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Omnibus DA...................................................................2
Omnibus Shell..............................................................3
Omnibus Now................................................................8
Top of the Docket.........................................................11
Spending Link.............................................................12A2: Immigration Thumper...................................................13
Tax Extenders DA............................................................14
Tax Extenders U...........................................................15
Political Capital Internals...............................................17
Impact Scenario...........................................................18
Other Das...................................................................20
Obama Investing in Climate Change Solutions...............................21
Iran DA – Republicans Could Push Sanctions................................22
Winners Win Answers.......................................................24
Aff.........................................................................26
Political Capital NU......................................................27
Gridlock NU...............................................................30
No GOP Coop...............................................................31
Democratic Infighting NU..................................................32
GOP Unity NU..............................................................33
Omnibus – NU..............................................................35
Omnibus – No Shutdown Impact..............................................36
AUMF Answers..............................................................37
Terrorism Risk Insurance Answers..........................................40
Cybersecurity Answers.....................................................41
Tax Extenders Answers.....................................................42
Tax Credits Impact Answers................................................44
Surveillance Reform Answers...............................................47
Tax Reform – Bipart Key...................................................48
Tax Reform 2AC............................................................49
Other.......................................................................50
US Leadership Collapsing..................................................51
NASA Spending Brink.......................................................53
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Omnibus DA
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Omnibus is top of the agenda and will pass – failure to reach a deal causes a short-term continuing resolution
FP News Team 11/11“9 Ways Foreign Policy Will Dominate the Lame-Duck Congress”
[http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2014/11/12/9_ways_foreign_policy_will_dom
inate_the_lame_duck_113th_congress]
At the top of the lame-duck agenda is agreeing on how to fund the federal
government for the rest of fiscal year 2015, which began Oct. 1. To avoid a
shutdown, Congress passed a stopgap spending measure in September. The
continuing resolution, or CR, expires Dec. 11. At a minimum, Congress will
have to pass another short-term spending bill.¶ The preference on Capitol Hill
is for passing omnibus legislation -- a catchall measure expected to fund
most government operations at 2014 levels. That measure may also include newappropriations bills for the Defense, Veterans Affairs, and Homeland Security
departments, in addition to perhaps one or two other civilian agencies, before
Congress gavels the session closed on Dec. 17, said Todd Harrison, a defense
budget expert at the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments.¶ For 2015,
the budget caps negotiated a year ago by the House and Senate budget committee
heads, Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) and Sen. Patty Murray (D-Wash.), still apply.
Republicans don’t appear interested in reopening that debate in the lame-duck
session, Harrison said.¶ “They’d prefer to keep their powder dry” for the 2016
budget fight, Harrison said. For now, it looks like an omnibus spending
measure has a “good chance of passing,” he added.¶ If, however, a spending
agreement looks impossible to reach, Congress could try to pass a stand-alone
defense spending bill, but it is going to be difficult to get that done with so
little time left on the clock, Harrison said. If Congress is close to a deal,
but needs a few more days past Dec. 11, the result could be a very short CR. But
if a deal is out of reach, lawmakers will be forced to pass a CR that
stretches into January or February, if they want to avoid a government
shutdown.
The plan destroys Obama’s agenda (insert)That derails the omnibus – breaks down GoPs willingness to compromise
Bolton 11/12Alexander, “McConnell, Reid look for deal”
[http://thehill.com/homenews/senate/223803-mcconnell-reid-look-to-make-deal]
Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell (Ky.) and Democratic Leader Harry
Reid (Nev.) are both looking for a deal at the end of the 113th Congress.¶
The two party leaders, who have dueled for nearly a decade with Reid in the
majority and McConnell in the minority, are about to flip positions.¶ But before
they switch roles each man wants to craft a lame-duck agreement that allows his
party to claim some small measure of victory at the end of what has been an
otherwise dysfunctional legislative session.¶ McConnell wants to clear the
agenda of several “must-pass” bills so the new Senate Republican majority
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can start 2015 with a clean slate.¶ He’s ready to work with eid to pass
bills that have been stalled for months — as long as Democrats don’t try to
load up the December calendar with partisan legislation or controversial
nominations.¶ Reid, with just a few weeks left in the majority, has priorities of
his own. After a depressing election result, he wants to pass legislation to
keep the government open; provide new funds for the fights against Ebola and the
Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS); and confirm as many of President Obama’s
nominees as possible.¶ Both sides believe the veteran lawmakers can reach a
deal. ¶ A senior Democratic aide said brokering a deal with McConnell on
what will pass in the lame-duck period is possible if the GOP leader agrees
to move a bloc of nominees and pass an omnibus spending bill despite the
objections of conservatives.¶ “It depends, No. 1, on their ability to keep their
hard right in line so we can get an omnibus done. If they can do that, that will
help. And we need some kind of agreement that processes a lot of the nominees
without dragging them out,” the aide said of the GOP leadership. ¶ Republicans
believe Reid has incentive to compromise with them instead of attempting to
wear them down with a marathon lame-duck session because senators who justlost reelection, such as Sens. Mark Pryor (D-Ark.) and Kay Hagan (D-N.C.),
won’t want to hang around the Capitol while still feeling the sting ofdefeat.¶ A senior Republican aide said it’s likely Reid and McConnell will craft
an agreement to move a bloc of noncontroversial nominees, as usually happens at
the end of every Congress. But any Democratic bundlers or other political
patrons that Obama wants to reward will get blocked, the aide warned.¶ “ !t’s in
his interest to stick to the stu" that needs to get done and not fool around
with partisan e#traneous matters ,” said a senior GOP aide in reference to
Reid. “If he sticks to the essentials, everybody wants to do the essentials.”¶
McConnell faces some wild cards in Sens. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) and Mike Lee (R-
Utah), who argue outgoing senators should not finish a large chunk of their
legislative work now that they are no longer accountable to voters. They say
passing non-emergency bills before newly elected lawmakers have a chance to take
their seats subverts the democratic process.¶ “Why should we do anything on our
side?” said one senior GOP aide, reflecting the Tea Party view. “Why should we
agree to anything in the lame-duck? We should turn off the lights, head out the
door and come back when we have a bigger majority.” ¶ McConnell is signaling
to colleagues that he wants to pass legislation to keep the government
funded and to extend a variety of expired tax provisions.
Omnibus key to military readiness and tech dominance – ! guts it
Alexander 11/12David, “Pentagon Number two urges end to U.S. defense cut 'madness'”
[http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/11/12/us-usa-defense-budget-
idUSKCN0IW1GL20141112]
(Reuters) - U.S. Deputy Defense Secretary Robert Work on Wednesday appealed
to lawmakers to "stop the madness" of across-the-board Pentagon spending
cuts, saying they threaten U.S. military readiness and technological
dominance at a time of rising global challenges. ¶ Work, addressing a think-
tank defense conference, said unless Congress gave the Pentagon greater
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budgetary stability and certainty, it ran the risk of fielding a military
that was "increasingly misaligned with the strategic environment."¶ Work's
comments came as Congress, returning from a lengthy mid-term election break,
prepared to take up measures to authorize and fund U.S. defense activity in the
2015 fiscal year, which began on Oct. 1.¶ ¶ ¶ While the year has started, Congress
has not yet appropriated funding for the Pentagon, which has requested a
base budget of $496 billion plus overseas war and disaster money of more
than $64 billion. ¶ The government is currently funded through a resolution that
continues spending through Dec. 11 based on last year's priorities. Congress
will soon have to decide whether to approve 2015 appropriations or extend
the c ontinuing r esolution to keep the government running.
"uclear war
Frederick Kagan and Michael O’Hanlon 7, Fred’s a resident scholar at AEI,Michael is a senior fellow in foreign policy at Brookings, “The Case for Larger
Ground Forces”, April,
http://www.aei.org/files/2007/04/24/20070424_Kagan20070424.pdf
We live at a time when wars not only rage in nearly every region but
threaten to erupt in many places where the current relative calm is
tenuous. To view this as a strategic military challenge for the United
States is not to espouse a specific theory of America’s role in the world
or a certain political philosophy. Such an assessment flows directly from the
basic bipartisan view of American foreign policy makers since World War II that
overseas threats must be countered before they can directly threaten this
country’s shores, that the basic stability of the international system is
essential to American peace and prosperity, and that no country besides the
United States is in a position to lead the way in countering major
challenges to the global order. Let us highlight the threats and theirconsequences with a few concrete examples, emphasizing those that involve
key strategic regions of the world such as the Persian Gulf and East Asia, or
key potential threats to American security, such as the spread of nuclear
weapons and the strengthening of the global Al Qaeda/jihadist movement.
The Iranian government has rejected a series of international demands to
halt its efforts at enriching uranium and submit to international
inspections. What will happen if the US—or Israeli—government becomes
convinced that Tehran is on the verge of fielding a nuclear weapon? North
Korea, of course, has already done so, and the ripple effects are
beginning to spread. Japan’s recent election to supreme power of a leader
who has promised to rewrite that country’s constitution to support increased
armed forces—and, possibly, even nuclear weapons — may well alter the
delicate balance of fear in Northeast Asia fundamentally and rapidly.
Also, in the background, at least for now, SinoTaiwanese tensions continue to
flare, as do tensions between India and Pakistan, Pakistan and
Afghanistan, Venezuela and the United States, and so on. Meanwhile, the
world’s nonintervention in Darfur troubles consciences from Europe to
America’s Bible Belt to its bastions of liberalism, yet with no serious
international forces on offer, the bloodletting will probably, tragically,
continue unabated. And as bad as things are in Iraq today, they could get
6
http://www.aei.org/files/2007/04/24/20070424_Kagan20070424.pdfhttp://www.aei.org/files/2007/04/24/20070424_Kagan20070424.pdf
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worse. What would happen if the key Shiite figure, Ali al Sistani, were to die?
If another major attack on the scale of the Golden Mosque bombing hit either
side (or, perhaps, both sides at the same time)? Such deterioration might
convince many Americans that the war there truly was lost—but the costs of
reaching such a conclusion would be enormous. Afghanistan is somewhat more
stable for the moment, although a major Taliban offensive appears to be inthe offing. Sound US grand strategy must proceed from the recognition that,
over the next few years and decades, the world is going to be a very
unsettled and quite dangerous place, with Al Qaeda and its associated groups
as a subset of a much larger set of worries. The only serious response to
this international environment is to develop armed forces capable of
protecting America’s vital interests throughout this dangerous time.
#oing so re$uires a military capable of a wide range of missions — including not only deterrence of
great power conflict in dealing with potential hotspots in %orea& the Taiwan 'trait& and the PersianGulf but also associated with a ariety of 'pecial orces actiities and stabili*ation operations. For
today’s US military, which already excels at high technology and is increasingly
focused on re-learning the lost art of counterinsurgency, this is first and
foremost a question of finding the resources to field a large-enough standingArmy and Marine Corps to handle personnel intensive missions such as the ones
now under way in Iraq and Afghanistan. Let us hope there will be no such large-
scale missions for a while. But preparing for the possibility, while doing
whatever we can at this late hour to relieve the pressure on our soldiers
and Marines in ongoing operations, is prudent. At worst, the only potential
downside to a major program to strengthen the military is the possibility of
spending a bit too much money. Recent history shows no link between having
a larger military and its overuse; indeed, Ronald Reagan’s time in office
was characterized by higher defense budgets and yet much less use of the
military, an outcome for which we can hope in the coming years, but hardly
guarantee. While the authors disagree between ourselves about proper increases
in the size and cost of the military (with O’Hanlon preferring to hold defenseto roughly 4 percent of GDP and seeing ground forces increase by a total of
perhaps 100,000, and Kagan willing to devote at least 5 percent of GDP to
defense as in the Reagan years and increase the Army by at least 250,000), we
agree on the need to start expanding ground force capabilities by at least
25,000 a year immediately. Such a measure is not only prudent, it is also badly
overdue.
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Omnibus $ow
Omnibus legislation now
Scott Wong, 12-2-14, The Hill, “Reid Backs Boehner on Deal to Avoid Governmentshut-down, htt!"##thehill$com#news#%%&'(&-reid-)acks-)oehner-on-deal-to-avoid-shutdown
After two years of constant fighting, Republicans and Democrats are laying down
their arms and working to strike deals in the hopes of leaving town at the end
of next week.
While there are voices of dissent in both parties, congressional leaders appear
to be coalescing around legislation that would fund the government through
September, likely avoiding the shutdown fight that threatens to keep them
working through the holidays. On the other two agenda items lawmakers are
seeking to finish before the end of the year — a Defense authorization bill and
legislation renewing corporate tax breaks — tentative deals are also taking
shape. If the spirit of compromise holds, it could give GOP leaders in the House
and Senate what they have long wanted: a chance to “clear the decks” for their
new majority in January. The key issue is the government funding bill, and
Speaker John Boehner’s (R-Ohio) strategy for avoiding a shutdown and ending the
113th Congress won surprising support Tuesday from Senate Democratic Leader
Harry Reid (Nev.), who suggested the proposal would be “a big accomplishment.”
Reid’s support makes it much more likely that Boehner’s proposal of a
“cromnibus” could become law.
The Hill, 12-2, 14, htt!"##thehill$com#)lo*s#)lo*-)rie+in*-room#%%&(-o)ama-and-mcconnell-to-meet-wednesda.
House Republicans have said they are likely to pass an omnibus bill as well as a
measure that would only fund the Department of Homeland Security for the short-
term. Republicans believe the latter will give them some leverage over the White
House as they protest Obama’s executive action on immigration.
McConnell is still fresh off his successful bid to recapture the Senate for
Republicans and become Majority Leader. He was part of a post-election meeting
between congressional leaders and Obama in November.
/ake Sherman, 11-24-14, 0olitico,htt!"##www$!olitico$com#stor.#%(14#11#re!u)lican-leaders-shutdown-immi*ration-1114$html2h!3)1l%
House Republican leaders are beginning to coalesce around a strategy to avoid a government shutdown in less
than a month. The likely proposal would fund nearly the entire government through September 2015, butimmigration enforcement related funding would be renewed on a short-term basis, according to several high-ranking
GOP lawmakers and aides who described the plan as it stands now. The strategy is designed to keep the government
open, while satisfying the base, which is livid with President Back Obama for issuing an executive order that ends
deportations for millions of undocumented immigrants. Republican leaders have struggled to come up with a plan that
would satisfy both goals — of keeping the government open, while allowing members to express their anger at Obama.
GOP sources believe that keeping immigration funding on a short leash could be the answer. The short-term portion
would most likely expire sometime in the first quarter of 2015, sources said. The delay would give Republican leaders
more options to counter Obama’s executive order without inducing a government shutdown. In GOP circles, this plan
has taken on the name of “CROmnibus” — a combination of CR, the short-term funding bill, and omnibus, the longer-
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term way to fund the government that includes the 12 annual funding bills. Michael Steel, a spokesman for Speaker
John Boehner (R-Ohio), said no final decision has been made on how the House will move forward on the issue.
Jennifer Hing, a spokeswoman for the House Appropriations Committee, said, “Negotiations with the Senate
continue, and the committee has made significant progress on a full year, 12-bill omnibus bill. We expect to have that
bill ready for the floor the week of Dec. 8.” Congress returns to Washington Dec. 1, just 10 days before government
funding is set to expire, and Boehner and incoming Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) say they are
intent on avoiding a government shutdown. Obama’s executive action has inflamed conservatives, who believe he has
overstepped his constitutional authority. Some hard-line GOP lawmakers are calling for a showdown with Obama, but
Boehner and McConnell have no desire to relive the October 2013 government shutdown. McConnell, Boehner and
House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) said that the Republican-controlled Capitol Hill would stop
governing by crisis. Boehner last week, however, said that he has plenty of energy to fight Obama.
Cromnibus
Rebecca Shabad, 12-2-14, The Hill, “What is ‘cromnibus?”
http://thehill.com/policy/finance/225783-what-is-the-cromnibus
Both chambers of Congress on Tuesday appeared to be leaning toward movingsomething called a “cromnibus” to fund the government through next year.
The cromnibus isn’t some tasty new donut. It’s a combination of a long-term
omnibus spending bill and a shorter-term continuing resolution (CR). Here’s how
it would break down. Omnibus The omnibus portion of the spending package would
contain 11 appropriations bills that would fund most government agencies until
next September. The only agency that wouldn’t be included in the omnibus would
be the Department of Homeland Security. Republicans want to fund that department
for a shorter period of time so that they can wage a new battle next year over
President Obama’s executive actions on immigration. There's also a difference
between how an omnibus package and CR directs money to be spent.
Regular appropriations bills target funds to specific areas depending on current
needs and they're done on a line-by-line basis with much more oversight and
accountability, House Appropriations Committee spokeswoman Jennifer Hing said.
CRs, by contrast, merely carry forward previous spending levels and don't allow
for new programs to start or for new needs to be met.
CR
The CR would only fund the Department of Homeland Security until “sometime in
March,” House Appropriations Committee Chairman Hal Rogers (R-Ky.) said Tuesday.
It would be funded at the same level as its existing funding.
The Appropriations panel has not provided any further details about what the CR
would include, but it will likely not cut off any funding to immigration-related
services for now, despite the demands of some conservatives.
Would Obama sign a cromnibus?
White House spokesman Josh Earnest on Tuesday reiterated the president would
like to see Congress pass a long-term funding bill, but did not say whetherObama would sign or veto a cromnibus package that didn’t extend funding for the
Homeland Security agency through September.
Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.), however, signaled he could support
such a measure and would be open to bringing it to the floor if it passed in the
House.
“That would be a big accomplishment if we could get a bill over here that would
fund all the appropriations subcommittees except for one,” Reid told
reporters. “I think it's kind of unfortunate that they're talking about not
doing Homeland Security but that’s the way it is.”
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Senate Appropriations Committee Chairwoman Barbara Mikulski might also accept it
because it would at least preserve most of what she had been working on for the
omnibus.
%omentum for omnibus now
Jory Heckman , 11-28-14 Federal News Radio, “Continuing resolution or omnibus? Decision Looms for Congress as
Holiday Approaches,” http://www.federalnewsradio.com/153/3752258/Continuing-resolution-or-omnibus-Decision-
looms-for-Congress-as-holidays-approach DOA: 11-30-14
Appropriations leaders Sen. Barbara Mikulski (D-Md) and Rep. Hal Rogers (R-Ky) have both advocated for passing a
comprehensive omnibus bill that would incorporate the dozen appropriations bills that their committees have worked
on. Mikulski, the Senate Appropriations Committee chair, has said appropriators are making steady progress towards
an omnibus bill. David Hawkings, senior editor of Roll Call, said that with time running out, Congress may push out
something called a "cromnibus" bill.
Omnibus spending bill push now
The Main Wire, November 24, %(14
US Hill GOP Still Pondering Broad FY15 Spending Bill Strategy
A+ter several listless weeks, the 5ame Duck 6on*ress is on a week-lon* )reak +orThanks*ivin*, )ut when it reconvenes Monday congressional leaders must decide
what they can do to ee! the government "unded# The +ederal *overnment iscurrentl. o!eratin* under a sto!-*a! s!endin* )ill that e7tends until Decem)er11$ Re!u)licans leaders insist the. want to kee! the *overnment +unded, )utthe. also want to send a tou*h messa*e to their rank-and-+ile mem)ers and to0resident Barack 8)ama that his e7ecutive order on immi*ration will )e !unished$$or several wees, tals have been underway to cra"t an omnibus s!ending !acagethat combines the 12 annual s!ending bill and "unds the government "or the resto" the "iscal year# The %(1& +iscal .ear )e*an on 8cto)er 1, %(14 and e7tendsuntil Se!tem)er (, %(1&$ Senate A!!ro!riations 6ommittee 6hair Bar)ara9ikulski, Sen$ Richard Shel)., the rankin* Re!u)lican on the committee, HouseBud*et 6ommittee 6hair Hal Ro*ers, and Re!$ :ita 5owe., the rankin* Democrat onthe !anel, are scheduled to meet 9onda. to review e++orts to cra+t an omni)us)ill$
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mailto:[email protected]://www.federalnewsradio.com/153/3752258/Continuing-resolution-or-omnibus-Decision-looms-for-Congress-as-holidays-approachhttp://www.federalnewsradio.com/153/3752258/Continuing-resolution-or-omnibus-Decision-looms-for-Congress-as-holidays-approachmailto:[email protected]://www.federalnewsradio.com/153/3752258/Continuing-resolution-or-omnibus-Decision-looms-for-Congress-as-holidays-approachhttp://www.federalnewsradio.com/153/3752258/Continuing-resolution-or-omnibus-Decision-looms-for-Congress-as-holidays-approach
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Top of the DocketThe ;ashin*ton 0ost, 11-%, %(14Congress's bargaining chip, p. A26
TH% $&'ST order o" business "or (ongress when it returns "rom its Thansgiving brea will be reaching agreement on an omnibus a!!ro!riations bill to avoid a*overnment shutdown )e+ore +undin* e7!ires Dec$ 11$ Horse-trading between the
White House and the lame-duc (ongress will be an inevitable !art o" the !rocess, )ut we ho!e the !rice o+ kee!in* *overnment o!en won
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Spending &ink
Changes in spending le'el or new spending allocations killsomnibus budget agreement
Jory Heckman , 11-28-14 Federal News Radio, “Continuing resolution or omnibus? Decision Looms for Congress as
Holiday Approaches,” http://www.federalnewsradio.com/153/3752258/Continuing-resolution-or-omnibus-Decision-
looms-for-Congress-as-holidays-approach DOA: 11-30-14
Appropriations leaders Sen. Barbara Mikulski (D-Md) and Rep. Hal Rogers (R-Ky) have both advocated for passing
a comprehensive omnibus bill that would incorporate the dozen appropriations bills that their committees have
worked on. Mikulski, the Senate Appropriations Committee chair, has said appropriators are making steady
progress towards an omnibus bill. David Hawkings, senior editor of Roll Call, said that with time running out,
Congress may push out something called a "cromnibus" bill. "No kidding, that's the word that they're using — acromnibus," Hawkings said on In Depth with Francis Rose. "Just like how a Cronut is half-croissant and half-donut, a
cromnibus is some of the 12 bills that are some of the more politically controversial would be maintained as just
a CR — no changes in policy or funding levels, just running in place from last year." Congress will return from its
Thanksgiving recess on Dec. 1. Jessica Klement, legislative director of the National Active and Retired Federal
Employees Association, said she's unsatisfied with the continued procrastination from Congress. "It never ceases to
amaze me that they have been back for two weeks, they're out this week, and then they're back for two more weeks, and
still it appears that very little progress has been made on FY 2015," Klement said in an In Depth interview. Klement
told Francis Rose that, as far as she can tell, Congress has been working hard behind the scenes can get the omnibus
done. "As best as I can tell in conversations I've had with folks on the Hill, appropriations staff is very, very
busy, and their focus is an omnibus. And they are trying as hard as they can to get an omnibus done by Dec. 11 ,"
Klement said. "Maybe we'll have another short-term CR." Maddocks urged Congress to make the most of their brief
session in December. "I really hope they allocate a good majority of their time to the budget," she said. "People arealready scraping the bottom of the barrel to get their congressionally mandated goals missions and goals accomplished,
and it's a struggle to get it done at those levels."
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mailto:[email protected]://www.federalnewsradio.com/153/3752258/Continuing-resolution-or-omnibus-Decision-looms-for-Congress-as-holidays-approachhttp://www.federalnewsradio.com/153/3752258/Continuing-resolution-or-omnibus-Decision-looms-for-Congress-as-holidays-approachhttp://www.federalnewsradio.com/108/3749779/David-Hawkings-Senior-Editor-Roll-Callhttp://www.federalnewsradio.com/108/3749779/David-Hawkings-Senior-Editor-Roll-Callhttp://www.federalnewsradio.com/108/3749779/David-Hawkings-Senior-Editor-Roll-Callhttp://www.federalnewsradio.com/146/3750578/Jessica-Klement-Legislative-Director-NARFEhttp://www.federalnewsradio.com/146/3750578/Jessica-Klement-Legislative-Director-NARFEmailto:[email protected]://www.federalnewsradio.com/153/3752258/Continuing-resolution-or-omnibus-Decision-looms-for-Congress-as-holidays-approachhttp://www.federalnewsradio.com/153/3752258/Continuing-resolution-or-omnibus-Decision-looms-for-Congress-as-holidays-approachhttp://www.federalnewsradio.com/108/3749779/David-Hawkings-Senior-Editor-Roll-Callhttp://www.federalnewsradio.com/146/3750578/Jessica-Klement-Legislative-Director-NARFE
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A() !mmigration Thumper
!mmigration won’t block an omnibus bill
The Main Wire, November 24, %(14
US Hill GOP Still Pondering Broad FY15 Spending Bill Strategy
Some Re!u)licans have su**ested addin* a !olic. rider to an. omni)us s!endin*!acka*e that would )lock 8)ama +rom im!lementin* his e7ecutive order onimmi*ration !olic.$ But Democrats counter that this is tantamount to shuttin*down the +ederal *overnment )ecause the !resident would never a*ree to si*n sucha )ill$ Another idea that is )ein* reviewed care+ull. ). Re!u)licans is !assin*the omni)us s!endin* )ill in Decem)er to +und the *overnment as well as ase!arate )ill that would cut +unds +or an. o+ !ro*rams that would im!lement theimmi*ration e7ecutive order$ But it now seems that many congressional'e!ublicans want to a!!rove another sto!-ga! "unding bill in early )ecember andthen brace "or a tough battle with *bama early in the new year#
6.)er securit. )ill won=t !ass, 8)ama not !ushin*
>nside 6.)er Securit., :ovem)er %&, %(14U.S. Chamber keeps up pressure for cybersecurity info-sharing bill
The 6ham)erSTntelli*ence 6hairman 9ike Ro*ers @R-9>, who s!onsored the House version o+ thein+o-sharin* )ill, is holdin* a hearin* on Thursda. to hi*hli*ht advanced c.)er
threats and the need to !ass le*islation$ However, the !ros!ects "or thein"ormation-sharing legislation a!!eared to su""er a serious, !erha!s "atal,setbac on Tuesday when the Senate "ailed to advance a National Security +gencysurveillance re"orm bill$ That measure was stron*l. )acked ). !rivac. and civilli)erties *rou!s that are e7!ected to o!!ose an in+o-sharin* )ill in the a)senceo+ :SA re+orms$ The *bama administration has also e!ressed concerns about boththe Senate and House-!assed in"ormation-sharing bills, while o""ering su!!ort
"or the other measures on N&ST, )HS and securing "ederal networs# -- 6harlie9itchell @cmitchelliw!news$com
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Ta# *#tenders DA
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Ta# *#tenders +
,hite House will support the new deal on ta# e#tenders
Justin Sink, 12-2, 14, The Hill, “White House Signals Support for Tax Deal,”
The Hill, http://thehill.com/policy/finance/225740-white-house-signals-support-
for-one-year-tax-package
The White House on Tuesday signaled it might be able to support a tax deal that
would extend dozens of tax breaks for a year. The measure is gaining momentum
one week after the White House said President Obama would veto an earlier
package of tax cut extensions that Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.)
had been negotiating. That package would have made some of the tax cuts
permanent. White House spokesman Josh Earnest said the administration does not
have “as bad a view” of the emerging deal as it had of the previous one.
“There's a significant difference between taking one element of the tax code andextending it for one year, and making it permanent,” he said. “And that
certainly is a significant factor as we evaluate the proposals that are being
generated by both the House and the Senate." Asked specifically if the
administration would veto a one-year package of tax extension, Earnest
sidestepped.
“I didn't walk out here today planning to issue any veto threats, so I don't
think I'm going to,” he said. “We're hopeful that we'll be able to come up with
something that we believe is good for middle-class families.”
Earlier Tuesday, House Minority Whip Steny Hoyer (D-Md.) said he would back the
one-year House bill, although he said he preferred a two-year extension offered
by Senate Democrats.
$ew deal
Associated Press, 12-2-14, Republican American, “Congress crams unfinished
agenda into final days,” http://www.rep-
am.com/articles/2014/12/03/news/national/846753.txt
Tax 'extenders.' Dozens of tax breaks for individuals and businesses have
expired. An attempt to strike a deal between Senate Democrats and House
Republicans on permanently renewing some of these so-called extenders foundered
last week. Now, a one-year renewal seems most likely.
D ta# credit likely to be restored
Christina Marcos, 11-30-14, “Will Lame Duck Limp to Christmas?” The Hill,
http://thehill.com/homenews/house/225409-will-lame-duck-limp-into-christmas DOA 11-30-14
More than 50 tax credits expired at the end of 2013 that lawmakers want to renew by the end of the 113th
Congress. Internal Revenue Service Commissioner John Koskinen has warned that tax refunds could be delayed next
year if there isn't a decision soon. House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Dave Camp (R-Mich.) and Senate
Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) came close to a deal earlier this week, but it fell apart after the White House
threatened to veto the emerging $450 billion package. The Obama administration and other top Democrats thought
15
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the measure would renew more tax breaks benefiting corporations than average Americans. Among the credits
likely to be restored are the research and development credit, a provision to allow business to write off expenses
more quickly and the commuter tax credit to reduce workers' mass transit costs. Still at issue is whether some of those
credits will become a permanent part of the tax code.
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.olitical Capital !nternals
Ta# credits a hard sell
Andre Taylor, 11-30-14, Associated Press,
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2014/11/30/congress_crams_unfinished_agenda_into_final_days_124806.html
Congress Crams Unfinished Agenda Into Final Days, DOA: 11-30-14
The tax-writing committees are trying to renew a bundle of expired tax breaks
such as the deduction for state and local sales taxes and the research and
experimentation credit. Some, like tax credits for renewable energy projects
such as wind farms, are a hard sell for GOP conservatives, but eagerly sought by
Midwestern Republicans such as Sen. Charles Grassley of Iowa.
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advantage while lowering the risk of armed conflict. This is, after all, the nuclear age . A war could
end in the annihilation of all who take part in it . Short of that, unbridled animosity and contentionbetween great powers and their allies and friends have high opportunity costs and foster the tensions inherent in military posturing,
arms races, instability, and impoverishment.
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Other Das
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Obama !n'esting in Climate Change Solutions
Obama in'esting capital to control climate change
Neela Banerjee, 11-27-14, “EPA’s proposed ozone limit faces political, cost
hurdles,” http://www.latimes.com/nation/la-na-epa-ozone-rule-20141127-story.html
EPA already has air quality rules on the books and we are improving air quality," said Howard Feldman, director of
regulatory affairs at the petroleum institute. "So we don't need another layer on top of that, which is what a tighter ozone
standard would do." With major industries backing them, some in Congress are ready to battle President Obama over
the ozone limit. They are banking, in part, that he has little stomach for the fight, given that he shelved a tighter standard
in 2011 at the start of his reelection bid. "The administration only has so much political capital at its disposal. It has
made clear that controlling greenhouse gases is its legacy issue," said Scott Segal, a lobbyist for the energy industry in
Washington. "It is unclear that the administration has the bandwidth to sustain both rules." Proponents of the new limit
say the backlash the president suffered from supporters by ditching a new ozone standard three years ago would make
him more determined to stick with it now.
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!ran DA 1 epublicans Could .ush Sanctions
!ran talks continuing2 epublicans could sabotage with newsanctions
Leon Hadar, 11-26, 14, Business Times, Obama's foreign policy goals more distant
now, Obama's foreign policy goals more distant now;
With US global positions seen eroding, and the power of ISIS, Russia and China
rising, Republicans may be in a position to make it even harder for him to
achieve his aim, p. 1
The "ailure by the negotiators in ienna to reach a com!rehensive deal with &ran by the deadline that was set "or Monday night doesn.t mean that the di!lomatice""orts to !revent the &ranians "rom ac/uiring nuclear military ca!abilitieshave colla!sed# The Cnited States, to*ether with Russia, 6hina, rance, Britainand German. - the so-called &E1 - have alread. made some !ro*ress durin* the
+irst sta*e o+ the ne*otiations, reachin* an a*reement last .ear under which>ran a*reed to +reeFe !arts o+ its nuclear !ro*ramme in e7chan*e +or the li+tin*o+ some o+ the economic sanctions on Teheran$ And des!ite missin* the deadline+or a deal this week, all sides seem to )elieve that it would )e !re+era)le tocontinue the talks than allowin* them to colla!se$ 'e!orts suggest that thedeadline "or an agreement would be etended until the middle o" net year# CSo++icials have su**ested that their *oal o+ limitin* >ransraeli Democraticsenators, may be able to gain a two-third ma0ority in the Senate that wouldallow them to override the !resident.s veto# 8ne o+ the ar*uments that 9r 8)amaand his aides have em!lo.ed in su!!ort o+ im!rovin* relationshi! with >ran, has)een that Teheran and her Shiite allies in the re*ion could assist the Cnited
States and its ;estern allies in their current +i*ht a*ainst the Sunni radicalsthat lead the >slamic State o+ >raI and S.ria @>S>S that now controls lar*e!arts o+ S.ria and >raI$ But the 8)ama AdministrationS>S strate*. has also)een +acin* stron* criticism +rom the Re!u)licans on 6a!itol Hill who )lame the;hite House +or what onl. a +ew months a*o would have )een re*arded as a maorachievement - the swi+t withdrawal o+ American troo!s +rom >raI - +or creatin* astrate*ic vacuum in the re*ion that >S>S is now tr.in* to +ill$ The Re!u)lican+orei*n !olic. narrative de!icts the 8)ama Administrationran and the stren*thenin* o+ >S>S - asre+lectin* ?weakness? i+ not ?a!!easement? ). the ;hite House towards America
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a**ressive moves in Ckraine and 6hinaS>S,Russia, 6hina, and other real and ima*inar. adversaries, the 'e!ublicans may now
be in a !osition to mae it even more di""icult "or Mr *bama to !ursue his"oreign !olicy goals that seemed to )e realistic and achieva)le in %(('$
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,inners ,in Answers
,inners don’t win 1 their e'idence is only theoretical and
doesn’t assume Obama’s particular relationship with Congress3Drum, Mother Jones, 10-10-14 (Kevin, “Was Obama Naive?”http://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2014/10/was-obama-naive)
Paul Krugman has finally come around to a fair assessment of Barack Obama's term in office: not
perfect, by any means, and he probably could have accomplished more with
better tactics and a better understanding of his opponents. Still and all, heaccomplished a lot. By any reasonable standard, he's been a pretty successful liberal president.
Ezra Klein says this is because he abandoned one of the key goals of his presidency: From 2009 to
2010, Obama, while seeking the post-partisan presidency he wanted, established the
brutally partisan presidency he got . Virtually every achievement Krugman
recounts — the health-care law, the Dodd-Frank financial reforms, the financial rescue,
the stimulus bill — passed in these first two years when Democrats held
huge majorities in congress. And every item on the list passed over screaming Republican opposition . ....Obama spent his first two years keeping many of his policypromises by sacrificing his central political promise. That wasn't how it felt to the administration
at the time. They thought that success would build momentum ; that change
would beget change. Obama talked of the "muscle memory" congress would
rediscover as it passed big bills; he hoped that achievements would
replenish his political capital rather than drain it. In this, the Obama
administration was wrong , and perhaps naive. This is, to me, one of the most interestingquestions about the Obama presidency: was he ever serious about building a bipartisan consensus? Did
he really think he could pass liberal legislation with some level of Republican cooperation? Or was
this little more than routine campaign trail bushwa? To some extent, I think it was just the usual
chicken-in-every-pot hyperbole of American presidential campaigns. American elites venerate
bipartisanship, and it's become pretty routine to assure everyone that once you're in office you'll
change the toxic culture of Washington DC. Bush Jr. promised it. Clinton promised it. Bush Sr.
promised it. Carter promised it. Even Nixon promised it. (Reagan is the exception. Perhaps that's
why he's still so revered by conservatives despite the fact that his actual conduct in office was
considerably more pragmatic than his rhetoric.) So when candidates say this, do they really believe
it? Or does it belong in the same category as promises that you'll restore American greatness and
supercharge the economy for the middle class? In Obama's case, it sure sounded like more than pro
forma campaign blather. So maybe he really did believe it. Hell, maybe all the rest of them believed
it too. The big difference this time around was the opposition. Every other president has
gotten at least some level of cooperation from the opposition party.
Maybe not much, but some. Obama got none . This was pretty unprecedentedin recent history, and it's hard to say that he should have been able to predict this back in 2008.
He probably figured that he'd get at least a little bit of a honeymoon, especially given the
disastrous state of the economy, but he didn't. From Day 1 he got nothing except an adamantine wall
of obstruction. Clearly, then, Obama was wrong about the prospects for
bipartisanship. But was he naive? I'd say he's guilty of a bit of that, but the truth isthat he really did end up facing a hornet's nest of unprecedented
proportions. This might have taken any new president by surprise.
Obama doesn’t win 1 4osters 5O. backlash 1 *'en if the ,hiteHouse gets momentum2 they can’t capitali6eParnes 10-15-14 [Arnie Parnes, The Hill, "Where did it go wrong for Obama?"thehill.com/homenews/administration/220775-where-did-it-go-wrong-for-obama da
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11-7-14]cd
To be sure, the decline in Obama’s political fortunes cannot be blamed on the
kind of major scandal that has marred other modern second terms, such as
Watergate, Iran-Contra or the Monica Lewinsky affair. That leaves observers who
are sympathetic to Obama putting forth all kinds of explanations, even as
Republicans suggest the dwindling support for the president was both inevitableand overdue. Tony Fratto, who served as deputy press secretary to former
President George W. Bush, believes Obama’s second term was o'er before it
e'en started . He pinpoints the start of the problem as the “fiscal cliff”
negotiations in December 2012, the month before Obama would take the oath of
office for the second time. Obama won the tit-for-tat fight. But Fratto argued
that the president pushed epublicans so far into a corner on that occasion
that there was no possibility of them working with him on any other issue .
“He got what he wanted and that was clearly a victory for him,” Fratto
said. “But what I really don’t understand is why he thought the
relationship would improve after that. !t could only get worse 2 and it got
worse .” Democrats take issue with that characterization, contending that the
GOP has taken an obstructionist approach to Obama since he was first elected.
More broadly, senior administration officials disagree with any suggestion that
Obama’s second term has fallen flat. They point out that the president has
overseen an economy that has added 10.3 million jobs over 55 straight
months of employment growth, the longest streak in recent history. The
national unemployment rate fell to 5.9 percent in September, the lowest
figure since 2008. There is more to boast about than just the economy,
the officials add. When it comes to climate issues, the use of wind power
has tripled and solar power has increased tenfold, they say. And they
highlight Obama’s second-term work on healthcare, noting that 10.3
million previously uninsured Americans are now covered. But e'en former
aides to Obama are casting around for e#planations as to why his stock of
political capital has depleted so rapidly . “I’m still struggling to figure this
out,” said one former senior administration official. “I think a lot of it boils
down to this mindset that, ‘we all have the answers and we’re smarter than
everybody else and we can do this.’ ” This source said that the element of
hubris was exacerbated by the “level of insularity,” adding, “I don’t know if
the president has stopped trying or he’s tired of it but the White House seems
to be perpetually in a bunker mode.” A second former senior administration
official suggested that a lack of focus had allowed erstwhile priorities like
immigration reform and gun control to slip away. “With immigration, the
mistake was always letting other things become a bigger priority and notputting it [on the] front burner,” the second former official said. “Once it
passed the Senate, they should have kept their foot on the gas. There was a lot
more momentum at the time. “Once you put it off, it’s ove r,” the former aide
continued. “It should have never waited that long. It fell off the radar.”
Former officials and other observers agree that, above all, Obama has failed to
connect with the American public, particularly on big, unfamiliar issues such as
the rise of the Islamic State in Iraq
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A"
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.olitical Capital $+
!mmigration action killed capital
Global Risk Insights, 11-30, 14 “Four Consequences of Obama’s Immigration Action,” International Policy Digest
http://www.internationalpolicydigest.org/2014/11/30/four-consequences-obamas-immigration-action/ DOA 11-30-14
One of the more frequently-heard Republican responses to President Obama’s actions is that they destroyed any
chances for a bipartisan immigration reform bill next year. Whether this is true or not remains to be seen, but the
line is more likely an attempt to shrink the President’s political capital when it does come time to negotiate
reforms. The “prosecutorial discretion,” as the White House describes the action, to temporarily allow certain
undocumented workers to remain in the US without being deported, is more of an affront to Republicans simply
because the President circumnavigated them, rather than because of the action itself. Either way, the action is only a
stop-gap measure and will need to be addressed again. The heart of the immigration debate, and the two parties’
common ground, largely remains untouched. Any major negotiation legislation requires areas of agreement to get off
the ground followed by deal-making and cunning to get the rest of the way. The deals that would be made are still far
off, but the common ground of enhancing border security, visas for highly-educated workers, and some sort of qualified
path to citizenship remains. The biggest tangible threat that the President’s executive actions pose is the cost in
political capital. For a relatively tame action (in the scheme of the larger policy question), President Obama had
been forced to endure a week’s worth of negative sound bites – such as being called “King Obama.” Already in a
weakened position after the Democrats’ election loss, the political capital incurred for this executive order may
prove better used during negotiations over legislation.
$o capital
Hindustan Times, 11-17, 14,
http://www.hindustantimes.com/comment/anirudhbhattacharyya/act-fast-to-act-
east/article1-1286980.aspx Anirudh Bhattacharyya
At their encounter in Myanmar, Obama called Modi a “man of action”. Unlike Obama
who’s broke when it comes to political capital, the PM has plenty to expend.
That could be paid into turning the Act East policy into an Act Fast strategy.
Warren Roberts, 11-18, 14, “Healthcare in America isn’t ‘Stupid’”
http://blog.timesunion.com/roberts/healthcare-in-america-isnt-stupid/786/
It is clear to me now that President Obama used up more political capital on his
health-care plan than he could afford. His enemies in Congress have used clubs
to batter him, weaken his presidency, and compromise his initiatives in his last
two years in office. America is the loser in this outcome. Republicans aregleeful; historians will look back on all of this shaking their heads over how
it could have happened.
Arnold Ahlert, November 18, 2014, “Two More Years of ‘By Any Means Necessary,’
http://patriotpost.us/opinion/31019
And all of it is A-OK with the Times, which notes that “the back-to-back moves
have reinforced Mr. Obama’s desire to assert himself in a period when his poll
numbers and political capital are at their lowest ebbs. While losing Congress
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was a grievous blow that will further challenge his capacity to govern, advisers
said that he feels liberated. He can now pursue his long-term agenda, they said,
without being tethered to the short-term electoral concerns of his party’s
leadership in Congress.”
$o .CGolub, Communities Digital News, 11-10-14 (Eric, “How Barack Obamadestroyed his presidency,” http://www.commdiginews.com/politics-2/how-barack-
obama-destroyed-his-presidency-29502/#2hkgbUYYwTfTJ4Uy.99, accessed 11-13-1)
In 2004 Barack Obama rocketed onto the national scene with a political
speech for the ages. That one speech took an unknown Illinois Senator and propelled him tothe White House. His 2008 presidential run saw him travel to Germany to speak in front of 200,000
adoring fans. He accepted the Democratic nomination for president in front of Greek columns. When he
took his next trip to Germany, 196,000 fewer people showed up. Although he won reelection, by early
2014 the crowds had all but disappeared. His biggest supporters were walking out of his speeches
while he was still talking. Now his presidency has been reduced to ash es . The 2010
election was a “shellacking” for Democrats. (789 was a bloodbath .
Republicans now control the House , the Senate, and over 30 governorships .In 23 states Republicans control the governorship and both houses of the
state legislature. Obama’s biggest supporters still try to offer
scenarios where Obama can rebound and go out in a blaze of glory. A more
useful exercise would be to understand how a man who inspired so many
with “Change we can believe in” failed on such a spectacular le'el . His
errors were numerous , unforced, and most tragically of all, avoidable.
His 2009 inauguration speech — Presidential speeches are supposed to be
unifying and uplifting. Obama built his profile on soaring rhetoric . This
made is initial inaugural speech as head-scratching as it was petty,
partisan and nasty. He took repeated shots at his predecessor. For Obama, the
campaign never ended . This was the beginning of his undoing, as he turnedaway people who wanted to give him the benefit of the doubt. Refusing to
be honest with the American people — He made statements that he knew to
be untrue. He told Americans that if they liked their doctors and their
health plans, they could keep them. He promised the most transparent
administration in history and instead offered the most secretive. He took his bond
of trust with the American people and left it irreparably broken. Failing
to forge relationships — Obama at his core is an introvert who does not
like bonding with people. He is a devoted family man who prefers being home every night to
help his children with their homework. The presidency does not allow for this. Every president
faces the reality that congress consists of 535 people who require more
strokes than the average ego. Obama loves golf, but he hardly ever invites the key
political players to join him on the links. Obama joked recently that he would share some KentuckyBourbon with incoming Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell. The comment was well-meaning, but
Obama after six years has no idea what McConnell drinks. Democrat President Lyndon Baines Johnson
frequently shared adult beverages with Republican Senate Majority Leader Everett Dirksen.
Refusing to listen to the American people — Americans wanted improvements
in the healthcare system, but for the most part people were happy with
their own healthcare. Obama was convinced that the Affordable Care Act would become as
beloved as Social Security and Medicare, but those programs had popular support. The ACA never
reached 50% approval . Parts of it are liked, but the overall law was passed against the willof the people. Opponents benefitted by campaigning against it while supporters, even in 2012,
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refused to acknowledge its existence. Repeatedly insulting political opponents —
Obama tends to resort to school playground style “rankouts” to belittle
people who disagree with him . He is too quick to abandon the substance of
an argument and resort to tactics that deserve to be considered childish
bullying and beneath the dignity of the Oval Office. Obama on several
occasions has berated political opponents as they sat in the front row
listening to him. Injecting himself unnecessarily into racial
controversies — Whenever a conflict arises involving people of different races, Obamareflexively sides with the black individual without bothering to look at the facts. He claimed that
a white police officer “acted stupidly” when the evidence suggested otherwise. He sided with Trayvon
Martin and Michael Brown despite the facts showing that neither one of these men were blameless in
their respective situations. Obama on occasion has even ascribed racist motives to critics of his
policies. Letting ideology and politics trump policy — Obama had a carefully craftednarrative of a successful terror warrior who caught Osama bin Laden. On September 11th, 2012, al
Qaeda Islamists stormed the United States Consulate in Benghazi, Libya. Ambassador Chris Stevensand a pair of Navy SEALs were among four murdered Americans who might have been saved if the help
they requested had arrived. An order for rescuers to stand down condemned four Americans to certain
death. The administration refuses to say who gave the stand down order. Making matters worse, the
administration blamed well-coordinated Islamist attacks on a film-maker who made an anti-Muslim
video that virtually nobody ever saw. The film-maker still sits in jail as the administration keeps
witnesses hidden from the media and the general public. Perceived weakness abroad — From
enemies of America including Iran to strategic opponents such as Russia,
America has allowed aggression to go unchecked. Cuba, North Korea, Afghanistan andMexico all held American prisoners hostage as the administration seemed helpless to bring them home.
This tactic of kidnapping Americans and holding them hostage did not happen when Obama’s predecessor
was in charge. The American public does not like being publicly emasculated.
They take particular umbrage at determining, fairly or not, that their
president is either too feeble or too uninterested to bring Americans
safely home. Personal targeting of political opponents — The Obama
administration used the IRS to target Tea Party groups, pro-Israel groups and
other groups participating legally in the political process. The Department of
Justice raided Gibson Guitar, whose only sin seems to be donating money to candidates who disagreewith Obama. Journalists have been spied upon, with Fox News reporter James Rosen being targeted for
conspiracy. The National Security Agency has even been caught spying on United States Senators and
ordinary Americans. President Obama was not a victim of circumstance. He was not a
victim of bigots. He was not a victim at all. He made conscious choices . He chose to
target political opponents , demonize legitimate critics personally, put
politics over human lives, and use coercion and falsehoods to pass
unpopular legislation. On top of everything else, his policies from the
stimulus to green energy bankruptcies to foreign policy debacles have
just failed. It took six years, but Obama’s obsessive desire to win at all
costs ended up wrecking his own presidency .
Obama has no PC
South Coast Today 11/13 (Our View, 2014, “Our View: No more games onimmigration”,
http://www.southcoasttoday.com/article/20141113/OPINION/141119722/101229)
If President Obama ignores that first word — “Together” — he risks losing any
hope for reform in the next two years in a country that can waste no time in
getting it. The president has felt the pressure to do something where Congress
has so far failed, but he decided to let the election play out before making any
dramatic changes through executive order. That strategy might have been
misguided . Instead of keeping that hot issue from interfering with Democrats’
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prospects on Nov. 4, a Republican-majority with a decidedly negative view toward
executive orders awaits him in the next session. The majority leadership for
that next session has already informed the president and the public of its
displeasure with that approach. Obama has run out of political capital on this
subject, and if he wants to see reform — not to contribute to his legacy, but to
do what’s best for the country — he should put the pen down . Instead, he shouldlisten, talk, and listen some more.
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$o 5O. Coop
$o oli'e branch2 Obama bucking the 5O.
David 5i*htman, 11-%', 5ewiston 9ornin* Tri)une @>daho, %(14
Obama charts anti-GOP course :President is ignoring the GOP's landslide
victories on Nov. 4
0resident Barack *bama has s!ent November acting with a de"iant "ury, movin*with little re*ard +or the messa*e voters sent at the !olls$ &nstead o" reachingout to 'e!ublicans who won control o+ ne7t .ear
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Democratic !n:ghting $+
Democrat in:ghting now
David Milbans, 11-2, :orth 0ort Sun @lorida, ;ashin*ton 0ost 6olumnist,
:ovem)er %, %(14, Democrats' family feud is counterproductive, p. 11
;ith Democrats actin* like this, who needs Re!u)licans2 6huck Schumer, the No# 5Senate )emocratic leader who would ver. much like to )e :o$ 1, caused a "urorlast wee when he *ave a s!eech at the :ational 0ress 6lu) )ashin* +ellowDemocrats and the ;hite House$ He said that )emocrats "ocused on the wrong
!roblem when they !assed *bamacare and that the wa. the. handled stimulusle*islation was a ?mistake$ +s i" by way o" re!ly, the White House announcedthe same day that it would veto a 6447 billion ta bill the Senate )emocraticleadershi! had negotiated with 'e!ublicans$ Meanwhile, "ormer White Houseo""icials
who serve as surro*ate de+enders o+ 0resident 8)ama went a"ter Schumer
on Twitter$ ormer 8)ama aide Tomm. Nietor" ?Shorter 6huck Schumer -- > wish8)ama cared more a)out hel!in* Democrats than sick !eo!le$ ormer 8)amas!eechwriter /on avreau" ?unn., > don
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5O. +nity $+
5O. in:ghting non-uni;ue
David Milbans, 11-2, :orth 0ort Sun @lorida, ;ashin*ton 0ost 6olumnist,
:ovem)er %, %(14, Democrats' family feud is counterproductive, p. 11
The Democrats< circular +irin* sIuad is all the more !uFFlin* )ecause this is atime when Re!u)licans, now with uni+ied control o+ 6on*ress, should )e the !art.stru**lin* with internal stri+e, )etween hard-liners seekin* ma7imum disru!tionand those takin* seriousl. their o)li*ation to *overn$ There were si*ns o+ that+issure in recent da.s a+ter the House &ntelligence (ommittee, controlled by'e!ublicans, released a declassi"ied re!ort essentially debuning all thecons!iracy theories conservatives had been cooing u! about the %(1% attacks onC$S$ !ersonnel in 9engha:i, 5i).a$ The !anel +ound that ?a!!ro!riate C$S$!ersonnel made reasona)le tactical decisions that ni*ht, and the committee +oundno evidence that there was either a stand-down order or a denial o+ availa)le
air su!!ort$? The G80-led !anel +urther +ound that ?there was no intelli*ence+ailure !rior to the attacks? and that while the 8)ama administration
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Omnibus 1 $+
!mmigration blocking omnibus legislation
The Main Wire, November 24, %(14US Hill GOP Still Pondering Broad FY15 Spending Bill Strategy
9ut the !ush "or an omnibus s!ending bill clearly has been slowed by *bama.sdecision last wee to issue a broad eecutive order on immigration !olic.$6on*ressional Re!u)licans had warned the !resident +or weeks that issuin* suchan order would dama*e his relationshi! with Re!u)licans in 6on*ress and havelon*-term im!lications$ House S!eaker /ohn Boehner and Senate Re!u)lican leader9itch 9c6onnell, who will )ecome the Senate 9aorit. 5eader ne7t .ear, must nowwei*h what actions the. will take$ At a )rie+in* rida., 9oehner said House'e!ublicans will rise to this challenge on immigration, declaring We will notstand idle as the !resident undermines the rule o" law in our country and !laces
lives at ris# ;hen asked s!eci+icall. a)out his !lans on s!endin* le*islation,Boehner was evasive$ ?;e will sa. to .ou, the House will, in +act,act,? Boehner said$ Boehner and 9c6onnell will meet with their res!ectivecaucuses Decem)er %, and the to! item on the a*enda will )e the O %(1& +undin*)ill$ Several *3 lawmaers and sta++ers have said the. think *bama.simmigration order maes it di""icult to secure 'e!ublican su!!ort "or an omnibuss!ending bill that "unds the government "or the rest o" the "iscal year# Theysay an increasingly realistic o!tion is !assing another sto!-ga! bill that +undsthe *overnment until earl. in %(1& -- when Re!u)licans +ull. control 6on*ress$>n the current 5ame Duck session, Re!u)licans control the House and Democratsare the maorit. !art. in the Senate$ The 114th 6on*ress )e*ins /anuar. $
$o omnibus bill now2 short-term e#tension
Bur*ess verett,9anu Rau, 11-%4,0olitico, ;amest lame duck
But those are hardl. all the challen*es at the )e*innin* o+ the .ear# *bama.sannouncement last wee to shield < million undocumented immigrants "romde!ortation has enraged 'e!ublicans, who now warn that it could scuttle e""ortsnet month to !ass a long-term s!ending bill through Se!tember$ :ow, it a!!ears,a short-term s!ending measure until mid-$ebruary seems an increasingly lielyo!tion, allowin* newl. em!owered Re!u)licans to use the !ower o+ the !urse totie 8)ama
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Omnibus 1 $o Shutdown !mpact
C at worst
Jory Heckman , 11-28-14 Federal News Radio, “Continuing resolution or omnibus? Decision Looms for Congress as
Holiday Approaches,” http://www.federalnewsradio.com/153/3752258/Continuing-resolution-or-omnibus-Decision-
looms-for-Congress-as-holidays-approach DOA: 11-30-14
With the latest continuing resolution set to expire at midnight on Dec. 12, all eyes are on Capitol Hill's next big decision
— whether to pass another short-term continuing resolution, rush to pass a more comprehensive omnibus bill or perhaps
push through a hybrid funding bill. The question for most budget experts is what Congress will have time to do before
the upcoming holiday season. "Suppose we get through Dec. 11, but for how long will Congress extend the budget and
the authority to spend? We may be going through these brinkmanship games on-and-off for a long time," Don Kettl,
professor at the University of Maryland School of Public Policy, told Tom Temin in a Federal Drive interview. Katie
Maddocks, governmental affairs representative for the Federal Managers Association, said that whatever happens,
another government shutdown seems unlikely. "When that happened last time, too much was at stake. Our economy
suffered greatly. We cannot let that happen again," Maddocks said in an In Depth with Francis Rose interview. "No one
in the federal workforce wants to start the holiday season with a government shutdown. If we have to take it, we'll do
the CR. We want government to keep being funded, but in the long run, this is going to catch up on this. This isn't how
we manage the federal budget."
37
mailto:[email protected]://www.federalnewsradio.com/153/3752258/Continuing-resolution-or-omnibus-Decision-looms-for-Congress-as-holidays-approachhttp://www.federalnewsradio.com/153/3752258/Continuing-resolution-or-omnibus-Decision-looms-for-Congress-as-holidays-approachhttp://www.federalnewsradio.com/146/3749261/Don-Kettl-School-of-Public-Policy-University-of-Marylandhttp://www.federalnewsradio.com/146/3749261/Don-Kettl-School-of-Public-Policy-University-of-Marylandhttp://www.federalnewsradio.com/146/3750579/Katie-Maddocks-Federal-Managers-Associationhttp://www.federalnewsradio.com/146/3750579/Katie-Maddocks-Federal-Managers-Associationmailto:[email protected]://www.federalnewsradio.com/153/3752258/Continuing-resolution-or-omnibus-Decision-looms-for-Congress-as-holidays-approachhttp://www.federalnewsradio.com/153/3752258/Continuing-resolution-or-omnibus-Decision-looms-for-Congress-as-holidays-approachhttp://www.federalnewsradio.com/146/3749261/Don-Kettl-School-of-Public-Policy-University-of-Marylandhttp://www.federalnewsradio.com/146/3750579/Katie-Maddocks-Federal-Managers-Association
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A+%4 Answers
$o A+%4 until ne#t year
Alexander Bolton, 11-30, 14 “Incoming Senators call for debate on fighting Islamic militants,” The Hill,
http://thehill.com/policy/defense/225539-incoming-senators-call-for-debate-on-fighting-isis DOA: 11-30-14
“I think it would probably be wise so that you move forward again,” Tillis said.
“The president and the Congress need to find opportunities to show some way of
coming together. “That would be a show of good faith from the president and I
think it would give Congress more confidence they’re part of the process,” he
added. Tillis said he would vote for a use-of-force resolution. Senate leaders
are not inclined to vote on the issue before the year’s end and Speaker John
Boehner (R-Ohio) says it should wait until next year.
Obama won’t spend capital to get an A+%4Meghan Foley, 11-2-14, “Obama’s Legacy: Eschewing Congress When Using Military Force,”
http://wallstcheatsheet.com/politics/obamas-legacy-eschewing-congress-when-using-military-force.html/?a=viewall
This document authorized the president to invade Afghanistan and pursue the Al
Qaeda operatives who orchestrated 9/11 and the Taliban rulers who sheltered and
aided those terrorists. U.S. officials have widely used the AUMF as
justification for continuing U.S. military actions all over the world, applying
the authorization to any group with previous associations to al Qaeda. Obama
began his presidency calling for the repeal of the 2001 authorization, with his
administration dwelling on how his predecessor used the document as “an excuse
to kidnap hundreds of people — guilty and blameless people alike — and throw
them into secret prisons where many were tortured,” noted the editorial board ofThe New York Times. Bush “used it as a pretext to open the Guantánamo Bay camp
and to eavesdrop on Americans without bothering to obtain a warrant. He claimed
it as justification for the invasion of Iraq, twisting intelligence to fabricate
a connection between Saddam Hussein and the 9/11 attacks.”
In a key speech in May 2013 at the National Defense University, Obama expressed
his intention to “engage Congress about the existing Authorization to Use
Military Force, or AUMF, to determine how we can continue to fight terrorism
without keeping America on a perpetual wartime footing.” But this year that
desire was eclipsed by the pressing need to find a strategy to handle the rise
of ISIL. According to Goldsmith, the president — who had believed the AUMF
should be construed narrowly — interpreted that authorization to say that in
2001 Congress gave him the power to use force against the Islamic State in 2013,
even though the organization did not exist in 2001. The predecessor to the groupdid exist, but even so, Goldsmith argued there is no way it could be seen as a
co-belligerent. Still, the Obama administration has suggested that AUMF covers
any group with a thread of connection to al Qaeda. “If a past nexus is now all
that is required, the door may be opened to applying the AUMF to any situation
in which members of some new entity have substantial prior ties to AQ or an AQ
associated force,” wrote Robert Chesney for a Lawfare piece. Given the sprawling
social network that undergirds the larger salafist jihadi movement, and the
constant froth of new groups and entities that movement produces (often building
38
http://thehill.com/policy/defense/225539-incoming-senators-call-for-debate-on-fighting-isishttp://thehill.com/policy/defense/225539-incoming-senators-call-for-debate-on-fighting-isishttp://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/10/opinion/sunday/repeal-the-authorization-for-use-of-military-force-law.htmlhttp://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2013/05/23/remarks-president-national-defense-universityhttp://www.lawfareblog.com/2014/09/the-2001-aumf-from-associated-forces-to-disassociated-successor-forces/http://thehill.com/policy/defense/225539-incoming-senators-call-for-debate-on-fighting-isishttp://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/10/opinion/sunday/repeal-the-authorization-for-use-of-military-force-law.htmlhttp://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2013/05/23/remarks-president-national-defense-universityhttp://www.lawfareblog.com/2014/09/the-2001-aumf-from-associated-forces-to-disassociated-successor-forces/
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from the remains of earlier groups and entities), this is a somewhat daunting
prospect.”
Obama has again committed to repealing the AUMF and pledged to ask Congress for
new war power authorizations to fight ISIL, a conflict that has already cost
more than half a million dollars and brought more than 1,400 troops to Iraq. A
new authorization is what Senator Rand Paul wants, but that will not reverse thevast expansion of war powers undertaken by the Obama administration. Sure, the
allocation of war powers has changed over the past two hundred plus years of
American history. Yet Goldsmith does not see Obama’s actions as part of the
evolutionary process of the powers to wage war. He sees a president whose legacy
will serve as a dangerous precedent. Obama pledged to end large-footprint wars
of his predecessors and replace them with “war from a distance,” which include
the use of drone strikes and cyber war. His actions in Libya carved out a legal
space where airstrikes — the primary tool of “war from a distance” — do not
constitute hostilities, Goldsmith argued.
In Goldsmith’s opinion, Obama has been pushed to expand his war powers because
of his failures as a leader, noting the president has no interest in expending
political capital necessary to debate his position to the point Congress will
offer its support. Other presidents have faced a “recalcitrant” Congress like
Eisenhower and the first Bush, he concluded, but they did not use that as an
excuse. “The Constitution is a permanent challenge to presidential leadership,”
wrote presidential scholar Arthur Schlesinger Jr. in his book, The Imperial
Presidency. “It is a test of a President’s capacity to persuade Congress and the
people that his policies make sense.”
Read more: http://wallstcheatsheetcom/politics/o!amas"le#ac$"eschewin#"con#ress"when"%sin#"militar$"
forcehtml/&a'(iewall)i*++3,po,h,m2
.resident ne'er has 6ero capital
0aul 8engor, 11-28, 14 is !ro+essor o+ !olitical science and e7ecutive director
o+ The 6enter +or Nision P Nalues at Grove 6it. 6olle*e, The Hillsdale DailyNews, The Mid-Term Election; Is President Obama still relevant?, p. 4
This )e*s the trillion-dollar Iuestion" >s 8)ama still relevant2 Given the trul.historic !ro!ortion o+ this Re!u)lican victor., is Barack 8)ama a)out to )ecomethe lamest o+ lame-ducks2 9e"ore 'e!ublicans get too ecited, & would cautionthat a !resident is never irrelevant, sim!ly due to the sheer !ower o" theo""ice# We don.t call it the 9ully 3ul!it "or nothing# There are !lenty o"
muscles "or the commander-in-chie" to "le, even i+ the o!!osin* !art. runs the+itness center$> would !oint conservatives to anota)le e7am!le +rom their!residential icon, Ronald Rea*an$ Si7 .ears into his !residenc., in 1'L, Ronald
39
http://www.lawfareblog.com/2013/05/the-presidents-press-conference-and-presidential-leadership/http://wallstcheatsheet.com/politics/obamas-legacy-eschewing-congress-when-using-military-force.html/?a=viewall#ixzz3KpoKhKm2http://wallstcheatsheet.com/politics/obamas-legacy-eschewing-congress-when-using-military-force.html/?a=viewall#ixzz3KpoKhKm2http://wallstcheatsheet.com/politics/obamas-legacy-eschewing-congress-when-using-military-force.html/?a=viewall#ixzz3KpoKhKm2http://www.lawfareblog.com/2013/05/the-presidents-press-conference-and-presidential-leadership/http://wallstcheatsheet.com/politics/obamas-legacy-eschewing-congress-when-using-military-force.html/?a=viewall#ixzz3KpoKhKm2http://wallstcheatsheet.com/politics/obamas-legacy-eschewing-congress-when-using-military-force.html/?a=viewall#ixzz3KpoKhKm2http://wallstcheatsheet.com/politics/obamas-legacy-eschewing-congress-when-using-military-force.html/?a=viewall#ixzz3KpoKhKm2
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'eagan.s !arty liewise lost the Senate, and again lost the House# +nd yet,'eagan.s "inal two years were rich with success#
$o A+%4 in the lame duck
Bur*ess verett,9anu Rau, 11-%4,0olitico, ;amest lame duck,http://www.politico.com/story/2014/11/lame-duck-session-congress-113125.html
A num)er o+ incomin* G80 committee chairmen !re+er that Democrats !unt in orderto *ive Re!u)licans !art. more !ower to sha!e le*islation in the ne7t 6on*ress$But not ever. Democrat is relentin*$ ven though both !arties e!ect votes netyear over an authori:ation o" military "orce in the war against &S&;, :ew /erse.Democratic Sen$ Bo) 9enendeF, who chairs the Senate orei*n Relations committee,isn
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Terrorism isk !nsurance Answers
!n:ghting blocks terrorism risk insurance
Kevin Cirilli, 12-2-14, The Hill,
http://thehill.com/policy/finance/overnights/225781-overnight-finance-long-term-
terror-insurance-in-trouble
TOMORROW STARTS TONIGHT: HENSARLING BLASTS SENATE DEMS ON TERROR
INSURANCE. House Financial Services Committee Chairman Jeb Hensarling (R-Texas)
is accusing Senate Democrats of refusing to negotiate on reauthorizing
Congress’s terrorism insurance program (TRIA). Lawmakers must act before the end
of the year or the program will expire You already know: TRIA allows the federal
government to front costs for businesses after a massive terror attack, but
Hensarling says that puts taxpayers at risk for hundreds of millions of dollars.
Hensarling says Senate Dems are hurting chances for a long-term reauthorization.Business groups oppose any short-term measure, arguing that it will only lead to
economic uncertainty. But critics of the program see a short-term
reauthorization as a way to gain leverage to push reforms.
$o terrorism risk insurance
Associated Press, 12-2-14, Republican American, “Congress crams unfinished
agenda into final days,” http://www.rep-
am.com/articles/2014/12/03/news/national/846753.txt
Terrorism risk insurance. The federal government's terrorism risk insurance
program expires at the end of the year and its renewal is important to economicsectors such as construction and hospitality. Chances are iffy at best for a
long-term renewal.
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Cybersecurity Answers
$o action on cyber security in the lame duck
/ohn 9$ )onnelly, 12-1, 14, 6Q Roll 6all, 6on*ressional Quarterl. :ews, Decem)er1, %(14
113th Congress Faces December Dash on Defense
;e
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Ta# *#tenders Answers
Obama 'eto threat kills deal on ta# e#tenders
The rontrunner, :ovem)er %L, %(14Obama Threatens To Veto Emerging Agreement On Extending Tax Breaks
0resident *bama has threatened to veto an agreement )ein* ne*otiated ). House