المحاضرة الخامسة: إدارة المخاطر

Project Management Fifth Session

Egypt ScholarsPresented by

Mohamed Khalifa HassanJan 2014

© Mohamed Khalifa, 2014 All Rights Reserved 30

6. 1 Defining risk management 6.2 Benefits of risk management in project management 6.3 Risk management processes and tools


6. Risk Management

– Risk has three components:• An event• Probability of the occurrence of the event• Impact of that event (or the amount at stake)

– Can risk be positive as well as negative?


6. 1 Defining risk management

“Project Risk Management includes the processes of conducting risk management planning, identification, analysis, response planning, and monitoring and control on a project. The objectives of Project Risk Management are to increase the probability and impact of positive events, and decrease the probability and impact of negative events in the project.”

PMBOK® Guide – Fourth Edition, p. 273


6. 1 Defining risk management

• Supporting strategic and business planning; • Supporting effective use of resources; • Promoting continuous improvement; • Fewer shocks and unwelcome surprises; • Quick grasp of new opportunities; • Enhancing communication between Schools and

Departments; • Enhance other project management processes.


6.2 Benefits of risk management in project management

•The project risk management processes include:

5.3.1 Identify Risks5.3.2 Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis5.3.3 Plan Risk Responses5.3.4 Monitor and Control Risks


6.3 Risk management processes and tools

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Identify Risks is the process of determining which risks may affect the project and documenting their characteristics.

© Mohamed Khalifa, 2014 All Rights Reserved


5.3.1 Identify Project Risks

Documentation reviews: – Structured reviews of project plans and related documents at both the total project and

detailed scope levels.

Information gathering techniques : – Data collection methods that the project team can use to assist in identifying risks.

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Technique Description

Brainstorming Used to identify overall project risks or may focus in on the risks within a particular project segment or work package.

Delphi technique Generates a consensus among project risk experts who anonymously submit their risk list to a facilitator.

Interviewing Used to get information from people with a wide experience across many projects.

Root cause identification Used to find and group the risks by cause.

Strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats (SWOT) analysis

Examines the project from the perspective of strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats.



• Risk register

– The risk register ultimately contains the outcomes of the other risk management processes as they are conducted, the preparation of the risk register begins in the Risk Identification process with the following information, and then becomes available to other project management and Project Risk Management processes.

• List of identified risks.• List of potential responses.• Root cause of risk.• Updated risk categories.

38© Mohamed Khalifa, 2014 All Rights Reserved


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5.3.2 Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis

In this process you will rank and prioritize project risks according to their potential effect on project objectives.



Probability and impact matrix:– Illustrates a risk rating assignment

for identified risks.– A probability/ impact risk rating

matrix is the assignment of a risk rating to risks or conditions. The matrix combines the probability and impact scales to prioritize risks and identify risks that are likely to require further analysis

The risk rating =risk’s impact score X probability score.



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6.3.3 Plan Risk Response

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Risk response planning is the process of examining each risk corresponding response alternatives, determining which response will improve the likelihood of a positive outcome.



The common strategies for threats are:

• Avoid (Risk Avoidance).

• Transfer (Risk transference) .

• Mitigate Risk (Mitigation).

• Contingency – Contingency Reserve– Contingency Plan



The common strategies for opportunities are:

• Exploit (Risk exploitation)

• Share (Risk sharing)

• Enhance (Risk enhancement – Influence the Impact)



Risk Response Plan– Detailed actions– Identify risks with ownerships– Results of Qualitative and Quantitative analysis.– Agreed-upon responses– Residual risk & specific actions– Symptoms and warning sign of risks’ occurrence.– Budget and time of responses.– Contingency plans – Fallback plans (in case of Contingency plans are ineffective)

– Residual risks : After implementing any of the risk response strategies, residual risk is leftover.

– Secondary risks: Risks that come about as a result of implementing a risk response

Risk-related contractual:– Insurance, partnerships, and risk sharing parties will generate language that

specifies each party’s responsibility for different risks.



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5.3.4 Monitor and Control Risks

Risk Monitoring and control is the process of responding to identified and unforeseen risks. It involves tracking identified risks , identifying new risks, implement risk response plans, and monitoring their effectiveness.



Q & A


المحاضرة الخامسة: إدارة المخاطر

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