詹姆士看天下 2017/03/27

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Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.2017/03/27

#https://www.moneydj.com/KMDJ/Report/ReportViewer.aspx?a=e545abe0-0572-41a5-af77-a705833418bf

http://www.cw.com.tw/article/article.action?id=5081476http://www.cw.com.tw/article/article.action?id=5080934

: Bloomberg 2017/03/25

(%)9/053.733.766.28%%4.80

#0.14%0.29%201480.76%

IND>IND>12)HE00H0A0DXEM(20160411)ADOL2

Bloomberg1bp=0.01% :2017/03/25(%)(bp)(bp)(bp)3.763523502976.293914073354.802742752683.81174175170

()()()()()

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IND>18)>>14)16)OASHE00H0A0DXEM(20160411)ADOLLDMP3


MSCIMSCI

(%)

#1%Nasdaq1.2%

2.3%1.6%


(%)

(bp)0.4030.0652.412$1.0798$47.97111.34$1243.4599.62

#Fed108.8bps, 2.412%,3.2bps 0.403%, 2.4bps 0.065%

1.2%1243.454951.7%47.97CRB0.5%2.2%

Fed0.7%99.62, 0.6%1.07981.2%111.342.3%

5

: Bloomberg 2017/03/25 ==225= (%)

#1.6%1.1%1.4%2.3%16%6

(1.6%)

(1.1%)

(-1.4%)

(-2.3%)16%

#

7

Bloomberg 2017/03/25

#WFII

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()Bloomberg : 2017/03/25()

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BLP WEEKLY REPORT :>

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()Bloomberg : 2017/03/25()

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03/27 () 2 M3 4.9%4.9% 3 IFO 111.111103/28 () 2 ()0.2%-0.2% 3 114.0114.803/29 () 2 2.1%-2.8% 2 0.3%0.5%03/30 () 3 ()-5.0-5.0 3 CPI ()1.8%2.2% 3 247k261k Q4 GDP ()2.0%1.9%03/31 () 2 0.4%2.3% 3 CPI 0.8%0.9% 3 56.957.4 2 0.4%0.4% 2 0.2%0.2%

: Bloomberg

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CDR2) >>GALAXY 11

S&P500 9%201812%495OPEC

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12

24

NAFTA1420NAFTA

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13

520 20 48 Keith Palmer

2PPI3.1% 5 (20 ) 2 (PPI) 5 2 (CPI)

323

#

14

2 3 2 3 15 2 11.3% 10.6% 1.3% 2 1.2% 0.6% 8.5%

(Rex Tillerson) (19) (Donald Trump) 2

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20171/4201725.5%3.86672.84911990

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3 261k240k241k 2 1.7%1.4%2.0% 2 592k565k555k Q4 -$112.4b-$129.0b-113.0b 3 Markit ()52.95453.8 2 -3.7%-2.5%3.3% 2 CPI 2.3%2.1%1.8% 3 Markit ()58.356.556.8 3 -5.0-5.9-6.2 3 Markit ()56.255.355.4

: Bloomberg

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2 CPI 0.7%0.7%0.6% 3 ()52.6-53.3 CBC 1.375%1.375%1.375% 1 0.1%0.0%-0.3% 2 CPI -0.1%0.7%1.3% 3 395.7b-391.4b 2 CPI 6.3%6.3%6.6% 2 -$935m$0m-$5085m

: Bloomberg

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(%)MSCI1845.81-0.93 0.23 4.84 7.32 5.40 13.68 2343.98-1.44 -1.09 3.31 8.52 4.70 15.13 1354.64-2.65 -3.79 -1.67 8.69 -0.18 25.48 376.51-0.48 1.89 4.45 10.68 4.18 12.36 273.34-0.47 2.09 6.70 11.88 6.23 12.59 22519262.53-1.33 -0.72 -2.23 13.71 -0.75 11.57 5898.58-0.58 4.58 14.41 33.43 12.79 34.00 3269.450.99 1.46 5.18 9.26 5.55 9.95 MSCI969.130.37 3.06 14.74 6.37 12.39 19.30 MSCI476.460.19 3.68 15.63 5.27 13.72 18.70 MSCI305.310.44 1.41 4.81 12.01 2.80 14.42 MSCI2621.580.56 0.20 15.05 9.99 12.00 26.01 MSCI262.111.03 2.80 10.66 8.42 7.08 16.87 Bloomberg124.360.62 -0.30 1.20 -3.01 0.66 -0.68 Bloomberg137.150.11 -0.89 -0.18 -1.68 -0.26 1.81 Bloomberg145.340.73 -0.40 1.90 -1.72 1.16 3.95 Bloomberg163.990.01 -0.38 2.80 3.18 2.41 13.59 Bloomberg173.35-0.14 -0.82 2.36 4.04 2.10 15.81 Bloomberg175.400.00 -0.21 1.44 2.83 1.30 8.27 ETF47.53-0.29 -1.00 1.69 2.55 4.12 11.08 Bloomberg160.680.65 0.25 3.84 0.25 3.30 9.70 Bloomberg127.290.76 1.26 4.37 -2.56 3.88 1.49 Bloomberg165.640.76 0.06 4.06 -2.69 3.51 5.51

Bloomberg 2017/03/19

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(%)()MSCI202.95-1.42 -2.09 -7.79 4.34 -7.33 10.25 MSCI235.46-1.17 0.18 6.72 10.45 6.12 24.88 MSCI110.08-2.34 -0.87 2.99 18.62 3.67 23.49 MSCI207.91-0.71 0.80 4.85 7.76 5.84 10.80 MSCI221.95-0.11 1.10 7.06 0.60 6.94 4.23 MSCI225.31-0.66 0.72 5.39 8.51 6.04 15.53 MSCI178.97-0.74 1.20 9.25 11.36 11.00 23.73 MSCI70.53-1.01 0.93 1.50 -1.97 1.44 -0.94 MSCI122.111.59 2.41 2.41 0.86 6.22 3.24 MSCI207.82-0.87 -0.15 7.46 0.62 7.77 7.76 NBI3036.19-1.62 -2.68 6.95 -2.45 9.50 13.65 AMEX199.261.94 1.73 15.09 -13.10 9.30 16.26 REITsFTSE16158.410.42 -3.09 3.02 -2.74 1.53 7.70 REITsFTSE1914.500.05 -4.14 1.32 -5.14 -0.55 4.80 REITsFTSE1302.120.21 0.23 -0.58 -3.51 -1.43 -4.16 REITsFTSE1730.90-0.02 -1.23 5.84 -6.42 3.47 4.79 (/)1243.451.15 0.33 10.36 -5.31 9.08 3.32 (/)17.762.06 -2.17 11.90 -6.68 12.19 17.26 (/)5804.00-2.21 -2.09 6.13 19.55 4.85 17.37 (/)50.80-1.85 -9.23 -9.48 10.44 -10.65 25.54 (/)47.97-1.66 -11.47 -11.22 7.12 -10.93 21.26 CRB183.47-0.55 -3.38 -4.82 0.20 -4.70 6.55 847.76-1.55 -2.02 2.73 2.11 0.81 3.09


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(%)1.07980.56 2.44 3.71 -3.30 3.12 -3.14 111.341.21 2.10 6.39 -9.01 5.96 2.78 1.24730.62 0.64 2.05 -3.85 1.47 -12.15 0.99140.68 2.14 4.06 -1.73 3.15 -1.43 1.3378-0.21 -1.14 1.82 -1.02 0.82 -1.09 0.7623-1.05 -0.61 6.14 -0.53 5.80 1.07 1122.650.81 1.80 8.41 -1.50 8.27 4.69 30.48300.47 1.35 6.52 3.43 6.69 7.75 6.88370.29 -0.05 1.13 -2.97 1.03 -5.33 13327.000.13 0.20 0.99 -2.70 1.19 0.22 65.41500.09 2.16 3.55 1.83 3.84 1.87 34.57000.77 1.06 4.47 0.35 3.94 2.49 1.39910.21 0.64 3.88 -2.56 3.68 -1.83 4.42620.21 0.54 1.47 -6.55 1.62 -9.04 50.2460-0.14 0.16 -0.84 -3.72 -1.17 -7.65 12.43342.31 4.81 12.20 8.37 10.69 24.68 3.61190.68 -0.03 -2.44 -17.58 -2.38 -20.52 56.93440.43 1.96 6.39 11.67 7.94 20.24 3.94631.19 3.51 6.95 -2.96 6.38 -3.44 287.50-0.09 1.55 3.15 -4.07 2.90 -2.14 4.21340.63 1.61 3.34 -5.48 2.76 -5.02 3.1080-0.53 0.08 5.53 4.32 4.74 18.36 18.75791.67 5.97 10.49 3.20 10.32 -7.21 15.6014-0.28 -0.62 -0.74 -2.77 1.79 -7.01


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(%) () (bp)30 3.0134-9.63.0-12.073.6-5.234.0102.4123-8.84.7-14.785.6-3.251.20.0650-1.01.10.113.91.915.80.4030-3.221.718.248.519.522.30.9850-12.45.729.177.029.944.82.2240-13.32.940.2101.040.992.21.6930-18.8-0.531.672.630.916.94.1320-15.419.738.275.536.8116.93.5640-17.3-25.413.576.9-6.968.110.7700-22.0-4.0-36.0126.0-62.054.08.0891-4.4-26.4-46.0-10.9-37.0-119.33.4200-19.0-2.028.063.026.050.08.3690-13.2-34.6-61.2-19.4-55.5-99.510.0930-14.1-14.3-136.4-177.9-130.8-410.97.0550-21.1-21.6-36.091.5-38.194.92.18501.81.37.068.39.333.57.1170-10.7-42.0-79.720.8-85.6-65.8*6.8290-3.4-8.728.52.531.4-68.12.77101.810.4-9.761.012.298.7

: Bloomberg 2017/03/19 *

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20082014-26.69% -5.61%-36.09% -7.28%-20.81% ---18.82%-5.58%-21.11% -12.76%-9.52% -5.56%

Bloomberg() 2016/12/31%

#G 640423

Copyright 2015 Ezfunds Securities Investment Consulting Enterprise Ltd.

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105028 (02)7708-88886610 (04)3700-7988360171 (07)972-118839

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詹姆士看天下 2017/03/27

Economy & Finance

Transcript of 詹姆士看天下 2017/03/27