Seismic mitigation final
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Transcript of Seismic mitigation final
1. Concepts and Terminology By,
2. Hazard, Vulnerability & Risk Assessment Kalaiselvam.A
3. Mitigation and ERR Program Development Suganya.P
Mitigation Risk Mitigation Alternatives Risk Transfer Develop the Program
Benefit-cost ratio Acceptable risk
Implement the Program Funding Seismic retrofit Emergency planning
Maintain the Program
Key TermsKey Terms
EFFECTS OF EARTH QUAKEEFFECTS OF EARTH QUAKE
MitigationMitigation
Four basic methods for Mitigation:StructuralNon-StructuralLocationalRisk Transfer
StructuralStructural (using buildings as an (using buildings as an example)example)
(a) moment frame
(d) base isolation
Bracing Types
“K”
“V”
Chevron
eccentric
“X”
diagonal(b) braced frame
(c) shear wall
(e) damped frame
CPU
(f) active control system: ground motion sensor, processor, and
controlled mass
Seismic RetrofitsSeismic Retrofits
NON-STRUCTURAL MITIGATIONNON-STRUCTURAL MITIGATION
• involves retrofitting a building’s non-structural involves retrofitting a building’s non-structural
elementselements (exterior elements, interior elements, (exterior elements, interior elements, building electrical, mechanical and plumbing systems, building electrical, mechanical and plumbing systems, and contents). and contents).
• A breakdown of common non-structural mitigation techniquesA breakdown of common non-structural mitigation techniques is presented below:is presented below:
• 1. 1. Brace Exterior Elements Brace Exterior Elements
• 2. 2. Anchor Interior ElementsAnchor Interior Elements
• 3. 3. Protect Building Electrical, Mechanical, and PlumbingProtect Building Electrical, Mechanical, and Plumbing SystemsSystems
• 4. 4. Secure Building ContentsSecure Building Contents
LocationalLocational
California Alquist-Priolo fault map, showing location of fault, and zone within which geologic investigation is required
AP Zone
Fault
Actual fault
Shaking intensity map
Single buildings
Insurance company
Single buildings
Insurance company
Single buildings
Insurance company
Reinsurance company
Risk TransferRisk Transfer
Mitigation of damage and loss is possible at each step of earthquake loss process; earthquake occurs, primary hazards, primary damage, secondary hazard/damage, primary loss, and secondary loss.
Risk Mitigation AlternativesRisk Mitigation Alternatives
EARTHQUAKE OCCURSEARTHQUAKE OCCURS
PRIMARY HAZARDS:Faulting, Shaking, Liquefaction, Landsliding, Tsunami…
PRIMARY HAZARDS:Faulting, Shaking, Liquefaction, Landsliding, Tsunami…
SECONDARY LOSS:Business / Operations InterruptionMarket Share, Reputation…
SECONDARY LOSS:Business / Operations InterruptionMarket Share, Reputation…
PRIMARY LOSS:Life / Injury, Repair Costs, Function, Communications/Control…
PRIMARY LOSS:Life / Injury, Repair Costs, Function, Communications/Control…
SECONDARY HAZARD / DAMAGE:Fire, Hazmat, Flooding…
SECONDARY HAZARD / DAMAGE:Fire, Hazmat, Flooding…
PRIMARY DAMAGE:Building / StructuralNonstructural / Equipment
PRIMARY DAMAGE:Building / StructuralNonstructural / Equipment
MITIGATION
Improved emergency planning and response; insurance…
Improved emergency planning and response; insurance…
Hazard mapping; ground remediation; tsunami walls…
Bracing and strengthening, reduction of mass, base isolation, structural control…
Improved storage/infrastructure, better emergency response…
RESULT
Demand (hazard) eliminated or reduced
Demand (hazard) eliminated or reduced
Capacity (strength…)
increased
Capacity (strength…)
increased
Loss avoided or shared
Loss avoided or shared
Secondary demandseliminated or reduced
Secondary demandseliminated or reduced
Earthquakes are a problem, in the most general sense, solving a problem has three basic phases.
Phase 1: Understanding the problem
Phase 2: Finding the solution
Phase 3:Putting the solution into effect
Outline of Risk Reduction Outline of Risk Reduction ProgramProgram
Pre-program
Assess the Risk
Develop the Program
N
Acceptable?YStop
Acceptable?
Y
N
Implement the Program
Maintain the Program
Factors - Seismic environment? - Organization / decision-making - Responsibility / liability
Data - Seismic hazard - Exposure - life - property - business / function - revenue - data - market share - reputation / image - Vulnerability - Assessment
Mitigation Options - Locational - Redundancy / backup - Move - Structural - Strengthen structures - Brace equpment / furnishings - Operational - Emerency Plan - Backup data - Transfer - Insurance - Contracts
Pre-program
Assess the Risk
Develop the Program
N
Acceptable?YStop
Acceptable?
Y
N
Implement the Program
Maintain the Program
Factors - Seismic environment? - Organization / decision-making - Responsibility / liability
Data - Seismic hazard - Exposure - life - property - business / function - revenue - data - market share - reputation / image - Vulnerability - Assessment
Mitigation Options - Locational - Redundancy / backup - Move - Structural - Strengthen structures - Brace equpment / furnishings - Operational - Emerency Plan - Backup data - Transfer - Insurance - Contracts
Pre-program
Assess the Risk
Develop the Program
N
Acceptable?YStop
Acceptable?
Y
N
Implement the Program
Maintain the Program
Factors - Seismic environment? - Organization / decision-making - Responsibility / liability
Data - Seismic hazard - Exposure - life - property - business / function - revenue - data - market share - reputation / image - Vulnerability - Assessment
Mitigation Options - Locational - Redundancy / backup - Move - Structural - Strengthen structures - Brace equpment / furnishings - Operational - Emerency Plan - Backup data - Transfer - Insurance - Contracts
Measuring BenefitsMeasuring Benefits
Internal Rate of Return is the discount rate that “sets the net present value of the stream of net benefits [and costs] equal to zero”- effectively a measure of the return on investment
( )
( cos )
PV allfuturebenefitsBCR
PV allfuture tsBenefit Cost Ratio
( ) ( cos )LCC PV allfuturebenefits PV allfuture ts
Life Cycle Cost
Cost Damage
$
Design Level
Tot Cost
Constr.Cost
Identify the assets (people, property, function) at risk.
The corresponding losses for people, property and function are death and injury, financial loss, and business interruption, revenue, market share.
Establishing (i.e. quantifying) the seismic hazard
It is a representation of how strongly the ground will shake and how often it is likely to do so.
Developing performance objectives No loss of life (no significant collapse hazard), limited
property loss, no loss of essential equipment, and restoration of operation onsite or backup site within the time appropriate for the organization.
Performing first a risk screening and then, for selected structures, a more detailed review
Assess the RiskAssess the Risk
Developing the program, which consists of determining the acceptable risk, the opinions that exist for reducing the current risk to an acceptable level, the costs of doing that, and how it should be accomplished.
Having performed risk screening, facilities may be usefully grouped into several categories, such as
I. Probable high risk II. Possible high risk III. Probable low risk
The category I and category II facilities should be subjected to a more detailed analysis.
All the category I and II facilities can be ranked according to their risk, mitigation costs, or other criteria. The ranking is based on a benefit-cost ratio.
The final decision as to what facilities to mitigate will depend on available budget and is the final expression of the organization’s acceptable risk.
Develop the ProgramDevelop the Program
Retaining seismic retrofit design professionals: Initial investigation and screening Detailed investigation and conceptual retrofit design Construction documents and construction support
Funding the program; the following sources should generally considered when planning programs of seismic mitigation.
General operating and maintenance funds Bond issues Special use fee Hazard mitigation grants Tax preferences and credits
Coordinating with other parts of the organization; it is very important to include earthquake risk mitigation measures with other facets of an organization’s asset management program.
Implement the ProgramImplement the Program
Organizations are dynamic and facilities, operations, and personnel are constantly changing. Thus documentation of the step taken, including the process and criteria, is an important step to complete.
As new facilities or operations are developed, the same or enhanced criteria can be applied to them, thus retaining the overall balance of earthquake mitigation program.
As new personnel join the organization, they can review the earthquake mitigation program documentation and maintain the overall goals.
Maintain the ProgramMaintain the Program
DETERMINE THE LEVEL OF DETERMINE THE LEVEL OF SEISMIC HAZARDSEISMIC HAZARD
Figure 3-1: USGS Earthquake Hazard Map
Suggested Community Seismic Hazard Programs Based on Suggested Community Seismic Hazard Programs Based on Seismic Hazard LevelsSeismic Hazard Levels
Map ColourMap Colour SeismicSeismic
HazardHazard
LevelLevel
Suggested CommunitySuggested Community
Seismic HazardSeismic Hazard
Mitigation ProgramMitigation Program
Comments on Cost-Comments on Cost-
EffectivenessEffectiveness
RedRed HighHigh Extensive programExtensive program
Mitigation of these facilities first priorityMitigation of these facilities first priorityMany, but not all mitigationMany, but not all mitigation
projects.projects.
Red OrangeRed Orange ModeratelyModerately
HighHighSubstantial programSubstantial program
Mitigation of theseMitigation of these
facilities a high priority.facilities a high priority.
Some, but not all mitigationSome, but not all mitigation
projectsprojects
Light OrangeLight Orange ModerateModerate Mitigation of highlyMitigation of highly
critical and highlycritical and highly
Vulnerable facilities should be considered.Vulnerable facilities should be considered.
Few mitigation projectsFew mitigation projects
YellowYellow ModeratelyModerately
LowLowMitigation of very criticalMitigation of very critical
and very vulnerableand very vulnerable
facilities should befacilities should be
considered.considered.
Very few projectsVery few projects
GreenGreen LowLow Mitigation of exceptionallyMitigation of exceptionally
critical and exceptionallycritical and exceptionally
vulnerable facilities shouldvulnerable facilities should
be consideredbe considered
Mitigation projects willMitigation projects will
rarely be cost-effectiverarely be cost-effective
except in uniqueexcept in unique
circumstancescircumstances
BlueBlue Very LowVery Low Seismic risk probably notSeismic risk probably not
significant. Mitigation ofsignificant. Mitigation of
these facilities a lowthese facilities a low
priority.priority.
Mitigation projects are mostMitigation projects are most
likely not required or notlikely not required or not
cost-effectivecost-effective
GrayGray NegligibleNegligible Seismic risk negligible.Seismic risk negligible.
Mitigation not required.Mitigation not required.Mitigation not requiredMitigation not required
SummarySummaryAn Earthquake Risk Reduction Program involves the following
steps:
1. ASSETS: Identify and map the assets at risk – the people, property, business and cultural treasures. Where are they, how many are they, what is their value?
2. HAZARDS: Map the earthquake hazards that threaten these assets. Hazards include faulting, shaking, liquefaction, tsunami, landslide, fire.
3. VULNERABILITY: Assess the vulnerability of each asset to the hazards – is an highly vulnerable, moderately, or just low?
4. ANALYZE: Combine the information on Assets, Hazards and Vulnerability into a Risk Analysis. Map the areas of High Risk.
5. MITIGATION: Based on the assets, hazards and vulnerabilities, identify various ways in which the risk can be lowered. Select the mitigation method that makes the most sense – ie, is most effective for the least cost.
6. DEVELOP THE PROGRAM: Having a mitigation package, gather community support and find ways to pay for the mitigation. Develop a Plan for doing the mitigation over a several year timeframe.
7. IMPLEMENT THE PROGRAM: Do it. Don’t stop. Earthquakes won’t wait.