Vision

2050

The new agenda for business Marcel Engel

Managing Director, Regional Network

Kiev, 30 August 2011

World Business Council for Sustainable Development (WBCSD)

Coalition of some 200 leading companies

• Market capitalization: 8,000 BUSD

• Total member company employees:13 million

• Global outreach

– Supplies products and services to half of the world’s population every day

3

WBCSD’s Regional Network

BCSD El Salvador

BCSD Argentina

PBE (Philippines)

United States BCSD

EpE (France)

BCSD Thailand

BCSD Malaysia

BCSD Zimbabwe

BCSD Mexico

BCSD Honduras

Vernadsky Foundation

(Russia)

BCSD Croatia

uniRSE (Nicaragua)

BCSD Taiwan

BCA (Australia)

BCSD Brazil

BCSD Colombia

respACT BCSD Austria BCSD

United Kingdom

BCSD Mongolia

New Zealand

BCSD

APEQUE (Algeria)

FE BCSD Spain

FFA (Spain)

Korea BCSD

AEEC (Egypt)

BCSD Portugal

Peru 2021

BCSD Ecuador

Excel Partnership (Canada)

NHO (Norway)

FEMA BCSD Mozambique

TERI BCSD India

BCSD Kazakhstan

Nippon Keidanren

(Japan)

CII (India)

CentraRSE Guatemala

AED (Costa Rica)

BCSD Bolivia

BCSD Paraguay

BEC (Hong Kong)

BCSD Sri Lanka

BCSD Hungary

Danish BCSD

DERES (Uruguay)

BCSD Pakistan

Curaçao BCSD

Business Europe

RBF (Poland)

BCSD UAE

China BCSD

NBI (South Africa)

BCSD Turkey

econsense (Germany)

Acción RSE (Chile)

SEV-BCSD Greece

SumaRSE (Panama)

CGLI (Canada/USA)

BCSD Vietnam

Indonesia BCSD

WBCSD Work Program

Vision

2050

The new agenda for business

A collaborative effort involving 29 companies

6

A global business dialogue

Washington DC

7

The different steps of the Vision 2050 project

Business-as-usual outlook to 2050

Vision 2050

Pathway to 2050

Opportunities

8

Business-as-usual

Outlook to 2050

“Humanity has largely had an explosive relationship with our planet; we can, and should, aim to make this

a symbiotic one.” Michael Mack, Syngenta International AG

A business-as-usual outlook to 2050: The Growth Story

10

A business-as-usual outlook to 2050: Environmental Degradation

11

BAU projection: We will consume 2.3 Earths in 2050

World is on an unsustainable track

12

Sources: Global Footprint Network, WBCSD Vision 2050

The Vision

The Vision

Vision 2050 is a business response to the challenges the world faces. It is a contribution that is intended to help shape the sustainability agenda, to catalyze action and to provide relevant stakeholders with a platform to bring about change.

“In 2050, some 9 billion people live well, and within the limits of the planet”

0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

World average biocapacity per person in 2006

World average biocapacity per person in 1961 UN

DP

th

resh

old

for h

igh h

um

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High human developmentwithin the Earth’s l imits

2

4

6

8

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Eco

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ica

l Fo

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er p

ers

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)

United Nations Human Development Index

African countries

Asian countries

European countries

Latin American and

Caribbean countries

North American countries

Oceanian countries

Source: © Global Footprint Network (2009).

Data from Global Footprint Network National

Footprint Accounts, 2009 Edition; UNDP

Human Development Report, 2009

0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

World average biocapacity per person in 2006

World average biocapacity per person in 1961 UN

DP

th

resh

old

for h

igh h

um

an

de

ve

lop

me

nt

High human developmentwithin the Earth’s l imits

2

4

6

8

10

12

Eco

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)

United Nations Human Development Index

African countries

Asian countries

European countries

Latin American and

Caribbean countries

North American countries

Oceanian countries

Meeting the dual goals of sustainability High human development and low ecological impact

Pathway to 2050

Vision 2050 Pathway: 9 elements

17

From business-as-usual

To a sustainable world in 2050 To a sustainable world in 2050

To a sustainable world in 2050

To a sustainable world in 2050 To a sustainable world in 2050

To a sustainable world in 2050

Closing the gap: Reaching the vision

Carbon & resources

Halve CO2 emissions, double

agricultural output, 4-10 fold increase in resource efficiency

Costs

Internalize cost of carbon, water & other ecosystem

services

Consumption

Change consumption

patterns to more sustainable

lifestyles

Collaboration

Build complex coalitions, co-

innovation

26 Vision 2050 – The new agenda

for business

Opportunities

Building & transforming…

a. Cities

b. Infrastructure

c. Livelihoods & lifestyles

Helping change happen

Improving biocapacity &

managing ecosystems

Business domains for the next decade – Opportunities and overlaps

Anticipated investment needs for urban infrastructure up to 2030

(US$ trillion)

0 10 20 30

Ports and airports

Roads and railways

Energy

Water

Building and maintaining cities

29

Systems planning

Mobility

Water Technology

Buildings Financing

Lots of opportunities...

Source: Booz Allen Hamilton, 2007

Huge capacity additions needed for new energy mix

30

Source: IEA/OECD, 2009

Energy infrastructure: ICT will play a key role in the transition to a low-carbon economy

• ICT could deliver up to a 15% reduction of business-as-usual emissions in 2020 •This savings in CO2 emissions is more than five times the size of the sector’s own

Building & transforming livelihoods and lifestyles

By 2020 people aged 65 and

above will account for about one-

fifth of the total global

population

Products and services for aging populations

From The Economist, 20 November 2010

Conclusions

1. Global challenges will become key

strategic drivers for business and

innovation

2. Opportunities abound for those who turn

sustainability into strategy

3. The race towards more inclusive, low

carbon and resource efficient economies

is on

More information www.wbcsd.org/web/vision2050.htm