Sinopac簡報 win8 + ultrabook 2012年nb重返成長-12132011

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僅提供永豐金證券客戶參考 Win8 + Ultrabook 2012NB重返成長 2011/12/13

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Transcript of Sinopac簡報 win8 + ultrabook 2012年nb重返成長-12132011

  • 1. Win8 + Ultrabook 2012NB 2011/12/13 1
  • 2. Win8 - Intel -Ultrabook NB -12 NB - 2
  • 3. Win8= Win7 80% Win 7 Win XP Vista Win 760% Win 7 Vista Mac40% Linux Others20% 2011 20% 4 5 Oct-10 Dec-10 Oct-11 Apr-10 Jun-10 Feb-11 Apr-11 Aug-10 Jun-11 Aug-11 Windows 7 XP Windows 8 UI Metro UI 3 StatCounter Dec. 2011
  • 4. Win8 Pad Smart phone100% Windows OS NB 80% 80% (80% Pad ) 5~6%60% Smart phone 40% Pad Windows8 5% Smart phone20% Smart phone Pad 0% Pad Smart MS ios(Apple) Android(Linux) phone Windows8 ARM Metro Windows 7 Metro UEFI Windows 7 40% Metro Windows UI Windows 8 Windows 7 4 IDC Dec. 2011
  • 5. Smartphone Office IE Office Net Applications Jun. 2011 IE Google Chrome 5 -Office 8 Smart phoneWin 8 Dec. 2011 5
  • 6. Smartphone Win8100.0% HP Dell80.0% Win 8 Android Win8 60.0% iOS Others40.0% RIM (ZNX)20.0% Microsoft 0.0% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Dec. 2011 60.0% Android Nokia Symbian50.0% iOS Win 8 hTC 40.0% RIM Microsoft30.0% BADA20.0% LIMO Foundation10.0% WebOS Others 0.0% MeeGo 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Palm OS 6 Gartner Dec. 2011
  • 7. Win8 - Intel -Ultrabook NB -12 NB - 7
  • 8. MacBook Air Apple Dec. 2011 8
  • 9. NB NB NB 100% 0.25 0.25 0.22 80% 0.42 0.55 60% Mac book Pro 0.63 0.28 0 Mac book 40% 0.7 0.7 Air 20% 0.45 0.3 0.15 0% 0.05 0.05 2008 2009 2010 2011 f 2012 f 20000 10% 8% 15000 6% 10000 4% 5000 2% 0 0% 2008 2009 2010 2011F 2012F 9 Dec. 2011
  • 10. CPU 32 24% SSD 64~128GB 23% 4GB DDR3 5% 10% 2% 1% Polymer 7% LED 6% 14% 5% IC. 5% 100% Dec. 2011 10
  • 11. MacBook Air 1 1 Air NB 50% 40% 20% 30% Mac book 9% 6% 11 20% 6% 0% 10% 19% 0% 5% 15% 0% 3% 5% 0% 2009 2010 2011 f 2012 f Dec. 2011 Macbook Air NB 3% 2010 2011 Air 2 11 2 1 11
  • 12. Ultrabook 2012 1250,000 35% 220,500 33% 210,000 200,000 30%200,000 190,114 25%150,000 20%100,000 15% 13% 73,248 10% 50,000 26,915 5% 2,000 3,800 1% 2% 0 0% 2010 2011(e) 2012(f) 2013(f) 6 NB ( ) NB ( ) Dec. 2011 2012 NB NB 13% Air NB 30% NB 10% 2012 NB 72% 12
  • 13. Win8 - Intel -Ultrabook NB -12 NB - 13
  • 14. Ultrabook Win8 2H12 NB NB 2 Ultrabook 2Q12 Windows8 3Q12 NB NB 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2010Q1 2010Q2 2010Q3 2010Q4 2011Q1 2011Q2 2011Q3 2011Q4(f) 2012Q1(f) 2012Q2(f) 2012Q3(f) 2012Q4(f) -10% Dec.2011 14
  • 15. Android+Win8 Non-Apple 100 90 +100% +54% 80 +30% 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 68% 32% 58% 42% 95% 5% 0 2010 2011F 2012F iPad Non iPad Android 3 2010 17.7% iOS 15.4% 2011Non-Apple 1800 Apple 3900 2012 Android 4.0 Win8 3400 Apple 5100 Dec. 2011 15
  • 16. 11 12 NB+ ( ) 250000 35% iPad 30%200000 25%150000 20% 15%100000 10% 5% 50000 0% 0 -5% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011(F) 2012(F) NB NB+ NBYoY NB+ YoY Dec. 2011 16
  • 17. Win8 - Intel -Ultrabook NB -12 NB - 17
  • 18. Pad or Netbook ?Win8 18 Dec.2011
  • 19. NB 2008 ACER ASUS 2009ASUS 2010 1.4 HP 1.2 Acer 1 Dell 0.8 Toshiba 0.6 Lenovo 0.4 Apple 0.2 Fujitsu/Siemens 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011F 2012F ASUS -0.2 Sony -0.4 IDC Dec.2011 19
  • 20. NB NB Dec. 2011 NB 0.8 (20mm) (18mm) Air NB Air 20
  • 21. 200015001000500 0 2010 2011e 2012f 2013f 2014f 2015f Polymer Cell Polymer Cell NB NB 4 NB 6 NB 4400mAh~4800mAh 6000mAh NB 21 IEK Oct. 2011
  • 22. NB NB A IMF IMR X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X MIC Dec. 2011 22
  • 23. Win8 USB 3.0 Windows 8 USB 3.0 Windows 7 USB 3.0 (Driver) Windows 8 USB 3.0 USB 3.0 Microsoft 2015 USB 3.0 Engadget Dec. 2011 23
  • 24. 2012USB 3.0 SSD 20092014USB 3.0 SSD NB IDC Oct. 2011Ultrabook Macbook air SSD HDD SSD 2012SSD NB 17%2011NB USB 3.0 Thunderbolt USB 3.0 2012USB 3.0 NB 35% 24
  • 25. Win8 Ultrabook Win8 PC BIOS UEFI TPK DT AIO NB ODM SSD USB 3.0 PCB Dec. 2011 25
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