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Biểu số 4.00

CÁC CHỈ TIÊU GIÁM SÁT VỀ NỢ NƯỚC NGÒAI

CHỈ TIÊU 2005 2006 2007 2008Tổng dư nợ nước ngoài so với GDP (%) 32.20 31.40 32.0 2!."0

 #ợ nước ng$i &'u vc cng so với GDP (%) 2*."0 2+.*0 2".20 2.10 #g', v- / nợ so với u &'u 'àng ' và d5c' v- (%) 4."0 4.00 3."0 3.30

 #g', v- / nợ c'6n' 7'8 so với 'u #9## (%) 4.10 3.*0 3.+0 3.0D /: ngo;i 'ối so với ổng dư nợ ng

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2009 2010 2011 2012 20133!.00 42.20 41. 3*.4 3*.32!.304.20.10 1*.+0 1.+ 14.+ 1.2

  2!0.004.30 .0 +.* !." !."

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Biểu số 4.02

DƯ NỢ, !T V"N V# T$ NỢ NƯỚC NGÒAI C%A CH&NH 'H% V# (ƯỢC CH&NH 'EFn v5A /iu H9DI J K#D

2005

USD VNDDƯ NỢ -1/ 1,20829 225,38599

 #ợ c8 c'6n' 7'8 13=2!"." 210=!.3 #ợ Lược c'6n' 7'8 Mo NOn' !0!.*1 14=430.+4

!T V"N T*NG -2/ 2,266 35,52 #ợ c8 c'6n' 7'8 2=1*3.!0 34=3!+.20

 #ợ Lược c'6n' 7'8 Mo NOn' *2.+ 1=14".04T4NG T$ NỢ T*NG -2/ 69830 11,02795

 #ợ c8 c'6n' 7'8 32."" "=413.4+ #ợ Lược c'6n' 7'8 Mo NOn' 1+.42 2=+14.4!

T4NG T$ G"C T*NG -2/ 3520 6,87213 #ợ c8 c'6n' 7'8 31+.3+ 4=!!3."* #ợ Lược c'6n' 7'8 Mo NOn' 11"."4 1="*".2+

T4NG T$ +I V# 'H& T*NG -2/ 26312 ,15582 #ợ c8 c'6n' 7'8 21+.3 3=41!.!

 #ợ Lược c'6n' 7'8 Mo NOn' 4+.! *3+.23(1) 7 d-ng J gi? Qui Lổi vào 'Ri LiểS cuối &(2) 7 d-ng J gi? QuU Lổi ;i ngàU 7'? sin' gio d5c'

 #gu@n A B Tài c'6n'CBn in nợ nước ngoài số ('àng +C2010) số + (12C2010) số 2 (10C2013) số

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  % )$* +NH -2005.2013/

2006 2007 20

USD VND USD VND USD  15,6133 251,12190 19,25255 310,832 21,81651

14=+10.1 234=++.23 1*=2*0.+0 2*"="33.* 1"=!1+.01=031.1" 1+=.+* 1=!"1.! 31=!!".+! 2=!00.4+1,7711 23,55722 2,8260 6,52790 3,10091=21.!* 1!=!+3."" 1=!0.1 31=*11.4+ 1=!!.1

22.14 3=!3.34 !1!.0! 14="1+.44 1=10"."7650 12,18922 88590 1,27805 1,10388+01.3 !=!1.0! *01.40 11=303.*! "20.*"1+2.!* 2=!".13 1"4.0 2=!*4.2+ 2"3.10

3551 6,9537 5083 8,13813 679931." =033.30 3".+4 +=21+."* 1*.0011!.!3 1=!12.0* 11!.1! 1=!21.2+ 1+2.4!32899 5,2387 38107 6,13993 2392".! 4=*."0 31.*+ =0"+.!3 303.*"

43.04 +"+.0* +.31 1=03.00 120.+1

("C2014)

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08 2009 2010

VND USD VND USD VND  359,8120 27,92867 79,56299 58,91307 1,115,3215

312=001.02 23=!42.1 411=11+.+4 4+=!*".0* ""!=3"".*3  4*="40.1" 3=!"+.1+ +"=44+.3 11=!3.00 22=!3.42  50,217 5,11803 86,88976 15,32080 283,33118

32=430.31 3=!!.1" +*=""".*0 11=423.!! 210=!2.*31"=011."+ 1=122." 1!=001.0+ 3="!+."1 *2=3*".417,95580 1,29093 21,86121 6,5705 121,2880613=31.10 ""*.23 1=02.43 4=*02."0 "*=104.04=+04.*0 403.*0 +="3.*" 1="44.2 34=1"3.+

11,05551 80656 13,67193 ,5703 8,69257"=413.32 !.32 !=4"2.12 3=3*!.1+ +2=+01."2=+42.1! 24*.24 4=1"!."1 1=1!1.1" 22=0!0.!!6,90027 838 8,18927 1,97673 36,59594=!3*.** 32*.!1 =43.31 1=323.+ 24=02.!21=!+2.0 1+.4* 2=+4.!+ +3.0" 12=0!2.*

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2011 2012

USD VND USD VND USD  66,39118 1,381,13623 77,90399 1,622,58398 90,89553

2=2!.01 1=0!2=*+1.4" +1=430.!! 1=2*!=4"4.4" *2=0+.2*13="+2.1* 2""=3*4.* 1+=4*3.00 343=0!!.0 1"="30.2+

  13,92620 286,6578 18,60680 387,5267 2,6269510=02!.+ 204=42.*+ 13=4".*2 2"2=1*!.1" 1!=32"."4

3="!+. "2=204.*2 =0".0" 10=34.4! =2!".11  7,8577 157,55905 10,21579 206,93666 12,72077

=1"4.*+ 110=+33.3 +=*03.03 133=**".3! "="".12=301.01 4+=!2.2 3=12.*+ *3=1".2* 3="3.2+

  5,23611 107,3895 6,2221 133,2932 8,625683="1".22 *"=44!."+ 4=02!.2* "3=4*."2 +=01+.141=41*."! 2"=!3.0! 2=3!2.!4 4!="3+.0 2=+0!.4

  2,2965 50,1710 3,79356 73,6233 ,095101=3++.3 32=1"3.+* 2=+*3.* 0=320.+ 2="+!.3*

""3.12 1*=!!0.43 1=11!."1 23=321.** 1=22.*3

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013

VND  1,912,07960

1=1=!+".2+3!+=111.34

  51,76728403="*3."3110="!3.4

  266,032231"="14.1+"0=21".0*

  180,002912="1".04="2.24

  85,63193!=!!+.102=+3."3

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Biểu số 4.03

T4NG NỢ NƯỚC NGÒAI C%A CH&NH 'H% V# (ƯỢC CH&NH 'H% )$* +NH'HN TH* NHM NGƯI CH* VA V# +:AI CH% NỢ EFn v5A /iu H9DI J K#D = 7 d-ng J gi? ?7 d-ng vào 'Ri LiểS cuối &

2005USD VND

T4NG C;NG   1,20828 225,38599C? @ =>B@> >= 12,61073 200,03969ong 7'ưFng *=0*0.2+ 112=1.!E 7'ưFng =40.4* "*=""".3*C? @ E @>F@ 1,59755 25,3203 #gưRi nB@> >? 13,29858 210,95536C? @ =>B@> >= 12,06859 191,059ong 7'ưFng +="2.2! 104=414.!2E 7'ưFng =4"+.30 "*=02!.13C? @ E @>F@ 1,22999 19,51131 #gưRi nB@> >? JKL @> 90970 1,306C? @ =>B@> >= 521 8,59992

9ong 7'ưFng 4"*.!* *=*40.+*E 7'ưFng 4.1* "!.2C? @ E @>F@ 36756 5,83072 #gưRi n

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2006 2007 20USD VND USD VND USD

  15,6132 251,12201 19,25256 310,832 21,8165113,92070 223,9716 16,6262 268,308 18,83319*=**1."4 124=**+. !=032.0! 14="22."1 10=*4*.21+=14"."+ !"=*20.+1 *=!4.1 122=+0*.+* "=0".!"1,72062 27,6285 2,62632 2,0196 2,983321=0!4.! 1*=*3.*1 1=0*."! 1*=3*0.1* 1=0*.1"

1+.13 "=2"+.3 1=40+.+4 22=*10.2! 1=*"2.2*10!.!0 1=*+4.+1 143.*! 2=321.0 143."*

1,6101 23,56623 17,27061 278,83376 18,9160613,39237 215,018 15,96882 257,8160 17,52923*=2!2.2+ 11*=0*+.!1 "=41".00 13=!0".3 !=4"1.1++=100.11 !*=!3*.!3 *=0."2 121=!0".0 "=04".0*1,21777 19,55139 1,30179 21,01736 1,386831=0!4.! 1*=*3.*1 1=0*."! 1*=3*0.1* 1=0*.1"

2*.* 44.4 133.+4 2=1*.! 23.03!.43 1=32.14 !2.2+ 1=4"!.+0 !4.+2

1,03118 16,55568 1,98196 31,99869 2,900652833 8,8232 6572 10,6108 1,30397

4*!." *=+!!.+4 +14.0! !=!14.4+ 1=2++.04".* *"2.+" 43.33 +!!.+2 3*.!250285 8,07336 1,325 21,3861 1,5969

4"".3" *="40.!! 12*3.01 20=2.*1 1=4*.2414.4* 232.3* 1.3 "31.! 4!.2

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08 2009 30O6O2010VND USD VND USD VND

  359,8121 27,92867 79,56300 29,00202 537,81315310,632 2,195 1,67011 2,2887 50,10201**=2+4.31 13=21*.!* 22+=!+.*! 13=223.23 24=211.44133=3*0.11 10=!31.4" 1"*=*04.32 11=0+.1 20=1!".*+9,20679 3,77922 6,89289 ,71328 87,02951*=43*.0" 1=03".4* 1*="31. 2=02!.12 3*=+2*.!02!=3!+."1 2="3.0* 44=33."+ 2=40.+" 4*=114.32=3*2.!0 1*.+" 2=*0*.4" 143.4" 2=++0.*0

312,00102 23,9251 11,1166 25,0979 65,0766289,1267 22,65 385,7388 22,63851 19,80821+=3"2.03 11=+.+ 1!"=!2.21 11=+02.*! 211+2.12

  132=*44.*1 10="!".!" 1"*=14+.2* 11=03.*2 204=+4+.3022,8728 1,7797 25,37816 2,5898 5,59921*=43*.0" 1=03".4* 1*="31. 2=02!.12 3*=+2*.!03="*+.+1 30.4* +=01*."4 34*.*2 +=44".0*1=+0.! "!.03 1=2".** "2.14 1=23.2*

7,8018 3,98616 68,636 3,9053 72,05821,50767 1,6891 28,9316 1,65023 30,60178

20=""2.2* 1=+2.41 2"=3*3." 1=+20.44 30=04!.32+2.40 32.0 ".0+ 2!.*! 2.4+26,33251 2,30125 39,5172 2,2530 1,80370

2=20.20 2=232.+0 3"=33+.02 2=1!2.!+ 40=+++.2""12.31 +".+ 1=1*".*0 +1.34 1=13*.42

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'>P P= Q C@> Ln (/$ng) +=01" "=340 "=300 #'à nước (/$ng) 0! 320 3+0 T>[ @>_ ` a[ E -YZ@/ .,532 .,560 .5,000

T'u *2 4+0 400W'i =2"4 =020 =400) T#I H*$N V"N V# T#I CH&NH 11,52 5,563 6,085 (a[ E Yb= c 6,900 7,100 6,80E]u ư /c iV7 vào Ki #S *=+00 "=000 *=430Tài sn +=3+! *=101 =!41Kốn vU 1=231 "!! 1=4"!E]u ư /c iV7 c8 Ki #S / nước ngoài *00 !00 !06 V\ YK @ Y[@ Xd ed >@ ,73 2,750 3,290KU +=140 =+!0

 #ợ gốc LVn ';n / 1=++* 2=400(9ố 'c 'n' o?n) 1=++* 2=4007 V\ YK @ @f@ >@ 256 1,050 1,650KU ="" "=3!0 14=+00 #ợ gốc LVn ';n / =332 *=340 12=!0(9ố 'c 'n' o?n) =332 *=340 12=!08 (a[ E g\ h =i < -(a[ E

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`u N;i 3"11 T>\ m X^ =>_ YK @ Xd =R =g[ @  0T'U L@i va c'[S / nợ 0WF cu N;i nợ 0

N[q@ nr s[Q NF@ >d@ N>d @Eo= Vs N, IMt

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2012 2013 2019,065 16,807 8,8969,885 8,730 11,913

  114=*3 132=13 150,186  104=+"" 123=40 138,273

.2,920 .1,00 .3,530  !=+00 10=00 10,970  12=20 11=!00 14,500

8,200 9,77   9,608 *=!00

300.6,100 0 .9,095

3239,418

8,255 8,333 ,91  7,168 6,9 8,050

"=3+" "=!00 9,200  +=!43 +=202

1=42 2=+!"1=200 1=!+ 1,150

  3,900 . 5,6139,689

4,0764,076

1,300 0 1,03918,348

17,309

17,309

1,887   1=3"! !3.6000   -7,537

-2,317

.5,600 .8,763   -6,342

11,720 9,320 5,178

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Tăng trưởng GDP theo ngànhNgành 2006 2007 2008 2009

 Tốc độ tăng trưởngGDP 8.23 8.48 6.29 5.32Nông - Lâm - Th! "#n 3.69 3.4 5.$4 %.82&ông ngh'() - *â! +,ng %$.38 %$.6 5.6% 5.52

Dch / 8.29 8.68 0.54 6.631ng g) tăng trưởng GDP th GDP 8.23 8.48 6.29 5.32Nông - Lâm - Th! "#n $.02 $.64 $.68 $.32&ông ngh'() - *â! +,ng 4.%0 4.34 2.95 2.29Dch / 3.34 3.5 2.9 2.0%1ng g) GDP th t7 ( )hn trămGDP %$$ %$$ %$$ %$$Nông - Lâm - Th! "#n 8.00 0.52 %4.3% 6.$5&ông ngh'() - *â! +,ng 5$.68 5%.22 30.29 43.$0

Dch / 4$.55 4%.26 48.4 5$.88Nguồn: TCTK và tính toán của tác giả. Các số liệu tính theo giá so sánh 1994 t! "#1" tín

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2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

6.08 5.89 5.25 5.42 5.982.08 4.$% 2.02 2.64   3.49

0.0 5.53 4.52 5.43 0.%4

0.52 6.99 6.42 6.56 5.96

6.08 5.89 5.25 5.42 5.98$.40 $.66 $.44 $.6%

3.2 2.32 %.89 2.053.%% 2.9% 2.0 2.62

%$$ %$$ %$$ %$$ %$$6.99 %%.2 8.05   18.38 18.12

40.%9 39.4 30.50   38.31 38.5

45.82 49.4 53.68   43.31 43.38  theo giá so sánh "#1#

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Tổng vốn đầ tư toàn !" h#$ và đầ tư t% &h

Năm

:ốn đ; tư ng c?c t

:ốn NBNN

%995-%999 32.0 5$.9 %26.3 43.22$$$-2$$4 30.3 55.4 %%3.2 45.3

2$$5 4$.89 40.% %%5.6 54.42$$6 4%.54 45.0 %%4.5 54.%2$$0 46.52 30.2 %$0 54.22$$8 4%.53 33.9 %$5.6 6%.82$$9 42.04 4$.5 %30.6 64.32$%$ 4%.9% 38.% %%$ 44.82$%% 36.4 38.9 %$8 52.%

2$%2 28.5 30.8 %$9.6   50.42$%3 4$.4 %$0.3 46.0

Ng;Cn TEnh t?n tF "ố '(; c T&TH 

 TIng ốn đ;tư tn *J "=' GDP @A

 T7 ( " ='tIng ốn đ;

tư tn *J @A Tốc độ tăng

@A

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v'( DNNN nư=cnh )hn @A

:ốn !

24.0 32.229.2 25.522.3 23.3%4.5 3%.4%5.4 3$.4%3.5 24.0%4.% 2%.636.6 %8.633.4 %4.5

36.8 %2.836.9 %6.4

:ốn c c?cDNNN

ng;Cn ốn

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)* (+ vốn đầ tư theo &h v'( &$nh t, -thNă $nh t, NN $nh t, ngoà$ NN

2$$% 59.8 22.62$$2 50.3 25.32$$3 52.9 3%.%2$$4 48.% 30.02$$5 40.% 382$$6 45.0 38.%2$$0 30.2 38.52$$8 33.9 35.22$$9 4$.6 33.92$%$ 38.% 36.%2$%% 38.9 35.22$%2 30.8 38.92$%3 4$.4 30.6

Ng;Cn T&TH 

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o g$. th'( t,/ h v'( ( vốn 5TNN

%0.6%0.4

%6%4.2%4.9%6.224.33$.925.625.825.823.3

22

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).n (n thnh to.n ( $

)h= t$>2006 2007

Tr? @AD GDP Tr? @AD GDP).n (n v"ng B$ -%64 -$.3 -6K992 -9.9&?n cân T hng h @MOA -2K006 -4.5 -%$K36$ -%4.6&?n cân T +ch / -8 $ -894 -%.3

 Th; nh) đ; tư @rQngA -%K429 -2.3 -2K%68 -3.%&h;!Rn g' @rQngA 4K$49 6.6 6K43$ 9.%).n (n vốn 3K$88 5.% %0K03$ 25MDS @rQngA 2K3%5 3.8 6K55$ 9.2:! nư=c ng' @rQngA 995 %.6 2K%24 31; tư g'?n t') %K3%3 2.2 6K243 8.8

 T'Un t'Un gV' -%K535 -2.5 2K623).n (n tổng thC -đ" tnh E$ Eố 4K324 0.% %$K2$6 %4.4

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  t N g$$ đo;n 2006 < 20112008 2009 2010 2011

Tr? @AD GDP Tr? @AD GDP Tr? @AD GDP Tr? @AD GDP-%$K823 -%%.9 -6K6$8 -6.8 -4K280 -4 236 $.2-%2K083 -%4 -0K6$0 -0.8 -5K%40 -4.8 -45$ -$.4

-95$ -% -2K42% -2.5 2K46% -2.3 -2K98$ -2.5-4K4$% -4.8 -3K$28 -3.% -4K564 -4.3 -5K$%9 -4.20K3%% 8 6K448 6.6 0K885 0.4 8K685 0.2

%2K34% %3.5 0K%02 0.4 6K2$% 5.8 6K39$ 5.39K209 %$.2 6K9$$ 0.% 0K%$$ 6.0 6K48$ 5.42K963 3.3 5K%46 5.3 3K094 3.6 4K9$$ 4.%-508 -$.6 %28 $.% 2K383 2.2 %K4%2 %.2600 $.0 -4K8$3 -4.9 -0K$63 -6.6 -6K4$2 -5.3404 $.5 -8K465 -8.0 -%K065 -%.0 %K%5% %

Ng;Cn O? c?

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hộ'

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F#t Eố)h= t$> 1997 1998 1999 2000

GDP th,c 8.2 3.5 4.2 5.5B#n ư[ng công ngh'() %3.8 %2.5 %%.6 %8.4

nh B:(h t$,t &$: < đầtư - GDP

 TIng t't

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H B$: (* IJn ( $:t N2001 2002 2003 2004 200O 2006 2007 2008

5.$ 0.% 0.3 0.8 8.4 8.2 0.%3 5.66%3.0 %4.5

1?7

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2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20145.4$ 6.42 6.24 5.25 5.42 5.98

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Ko đ#ngNă 1990 199O 2000 200O 2006 2007 2008 2009

 T7 ( thm g' động 49.6 52.5 0% 04.0 05.5 06.5 T7 ( thdt ngh'() 2.3 2.5 4.9 4.% 3.6 3.2L động trng nông ngh'() 02.% 0%.3 64.4 50.% 54.3 52.9 52.3 5%.5L động trng công ngh'() 8.8 8.6 %$.% %8.2 %8.2 %8.9 %9.3 2$

L động trng +ch / %9 2$.% 25.5 24.0 20.6 28.% 28.4 28.4Ng;Cn eDO

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2010 2011 2012 201300.4 00 06.8 00.5

2.0 2 %.8 %.949.5 48.4 40.4 46.8

2% 2%.3 %4.4 %4.5

29.5 3$.3 38.3 38.0

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]DRNă 1990 2000 200O 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

JDS $.439 $.534 $.503 $.58% $.59 $.590 $.6$% $.6%% $.6%4Ng;Cn eDO

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2012 2013$.6%0 $.638

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GDP g$$ đo;n 200O)h= t$> 1990 199O 2000 200O 2006

GDP th,c @A 5.% 9.5 6.8 0.5 0GDP @PPPA tr fBD %5%K255 255K946 282K223GDP đ; ngư' @PPP - fBDA %K96% 3K%25 3K4$6

%3$ 26$ 4$$ 68$ 06$

3.% 0.0 5.3 6.3 5.8Ng;Cn eDO

GNS đ; ngư' @)hưng )h?)tt" - fBDA

 Tăng trưởng c GDP Y\nh _;ânđ; ngư' th,c @A

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  20132007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

0.% 5.0 5.4 6.4 6.2 5.2 5.43%$K368 334K346 355K%$6 382K49$ 4%4K339 443K0$5 404K84$

3K685 3K928 4K%28 4K4$$ 4K0%0 4K998 5K293

85$ %K$$$ %K%2$ %K20$ %K39$ %K55$ %K03$

6 4.5 4.3 5.3 5.% 4.% 4.3

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^ng (. nhn/ )h$ t$> (hnh Lh/ 5ầ tư/ _Năm 1990 199O 2000 200O 2006

 T']; +ing c? nhân 89.6 03.6 66.5 66.5 65.%

0.2 3.% 5.8 0.5&h' t']; chEnh )h 0.5 8.2 6.4 5.5 5.5

8.4 5 8.2 8.5

%4.4 20.% 29.6 33.8 34.5

%0.% %$.% %%.2 %%.8

26.4 32.8 55 63.0 60.8 Tăng trưởng *H @A 0.8 %4.2

35.0 4%.9 50.5 60 0$.0 Tăng trưởng NH @A 5.9 %5.2 T't

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  và T$,t &$: [ố( g$ theo GDP -2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 201368.% 0$.9 68.5 66.6 66.3 64.5 65

9.8 0.0 2.3 8.2 4.% 4.9 5.25.6 5.6 5.8 6 5.9 5.9 6.2

8.9 0.5 0.6 %2.3 0.% 0.2 0.3

39.6 36.5 30.2 35.0 29.8 20.2 26.6

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