Reference Map for Surface Runoff and Flash Floods ... Poster HiOS.pdfStaff: Maria Kaiser 1, Tahoora...
Transcript of Reference Map for Surface Runoff and Flash Floods ... Poster HiOS.pdfStaff: Maria Kaiser 1, Tahoora...
Project: Funded by: Supervised by:Staff: Maria Kaiser1, Tahoora Sheikhy Narany1, Hai Nguyen3, Johannes Mitterer1, Fabian von
Trentini2, Florian Willkofer2, Tuo Ye1, Karl Broich1, Qing Lin1, Thomas Pflugbeil1
Lead: Maria Kaiser1, Markus Disse1, Ralf Ludwig2, Dieter Kranzlmüller3
1) Technical University of Munich (TUM), Chair of Hydrology and River Basin Management, Arcisstraße 21, 80333 München, Germany
2) Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich (LMU), Department of Geography, Luisenstraße 37, 80333 München, Germany
3) Leibniz Supercomputing Centre (LRZ) of the Bavarian Academy of Sciences and Humanities, Boltzmannstraße 1, 85748 Garching b. München, Germany
City
Catchment
Transfers
Figure 7: Scheme of the discharge transfers at the transition from catchment to
city and the spatially distributed surface runoff (points)
Figure 8: Resolution and gauges of the hydrological model WaSiM (25 m) and
the hydrodynamic model (TELEMAC, approximate 5 m) at two transition gauges
High Performance Computing
Summary and OutlookModel Coupling
Two types of offline, one-way coupling of
hydrological and hydrodynamic models:
Advantages
• Better representation of hydrological
processes (e.g. infiltration and runoff)
• Smaller domain (city area) for the high-
resolution hydrodynamic model saves
computation time and resources.
• Possibility to compare inflows from the
two model types and surface runoff
from the hydrological model
against SCS-CN method (NRCS, 2010).
Figure 5: Topology for HPC-Cluster, each box represents a node/part consisting
of n-cores/ subdomains (n = 28 for SuperMUC at LRZ), N = number of time levels.
Figure 6: Topology for cloud system, VM = virtual machine.
VM 1 VM i VM nTemplate
Input
Output Output Output
Input Cluster Results
Domain A with
parameter set
Domain B with
parameter set
Domain C with
parameter set
Domain D with
parameter setDomain E with
parameter set
1
iN
1
iN
1
iN
1
iN
mxnxN Results A
mxnxN Results B
mxnxN Results C+E
mxnxN Results D
Coupling of WaSiM 25 m
and TELEMAC 5 m
legend
gauge WaSiM (25m)
gauge hydrodynamics
urban area coupling points
scalar flow rate [m³/s]
flow network WaSiM (25m)
0.0 – 0.5
0.6 – 1.5
1.6 – 3.0
3.1 – 4 5
4.6 – 6.5
6.6 – 10.0
10.1 – 17.0
Hydrology
inflow from catchment
areas to the city area
spatially distributed
surface runoff for city
Hydrodynamics
boundary input at
transition points
effective
precipitation input
typ
e 1
typ
e 2
Reference Map for Surface Runoff and Flash FloodsHinweiskarte Oberflächenabfluss und Sturzflut (HiOS)
Development of a GIS tool in ArcGIS Pro,
which queries, links and evaluates the factors
that favor or trigger surface runoff and flash
floods.
GIS-Tool and Reference Map
Figure 2: Presentation of possible influencing factors for the development of
reference maps for flood hazards due to heavy rain.
Core components of the GIS-tool:
• Derivation of influencing factors
Sinks
Geohazards
Overflow & backwater
Log jams
• Municipal hazard zoning
• Map generation
Table 3: Model coupling in the HiOS project.
Table 1: Applied models in the HiOS project.
Applied ModelsThree different kinds of models are used in
the HiOS project:
• GIS-Tools (GIS)
• Hydrological Models (HL)
• Hydrodynamic Models (HD)
GIS
ArcGIS Pro
ArcMap
QGIS
Hydrology
LARSIM
WaSiM
Lumped
models
Hydrodynamics
TELEMAC-2D
Hydro_AS-2D
FloodArea
P-DWave
Figure 4: Flowchart of hydrodynamic modelling in the HiOS project. Input data
from external models are marked green and input data from hydrological models
are marked blue.
Spatial Temporal
GISBavaria
(ca. 70.000 km²)decades
HLCatchment
(ca. 100 – 500 km²)weeks to years
HD City (ca. 10 – 50 km²) hours to days
Table 2: Scales of the applied models.
Simbachca. 210-290 m³/s
The Cooperation Project HiOS
Bayerisches Staatsministerium fürUmwelt und Verbraucherschutz
Bayerisches Landesamtfür Umwelt
Funding Supervision
2017 2018 2019 2020
Duration: 3 years until August 2020
05/30/16 06/01/16 06/02/16 06/03/160
50
Identification
of factors
triggering the
generation of
surface runoff
and flash
floods
Development
of a GIS-
based hazard
classification
for surface
runoff and
flash floods
Hazard studies for
80 Bavarian
municipalities using
coupled modelling
Figure 1: Flash flood in Simbach a. Inn on June 1st 2016.
© pa/dpa/Walter Geiring.
Study on
benefits for
hydrological
and hydro-
dynamic
modelling
from HPC
usage
Generation of a
flash flood
reference map
with different
hazard zones for
Bavarian
municipalities
Goals
Proceedings
Next steps
• Flash flood investigation of 80 Bavarian municipalities• Analysis of the influencing factors by modelling and database evaluation• Generation of a first reference map for surface runoff and flash floods in Bavaria
FL
AS
H F
LO
OD
S
within minutes to hours
flash floods occuranywhere
high destructive potential
excessive hydrodynamic forces
increasing risk of heavy precipitation
globalclimate change
early warningalmost impossible
mitigation for settlements necessary
provides necessary knowledge and tools
hydrologicalmodelling
• Study of two test cases• Comparison of four models
• Concept for model coupling• Tests on HPC systems
• Survey on flash flood issue• Set up of event database• First prototype of GIS-tool
geographicinformationsystem
• Calibration strategy• Simplified GIS model
N100
KOSTRA
2010R
Zones with an increased hazard of surface
runoff and flash floods are classified and
highlighted in the reference map.
N1000
KOSTRA 2010R
and PEN-LAWA
DWD warning
level 4
1h
DWD warning
level 4
6h
Generation of the reference map for four
temporal distributions of heavy
precipitation events:
Cloud
Models calculate the
domain en bloc:
• GIS: virtual machines
(VM) embarrassingly
parallel use.
• LARSIM: using VMs.
Input:
One catchment with n-
parameter sets and m-
load cases.
hydraulic modelling
hydrological modelling
two-dimensional
time-dependent
n x m x tdatasets
output
HPC-Cluster
Models split the domain
in several parts:
• TELEMAC: town
region split
• WaSiM: catchment
split
Input:
One catchment/town
with n parameter sets
and m load cases.
hydraulicmodelling
graphical sources: www.gim-international.com, www.dreamstime.com, www.123rf.com
Figure 3: Flowchart of hydrological modelling in the HiOS project. The scale study
is based on different combinations of spatial and temporal resolutions, where (X)
marks the minimum combinations to be performed. Higher resolutions (O) should
only be tested, if the quality of the model improves significantly.