Small States and International Relations Updated Dec 2010
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Transcript of Small States and International Relations Updated Dec 2010
Small States and International
Relations
By Rob Kevlihan
Overview
Introduction: What constitutes a “small state‟ ?
Theories of International Relations
Classical realism and neo-realism
Liberalism and institutionalism
World Systems and Dependency
Constructivist
Implications for small states
Introduction
What constitutes a “small state” ?
Geographical size, size of population?
Question of relative or absolute power?
How is power defined? – military, economic,
defensive, offensive?
Context of “smallness”: Local, regional or
global?
Introduction
International relations and small states
IR theory typically focuses on the behavior and
interests of the powerful
The international system is also frequently defined in
terms of power distributions – for example, balance of
power theory
Most modern IR theorists come from powerful
(western) states
But; empirical reality – 190 + states – how many are
actually powerful?
Major schools of IR
Three major arguments:
Realist – that human nature or the system
defines the behavior of states
Liberal - that domestic state / society relations
define state ends and as such state behavior
Constructivist: that states can define the
nature of their interactions – the realist zero
sum game is not inevitable.
Theories on International
Relations
Characteristics of Classical Realism
Reductive view of power
Dark view of human nature
Risk Averse
Classical realism
Reductive view of power
Thucydides “Since you know as well as we do
that right, as the world goes, is only in
question between equals in power, while the
strong do what they can and the weak suffer
what they must.”
Classical Realism
Dark View of Human Nature
Thomas Hobbes: „The life of man, solitary, poor, nasty, brutish and short‟
In the absence of an overarching law (anarchy), man lives in a state of war
Morgenthau: Only through working with the forces of human nature, rather than against them, by ever balancing interests, that moral principles can be realized.
Classical Realism
Risk Averse
Machiavelli – It is better to be feared than
loved
EH Carr – “the conservatism of realism”
Morgenthau - realism „aims at the realization
of the lesser evil rather than of the absolute
good‟
Classical Realism
Outcome: the self fulfilling prophesy of realism:
Worst case scenario assumption about states
intentions leads states to adopt realist positions
Implications for small states
Small states are essentially pawns in “the great
game” played between larger states and should use
whatever (small) advantages they have to maintain
(limited) autonomy of action and (relative) freedom
from external domination
Classical Realism
But
Moral aspect in some later writers (Carr, Morgenthau)
Bounded definitions of what constitutes international relations Morgenthau: IR = activities normally undertaken
where power is considered
Carr: Politics defined as power politics, with international co-operation divided into the „political‟ and „non-political‟
Neo-realism
Focus on the implications of anarchy,
rather than on human nature
More systemic approach that is concerned
with relative power
System defined by the most powerful
states
Neo-realism
Waltz: Theory of International Politics “Continuities” in international relations - balance of
power the ultimate outcome
Forces are shaped by the very existence of other states as well as interactions between them and will persist as long as none of the competing units can convert the anarchic international system into a hierarchic one
socialization and competition are the two invisible hands of the international system that lead to a persistence in outcomes
Neo-realism
Waltz / contd. Capability of states is brought to the fore, with small
or weaker states been mostly unimportant for Waltz‟s analysis.
With respect to the distribution of these capabilities, Waltz highlights the importance of relative power, with the distribution of capabilities being a function of the number of great powers.
This results in a self help approach by states to other states that involves the use of realpolitick. Realist behavior is necessary in order for states to ensure their survival in the system
Neo-realism
Alliance formation in the realist system
Walt: Balancing or band-wagoning behavior likely from
small states in response to the system of balance of power;
Not just a question of power: states will ally with or against the most threatening power.
As a result aggregate power, proximity, offensive capability and offensive intentions all play a role in deciding state behavior
Neo-realism
More aggressive variant
Mearsheimer‟s Offensive Realism
All states strive to be the global hegemon
But, global hegemony is not possible; best case
scenario as regional hegemon with ability to
project power into other regions
Regional hegemons will therefore seek to keep
other potential hegemons from emerging
Neo realism
Mearsheimer / contd. Greater range of strategies possible for states
(including small states): War, blackmail, bait and bleed (where states try to weaken
rivals by provoking a long war between them), bloodletting (taking measures to ensure that any war will be costly), balancing and buckpassing, appeasement and band-wagoning.
However, actual choice in a realist world frequently comes down to balancing or buck-passing in the face of threatening states, with states preferring buck-passing whenever possible
Liberalism
Classical liberalism is frequently equated
with the straw man of idealism (or
utopianism)
Naive reliance on
International law (e.g. The Kellogg Briand pact
outlawing war)
The power of international public opinion
And / or interdependency due to trade relations
Liberalism
Modern variant emphasizes the importance of domestic factors
State cannot be treated as “black box”
The character of the state determines or influences how it will act in the international system: for example: Democratic peace argument
Allison‟s bureaucratic influences on foreign policy
Role of interest groups (Putnam‟s two level game)
Liberalism
Implications for small states Reliance on idealist principles proved inadequate for
many states in the 1930s
However, post WWII, sovereignty has proved to be a more effective shield for states (if not regimes governing those states)
Democracies may take some assurance from the presence of other democracies in their region, even ones that are more powerful.
Alliances based on common interests may be possible across borders, again, depending on the openness of the systems involved
Institutionalism
Sometimes classified as a variant of liberalism, sometimes treated separately
Focus is on international institutions both global (e.g. UN, WTO, IMF, WB), and regional (e.g. EU, SCO, ASEAN, AU, OAS etc.) levels, and on international regimes (environmental protection, human rights etc)
Debate focuses on degree to which these institutions and regimes are creatures of the most powerful or are autonomous entities
Institutionalism
Realist interpretations
Mearsheimer Institutions designed by and suit the needs of the
powerful
Keohane Even realists have mutual interests.
Institutions are typically established to serve the interests of the global hegemon, but with their decline, these institutions can still serve a purpose –reduction in transaction costs, ability to make side payments and reduction in uncertainty
Institutionalism
Liberal interpretations
Haas
Importance of international communities of experts (epistemic communities) in defining states interests
Young
Regimes, often nested in institutional arrangements, offer new ways for decentralized global governance
Institutionalism
Implications for small states
International institutions may provide some scope for
small states to have a greater influence, depending
on circumstances
These institutions may benefit small states to a
disproportionate extent because of their benefits –
reducing transaction costs, reduction in uncertainty
etc.
However, they may further bind the smaller state to
the policies and interests of larger states
World Systems and Dependency
Marxist analysis – must consider global
division of labor and production
Center vs Periphery, with system self
sustaining
Role of elites in both center and periphery
in maintaining the status quo.
World Systems and Dependency
Implications for small states
Very difficult for small states to change their
relative position in the world system
Such states may not even “wish” to, if
governing elites find the current insertion to
be to their benefit
Constructivism
Wendt
“Anarchy is what states make of it” – i.e. states, acting
collectively, that can determine how international
affairs are conducted.
Direct response to Waltz
The way in which the international system works is a
function of socially constructed meanings between
states
Different kinds of anarchy – Hobbesian, Lockean and
Kantian
Constructivism
Implications for small states
Most of the time throughout most of the world,
states get along fine.
Most states recognize this – probabilistic
rather than possibilistic approach to
international relations
However, there are times when small states
may be part of a Hobbesian system
Constructivism
Cutting edge? Wendt‟s Application of quantum theory to IR (2004 /
05) Supports post modern approach from a scientific realist base
States identities and relations formed in the moments of interaction between states and are not “objective” or “separate”
Process of interaction at moments of interaction that count, rather than any essential qualities inherent in states
Implications for small states Constant process of creating identity and defining nature of
insertion in the international system.
Conclusions
For small states, a lot depends on local
circumstances
The kind of neighborhood you find yourself in
Exactly how small are you relatively speaking
What advantages do you possess (e.g. Switzerland)
The climate of the times – the local nature of anarchy
The alliances that you form (including institutional
attachments)
The issues at stake
Final Conclusion
Politics is more an art than a science –
and never more so than in international
relations
All the theories of IR have something to
offer. Deciding when the insights of any
one are more persuasive remains the
challenge.