IMPATTI DEI SISTEMI ENERGETICI
ED ELEMENTI COMPARATIVI
Emanuele Negrenti ENEA - FSN II Workshop Nazionale Simulazione Sistema Energetico Sessione 4 5 LUGLIO 2016
SUSTAINABILITY
‘Sustainability’ - according to principles established at EU level - is based on three fundamental pillars:
• Environmental quality
• Societal issues
• Economic growth
Impacts of/on the Energy System
• The impacts of the Energy System can be significantly increased by accidents caused by technical failures, human errors/malicious actions, and extreme natural events
• The modelling of ES Impacts is linked to the consideration of these events/phenomena
• Today we describe a bit models for extreme natural events
Some Environmental issues
• Air – Water – Soil – Food pollution due to emissions of dangerous substances (mostly from production and usage of energy)
• Global effects due to emissions of greenhouse gases (CO2, CH4, N2O…) (same remark)
• Noise pollution (primarily from energy usage : transportation and industry)
Societal impacts – some key aspects
• The Energy system has relevant effects on the quality and the duration of life. Most evident impacts are:
a) short and long term health effects of environmental pollution (mostly air, water, and food poisoning by a variety of toxic substances released by the Energy System)
b) accidents causing injuries and fatalities (e.g. from plants accidents, inflammables transport, transports system accidents, industrial activities)
And just a few Economic Aspects
• The energy system has a range of effects on our ‘economic’ life : (examples)
a) the cost of energy and its consequences on the competitiveness of the production/industrial system
b) The cost of living for individuals, families, social groups
c) the geo-political implications of energy supply
Impacts SW tools availability
• For most of the sustainability issues here mentioned we all (ENEA and partners) have experience, or availability, or easy access to a variety of sw tools that can be integrated into a ‘simulation system’
• The ‘missing models ’ can be reasonably obtained by the processing of available recorded/statistical data
Emissioni trasporto su strada (v. ppt)
• VEDI PRESENTAZIONE 4.1 PARTE B
Traffic induced Noise fields simulation in Rome Parioli area- ISHTAR Project – Soundplan sw
RR
22/07/2016
Eurocities WG
AQ&CC&Noise - 28
September 2007 10
EC ISHTAR project - exposure of population to air pollution.
ENVIRONMENT & HEALTH
• FP6 HENVINET Coordination Action has produced a rich database of Decision Support Tools for assessing the effects on health of environmental pollution
• Many of those tools can be integrated into a simulation platform for assessing the Health effects of pollutants emitted by the Energy System
ACCIDENTS modelling
• Accident take place in various ‘parts’ of the Energy System
• One of the most critical sector is road transport
• Statistical correlations relate fatalities to traffic flows/volumes
• Future energy scenarios should aim at reducing road traffic and reducing the correlation factors between victims and volumes (smart vehicles, smart roads, automated highways….)
• Deriving accident-flow correlations for future scenarios can require specific studies
Extreme Events : Tsunami- 1
Extreme Events : Tsunami - 2
By : Vittorio Rosato 15
2 Heavy rain – flooding Damage scenarios
Harm scenario
Threats intensity nd CI elements vulnerability can be correlated to establish the expected extent of damages.
CRITIS 2014, Cyprus October 2014
EXTREME EVENTS 3 : HURRICANES (MAKAY VOYAGER)
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