Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

79
Transition an introduction

  • date post

    19-Dec-2015

  • Category

    Documents

  • view

    217

  • download

    1

Transcript of Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

Page 1: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

Transitionan introduction

Page 2: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

A Brief History of Transition

Part 1

Page 3: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

3

Rob Hopkins in Kinsale

Page 4: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

4

Colin Campbell

Founder and Honorary Chairman of ASPO, Association for the Study of Peak Oil & Gas

Page 5: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

5

Page 6: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

6

6

“a roadmap to sustainability, to localisation, to abundance.”

Page 7: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

7

Transition Town Totnes - 2006

Page 8: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

8

transitionculture.org

Page 9: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

9

Published in March 2008

Page 10: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

10

Transition Initiatives

http://transitionnetwork.org/initiatives

Page 11: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

11

Responses to Peak Oil & Climate Change

CLIMATE CHANGE

• Climate engineering• Carbon capture and

storage• International

emissions trading• Climate adaptation• Nuclear power

P O + C C =Systems Re-think

• Relocalization• Local Resilience • Design for Energy

Descent

PEAK OIL

• Burn everything!relaxed drilling

regulationsbiofuelstar sands and

non-conventional oils

• Resource nationalism

• Resource Wars

Page 12: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

12

Start of recession

Page 13: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

13

PEAK OIL

GLOBALWARMING

ECONOMIC INSTABILITY

THE LONG EMERGENCY

Page 14: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

14

Energydescent

Economic instability

Environmental destruction

Crisis of the human spirit

Page 15: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

Motivating Challenges

Part 2

Page 16: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

16

Energy Descent

Page 17: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

17

Peak Oil in the US

Time ->

1970

Page 18: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

18

IEA admits P.O. without admitting it

Page 19: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

19

No need to worry?

http://www.zaphu.com/2008/05/22/energy-crisis-what-energy-crisis/

Page 20: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

20

Alternative energy is low quality (dispersed) Alternative energy has low EROEI (Energy

Return on Energy Invested) Non-liquid fuels are inefficient for

transportation Alt. energy lacks chemical value of oil

Except that…

Page 21: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

21

21

Energy Quality Dilute sunlight must be

concentrated to do much work

Electricity has a very high concentration of energy

Page 22: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

22

Our entire way of life depends on oil and cheap energy

Page 23: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

23

No human society had anything near the amount of energy before the discovery of fossil fuels.

A gallon of gasoline represents 500 hours of human labor.

A tank of gas contains 8,000 human hours (three years*) of work!

We take it for granted.

* If you worked for 8 hrs/day, 52 weeks a year, 7 days a week that equates to about 3 years’ work.

The phenomenal energy in gasoline

Page 24: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

24

Energy Return on Energy Invested

Page 25: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

25

We’re not “running out” of energy. We are out of cheap energy. Most of the remaining energy will be too

expensive to procure.

Peak Oil – Takeaways

Page 26: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

26

Rob Hopkins on Energy Descent

Rob Hopkins

Page 27: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

27

“Peak Everything”Resource Depletion

Energy (oil, coal, natural gas) Water Phosphorus Minerals Food Topsoil

Page 28: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

28

Chris Martenson: Crash Course

Peak Everything

Page 29: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

29

The “output” side Ocean acidification Climate weirdness Loss of rainforest Toxic wastes Nuclear waste Loss of 150 species per day

Environmental destruction

Page 30: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

30

US Gross Federal DebtApr 15, 2011: 14.3 trillion

Page 31: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

31

US Adjusted Monetary Base (BASE)

Page 32: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

32

Money is created when banks lend it. By definition, there is always more debt on

the books than there is money to repay it. This system assumes increased production

year over year… which assumes increased resource

extraction, year over year… which, on a finite planet, cannot be

sustained.

Where does money come from?

Page 33: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

33

Since 1970, US economy is based less and less on production of physical goods & services; more on more on debt and financial instruments.

“When you try to create infinite growth on a finite planet, only two things can change: Either the planet gets bigger, which seems unlikely, or the economy stops growing.”- Paul Gilding, former head of Greenpeace International

Economics – Takeaways

Page 34: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

34

Stress Disconnection from nature Loneliness Overwork Crime Rage Addictions Dependence on external systems

(corporations, institutions, government agencies) – “outsourcing” all aspects of life

Crisis of the human spirit

Page 35: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

The TransitionResponse

Part 3

Page 36: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

36

Indu

stria

l Asc

ent

(Mod

erni

sm)

Energy & Resource Use Population Pollution

Climax

Techno-Fantasy

Green-Tech StabilityGreen-Tech Stability

Earthstewardship

Mad Max

Great Grand Children

Agriculture 10.000yrs BP Industrial Revolution Baby Boom

Pre-industrial sustainable culture

Historical Time Future Time

Creative Descent

Transition Towns

Creative Descent

Transition Towns

Where are we going?

Page 37: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

37

How can we plan for an uncertain future?

It’s clear we need to change direction.

But how can we prepare when we don’t know exactly what’s going to happen?

Page 38: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

38

Resilience

“The ability of a system, from individual people to whole economies, to hold together and maintain their ability to function in the face of changeand shocks from the outside.”

Page 39: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

39

Not Adding Resilience:

Centralized recycling

Ornamental trees Organic food,

trucked in Imported “green

building” materials Ethical investment Buying choral CDs Consumerism

Adding Resilience: Local composting Productive trees Local food

production Local building

materials Local currencies Singing in the choir Reciprocity

Page 40: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

40

Not Adding Resilience:

Centralized recycling

Ornamental trees Organic food,

trucked in Imported “green

building” materials Ethical investment Buying choral CDs Consumerism

Adding Resilience: Local composting Productive trees Local food

production Local building

materials Local currencies Singing in the choir Reciprocity

Page 41: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

41

Not Adding Resilience:

Centralized recycling

Ornamental trees Organic food,

trucked in Imported “green

building” materials Ethical investment Buying choral CDs Consumerism

Adding Resilience: Local composting Productive trees Local food

production Local building

materials Local currencies Singing in the choir Reciprocity

Page 42: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

42

Not Adding Resilience:

Centralized recycling

Ornamental trees Organic food,

trucked in Imported “green

building” materials Ethical investment Buying choral CDs Consumerism

Adding Resilience: Local composting Productive trees Local food

production Local building

materials Local currencies Singing in the choir Reciprocity

Page 43: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

43

Not Adding Resilience:

Centralized recycling

Ornamental trees Organic food,

trucked in Imported “green

building” materials Ethical investment Buying choral CDs Consumerism

Adding Resilience: Local composting Productive trees Local food

production Local building

materials Local currencies Singing in the choir Reciprocity

Page 44: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

44

Not Adding Resilience:

Centralized recycling

Ornamental trees Organic food,

trucked in Imported “green

building” materials Ethical investment Buying choral CDs Consumerism

Adding Resilience: Local composting Productive trees Local food

production Local building

materials Local currencies Singing in the choir Reciprocity

Page 45: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

45

Not Adding Resilience:

Centralized recycling

Ornamental trees Organic food,

trucked in Imported “green

building” materials Ethical investment Buying choral CDs Consumerism

Adding Resilience: Local composting Productive trees Local food

production Local building

materials Local currencies Singing in the choir Reciprocity

Page 46: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

46

Not Adding Resilience:

Centralized recycling

Ornamental trees Organic food,

trucked in Imported “green

building” materials Ethical investment Buying choral CDs Consumerism

Adding Resilience: Local composting Productive trees Local food

production Local building

materials Local currencies Singing in the choir Reciprocity

Page 47: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

47

Not Adding Resilience:

Centralized recycling

Ornamental trees Organic food,

trucked in Imported “green

building” materials Ethical investment Buying choral CDs Consumerism

Adding Resilience: Local composting Productive trees Local food

production Local building

materials Local currencies Singing in the choir Reciprocity

Page 48: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

48

Not Adding Resilience:

Centralized recycling

Ornamental trees Organic food,

trucked in Imported “green

building” materials Ethical investment Buying choral CDs Consumerism

Adding Resilience: Local composting Productive trees Local food

production Local building

materials Local currencies Singing in the choir Reciprocity

Page 49: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

49

Not Adding Resilience:

Centralized recycling

Ornamental trees Organic food,

trucked in Imported “green

building” materials Ethical investment Buying choral CDs Consumerism

Adding Resilience: Local composting Productive trees Local food

production Local building

materials Local currencies Singing in the choir Reciprocity

Page 50: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

50

Not Adding Resilience:

Centralized recycling

Ornamental trees Organic food,

trucked in Imported “green

building” materials Ethical investment Buying choral CDs Consumerism

Adding Resilience: Local composting Productive trees Local food

production Local building

materials Local currencies Singing in the choir Reciprocity

Page 51: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

51

Not Adding Resilience:

Centralized recycling

Ornamental trees Organic food,

trucked in Imported “green

building” materials Ethical investment Buying choral CDs Consumerism

Adding Resilience: Local composting Productive trees Local food

production Local building

materials Local currencies Singing in the choir Reciprocity

Page 52: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

52

Not Adding Resilience:

Centralized recycling

Ornamental trees Organic food,

trucked in Imported “green

building” materials Ethical investment Buying choral CDs Consumerism

Adding Resilience: Local composting Productive trees Local food

production Local building

materials Local currencies Singing in the choir Reciprocity

Page 53: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

53

Relocalization

“The process by which a region, county, city or even neighborhood frees itself from an overdependence on the global economy and invests in its own resources to produce a significant portion of the goods, services, food and energy it consumes from its local endowment of financial, natural and human capital.”

Page 54: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

54

How Do You Engage the Community?

Page 55: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

55

Suggest a Positive Vision"You never change things by fighting the existing reality. To

change something, build a new model that makes the existing model obsolete." Buckminster Fuller

Page 56: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

56

Energy Descent / Abundance Ascent

Page 57: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

57

“The A to C of Transition” Use the ones that seem useful Add new ones you come up with Disregard others that don’t work for you

12 Ingredients (aka Steps)

Page 58: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

58

1. Form an initiating group and design its evolution from the outset

Page 59: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

59

2. Raise Awareness

Page 60: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

60

"What Does Sustainability Mean to You?" "Movie Night: End of Suburbia" "Creating a Pedestrian & Bike-friendly

Community" "Movie Night: The Power of Community How

Cuba Survived Peak Oil" "How do we connect our community?" "Taking Action to Launch Your Ideas" "Permaculture and Transition Towns" "Community Forum with City Light" "Solar Cookout" "My Eco-Neighborhood - an evening talk with

Robyn Francis" "Creating Local Economy" "Climate Change" "Energy / Ingenuity" "Voluntary Simplicity" "After the Oil Rush: Planning our community in

the post-petroleum age" "Local Assets Treasure Hunt"

Some Sustainble NE Seattle Events "Water and Rain Harvesting" "Rethinking Jobs - Transitioning to a Green

Economy" "Show 'N' Tell: Projects for Sustainable Living" "Second Annual Solar Cookout!" "PLANET: HOME a sustainable living festival" "Creating a local resilient economy in NE

Seattle" "Personal Resilience - What's community got

to do with it?" "Gross National Happiness" "Energy! What's Next?" "Oil For Dinner. How Peak Oil and politics

affect what we eat" "Waste Should Not Be Wasted" "City Food Takes Root" "Sustainable community management of

shared resources"

Page 61: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

61

Awareness: Discussion Course

Page 62: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

62

3. Lay the foundations

• Collaborate where possible

• Co-operation, not competition.

Page 63: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

63

4. Organize a Great Unleashing

Transition Whatcom Great Unleashing

Page 64: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

64

Action oriented groups Networking Toward the EDAP Not everyone has the same interests,

skills or passions A resilient community requires

diversity

5. Form working groups

Page 65: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

65

Urban Farmers

Page 66: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

66

Local Currencies

Page 67: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

67

Rob Hopkins: Local Currencies

Local Currencies

Page 68: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

68

6. Use Open Space Open Space Technology World Cafes

Page 69: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

69

7. Develop visible practical manifestations

Page 70: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

70

Solar Potluck

…visible manifestations

Page 71: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

71

"Hands On" Reskilling Fair - Sustainable NE Seattle

8. Facilitate the Great Reskilling

Page 72: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

72

Rob Hopkins: Interacting with Government

9. Build a Bridge to Local Government

Page 73: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

73

10. Honor the elders11. Let it go where it wants to go…12. Create an Energy Descent Plan

And the Rest

Page 74: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

74

Transition Laguna: Heart and Soul Group

Heart & Soul Groups

Page 75: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

75

inner transition and thepsychology of change

What inner beliefs underlie our outer world?

Why have we made a self destructive world?

Why don’t we wake up and do something about it?

How can the Transition movement support inner transition?

Page 76: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

76

The “Energy Descent Action Plan” uniquely distinguishes the Transition process from other "greening" efforts.

We prefer:“Energy Downscaling Action Plan”

Topic areas align with Working Groups

The EDAP – a planned way down

Page 77: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

77

Transition Portland: David Johnson

An “Open-source” movement

Page 78: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

78

Cheerful disclaimer We truly don't know if this will work. Transition is a social experiment on a massive

scale. What we are convinced of is this:

◦ If we wait for the governments, it'll be too little, too late

◦ If we act as individuals, it'll be too little ◦ But if we act as communities, it might just be

enough, just in time.

Page 79: Transition an introduction A Brief History of Transition Part 1.

79

www.transitionseattle.com


Brief history of change management

Brief history of change management

[AE901] A Brief History Of Plutocracy (Korean)

[AE901] A Brief History Of Plutocracy (Korean)

A Brief History of Software Testing

A Brief History of Software Testing

A Brief History of Bank Aceh

A Brief History of Bank Aceh

China – A Brief History

China – A Brief History

A Brief History Of mRNA Vaccines

A Brief History Of mRNA Vaccines

Hawkins - "Dante A Brief History" (pp.29-70)

Hawkins - "Dante A Brief History" (pp.29-70)

Brief lectures in Media History

Brief lectures in Media History

Brief History

Brief History

A Very Brief History of Integrated Technology

A Very Brief History of Integrated Technology

med122 brief history of the computer lecture

med122 brief history of the computer lecture

A Brief History of Gaze - University of Ottawa · Barbara Folkart, A Brief History of Gaze 1 1 A Brief History of Gaze Barbara Folkart L’absence de la parole s’y manifeste par

A Brief History of Gaze - University of Ottawa · Barbara Folkart, A Brief History of Gaze 1 1 A Brief History of Gaze Barbara Folkart L’absence de la parole s’y manifeste par

A Brief Jazz History in Taiwan

A Brief Jazz History in Taiwan

The Brief History of Tights (Infographic)

The Brief History of Tights (Infographic)

History of the Holocaust Ofer Ashkenazi Brief Survey.

History of the Holocaust Ofer Ashkenazi Brief Survey.

YouTube brief history

YouTube brief history

A Brief History of Drug s

A Brief History of Drug s

Brief History of the Mediterranean sea

Brief History of the Mediterranean sea

I. Brief History of Higgs Mechanism & Standard Model

I. Brief History of Higgs Mechanism & Standard Model

A brief history of time with Apache Flink.pdf

A brief history of time with Apache Flink.pdf