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Demo-Version
Russia: Dimensional
Lumber Market
Analysis and Forecast to 2017
August 2012
Marketing Research
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Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
Brief Overview
The report on the Russian dimensional lumber market contains:
Analysis and forecast of market dynamics;
Structure of consumption by region;
Analysis of domestic production, market shares of the main manufacturers;
Analysis of imports and exports;
Analysis of factors, influencing the development of the market;
Analysis of the raw materials’ base;
Analysis of the state of the consuming industries;
Assessment and forecast of market development;
Financial and economic profiles of the leading companies in the industry.
Methodology:
Expert interviews with top managers of the largest players on the market;
Analysis of information, received from the main market participants;
An analysis of statistical information:
o Federal Service of State Statistics (Rosstat);
o The Federal Customs Service (FTS);
o The Ministry of Economic Development;
o The Federal Tax Service;
o Industry associations.
The report contains information on the following commodity groups:
Lumber, including lumber from raw materials;
Commodity lumber products for building construction;
Mine lagging;
Bridge beams for oil rigs.
The report will allow you to:
1. Identify key indicators of the market, build your own business forecasts, based on
market data;
2. Evaluate the growth potential and threats in the market.
Key figures presented in the report on the Russian dimensional lumber market:
Volumes of production, exports and imports;
Indicators of market development;
Consumption indicators.
The report contains 120 pages, 38 tables, and 64 figures.
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Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
The report contains the consensus market forecast based on the average value of the
forecasts of market participants. As market experts are considered: manufacturers,
importers, wholesale distributors, high-volume consumers, professional associations and
unions, and trade publications. The experts, participating in the survey, are provided with
special conditions on the purchase of the reports.
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Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
Why People Choose Us
• We have been professionals in marketing research for over 9 years, and have
completed over 1000 industry studies which are updated on a regular basis.
• We collect data via expert interviews with market participants. Industry experts
verify all secondary information used in the report.
• We have an extensive database of economic information in almost every sector of
the economy. Cross-analysis of related industries enables our clients to get a
complete picture of the market of interest.
• Our own research methodology guarantees the consistently high quality of our work.
• We offer unique and individualized customer service:
o Personal account on the website with a personal manager;
o Monitoring of the status of your order online;
o Pre-sale specialist advice and answers to post-purchase questions.
• We offer special conditions for the actualization of our research reports. If interested,
find out about these conditions from our specialists now!
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Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
Research Design
The purpose of the study is to analyze the state of the Russian dimensional lumber market
and build a forecast of the industry in the medium term.
Geography of the research: Russia
Methodology
1. Analysis of secondary market data:
Secondary data refers to data from the Internet (industry portals, competitors’ sites,
shopping sites, articles and reviews, reference materials), specialized publications, state and
private media companies, marketing agencies, commercial databases, “IndexBox
Marketing” own research.
2. Analysis of Materials from Market Participants (price lists, brochures, etc.):
Data collection from market participants is needed to analyze the specifics of the market
and the parties involved in it, their pricing and assortment policy. Data on market
participants is gathered during the analysis of secondary information, and also by sending
requests for price lists and other presentation materials.
3. Expert Interviews with Market Participants
The analysis of secondary information is completed by expert interviews with
representatives of market participant companies – manufacturers and trading companies.
Our approach to the estimation
The consensus market forecast is the average value of the forecasts of market participants
(experts).
Experts
As market experts are considered: manufacturers, importers, wholesale distributors, high-
volume consumers, professional associations and unions, and trade publications. Expert
opinions are collected during telephone interviews conducted by IndexBox on a regular
basis (the standard is every six months, but can be more often, based on a special request
or under conditions of high volatility in the market). IndexBox has created an extensive
database of experts within key industries. The experts, participating in the survey, are
provided with special conditions on the purchase of the reports.
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Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
Accuracy of forecasts
The accuracy of forecasts is verified by experts in the given industry, based on the historical
period (3 years). In accordance with this accuracy, each expert weighs out the forecasts to
create the overall average forecast
Indicators
1. Consumption: Consumption is the main index estimated by our experts and features
the dynamics of consumption in real terms in the short to medium term. Experts give
an estimate of the potential volume of consumption in accordance with their
expectations and production plans (for manufacturers).
2. Internal production: It is based on the projected volume of consumption and production
capacity in any given industry, assessing, of course, and factoring in the dynamics of
domestic production.
3. Imports and Exports: Takes into account the retrospective dynamics of export-import
operations, strengths and weaknesses of the domestic production, changes in
legislation, the macroeconomic situation in the countries of the supplier (beneficiary) of
a product, an assessment of the dynamics of imports and exports.
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Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
Table of Contents 1. Executive summary
2. Research design
3. Description of dimensional lumber
4. Characteristics of the raw materials’ base
5. Technology of production of dimensional lumber
6. Characteristics of the Russian dimensional lumber market in 2005 - July 2012.
Forecast for 2012 - 2017
6.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian dimensional lumber market in 2005 - July
2011. Forecast for 2012 - 2017
6.2. Structure of the dimensional lumber market: production, exports, imports,
consumption
7. Characteristics of the domestic production of dimensional lumber in 2005 - July
2012. Forecast for 2012 - 2017
7.1. Volume and dynamics of the production of dimensional lumber in 2005 - July
2012
7.2. Production of mine lagging and bridge timbers for oil rigs
7.3. Structure of the production of dimensional lumber by regions of the Russian
Federation
7.4. Manufacturing capacities and their level of loading
7.5. Level of concentration of competition on the market
7.6. Main manufacturers of dimensional lumber and their corresponding market
shares
7.6.1. CJSC “Lesozavod 25”
7.6.2. CJSC "Novoeniseiskiy LHK"
7.6.3. OJSC “Lesosibirskiy LDK №1”
7.6.4. OJSC “Solombalskiy Lumber-Wood Processing Factory”
7.6.5. OJSC “UI LDZ”
7.6.6. OJSC "ONEZHSKIY LDK"
8. Characteristics of the prices of dimensional lumber
8.1. Dynamics of the manufacturers’ prices of dimensional lumber
8.2. Comparison of manufacturers’ prices of dimensional lumber by Federal Districts of
the Russian Federation
9. Characteristics of the imports of dimensional lumber to the Russian market
9.1. Volume and dynamics of the imports of dimensional lumber
9.2. Manufacturing countries, importing dimensional lumber to the territory of the
Russian Federation
9.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the dimensional lumber, imported to the
Russian Federation
9.4. Russian companies, recipients of the imports of dimensional lumber
9.5. Structure of the imports of dimensional lumber by regions of the Russian
Federation
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Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
10. Characteristics of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber
10.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber
10.2. Recipient countries of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber
10.3. Manufacturing companies, supplying dimensional lumber for exports
10.4. Sending regions of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber
11. Factors, influencing the development of the dimensional lumber market
11.1. State of the wood house building industry
11.2. State of the construction industry
11.3. State of the furniture industry
12. Characteristics of the consumption of dimensional lumber
12.1. Volume and dynamics of the consumption of dimensional lumber in 2005 - July
2012. Forecast for 2012 - 2017
12.2. Volume and structure of the consumption of dimensional lumber by Federal
Districts of the Russian Federation in 2005 - July 2012. Forecast for 2012 - 2017
12.3. Structure of the consumption of dimensional lumber by industries in 2005 - July
2012. Forecast for 2012 - 2017
13. Forecast for the development of the dimensional lumber market in 2012 -
2017
13.1. Evaluation of the potential volume of supply of dimensional lumber in 2012 -
2017
Appendix 1. Profiles of the leading manufacturers
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Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
List of Tables
Table 1. Volume and dynamics of the dimensional lumber market in 2005 - 2011 and
forecast until 2017, in thousands of cubic meters
Table 2. Production of dimensional lumber in 2005 - July 2012, in thousands of cubic
meters
Table 3. Dynamics of production of lagging mines in 2005 - 2011, in thousands of cubic
meters
Table 4. Volume of production of dimensional lumber by regions of the Russian Federation
in 2011, in thousands of cubic meters
Table 5. Characteristics of the manufacturers of dimensional lumber and their corresponding
market shares
Table 6. Volume of the imports of dimensional lumber by manufacturing countries in 2011,
in thousands of cubic meters
Table 7. Volume of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation by
manufacturing countries in 2011, in millions of USD
Table 8. Volume of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation by
manufacturing countries in January - July 2012, in thousands of cubic meters
Table 9. Volume of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation by
manufacturing countries in January - July 2012, in thousands of USD
Table 10. Volume of the imports of dimensional lumber by manufacturing companies in
2011, in thousands of cubic meters
Table 11. Volume of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation by
manufacturing companies in 2011, in millions of USD
Table 12. Volume of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation by
manufacturing companies in January - July 2012, in thousands of USD
Table 13. Volume of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation by
importing companies in 2011, in thousands of cubic meters
Table 14. Volume of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation by
importing companies, in millions of USD
Table 15. Volume of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation by
importing companies in January - July 2012, in thousands of cubic meters
Table 16. Volume of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation by
importing companies in January - July 2012, in thousands of USD
Table 17. Volume of the imports of dimensional lumber by regions of the Russian Federation
in 2011, in thousands of cubic meters
Table 18. Volume of the imports of dimensional lumber by regions of the Russian Federation
in 2011, in millions of USD
Table 19. Volume of the imports of dimensional lumber by regions of the Russian Federation
in January - July 2012, in thousands of cubic meters
Table 20. Volume of the imports of dimensional lumber by regions of the Russian Federation
in January - July 2012, in thousands of USD
Table 21. Volume of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber by recipient countries in
2011, in thousands of cubic meters
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Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
Table 22. Volume of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber by recipient countries in
2011, in millions of USD
Table 23. Volume of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber by recipient countries in
January - July 2012, in thousands of cubic meters
Table 24. Volume of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber by recipient countries in
January - July 2012, in millions of USD
Table 25. Volume of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber by manufacturing
companies in 2011, in thousands of cubic meters
Table 26. Volume of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber by manufacturing
companies in 2011, in millions of USD
Table 27. Volume of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber by manufacturing
companies January-June 2012, in thousands of cubic meters
Table 28. Volume of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber by manufacturing
companies in January-June 2012, in millions of USD
Table 29. Volume of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber by sending regions in 2011,
in thousands of cubic meters
Table 30. Volume of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber by sending regions in 2011,
in millions of USD
Table 31. Volume of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber by sending regions in
January - July 2012, in thousands of cubic meters
Table 32. Volume of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber by sending regions in
January - July 2012, in millions of USD
Table 33. Dynamics of construction works in 2008 - July 2012
Table 34. Dynamics of commissioning of residential buildings in 2008 - July 2012, in millions
of square meters.
Table 35. Consumption of dimensional lumber in 2005 - July 2012. Forecast for 2012 -
2017, in thousands of cubic meters
Table 36. Consumption of dimensional lumber in 2005 - July 2012 and forecast for 2012 -
2017, by industries, in thousands of cubic meters
Table 37. Forecast for the balance between supply and demand on the dimensional lumber
market in 2005 - 2017, in thousands of cubic meters
Table 38. Forecast for the development of the dimensional lumber market in 2005 - 2017,
in thousands of cubic meters
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Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
List of Figures
Fig. 1. Volume of supply on the dimensional lumber market in 2005 - 2011 and forecast for
2012 - 2017, in thousands of cubic meters
Fig. 2. Dynamics and structure of the dimensional lumber market in 2005 - 2011 and
forecast until 2017, in thousands of cubic meters
Fig. 3. Production of dimensional lumber in 2005 - 2011, in thousands of cubic meters
Fig. 4. Production of dimensional lumber in January 2010 - June 2012, in thousands of cubic
meters
Fig. 5. Production of dimensional lumber in January 2009 - June 2012, in %, to the
analogical period of the previous year
Fig. 6. Dynamics of production of mine laggings in 2005 - 2011, in thousands of cubic
meters
Fig. 7. Structure of the production of dimensional lumber by regions of the Russian
Federation in 2011 in physical terms
Fig. 8. Capacities for the production of dimensional lumber in 2005 - 2011, in thousands of
cubic meters
Fig. 9. Level of usage of the average annual capacities for the production of dimensional
lumber in 2005 - 2011, in %
Fig. 10. Indexes of the average manufacturers’ prices of uncut dimensional lumber in the
Russian Federation in January - December 2011
Fig. 11. Indexes of the average manufacturers’ prices of uncut dimensional lumber in the
Russian Federation in January - June 2012
Fig. 12. Dynamics of the average manufacturers’ prices of uncut dimensional lumber in the
Russian Federation in January 2010 - June 2012, deviation in %, to the analogical period of
the previous year
Fig. 13. Indexes of the average manufacturers’ prices of cut dimensional lumber in the
Russian Federation in January - December 2011
Fig. 14. Indexes of the average manufacturers’ prices of cut dimensional lumber in the
Russian Federation in January - June 2012
Fig. 15. Dynamics of the average manufacturers’ prices of cut dimensional lumber in the
Russian Federation in January 2010 - June 2012, deviation in %, to the analogical period of
the previous year
Fig. 16. Comparison of the average manufacturers’ prices of uncut dimensional lumber by
Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in June 2012
Fig. 17. Comparison of the average manufacturers’ prices of cut dimensional lumber by
Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in June 2012
Fig. 18. Dynamics of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation in January
- December 2011, in thousands of cubic meters
Fig. 19. Dynamics of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation in January
- December 2011, in millions of USD
Fig. 20. Dynamics of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation in January
- June 2012, in thousands of cubic meters
Fig. 21. Dynamics of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation in January
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Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
- June 2012, in millions of USD
Fig. 22. Structure of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation by
manufacturing countries in 2011 in physical terms
Fig. 23. Structure of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation by
manufacturing countries in 2011 in value terms
Fig. 24. Structure of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation by
manufacturing countries in January-May 2012 in physical terms
Fig. 25. Structure of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation by
manufacturing countries in January-May 2012 in value terms
Fig. 26. Structure of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation by
manufacturing companies in 2011 in physical terms
Fig. 27. Structure of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation by
manufacturing companies in 2011 in value terms
Fig. 28. Structure of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation by
manufacturing companies in January-May 2012 in physical terms
Fig. 29. Structure of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation by
manufacturing companies in January-May 2012 in value terms
Fig. 30. Structure of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation by
importing companies in 2011 in physical terms
Fig. 31. Structure of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation by
importing companies in 2011 in value terms
Fig. 32. Structure of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation by
importing companies in January-May 2012 in physical terms
Fig. 33. Structure of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation by
importing companies in January-May 2012 in value terms
Fig. 34. Structure of the imports of dimensional lumber by regions of the Russian Federation
in 2011 in physical terms
Fig. 35. Structure of the imports of dimensional lumber by regions of the Russian Federation
in 2011 in value terms
Fig. 36. Structure of the imports of dimensional lumber by regions of the Russian Federation
in January-June 2012 in physical terms
Fig. 37. Structure of the imports of dimensional lumber by regions of the Russian Federation
in January-June 2012, in millions of USD
Fig. 38. Dynamics of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber in January - December
2011, in thousands of cubic meters
Fig. 39. Dynamics of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber in January - December
2011, in millions of USD
Fig. 40. Dynamics of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber in January - May 2012, in
thousands of cubic meters
Fig. 41. Dynamics of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber in January - May 2012, in
millions of USD
Fig. 42. Structure of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber by recipient countries in
2011 in physical terms
Fig. 43. Structure of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber by recipient countries in
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Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
2011 in value terms
Fig. 44. Structure of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber by recipient countries in
January-May 2012 in physical terms
Fig. 45. Structure of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber by recipient countries in
January-May 2012 in value terms
Fig. 46. Structure of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber by manufacturing
companies in 2011 in physical terms
Fig. 47. Structure of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber by manufacturing
companies in 2011 in value terms
Fig. 48. Structure of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber by manufacturing
companies in January-May 2012 in physical terms
Fig. 49. Structure of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber by manufacturing
companies in January-May 2012 in value terms
Fig. 50. Structure of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber by sending regions in 2011
in physical terms
Fig. 51. Structure of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber by sending regions in 2011
in value terms
Fig. 52. Structure of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber by sending regions in
January-June 2012 in physical terms
Fig. 53. Structure of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber by sending regions in
January-June 2012 in value terms
Fig. 54. Dynamics of construction works in 2008 -2011, in billions of RUR
Fig. 55. Quarterly dynamics of the volume of construction works in 2008 - 2011, in billions
of RUR
Fig. 56. Volume of construction works in 2008 - 2011, in %, to the analogical period of the
previous year
Fig. 57. Dynamics of commissioning of residential buildings in the Russian Federation in
2008 - 2011, in millions of square meters
Fig. 58. Quarterly dynamics of the commissioning of residential buildings in the Russian
Federation in 2008 - 2011, in millions of square meters
Fig. 59. Commissioning of residential buildings and share of individual house buildings in the
total commissioned area in 1991 -2011, in millions of square meters of common area
Fig. 60. Structure of the volume of construction of residential buildings by subjects of the
Russian Federation in 2011, in thousands of square meters
Fig. 61. Dynamics of the consumption of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation in
2005 - 2017, in thousands of cubic meters
Fig. 62. Structure of the consumption of dimensional lumber by Federal Districts of the
Russian Federation in 2005 - 2011
Fig. 63. Structure of the consumption of dimensional lumber by industries in 2011
Fig. 64. Forecast for the balance between supply and demand on the dimensional lumber
market in 2005 - 2017, in thousands of cubic meters.
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Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
Executive Summary*
…
The volume of supply on the Russian dimensional lumber market in 2012 was almost …
tons, which is …% higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the
volume of imported products on the dimensional lumber market was …%.
The volume of production of dimensional lumber in 2012 was … tons, which is …% higher
than the volume of production in 2011.
The largest share (…%) of all dimensional lumber manufactured in the Russian Federation in
2012 belongs to the … Federal District.
In 2012, the import volume of dimensional lumber in Russia amounted to … tons in physical
terms and to … thousand USD in value terms.
In 2012, the volume of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber was … tons, which was
equal to … thousand USD in value terms.
…
*The information provided from this point on in this demo version is for illustrative purposes
only, so that you can get a general overview of how our reports look like. If you need more
information, you can contact us at: [email protected].
Key figures and
conclusions
about the market
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Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
6. Characteristics of the Russian
dimensional lumber market
...
6.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian dimensional lumber
market in 2007 - 2012. Forecast for 2012 – 2017
The volume of supply on the Russian dimensional lumber market in 2012 was almost …
tons, which is …% higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the
volume of imported products on the dimensional lumber market was …% of the total
market.
Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Fig. 1. Volume of supply on the dimensional lumber market in 2008 - 2012
and forecast for 2013 -2017, in thousands of tons (base scenario)
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Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
6.2. Structure of the dimensional lumber market in Russia:
production, exports, imports, consumption
The volume of imports of dimensional lumber in 2012 was about … tons, which was …% of
the total market volume. A more detailed analysis of the imports and exports is presented
below.
Table 6. Volume and dynamics of the dimensional lumber market in 2008 -
2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons
2009 2010 2011F 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F
Volume of production
In units … … … … … … … … …
In %, to
the previous
year
…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%
Volume of
exports In units
… … … … … … … … …
In %, to the
previous year
…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%
Volume of imports
In units … … … … … … … … …
In %, to the
previous
year
…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%
Volume of total supply
In units … … … … … … … … …
In %, to the
previous year
…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%
Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, Expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
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Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, Expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Fig. 6. Volume and dynamics of the dimensional lumber market in 2008 -
2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F
Production Consumption
Exports Imports
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Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
7. Characteristics of the domestic
production of dimensional lumber in
Russia in 2007 - 2012
…
7.1 Volume and dynamics of dimensional lumber production in
2007 - 2012
In 2011, the volume of production was higher than for the analogical period of the previous
year.
Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Fig. 8 Dimensional lumber production in 2007 - 2011, in thousands of tons
Characteristics of domestic production
- Volume and dynamics by type of
product
- Production capacities
- Structure of production
- Main producers and their market shares
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Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Fig. 9 Dimensional lumber production in 2011 - 2012, in thousands of tons and in
%, to the previous year
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Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
7.6 The main manufacturers of dimensional lumber and their
corresponding market shares
The main manufacturers of dimensional lumber in Russia in 2011 were Company A,
Company B, and Company C. They produced …, …, and … tons, respectively. They were
followed by Company D (… tons, equal to …% of the total production) and Company E (…
tons - …%).
Table 16. Characteristics of the largest manufacturers of pig iron in Russia in 2010
- 2011, in thousands of tons
Manufacturer Region
Production
of
dimensional
lumber, in
tons
Market
share
… … … …
… … … …
… … … …
… … … …
… … … …
… … … …
OTHERS … …
TOTAL … …
Source: Data (Company data), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
…
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Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
8. Characteristics of dimensional lumber prices 8.1. Dynamics of manufacturers’ prices of dimensional lumber
Manufacturers’ prices of dimensional lumber have been fluctuating a lot in the last 5 years – from … RUR/ton in 2007, through …
RUR/ton in 2009 to … RUR/ton in December 2012. In 2012, the prices were lower in …, when they were equal to … RUR/ton. They
reached their highest value in …, when they were … RUR/ton, which was …% more, compared to the analogical period of the previous
year.
Table 20. Average manufacturers’ prices1 of dimensional lumber in Russia in January 2007 – November 2012
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
In RUR/ ton
In RUR/ ton
In RUR/ ton
In RUR/ ton
In RUR/
ton
In % to analogical period of the
previous year
In % to December of the previous
year
In % to the
previous month
In RUR/
ton
In % to analogical
period of the
previous year
In % to December of the previous
year
In % to the
previous month
January … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%
February … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%
March … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%
April … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%
May … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%
June … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%
July … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%
August … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%
September … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%
October … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%
November … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%
1 Manufacturers’ prices – subject to registration, as a rule, are the actual prices of produced and shipped in the current month production for the domestic market (excluding value added tax, excise duty and other taxes not included in the cost).
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Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
December … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%
Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
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Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
9. Characteristics of the imports of
dimensional lumber to the Russian
market 9.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian imports of
dimensional lumber
…
The volume of Russian imports of dimensional lumber in 2011 was … tons. The largest
amount of dimensional lumber was imported in …, when were imported … tons.
Table 22. Dynamics of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian
Federation in January-December 2011, in tons
Month Quantity, in thousands of tons In %, to the previous month
January …
February … …%
March … …%
April … …%
May … …%
June … …%
July … …%
August … …%
September … …%
October … …%
November … …%
December … …%
Total …
Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
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Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Fig. 18. Dynamics of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation
in January-December 2011, in tons
9.2. Manufacturing countries, leading suppliers of the imported
dimensional lumber on the territory of the Russian Federation
Country A was the leader in terms of imports of dimensional lumber (in physical terms) in
2011, with a share of …% of the total. The country imported … tons of dimensional lumber
in 2011. The second place was taken by Country B, which in 2011 imported … tons of
dimensional lumber (a share of …%, respectively). In the third place was Country C with a
share of …%.
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Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Fig. 20. Structure of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation
by manufacturing countries in 2011 in physical terms
Table 24. Volume of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation
by manufacturing countries in 2011, in tons
Country of origin Net weight, in tons Share, in %
Country A … …%
Country B … …%
Country C … …%
Country D … …%
Country E … …%
OTHERS … …%
TOTAL … …%
Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
9.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the dimensional
lumber, imported to the Russian Federation
Company A was the leader in terms of imports of dimensional lumber (in physical terms) in
2011, with a share of …% of the total. The company imported … tons of dimensional lumber
in 2011. The second place was taken by Company B, which in 2011 imported … tons of
dimensional lumber (a share of …%, respectively). In the third place was Company C with a
share of …%.
25.0%
20.8%
16.7%
12.5%
8.3%
16.7%
Country A
Country B
Country C
Country D
Country E
OTHERS
Page 26 from 34 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Fig. 22. Structure of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation
by manufacturing companies in 2011 in physical terms
Table 26. Volume of the imports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation
by manufacturing companies in 2011, in tons
Manufacturing company Net weight, in tons Share, in %
Company A … …%
Company B … …%
Company C … …%
Company D … …%
Company E … …%
OTHERS … …%
TOTAL … …%
Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
25.0%
20.8%
16.7%
12.5%
8.3%
16.7%
Company A
Company B
Company C
Company D
Company E
OTHERS
Page 27 from 34 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
10. Characteristics of the Russian
exports of dimensional lumber 10.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports of
dimensional lumber
…
The volume of Russian exports of dimensional lumber in 2011 was … tons. The largest
amount of dimensional lumber was exported in …, when were exported … tons.
Table 31. Dynamics of the exports of dimensional lumber in the Russian
Federation in January-December 2011, in tons
Month Quantity, in thousands of tons In %, to the previous month
January …
February … …%
March … …%
April … …%
May … …%
June … …%
July … …%
August … …%
September … …%
October … …%
November … …%
December … …%
Total …
Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Page 28 from 34 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Fig. 27. Dynamics of the exports of dimensional lumber in the Russian Federation
in January-December 2011, in tons
10.2. Recipient countries of the Russian exports of dimensional
lumber
In 2011, the main recipient country of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber was
Country A. Its share in physical terms was …%. It was then followed by Country B (…%)
and Country C (…%). To Country D and Country E were exported …% and …%, respectively.
The combined share of the other countries is …%.
Page 29 from 34 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Fig. 29. Structure of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber by recipient
countries in 2011 in physical terms
Table 33. Volume of the Russian exports of dimensional lumber by recipient
countries in 2011, in tons
Recipient country Net weight, in tons Share, in %
Country A … …%
Country B … …%
Country C … …%
Country D … …%
Country E … …%
OTHERS … …%
TOTAL … …%
Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
…
25.0%
20.8%
16.7%
12.5%
8.3%
16.7%
Country A
Country B
Country C
Country D
Country E
OTHERS
Page 30 from 34 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
12. Characteristics of consumption
of dimensional lumber 12.1. Volume and dynamics of consumption of dimensional
lumber in 2008 - 2012. Forecast for 2013 - 2017
The volume of consumption of dimensional lumber in 2012 was … tons, which was …%
more, compared to 2011. In 2011 was noted the largest drop in the consumption of
dimensional lumber in recent years - a decline of …% to … thousand tons. Another decline in
recent years was observed in 2009, when the growth rate was …%, compared to 2008. At
the end of 2012, the consumption of dimensional lumber almost reached the level in 2010,
but the growth is not yet possible to reach the pre-crisis levels of 2007 - 2008.
According to forecasts, the favorable development of the consuming industries can help
consumption of dimensional lumber increase in the next few years with rates of …-…%
annually. Thus, by 2017, the consumption can reach … million tons. The demand for
dimensional lumber in the country will be met, as before, by the Russian manufacturers,
who account for over …% of the market.
Source: Data (“Rosstat”, expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Fig. 40. Dynamics of consumption of dimensional lumber in the Russian
Federation in 2008 – 2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands of tons
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Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
12.2. Structure of consumption of dimensional lumber by
industries
Currently, the largest shares in the consumption of dimensional lumber are taken by
Industry A (…%) and Industry B (…%). Industry C accounts for about … of the market,
while Industry D consumes about …% of the dimensional lumber in Russia.
Source: Data (“Rosstat”, expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Fig. 42. Structure of consumption of dimensional lumber by industries in
2012
35%
37%
10%
8%
10% Industry A Industry B
Industry C Industry D
Others
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Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
12.3. Balance between production and consumption of
dimensional lumber
In the forecasted balance between production and consumption are used estimates of the
consumption of dimensional lumber and projections for increase in production.
Throughout the forecast horizon, 2013 – 2017, there is a positive balance, calculated as the
difference between production and consumption. The surplus on the market, as before, will
be exported, mainly to the countries of the Customs Union, where most purchases are in
made in Kazakhstan.
Table 1. Balance between production and consumption on the
dimensional lumber market in Russia in 2008 - 2012 and forecast until 2017,
in thousands of tons
Indicator 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Production … … … … … … … … … …
Consumption … … … … … … … … … …
Balance
(Production-
Consumption)
… … … … … … … … … …
Source: Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Source: Analysis (“IndexBox”)
Fig. 47. Balance between production and consumption on the dimensional
lumber market in Russia in 2008 - 2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands
of tons
20082009
20102011
20122013F
2014F2015F
2016F2017F
Consumption
Production
Page 33 from 34 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru
Market Research Russia: Dimensional Lumber Market. August 2012 (Demo-version)
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