5/14/2015

1

T DUY H THNG

&

QUN L RI RO

TRONG QUN L D N

LP A06 NHM 10

Nguyn Khnh Vit An 1433406 Th Thanh Tho 61303699 Nguyn Trn Phng Uyn 61304742

T DUY H THNG

t vn

Mc hiu bit

Bi kch ca nhng ci chung

Gii hn pht trin

Chuyn gnh nng

QUN L RI RO

nh lut Murphy

Ri ro v qun l ri ro trong d n

Pht trin k hoch d phng

Cc dng ri ro

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T DUY H THNG

t vn

Bn s lm g khi mt d n b tr tr v tin thc hin ko di hn so vi d nh?

Tng gi lm vic

H qu

Cng vic tin trin trong mt khong thi gian u.

S li phm phi tng dn v cn thi gian sa li,

dn n vic gim nng sut lm vic

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Thm nhn lc

H qu Nhn s mi cn hng dn, dn n mt thi gian v quy nhiu s tp trung ca nhn s c. Hiu qu khng tng do khng c s hiu trong cng vic v mt thi gian sa cc li pht sinh do nhn s mi thiu kinh nghim

MC HIU BIT

Mc ca s kin

Mc tin trnh ca s

kin

Mc cu trc c h

thng

Mc tm nhn chia s

Mc ca s kin (Level of events)

L nhng vic xy ra trn c s mt ngy (nh nhng bt trc din ra).

K s sa cha li linh kin - h gy ra mt m chy.

Mc ny c gi l phn ng (reactive), bi v chng ta lun ng bin vi cc s vic ch khng c gng kim sot s xut hin ca n.

Mc tin trnh ca s kin (patterns of events)

Trong trng hp cc k s, chng ta bt u nhn thy rng s vic xy ra cng mt khun mu.

Cc bc tin trnh ch c th c nhn thy qua mt khong thi gian.

Khi chng ta thy iu xy ra, chng ta bit cch x l (nh vic dp tt 1 m chy).

iu ny vn khng ngn cn c m chy.

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Mc cu trc c h thng (systemic structure)

Chng ta bt u thc mc nguyn nhn gy ra bin c.

Chng ta c th ngn chn m chy nu bit r nguyn nhn.

C th thnh lp mt nhm cha chy, tch bit vi cc k s thit k. iu ny s gii phng cc k s thit k khi cng vic cha chy, h c th tp trung vo lm thit k linh kin mi thc s tt, lu di s lm gim m chy.

Mc chia s tm nhn (shared vision)

Mc ny to ra cc cu trc hnh thnh m hnh (cng l nh hng tng lai).

Chng ta t cu hi nh, "vai tr thc s ca cc k s thit k l g? Cha chy cn c x l nh th no? S cn bng gia ngun lc dnh cho vic thit k v cha chy lm sao?

BI KCH CA NHNG CI CHUNG ng c chung cung cp ngun thc n min ph cho gia sc, vt

nui

BI KCH CA NHNG CI CHUNG

Tng s lng b v li nhun c nhn => Tc pht trin ca b nhanh hn tc pht trin ca ng c

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BI KCH CA NHNG CI CHUNG

Khng cn ngun thc n t ng c, c lng ri vo tnh trng ngho cng

ngho hn

BI KCH CA NHNG CI CHUNG

Bi kch:

- Cnh tranh khng hp tc

- Li ch c nhn

- Khng quan tm nh hng n ngi khc -> gin tip gy hi cho mnh

- Rt kh t b li ch bn thn ngi khc cng pht trin

Gii php:

- t ci chung ln trn ci ring

- Li ch tht s nm trong s hp tc

- Chia s v s dng ti u ngun lc

- Phi lm nhng g tt nht cho tp th

BI KCH CA NHNG CI CHUNG

S hp tc v cng ng gp v mc ch chung l cn thit cho mt tp th, thc y d n pht trin v em li li ch lu di

cho tt c

BI KCH CA NHNG CI CHUNG

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GII HN PHT TRIN CHUYN GNH NNG

CHUYN GNH NNG

QUN L RI RO

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Nu mt iu xu c th

xy ra, n s xy ra!

Whatever can go wrong will

Edward A. Murphy

NH LUT MURPHY

Trong cuc sng hng ngy

NH LUT MURPHY

Trong qun l d n

- Nu mt iu xu c kh nng xy ra, n hin nhin s xy n.

- D on tnh hung xu c kh nng xy ra.

- ra bin php khc phc

NH LUT MURPHY

1. Th no l ri ro?

- Thit hi, mt mt, nguy him c th xy ra

- Qun l ri ro d n: thu hiu

nhng vn tim tng cn tr

s thnh cng ca d n ra sao

RI RO V QUN L RI RO TRONG D N

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2. Quy trnh qun l ri ro d n

Lp k hach qun l ri ro

Nhn bit ri ro

Phn tch tnh cht ri ro

Phn tch mc ri ro

K hoch i ph ri ro

Gim st v kim sot ri ro

RI RO V QUN L RI RO TRONG D N

Ri ro

- khng phi do s ch ch

(Tai nn, thm ha thin nhin,

lm pht)

RI RO V E DA

e da

- s ch ch

- gy tr ngi

NGN CHN RI RO

NHN DIN

BIN PHP

GIM THIU

Phng php FMEA

a) M t sn phm hoc qu trnh

b) Xc nh nhim v, trch nhim ca cc c nhn

c) Nhn bit kiu sai hng tim tng

d) M t tc ng ca sai hng

e) Xc nh cc nguyn nhn ca sai hng

f) M t phng php pht hin/kim sot hin ti

g) Tnh ton ri ro

h) Thc hin hnh ng khc phc v nh gi kt qu

NH LNG RI RO

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D on danh sch ri ro c tnh xc sut xy ra

Xem xt mc nh hng ca s kin hoc bin c n d n

Nhn din nhng bin c c th xy ra

Tm bin php khc phc

NH GI XC SUT RI RO Bng phn loi xc sut xy ra s c

i lng o ri ro

mc xc sut Probability level

mc nghim trng Severity mesure

Kh nng pht hin Detection capability index X X

= RPN

CH S XC SUT RI RO Phn tch ri ro cho 1 d n

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PHT TRIN K HOCH D PHNG

N trnh

Gim thiu

Chuyn giao

Chi ph d phng

N TRNH RI RO

GIM THIU/ CT GIM RI RO CHUYN GIAO

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CHI PH D PHNG

- Mt phn ca d n

- Chi tr nhng cng vic pht sinh

Nu ri ro cao, chn cu trc dng ma trn l tt hn

CC LOI RI RO

Ri ro k thut

Ri ro chi ph

Ri ro tin

Thank you for

your attention