50% 33% 17%

20005900195281983128

19982011.7719979.8%10604080130705098200

1990 116000 11336851.5%48.5% 1995GDP57733 19.7% 49.% 31.3%

1990110000 20001300002000

.1995

%%%199519921978 57733324052114919.743.7458.7749.033.1221.9331.323.1419.30

POPULATIONINDIVIDUAL SIGN 10 2030(VARIATION (VARIABLE

STATISTICAL INDEX

1 2 4 3 5 6

1 A B C DD2 A BC DB367788889 96 A B C DB4 A B C DA5 A BC DB

1 DE

A B D2 1999 B C EA C D3 B D

B C E

2B

1819 201 231 231 23

171 2 34 5 67 8

21222324252627

28

123123123123123

123

123123

29 12330 12331 123 32 1 2 3

33123456789101112131415

341234567891011

WhyWhoWhatWhenWholeSurvey table

1990 ,1990

19370061: :

1990 71019907110 199071019907110

14m2 2

_________________________m2

11991 21992315 319923

WhyWhoWhatWhenWhole W

1234

608

608

1 2 3 4 5

6 7

1 A BC DB2 A B C D B3 A B C DD4 A BC DB 5 A BC DB

1 B D E

B D E 2 B D

A B C E3 A B4

C E

%5050-200200-400400-600600-800800-1000100025701307540181011.210.49.96.75.95.05.5

100

99 100199 200299 300399

5060 6070 7080

20 800-1000301000120 10600-80040400-60020400

201000-2999303000120 10500-99940100-4992099

10202030304010 1020205050606070

01

1021212125252026262626

202125261324 10

1

% 100 80 50 20 40 32 20 8 250 100

21

50

107111911282108212021291110112111301112212241311113112341332114112431342115112521351117312621371118312731392

251

50

%105-110110-115115-120120-125125-130130-135135-140358141064610162820128 50100

50

%10536110-115510115-120816120-1251428125-1301020130-13561213548 50100

3 2721521171691922001.03.510.526.058.584.596.0100831831481791931982004.015.541.574.089.596.599.0100

U JUUJJ

1989 6.47179.78603.388.57797.4633621457302037227270119048

1 2 3 4 5 601100% 7

1 A BC DB2 A BC DB380 A6070 B7080C8090 D90100C4 A BC DB

B C D E2 AB100C1DEC D E

1 2 1 2

1993-1998GNP 1999

199319941995199619971998GNP34560.546670.057494.966850.573142.778017.8

1 2 1999

300 250 450 8000 5000 7000 1000 2000 2000 200 500 300 1000 20000 5000 1000

//3

GNP GNP GDP GDP GNP

2003121113GDP GDPGDPGDP GDPGDPGDP GDPGDPGDPGDPGDPGDP

1 850 12750 = 850/12750 = 0.067

2 3 1.41 = 3/1.41 = 2.131

1001010

10001100110%10%

1100% 85%

19951600 1099 68 93 192 148

75.423.379.922.47321.2

1958%1985%1992% 72.2 71.5 68.7 3.2 8.4 4.3 1.32.65.8 14.2 12.4 12.0 9.1 10.0 9.2 100.0100.0100.0

1998 GDP

GDPGDP%14599.618.438691.848.726104.332.9 79395.7100.0

1.2:1

1995127362712.031 1002031001210.95535.372.261

1.5

1 9 9 8

1982

1995

1995

A .Maddsion1995 1990

1997 1985 1993 GDP2006-2013 2120

/10/ 1000/

21120%

5200280

5200280

960

1982 1990 101654 52352 49302 114333 58904 55429

1

%=

2 11

1800 1800 1800 1225 1720 2665 5400 5610

% 68.06 95.56 148.06 103.89

2, 50,:13.5+12.5+12.5+13 = 51.5(),50, 12+12.5+13+13.5 = 51() 9 (60 51 = 9 ) ::

2 1+%% = 1+% 1-%% = 1-%

3

3% 4%

0.97%

4

4% 3%

1.04%

1 2 3 4

Mode 12

14032802500.180.320.25 0.2040ModeMode

Mode

/0123420601509040360

5715446185423535

1 2 2 Median

19527119647119827119907122.720.222.925.3

1990

33.91 30.6130.1322.9121.93

1112111215171920222223232526302221151617171920222223252628

3 :

Arithmetic mean21 1,5500500650700 650

5 2506508001315XFXF 2501950 80030005 5600

2:156003 1

X f f

A 2640150 15032051090076010203050401516171819XFFX17.6

B 620020 27004506400-50014003504300-40015002506200-3006001504100-200XFX310F

x x f xf/f f f/f400500500600600700700800 450 550 650 750 50 70120 60 16.7 23.3 40.0 20.0 22500 38500 78000 45000 75.15 128.15 260.00 150.00 300 100 184000 613.3

C

D :1 2

3

12 Harmonic mean m=xf)

= 101.52% m61.52%

xm

1

23

Arithmetic mean5500500650700 650

5600

5 2506508001315XFXF 2501950 80030005 5600

620020 27004506400-50014003504300-40015002506200-3006001504100-200XFX310F

606575808595100727578808285 88

2015551520852258

2015551520

Range1211151719 2022222323252630R=30-15=1511 1516171920222223252637R=37-15=22

32 Mean deviation1

25 28 30 35 42 18 24 32 38 48 1x =x == 32 32 2

200X25354555F XF 250 2450 4050 1650 8400 -17 -7 3 13 17 7 3 13 170 490 270 3901320=

20-3030-4040-5050-60 10 70 90 30 200

Standard deviation12

2:= 74 ():= 11 () (x) (f) 55 10 65 24 75 36 85 22 95 8 100 550156027001870760-19-9111213610194436266235281178030250101400202500158950 722005653007440= 11

(x) (f) 55 10 65 24 75 36 85 22 95 8 100 550156027001870760-19-9111213610194436266235281178030250101400202500158950 722005653007440

() Coefficient of variation12

3

307010880523408816898903247615049097280067630887042016137213505125954

5 7 9 10 13 6 10 12 8 4 8 12 14 15 16 11 14 7 6 2 40 40

= 8.5 ():= 11.9 (): = 2.22 (): = 2.69 () 123::

19901001234561991199219931994199593981089412237160532059891101154514764215192966223652677323645105500113.8132.0148.2194.5249.5129.5164.1209.9305.9421.7110.0124.5150.5209.8255.8

1

23

a0an

a0a1a2a3a4a5

19901991199219931994199518530.721617.826635.434515.145005.857733

()

111515

2

1616

130130

A

B

C f1= f2 = fn-1

2 ab a b abAb

1 a b

2

3.69

9

=

199719981999 110%150%180% 199819991999 = 110%150%180% = 297%1998 = 110%150% = 165%

19951998180% 19851999200% 1999 1999 =

= 1 = 2 =

3 4(n)

= 1

1100%1100%

19952000234519952000 1

104722915580104176205360440130116106128111 301662811100151130160205228 3051601051283.434.475.195.487.03

= 1100%

x1xn1

2n

3R

19962000 130%116%106%128%110% 19962000 1962000125.66%

2000500 20055000

2000574.8 13%2006 20061196.7

20052000 2 20052000220052000320002005300% = 25%

19611995

196119621963196419651966196719681969197019711972147501600017000187501945321400217822090621097239962501424048197319741975197619771978197919801981198219831984264942752728452286312827330477332123205632502354503872840731198519861987198819891990199119921993199419953791139151402983940840755434984352444258456444445045600

yc t ab

abP4039-18

19901995tyt2tyYc=80.23+5.231491625 36 __85.6182.0288.3404.8535.0673.22168.985.690.996.2101.5 106.8 112.1 593.1

1990185.619912182.019923288.319934404.819945535.019956673.2212168.9

ab t = 0 ab

t = 0 123123P40413571357P404

2001

t-1-3-5-71357t249259119 2549ty-336-250-159-5355159280413y2001t = 9

P259 y = fx

1 234

P2647-3P2657-4P2667-5p2687-1

1 P271

22 P27513

1.444.009.6114.4425.0017.2151.8464.00207.54384473966400121001322517424182252560010421474.4172.0248.0418.0575.0805.2972.01280.04544.6

b

abab21

abab

:b:1000,12.9

r = 0.98 b = 0.24

a = -1.13

yc = -1.13+0.24xb:, 0.24

1 2 3 4

1P2892P289P291

1 2 3

1

= =

2

1 0

1

2

12

13.1%, 221

7.37%,, 142

1 q0p0

2 q1p1

1

2

q p q0p0q1p1 k%125100150456418127

q p q0p0q1p1 k=p1/p010.9380.833 q1p1/k456418127

= = = =

qpqp = = =1

= 2=

:::

4.76%,813.1%,22;7.37%,14:104.76% = 113.1% 92.63%8 = 22 + (-14)

x f xf

= =

2622.848.86625.291.2602484

119.61% = 108.57% 110.16%59.8(/) = 28.8(/) + 31(/) 19.61%59.88.57%,28.8;,10.16%,31

Arithmetic mean5500500650700 650

5600

5 5006507002215XFXF 1000 1300 700 30005 5600

620020 27004506400-50014003504300-40015002506200-3006001504100-200XFX310F

606575808595100727578808285 88

2015551520852258

2015551520

Standard deviation12

::= 11 () (x)(f) 55 10 65 24 75 36 85 22 95 8 100 550156027001870760-19-9111213610194436266235281178030250101400202500158950 722005653007440= 11=

616273492092574012644820001836980768082896438252556245128486401428805120120871415371526123456789X 2 FFX