Pragyan Talk 100227
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Transcript of Pragyan Talk 100227
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© Ramesh Jain Pragyan, February 27, 2010 1
RameshJain
Regaining Intellectual Leadership
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ANewStar
Who is on Left?
Who is on Right?
Where is K R Sridhar from?
REC, Trichy.
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DiscussionToday
• Personalnote• India:ThenandNow• Somefacts
• SharinganddisseminaAngExperiences
• RoleofTechnology• AnOpportunity
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PersonalNote:Apassage
• Spentfirst12yearsoflifereadingincandlelight.Now…readonKindleamongotherthings.
• AsaRegionalCollegeofEngineering(Nagpur)student,wasagainstleavingIndia.But,endedup(withtheprivilegeof)experiencingtheEastandtheWestandmore.
• Wouldlovetocontributemybit.
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Ajourneyinlifebeginswithunderstanding:
• Whereyouare,
• Whereyouwanttobe,and
• Whatareconstraintsandtechniquesavailable.
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AndThen
• BePassionateaboutthegoal,• Thinkout‐of‐the‐box,• Beirreverent,and• ThinktheUnthinkableandjustdoit.
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Einstein
• Learnfromyesterday,livefortoday,hopefortomorrow.TheimportantthingisnottostopquesAoning.
• Onceweacceptourlimits,wegobeyondthem.
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LeadershipofIndia:Wellrecognized
Indiahadthestartofthewholeworldinthebeginningofthings.Shehadthefirstciviliza8on;shehadthefirstaccumula8onofmaterialwealth;shewaspopulouswithdeepthinkersandsubtleintellects;shehadmines,andwoods,andafrui?ulsoul.
Mark Twain
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Nalanda• Thefirstgreatuniversityinrecordedhistory.• Startedin5thCentury.
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TodaythecountrythatcreatedNalanda:
• Literacyrate61%‐‐147thoutof177Countries• NoIndianUniversityintop100intheWorld
• EvenamongAsianuniversiAesthefirstnameappearsat30thplace.
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Mohenjo‐daroandHarappa2600BC
• TopciAesintheworld.• BeberplannedthanmostciAesinIndiatoday.
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Mohenjo‐daro
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Harappa
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IndiaToday
• InPerCapitaincome:165th($3,100)outof212countries.
• 1.5PersonalComputersper100people– UShas76.2– Switzerlandhas86.2(Source:hbp://www.naAonmaster.com/red/graph/med_pc_percap‐media‐number‐pcs‐per‐capita&b_map=1)
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ThousandsofEntrepreneurs
• “ournaAon,thoughithasnodrinkingwater,electricity,sewagesystem,publictransportaAon,senseofhygiene,discipline,courtesy,orpunctuality,doeshaveentrepreneurs.ThousandsandThousandsofthem.”
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InnovaAonsinIndia(VikasBajajinNewYorkTimesAr4cle)
• Mr.RaghavanandotherssayIndiaisheldbackbyafinancialsystemthatisreluctanttoinvestinunprovenideas,aneduca4onsystemthatemphasizesrotelearningoverproblemsolving,andaculturethatlooksdownonfailureandunconven4onalcareerchoices.
• DidyouseeThreeIdiots?
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• Einstein:TheoryofrelaAvity.• Turing:DigitalComputer.
• Curie:X‐rays• Gutenberg:Moveableprint
• Edison:ElectricBulb• .• .• .
WhatisthemostimportantinvenAoninthelast1000years?
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Itisallabout
ExperienAal
CommunicaAon
amongHumans
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Experiences
Life =
Events
+
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RecordingExperiences
• Modes– Visual– Aural– Text– LogofacAviAes– TacAle
• TechnologyandSharingExperiences
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Shareexperiences : Languages
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AcrossTime : Writing
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Makingitportable : Paper
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DemocraAzaAon : Gutenberg’s Movable Press
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Telegraph:InstantaneousRemote
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Telephone:RemoteSpeech
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Photography:RecordingVisualExperience
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AudioRecording:ElectricalSignalsenterrecordingspace
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Radio:LiveBroadcast
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Television:LiveBroadcastcombinestwoMedia
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DigitalProcessing
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Internet:TheGameChanger
Medium is the message. – McLuhan was right THEN. Medium is just that – Medium. NOW
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CommunicaAngExperiences:SpaAalandTemporal
Inventions Application Impact Languages Communicate symbolic experiences
Written Languages Record Symbolic experiences (time)
Paper Portability (space)
Print Mass distribution (time and space)
Telegraph Remote narrow communication (space)
Telephone Remote analog communication (space)
Radio Analog broadcasting of sound (space)
Television Combining two senses – media (space)
Recording media Photos, audio, video (time)
Digital processing Machine enhancement and processing
Internet Interactive Multimedia communication
Most influential Invention in history
Future of Communication
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Theonlysourceofknowledgeisexperience.
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KnowledgeSocieAes
Theempiresofthefuturearetheempiresofthemind.
WinstonChurchill
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DigitalWorld:KnowledgeRevoluAon
• Limitedtolessthan15%populaAonoftheworld.
• Toucheslessthan2%ofpopulaAonindevelopingcountries.
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DigitalDividend:AnOpportunity
• Technologyisliberalinrewardsandruthlessinpunishment– Richgetricherandpoorstaypoor
• AteachtechnologyinflecAonpoint,newleadersemerge.
• WeareinamajortechnologyinflecAonperiod.Someaggressivecountrieshaveagreatopportunity.
Can that country be India?
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WideningGap
• IncomedisparityraAointhe18thCenturybetweentherichestandthepoorestcountrieswasamere2:1,todayitismorethan100:1.
• In1988,medianincomeintherichest10percentofcountrieswas77Amesthatinthepoorest10percent;by1999thegaphadgrownto122Ames.
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SomeInteresAngFacts:Thenandnow
• IndiaandChina– Accountedfor40%ofworldtradein1840– Accountedfor3.4%ofworldtradein1998
• IndiaestablishedthefirstUniversityintheworldinNalanda‐Taxilla– Indiapublishedlessthan2%ofworld’sscienAficresearchpapers(includesIndianjournals)
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TurningTime:Almost600YearAgo
• Columbuswassearchingforfameandfortune–wasgoingtoIndiafor– Spices– Wealth– Technology– Sourceofknowledge
• GutenberginventedtheprinAngtechnologythatstarted– Growthofwealthinwest– DominaAonofwesterntechnology– Influenceofwesternknowledge
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WhyisGutenberg’sMoveablePrintsoinfluenAal?
• BroughtknowledgecreaAonandaccesstomasses.
• ResultedinincreasedawarenessofscienAficapproaches.
• ReducedmisinformaAonandinfluenceofreligions.
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IndiamissedthelastdisrupAve‘knowledgerevoluAon’.
HowcanitparAcipateandleadthecurrentdisrupAvewavebroughton
byrecentinnovaAons?
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DisrupAveStagesinCompuAng:1
Data: Numbers, Text,
Statistics, Sensors (Video)
Data (Computation)
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CompuAng1:Data
• Device:MainframeandworkstaAons
• MainapplicaAons:– ScienAficandengineering– Business
• Users:– Sophis8cated– Expectedtobetrained
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DisrupAveStagesinCompuAng:2
Data: Numbers, Text,
Statistics, Sensors (Video)
Data (Computation)
Information: Search, Specialized sources
Information (Communication)
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CompuAng2:InformaAonandCommunicaAon
• Device:PCandInternet• MainapplicaAons:
– InformaAon
– CommunicaAon
• Users:– Commonpeoplein‘developedworld’
– Easyaccessusingkeyboards
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What Next?
DisrupAveStagesinCompuAng:3
Data: Numbers, Text,
Statistics, Sensors (Video)
Data (Computation)
Information: Search, Specialized sources
Information (Communication)
Experience: Direct observation or
participation
Experience (Insights)
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CompuAng3:Experience
• Device:Mobilephones• MainapplicaAons:
– Experiencemanagement
– ExperienAalcommunicaAon
• Users:– Humans
– Nolanguageissues
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Mobileseverywhere
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DistribuAonofMobilePhonesRank Country or region Number of mobile phones Population % of population Last updated
— World 4,100,000,000 6,797,100,000[1] 60.6 Dec 2008[2] 1 China 747,380,000 1,335,330,000 55.97 Dec 2009[3] 2 India 525,147,922 1,174,040,000 44.73 Dec 2009[4] 3 United States 276,610,580 308,505,000[1] 89.0 June. 2009[5] 4 Russia 207,900,000 141,915,979 143.2 Feb. 2009[6] 5 Brazil 173,960,000 191,480,630 90.84 Dec. 2009[7][8] [9] 6 Indonesia 140,200,000 231,369,500 60.53 Dec. 2008[10] 7 Japan 107,490,000 127,530,000 84.11 Mar. 2009[11] 8 Germany 107,000,000 81,882,342 130.15 2009[12] 9 Pakistan 97,579,940 168,500,500 59.60 Dec 2009[13] 10 Italy 88,580,000 60,090,400 147.41 Dec.2008[14] 11 Mexico 79,400,000 109,610,000 72.44 Mar.2009[15] 12 United Kingdom 75,750,000 61,612,300 122.95 Dec. 2008[16] 13 Vietnam 70,000,000 87,375,000 80.11 2009[17] 14 Philippines 67,900,000 92,226,600 73.62 Dec. 2008[18] 15 Turkey 66,000,000 71,517,100 92.29 2009[19] 16 Nigeria 64,000,000 154,729,000 41.36 Dec. 2009[20] 17 France 58,730,000 65,073,842 90.25 Dec. 2008[21] 18 Ukraine 55,170,908 46,143,700 119.56 April. 2009[22] 19 Thailand 51,377,000 65,000,000 79.0 2008 20 Spain 50,890,000 45,828,172 111.05 Dec. 2008[23]
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WhatisaMobilePhone?
• Phone • Camera and an album • Music system • Video Game console • Communication device • Personal BUTLER • Computer • Information source • … much more
Mobile phone used to be a phone. It is :
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AMobilePhoneis
Everybody’s loyal personal multimedia communication and experience associate.
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AGreatOpportunity
LeadingtheWorldinbringingnextgenera4oncompu4ng:theFolk
Compu4ng.
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Opportunity:FolkCompuAng
TakingCompuAngtoMasses–focusonpeopleinremotepartsofevenunderdevelopedpartsoftheworld.
SocialNetworkingasadrivingapplicaAon.
MaysolvemanyinteresAngproblems.
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Challenges
• InteracAonenvironment,• ContentCreaAon,• ContentManagement,and
• ContentAccess.
Key: Content created by culturally similar people is more useful.
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InteracAonEnvironment
KeyboardistheBIGGESTproblem.UsenaturalcommunicaAon:Audio,Visual,TacAle.
GoodfirststeptowardsFolkCompuAng.
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ContentCreaAon
• Literacy=Knowledge• Alltheworldsknowledgeisprimarilyintext.
• Camerasandmicrophonesareeasiertousethankeyboardandevenpen.
Develop interactive content creation tools for masses using phones.
Can we develop ‘Word’ like Photoshop and Director?
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ContentManagement:Challenges
• MulAmedia• DifferentLanguages• Event‐Object‐basedIndexing• FastaccessonMobiledevices
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Access:MustbeNatural
• OnMobilephonelikedevices• Mymothershouldbeableto‘ask’
– Naturallanguage–notonlykeywords– Voice/Image/Touchinterfaces
• CulturallysensiAve
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InformaAonandCommunicaAonTechnologyforDevelopment
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GlobalProjectsinICTforDevelopment
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LimitedSuccessofmostsuchapproaches.Why?
• PCBased.– VeryfewPCs(lessthan0.5per100people)– PCaredifficulttolearnfor‘users’
• Approacheswerenotvery‘natural’for‘users’– Triedtopushapproachessuccessfulindevelopedworld
• FailedtounderstandneedsofpeopleanddevelopappropriateapplicaAons.
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mKrishiapproach
AninnovaAveapproachbyTCS.Iamworkingwiththeminthis.
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TakingthePROBLEMtoanEXPERTUsingModernTechnology
• PaAenttoDoctor• FieldtoAgricultureExpert• ConstrucAontoEngineers• …
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mKrishiArchitecture
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Sensorsinthefield
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QueryNo.1519
Expert’s Response
Meaning: Causes of Pink berry: (1) Haphazard use of fertilizer (2) Deficiency in Sulphur or access Potash (3) Pest on flowers (4) Excess use of Gibberellic acid. Remedy: Use 5Gm/Litre of Calcium Nitrate.
In Text: Grapes have turned pink in color. Please suggest the reason and medicine to be applied.
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QueryNo.1519
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ExpertConsole
Voice query
Picture
Info specific to crop
From public website
Ready references for expert
Sensor data – if applicable
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Commercial Launch Summary
State of Uttar Pradesh
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Name4mostpopularcompaniesthatemergedinthelast4years.
• Flickr• YouTube• Facebook• Twiber
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Name3mostpopularInternetconceptsinthelast3years.
• SocialNetworks• Micro‐blogging(AmbientAwareness)
• TagsInterestingly, they did not come from Google Yahoo Microsoft or Academia.
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InteresAng!!!
• SocialNetworks• Microblogging• Tags
• Flickr• YouTube• Facebook• Twiber
What does this tell us?
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Messagesareclear
• Newmedia:Textbasedmediaisnotenough.• Experiences:Peoplewanttoexperienceandshareexperiences–withminimallatency.
• Socialize:Familyandfriendsremainastronginfluenceinallfacetsoflife.– Familyandfriendsareclosertoeachothertodaythanever!!!
People want:
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NextGeneraAonofSocialNetworks
ForMassesindevelopingcountriesusingFolkCompuAngonMobile
Phones.
I have a dream …
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KnowledgeandInnovaAonSharingNetworks
• InnovaAonSystemsPerspecAve.• SocialNetworking,B2B,Wiki,Twiber
• Putpeopleinthecentre• Systembecomes‘intelligent’facilitatoroflearning,interacAons,communicaAons,andcollaboraAons.
• Organicdevelopmenttosuitlocalcontext
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KISAN:KnowledgeandInnovaAonSharingAgricultureNetwork
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CreateKISNfor
• Agriculture• Health• EducaAon• Societalproblems
• ...
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SelecAngRaAonaloverMysAcal
• “Thefuturebelongstoscienceandthosewhomakefriendswithscience.”
• “NocountryorpeoplewhoareslavestodogmaandthedogmaAcmentalitycanprogress,andunhappilyourcountryandpeoplehavebecomeextraordinarilydogmaAcandlible‐minded”
Jawaharlal Nehru
More true today than when he said this about 60 years ago.
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TimeisRight• Weareatamajor‘TechnologyInflecAon’point.• Indiamaybethebestplacetodoresearchinthenewwave.
• ThismaybethebestAmetoseedprocessesleadingtorevoluAonaryresults.
• ProductsdevelopedforIndiaarerelevantto80%oftheworld–alldevelopingcountries.
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YouareinIndiaattheRightTime.
BeambiAous,driven,andboldandyouwillbringbacktheIntellectual
LeadershiptoIndia.
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Thanks.Formoreinforma4on,comments,cri4cisms
contact:Mail:[email protected]
Facebook:jain49TwiTer:jain49
I invite you to join me in this Dream. Please join me!