012

    20,329,060 1,196,427 11,464,198 3,903,217 4,665,179 207,890 88,576

    11,824,156 - 7,032,157 2,179,069 2,556,121 32,682 24,127

    8,504,904 - 4,432,041 1,724,148 2,109,058 175,208 64,449

    2013

    20,744,780 1,290,557 11,935,759 3,938,993 4,575,441 177,569 117,018

    11,947,691 - 7,265,517 2,149,149 2,470,993 28,507 33,525

    8,797,089 - 4,670,242 1,789,844 2,104,448 149,062 83,493

    : (2014), .

    (: )

  • 142

    2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    12,617 12,387 12,490 12,804 13,160 13,310 13,572 14,129 14,986 15,664 16,169

    8,601 8,347 8,311 8,406 8,523 8,529 8,557 8,732 9,055 9,268 9,476

    4,015 4,040 4,179 4,398 4,637 4,781 5,015 5,397 5,932 6,396 6,692

    18~19

    68 57 52 46 45 40 41 55 77 93 98

    22 19 17 15 16 15 16 23 35 45 50

    45 38 36 31 29 25 25 32 42 48 48

    20~24

    823 789 737 703 653 582 563 575 616 650 671

    277 269 247 237 220 193 188 198 219 238 250

    546 521 490 466 433 389 375 376 396 412 420

    25~29

    1,566 1,590 1,622 1,702 1,779 1,811 1,763 1,733 1,701 1,643 1,602

    930 920 917 946 977 982 943 922 901 859 837

    635 670 705 756 802 829 820 811 801 784 764

    30~34

    2,006 1,946 1,903 1,873 1,874 1,821 1,839 1,929 2,058 2,161 2,237

    1,486 1,412 1,349 1,300 1,273 1,224 1,211 1,251 1,313 1,359 1,399

    520 534 554 573 601 598 628 678 745 802 837

    35~39

    1,954 1,947 1,978 2,059 2,124 2,124 2,121 2,124 2,133 2,153 2,119

    1,462 1,431 1,431 1,461 1,487 1,470 1,446 1,420 1,398 1,384 1,363

    492 516 547 598 637 654 675 704 735 769 756

    40~44

    2,065 1,996 1,953 1,932 1,953 2,028 2,101 2,204 2,377 2,497 2,535

    1,505 1,436 1,382 1,348 1,331 1,360 1,383 1,420 1,488 1,540 1,554

    559 560 571 583 622 668 719 784 889 957 981

    45~49

    1,704 1,757 1,842 1,952 2,033 2,051 2,077 2,118 2,197 2,292 2,422

    1,224 1,248 1,291 1,348 1,380 1,373 1,361 1,346 1,356 1,371 1,423

    480 510 551 604 653 678 716 772 841 921 998

    50~54

    1,186 1,216 1,321 1,446 1,550 1,681 1,817 1,983 2,212 2,394 2,463

    856 870 930 1,003 1,059 1,131 1,195 1,264 1,361 1,431 1,445

    330 346 391 443 492 549 622 719 851 963 1,018

    55~59

    983 1,017 1,058 1,069 1,121 1,139 1,208 1,359 1,553 1,691 1,901

    690 711 737 741 771 771 801 872 966 1,017 1,118

    294 306 321 328 350 368 407 487 587 674 782

    60

    264 72 24 22 27 33 41 49 63 89 117

    149 32 9 7 8 9 13 16 19 24 33

    115 40 15 15 19 24 28 34 44 64 83

    : (2014), .

    (: )

  • 143

    3,653,113 2,840,660 75,041 2,993 536,161 180,233 18,235

    2,172,926 1,964,562 63,598 2,491 43,985 89,129 9,320

    1,480,187 876,098 11,443 502 492,176 91,104 8,915

    5

    133 - - - 110 18 0

    80 - - - 70 9 0

    53 - - - 40 9 0

    5~9

    1,437 - - - 1,331 97 5

    694 - - - 639 52 1

    743 - - - 692 45 4

    10~

    14

    5,031 - - - 4,602 413 36

    2,593 - - - 2,359 226 20

    2,438 - - - 2,243 187 16

    15~

    19

    11,798 - 0 0 10,693 958 248

    6,135 - 0 0 5,598 465 126

    5,663 - 0 0 5,095 493 122

    20~

    24

    3,817 - 27 18 236 1,944 1,605

    2,059 - 15 15 112 1,021 819

    1,758 - 12 3 124 923 786

    25~

    29

    11,559 - 364 70 567 8,316 2,296

    7,123 - 243 53 93 5,597 1,242

    4,436 - 121 17 474 2,719 1,054

    30~

    34

    18,251 - 1,764 199 2,172 12,064 2,001

    11,476 - 1,238 141 319 8,659 1,086

    6,775 - 526 58 1,853 3,405 915

    35~

    39

    20,347 - 3,592 282 5,877 9,811 872

    10,796 - 2,830 229 594 6,751 524

    9,551 - 762 53 5,283 3,060 348

    40~

    44

    33,227 - 6,607 386 16,173 9,261 805

    13,754 - 5,734 336 1,060 6,221 409

    19,473 - 873 50 15,113 3,040 396

    45~

    49

    48,585 - 9,319 495 30,452 6,870 1,595

    14,568 - 8,375 432 1,343 3,759 774

    34,017 - 944 63 29,109 3,111 821

    50~

    54

    79,834 - 14,291 794 55,629 6,539 2,748

    19,732 - 12,652 686 1,896 3,285 1,221

    60,102 - 1,639 108 53,733 3,254 1,527

    55~

    59

    225,252 124,139 16,092 662 77,535 4,393 2,403

    107,820 87,242 13,930 533 2,215 2,576 1,339

    117,432 36,897 2,162 129 75,320 1,817 1,064

    60~

    64

    1,122,615 905,608 10,478 85 87,119 118,025 1,192

    718,859 656,739 8,555 65 2,825 49,912 713

    403,756 248,869 1,923 20 84,294 68,113 479

    65~

    69

    1,013,342 913,122 7,592 2 91,252 490 817

    639,297 627,679 6,183 1 4,691 269 418

    374,045 285,443 1,409 1 86,561 221 399

    70~

    74

    729,728 638,446 3,874 0 86,290 363 695

    440,001 429,459 3,081 0 6,973 137 321

    289,727 208,987 793 0 79,317 226 374

    75~

    79

    257,976 210,033 906 0 46,109 385 523

    141,775 134,445 677 0 6,299 129 192

    116,201 75,588 229 0 39,810 256 331

    80

    70,181 49,312 135 0 20,014 286 394

    36,164 28,998 85 0 6,899 61 115

    34,017 20,314 50 0 13,115 225 279

    : (2014), .

    (2013)

    (: )

  • 1999

    1,249,257

    3,871,969,097

    175,572

    299,592,241

    16,906

    45,739,771

    1,944

    11,887,377

    89,929

    132,018,371

    962,578

    3,378,751,585

    2,328

    3,979,753

    2000

    927,545

    1,607,034,932

    482,042

    651,367,677

    21,914

    70,098,235

    2,170

    15,799,154

    114,276

    203,051,882

    304,127

    662,419,679

    3,016

    4,298,305

    2001

    948,164

    1,569,256,860

    602,197

    973,629,644

    27,456

    83,583,377

    2,469

    18,285,821

    140,915

    243,929,303

    170,542

    243,444,500

    4,585

    6,384,217

    2002

    1,052,327

    1,915,254,978

    717,488

    1,254,729,855

    32,876

    103,849,013

    2,194

    16,418,591

    166,266

    293,950,328

    129,239

    238,684,803

    4,264

    7,622,389

    2003

    1,169,441

    2,328,449,084

    819,800

    1,533,339,190

    39,727

    131,920,812

    2,853

    21,977,723

    192,887

    352,651,252

    108,740

    278,232,520

    5,434

    10,327,587

    2004

    1,533,059

    2,914,014,770

    1,156,098

    1,987,450,647

    47,260

    163,629,119

    3,609

    29,297,315

    220,725

    417,886,255

    99,750

    303,193,832

    5,617

    12,557,603

    2005

    1,757,674

    3,584,900,642

    1,349,626

    2,531,536,045

    54,467

    193,930,965

    4,147

    35,713,586

    247,588

    484,576,517

    96,078

    324,884,938

    5,768

    14,258,591

    2006

    1,985,502

    4,360,238,974

    1,517,649

    3,103,160,541

    61,762

    225,607,063

    4,898

    44,239,536

    279,358

    570,601,184

    115,394

    400,673,755

    6,441

    15,956,895

    2007

    2,244,477

    5,182,610,821

    1,731,560

    3,857,708,922

    67,091

    245,877,485

    5,167

    48,325,466

    311,868

    645,401,195

    121,200

    368,373,558

    7,591

    16,924,195

    2008

    2,517,579

    6,180,803,696

    1,949,867

    4,765,527,612

    72,166

    268,100,552

    4,902

    47,920,508

    344,593

    731,357,801

    137,654

    348,026,409

    8,397

    19,870,814

    2009

    2,770,344

    7,471,933,936

    2,149,168

    5,814,824,736

    74,535

    287,016,089

    3,836

    40,940,200

    378,927

    844,649,421

    154,119

    460,476,121

    9,759

    24,027,369

    2010

    2,975,336

    8,635,467,327

    2,330,128

    6,861,876,308

    76,280

    296,304,705

    3,447

    37,299,185

    414,241

    949,238,982

    141,347

    465,122,763

    9,893

    25,625,384

    2011

    3,166,983

    9,819,295,640

    2,489,614

    7,905,179,613

    75,895

    305,547,438

    3,480

    41,918,922

    449,735

    1,062,312,051

    136,628

    475,050,810

    11,631

    29,286,806

    2012

    3,499,522

    11,550,754,573

    2,748,455

    9,327,086,191

    75,934

    314,462,857

    2,862

    34,653,608

    485,822

    1,195,694,146

    175,716

    648,045,442

    10,733

    30,812,329

    2013

    3,6

    33

    ,77

    01

    3,1

    12

    ,75

    1,4

    19

    2,8

    40

    ,66

    0

    10

    ,705

    ,59

    4,3

    20

    75

    ,04

    13

    26,1

    67

    ,915

    2,9

    93

    38

    ,736

    ,64

    05

    24,9

    92

    1,3

    30

    ,21

    0,5

    62

    17

    9,4

    40

    67

    9,1

    44

    ,836

    10

    ,64

    43

    2,8

    97

    ,146

    :

    (2014), .

    (

    :

    ,

    )

  • 145

    2000 73,662,467 52,313,268 21,336,267 335 0 0 12,597

    2001 90,373,579 64,382,249 25,976,113 335 0 0 14,882

    2002 109,555,488 78,200,241 31,337,543 335 0 0 17,369

    2003 131,531,118 93,811,148 37,701,844 335 0 0 17,791

    2004 155,487,273 110,954,495 44,395,425 335 119,195 0 17,823

    2005 182,459,726 129,498,079 52,698,688 335 243,609 0 19,015

    2006 213,154,486 149,650,383 63,076,037 335 379,827 28,556 19,348

    2007 248,553,526 171,320,564 76,668,250 335 516,799 27,750 19,828

    2008 280,901,814 194,306,104 86,011,340 335 535,664 27,835 20,536

    2009 313,251,653 218,164,254 94,484,016 335 554,860 27,652 20,536

    2010 351,872,834 243,449,560 107,809,942 335 565,038 27,422 20,537

    2011 393,053,871 270,884,167 121,542,196 335 575,761 30,875 20,537

    2012 437,979,028 301,011,892 136,329,385 335 586,199 30,680 20,537

    2013 484,108,730 332,918,589 150,540,538 335 596,348 32,383 20,537

    : (2014), .

    (: )

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    ()

    557,771

    (-9.9%)

    503,283

    (-9.8%)

    446,245

    (-11.3%)

    375,752

    (-15.8%)

    343,079

    (-8.7%)

    354,473

    (3.3%)

    ()

    1,458,911

    (14.5%)

    1,698,839

    (16.4%)

    1,891,086

    (11.3%)

    2,176,857

    (15.1%)

    2,373,093

    (9.0%)

    2,405,030

    (1.3%)

    2,016,682

    (6.6%)

    2,202,122

    (9.2%)

    2,3