URENIO, , 21 2009*

() (foresight / forecasting),

:

, , , .

*

3.2. 3.3. 1. 1996-2009 2. 3. -T *3.1. Clusters

*1. 1996-2009

1996-2009 1996-2006 17,9% 18,4% 42,7% , 17,8% 3,1% .+ 2008-2009*

. : , 13,7% 11,5%. , , .

: *

: , , brand names, . , , , . ( ), , , . , , / , . : *

. , : , , : / * :

*2. - -

- (Paul Romer) vs.

/ Path dependence

Neither adjustments to monetary and fiscal policy, nor increases in the rate of savings and capital accumulation can by themselves generate persistent increases in standards of living. This recent work suggests that the most important job for economic policy is to create an institutional environment that supports technological change.

(Romer, P. Beyond Classical and Keynesian Macroeconomic Policy)*

-

*+

, , . , : , , , . , , . , (1) , , , (2) . / .* -

* - -

* -

, . :

: (1) , (2) . : (1) , (2) , (3) . , . , , : (1) , (2) , , (3) . - : *

* - -

(European Technology Platforms ETPs) 2004: (1) , (2) , (3) / .

* -

* (Lead Market Initiative LMI) 2007. . K : (1) , (2) . 6 , , , .

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** Clusters clusters clusters .*Creative industries clusters -

*3. - T

.

: Clusters

:Clusters

*: : :

*3.1. Clusters *

Cluster : (CE 15), 90 10 120 Cluster : (CE 17+18+19), 130 - 150 Cluster : , , (CE 23+24+25), 65 80 Cluster : , , (CE 20+36), 90 130 Cluster : , , (CE 27+28+29), 80 100 Cluster , : , , (CE 30+31+72), 50 80 .* clusters :1- 6 clusters: + ++ Consulting

clusters 2- : clusters: : : clusters (, ) clusters.

*

clusters : - cluster clustering / clusters : , , , .

clusters , , .* clusters :3- cluster

* 6 clusters (- -- ) .

clusters, cluster : (1) , (2) , (3) .

( - - ) , . . . - .

vs. . .

clusters : cluster

*3.2. clusters:

:1- - - (market readers) . (incremental innovation). , . . : IBM Cognos, MicroStrategy, SAP Business Objects SAP, SAS Institute, .. (clusters) . , cluster . Aquity, Chipher, Coemergence, Comintell, Digimind, Novintel, QL2, Strategy, Traction.*

. : (1) (2) / . * :2- - , / , spin-off

, . :

. : , , . : , , , , .

. : , , .

* :3- -

* 14.5: (.. =100)(: Innovation Scoreboard, 2007.) : &

* : :

*3.3.

:1- . , 1995 - 2006, . , , . , , (, , ), , . .

*

* clusters:: 3-1 1996-2001-2006 .

* clusters:: 1996-2001-2006 .

* clusters:: 2. 1996-2001-2006 .

* clusters: : 7. 1996-2001-2006 .

* clusters: : 4. 1996-2001-2006 .

* clusters: : 2. 1996-2001-2006 .

:2- : , , . - . : , , , , . -clusters , , , , -. cluster . , , . , , , , , .

*

:3- . . , . , , , , , , . , (, ) . .

*

*

* :

http://www.urenio.org/el/?p=581

http://www.sbbe.gr/ekd/211009_future.asp

* URENIO -

, ,

, , , , , . EHESS , , , Ms Middlesex

, - , , Sussex , , , , , , , ,

, .

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