PPP Release VA 0301205

26
   Public Policy Polling 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 Phone: 888 621-6988 Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Email: [email protected] FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE                     March 1, 2  CONTACT: TOM JENSEN 919-744-6312  Allen and Kaine tied for Webb Senate seat in Virginia Raleigh, N.C. – With Jim Webb’s retirement, the Virginia Senate race for 2012 looks like a 50/50 proposition. Webb very narrowly defeated Allen in his 2006 re-election bid, and has decided to bow out after a single term.  Allen had already thrown his hat into the race before it was open, in an effort to reclaim his seat.  PPP’s first poll of the burgeoning contest in November showed Webb a slight favorite to beat Allen once again, but now Allen is at least tied with every Democrat thrown at him, including former Governor Tim Kaine, who is more popular than Allen.  Kaine and Allen are knotted at 47% apiece.  Kaine has become slightly more popular since November, from a 43-40 favorability margin to 46-38 now, while Allen has held steady (40-41 versus 39-40 now).  Yet Kaine has declined head-to-head, from a 50-44 lead over Allen previously.  The reason is twofold: a neutralization of Kaine’s previous party-unity advantage, where Allen takes more Democrats than Kaine does Republicans, and a huge reversal with independents, from 49-43 in Kaine’s favor to 50-41 in Allen’s.  In other potential matchups, should Kaine not make a bid, Allen beats recently defeated Rep. Rick Boucher, 47-42, and another 2010 House casualty, Tom Perriello, 48-41.  In both of those matchups, Allen unites the GOP, wins independents by double digits, and benefits from Boucher’s and Perriello’s low profiles statewide, keeping 12-15% of Democrats undecided.  Boucher is an unknown to 60% of voters, and Perriello to 57%. They are both disliked, 14-26 for Boucher and 20-22 for Perriello.  Right now, the three Democrats have leads of four to 14 points over another potential GOP nominee, state Del. Bob Marshall.  72% have no opinion of Marshall, and those who do break 8-20 against him.  Tea Party leader Jamie Radtke (unknown to 82%, 4-14 favorable margin) falls by margins of eight to 16 points.  “It’s early but this definitely looks like it will be the marquee Senate race of the 2012 cycle, especially if Tim Kaine jumps in,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling.  “George Allen’s status as a very well known but also very polarizing political figure makes this nearly certain to be a closely contested race.”  Radtke has already announced her candidacy, and several other Republicans are mulling bids.  PPP will have numbers on the GOP nomination race later this week.  PPP surveyed 524 Virginia voters from February 24 th to 27 th .  The survey’s margin of error is +/-3.5%.  Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.  

Transcript of PPP Release VA 0301205

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 Public Policy Polling3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

Phone: 888 621-6988Web: www.publicpolicypolling.comEmail: [email protected]

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE                                        

 

CONTACT: TOM JENSEN 919-744-6312

 

Allen and Kaine tied for Webb Senate seat in Virginia 

Raleigh, N.C. – With Jim Webb’s retirement, the Virginia Senate race for 2012 looks

like a 50/50 proposition. Webb very narrowly defeated Allen in his 2006 re-election bid,

and has decided to bow out after a single term.  Allen had already thrown his hat into therace before it was open, in an effort to reclaim his seat.  PPP’s first poll of the burgeoning

contest in November showed Webb a slight favorite to beat Allen once again, but now

Allen is at least tied with every Democrat thrown at him, including former Governor TimKaine, who is more popular than Allen.

 

Kaine and Allen are knotted at 47% apiece.  Kaine has become slightly more popular

since November, from a 43-40 favorability margin to 46-38 now, while Allen has heldsteady (40-41 versus 39-40 now).  Yet Kaine has declined head-to-head, from a 50-44

lead over Allen previously.  The reason is twofold: a neutralization of Kaine’s previous

party-unity advantage, where Allen takes more Democrats than Kaine does Republicans,and a huge reversal with independents, from 49-43 in Kaine’s favor to 50-41 in Allen’s.

 

In other potential matchups, should Kaine not make a bid, Allen beats recently defeatedRep. Rick Boucher, 47-42, and another 2010 House casualty, Tom Perriello, 48-41.  In

both of those matchups, Allen unites the GOP, wins independents by double digits, and

benefits from Boucher’s and Perriello’s low profiles statewide, keeping 12-15% of 

Democrats undecided.  Boucher is an unknown to 60% of voters, and Perriello to 57%.They are both disliked, 14-26 for Boucher and 20-22 for Perriello. 

Right now, the three Democrats have leads of four to 14 points over another potential

GOP nominee, state Del. Bob Marshall.  72% have no opinion of Marshall, and those

who do break 8-20 against him.  Tea Party leader Jamie Radtke (unknown to 82%, 4-14favorable margin) falls by margins of eight to 16 points.

 

“It’s early but this definitely looks like it will be the marquee Senate race of the 2012cycle, especially if Tim Kaine jumps in,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy

Polling.  “George Allen’s status as a very well known but also very polarizing political

figure makes this nearly certain to be a closely contested race.”

 Radtke has already announced her candidacy, and several other Republicans are mulling

bids.  PPP will have numbers on the GOP nomination race later this week. 

PPP surveyed 524 Virginia voters from February 24 th to 27th.  The survey’s margin of 

error is +/-3.5%.  Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may

introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify. 

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February 24-27, 2011Survey of 524 Virginia voters

February 24-27, 2011Survey of 524 Virginia voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Virginia Survey Results

Q1 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof George Allen?

39%Favorable ..............

40%Unfavorable ...........

21%Not sure ................

Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Rick Boucher?

14%Favorable ..............

26%Unfavorable ...........

60%Not sure ................

Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

of Tim Kaine?

46%Favorable ..............

38%Unfavorable ...........

17%Not sure ................

Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Bob Marshall?

8%Favorable ..............

20%Unfavorable ...........

72%Not sure ................

Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Tom Perriello?

20%Favorable ..............

22%Unfavorable ...........

57%Not sure ................

Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Jamie Radtke?

4%Favorable ..............

14%Unfavorable ...........

82%Not sure ................

Q7 If the candidates for US Senate in 2012 wereDemocrat Rick Boucher and RepublicanGeorge Allen, who would you vote for?

42%Rick Boucher ..................................................

47%George Allen ...................................................

11%Undecided .......................................................

Q8 If the candidates for US Senate in 2012 wereDemocrat Tim Kaine and Republican GeorgeAllen, who would you vote for?

47%Tim Kaine ........................................................

47%George Allen ...................................................

6%Undecided .......................................................

Q9 If the candidates for US Senate in 2012 wereDemocrat Tom Perriello and RepublicanGeorge Allen, who would you vote for?

41%Tom Perriello ...................................................

48%George Allen ...................................................

11%Undecided .......................................................

Q10 If the candidates for US Senate in 2012 wereDemocrat Rick Boucher and Republican BobMarshall, who would you vote for?

40%Rick Boucher ..................................................

32%Bob Marshall ...................................................

28%Undecided .......................................................

Q11 If the candidates for US Senate in 2012 wereDemocrat Tim Kaine and Republican BobMarshall, who would you vote for?

49%Tim Kaine ........................................................

35%Bob Marshall ...................................................

16%Undecided .......................................................

Q12 If the candidates for US Senate in 2012 wereDemocrat Tom Perriello and Republican BobMarshall, who would you vote for?

39%Tom Perriello ...................................................

35%Bob Marshall ...................................................

26%Undecided .......................................................

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February 24-27, 2011Survey of 524 Virginia voters

February 24-27, 2011Survey of 524 Virginia voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Q13 If the candidates for US Senate in 2012 were

Democrat Rick Boucher and Republican JamieRadtke, who would you vote for?

40%Rick Boucher ..................................................

29%Jamie Radtke ..................................................

31%Undecided .......................................................

Q14 If the candidates for US Senate in 2012 wereDemocrat Tim Kaine and Republican JamieRadtke, who would you vote for?

49%Tim Kaine ........................................................

33%Jamie Radtke ..................................................

17%Undecided .......................................................Q15 If the candidates for US Senate in 2012 were

Democrat Tom Perriello and Republican JamieRadtke, who would you vote for?

40%Tom Perriello ...................................................

32%Jamie Radtke ..................................................

28%Undecided .......................................................

Q16 Who did you vote for President in 2008?

44%John McCain ...................................................

50%Barack Obama ................................................

6%Someone else/Don't remember ......................Q17 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,

somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhatconservative, or very conservative?

11%Very liberal ......................................................

16%Somewhat liberal ............................................

32%Moderate .........................................................

25%Somewhat conservative ..................................

16%Very conservative ...........................................

Q18 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

51%Woman ...........................................................

49%Man .................................................................

Q19 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,press 2. If you are an independent or identifywith another party, press 3.

39%Democrat ........................................................

34%Republican ......................................................

27%Independent/Other ..........................................

Q20 If you are white, press 1.  If African-American,press 2.  If other, press 3.

76%White ..............................................................

20%African-American ............................................

4%Other ...............................................................

Q21 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1.  If 30 to45, press 2.  If 46 to 65, press 3.  If you areolder than 65, press 4.

9%18 to 29 ...........................................................

27%30 to 45 ...........................................................

41%46 to 65 ...........................................................

22%Older than 65 ..................................................

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February 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia votersFebruary 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 

Base

2008 Vote

John

McCain

Barack

Obama

Someone else/Don't

remember

Allen Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

39% 67% 14% 46%

40% 12% 66% 25%

21% 21% 20% 29%

 

Base

2008 Vote

John

McCain

Barack

Obama

Someone else/Don't

remember

Boucher Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

14% 13% 15% 14%

26% 26% 27% 21%

60% 61% 58% 64%

 

Base

2008 Vote

John

McCain

Barack

Obama

Someone else/Don't

rememberKaine Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

46% 13% 77% 25%

38% 66% 12% 42%

17% 20% 11% 34%

 

Base

2008 Vote

John

McCain

Barack

Obama

Someone else/Don't

rememberMars hall Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

8% 9% 7% 11%

20% 11% 27% 25%

72% 80% 66% 63%

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February 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia votersFebruary 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 

Base

2008 Vote

John

McCain

Barack

Obama

Someone else/Don't

remember

Perrie llo Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

20% 7% 33% 11%

22% 32% 14% 22%

57% 60% 54% 67%

 

Base

2008 Vote

John

McCain

Barack

Obama

Someone else/Don't

remember

Radtke Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

4% 5% 2% 6%

14% 9% 19% 17%

82% 86% 79% 78%

 

Base

2008 Vote

John

McCain

Barack

Obama

Someone else/Don't

rememberBoucher/Allen

Rick Boucher

George Allen

Undecided

 

42% 6% 75% 22%

47% 85% 12% 58%

11% 8% 13% 20%

 

Base

2008 Vote

John

McCain

Barack

Obama

Someone else/Don't

rememberKaine/Allen

Tim Kaine

George Allen

Undecided

 

47% 8% 84% 19%

47% 87% 11% 55%

6% 5% 5% 25%

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February 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia votersFebruary 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 

Base

2008 Vote

John

McCain

Barack

Obama

Someone else/Don't

remember

Perriello/Allen

Tom Perriello

George Allen

Undecided

 

41% 7% 74% 14%

48% 87% 13% 58%

11% 6% 13% 28%

 

Base

2008 Vote

John

McCain

Barack

Obama

Someone else/Don't

remember

Boucher/Marshall

Rick Boucher

Bob Marshall

Undecided

 

40% 11% 67% 22%

32% 64% 6% 24%

28% 25% 28% 54%

 

Base

2008 Vote

John

McCain

Barack

Obama

Someone else/Don't

rememberKaine/Marshall

Tim Kaine

Bob Mars hall

Undecided

 

49% 11% 86% 25%

35% 70% 5% 26%

16% 18% 10% 49%

 

Base

2008 Vote

John

McCain

Barack

Obama

Someone else/Don't

rememberPerriello/Marshall

Tom Perriello

Bob Marshall

Undecided

 

39% 8% 68% 19%

35% 70% 5% 25%

26% 21% 27% 55%

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February 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia votersFebruary 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 

Base

2008 Vote

John

McCain

Barack

Obama

Someone else/Don't

remember

Boucher/Radtke

Rick Boucher

Jamie Radtke

Undecided

 

40% 12% 67% 22%

29% 58% 4% 26%

31% 30% 30% 52%

 

Base

2008 Vote

John

McCain

Barack

Obama

Someone else/Don't

remember

Kaine/Radtke

Tim Kaine

Jamie Radtke

Undecided

 

49% 11% 86% 25%

33% 67% 5% 26%

17% 23% 9% 49%

 

Base

2008 Vote

John

McCain

Barack

Obama

Someone else/Don't

rememberPerriello/Radtke

Tom Perriello

Jamie Radtke

Undecided

 

40% 8% 71% 16%

32% 65% 4% 21%

28% 27% 24% 63%

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Allen Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

39% 7% 15% 25% 61% 75%

40% 78% 64% 46% 21% 8%

21% 15% 21% 29% 17% 17%

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February 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia votersFebruary 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Boucher Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

14% 11% 31% 13% 8% 11%

26% 25% 25% 26% 27% 28%

60% 63% 44% 61% 65% 61%

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Kaine Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

46% 70% 73% 63% 19% 9%

38% 15% 19% 18% 61% 74%

17% 15% 8% 19% 19% 17%

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Marshall Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

8% 8% 6% 8% 8% 11%

20% 26% 33% 22% 17% 6%

72% 66% 62% 70% 76% 83%

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Perriello Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

20% 38% 33% 24% 9% 6%

22% 13% 16% 15% 30% 37%

57% 49% 51% 61% 61% 56%

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February 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia votersFebruary 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Radtke Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

4% 3% 2% 3% 5% 4%

14% 20% 22% 14% 11% 8%

82% 77% 76% 82% 84% 88%

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Boucher/Allen

Rick Boucher

George Allen

Undecided

 

42% 84% 72% 55% 12% 4%

47% 8% 20% 26% 78% 91%

11% 8% 8% 19% 10% 4%

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Kaine/Allen

Tim Kaine

George Allen

Undecided

 

47% 87% 76% 67% 15% 2%

47% 10% 19% 26% 80% 90%

6% 3% 5% 7% 5% 8%

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Perriello/Allen

Tom Perriello

George Allen

Undecided

 

41% 87% 70% 52% 10% 5%

48% 10% 20% 31% 79% 90%

11% 3% 11% 17% 11% 5%

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February 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia votersFebruary 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Boucher/Marshall

Rick Boucher

Bob Marshall

Undecided

 

40% 75% 70% 50% 11% 8%

32% 11% 7% 14% 56% 73%

28% 14% 24% 36% 33% 19%

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Kaine/Marshall

Tim Kaine

Bob Marshall

Undecided

 

49% 90% 81% 68% 15% 6%

35% 6% 10% 13% 60% 81%

16% 4% 9% 18% 25% 13%

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Perriello/Marshall

Tom Perriello

Bob Marshall

Undecided

 

39% 84% 62% 50% 12% 5%

35% 7% 11% 15% 57% 81%

26% 9% 27% 35% 30% 14%

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Boucher/Radtke

Rick Boucher

Jamie Radtke

Undecided

 

40% 75% 69% 50% 17% 5%

29% 4% 8% 11% 47% 72%

31% 21% 23% 39% 36% 22%

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February 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia votersFebruary 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Kaine/Radtke

Tim Kaine

Jamie Radtke

Undecided

 

49% 90% 80% 68% 16% 7%

33% 4% 12% 12% 58% 78%

17% 5% 8% 21% 26% 15%

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Perriello/Radtke

Tom Perriello

Jamie Radtke

Undecided

 

40% 86% 64% 53% 12% 5%

32% 6% 6% 13% 55% 77%

28% 8% 30% 34% 34% 18%

 Base

Gender

Woman Man

Allen Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

39% 30% 47%

40% 41% 39%

21% 29% 14%

 Base

Gender

Woman Man

Boucher Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

14% 12% 16%

26% 23% 29%

60% 64% 55%

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February 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia votersFebruary 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 Base

Gender

Woman Man

Kaine Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

46% 50% 41%

38% 29% 46%

17% 21% 12%

 Base

Gender

Woman Man

Marshall Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

8% 8% 9%

20% 21% 19%

72% 71% 72%

 Base

Gender

Woman Man

Perr iello Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

20% 20% 20%

22% 21% 24%

57% 59% 56%

 Base

Gender

Woman Man

Radtke Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

4% 3% 4%

14% 16% 13%

82% 82% 82%

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February 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia votersFebruary 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 Base

Gender

Woman Man

Kaine/Marshall

Tim Kaine

Bob Marshall

Undecided

 

49% 55% 43%

35% 27% 42%

16% 17% 14%

 Base

Gender

Woman Man

Perriello/Marshall

Tom Perriello

Bob Marshall

Undecided

 

39% 43% 35%

35% 28% 42%

26% 29% 23%

 Base

Gender

Woman Man

Boucher/Radtke

Rick Boucher

Jamie Radtke

Undecided

 

40% 44% 36%

29% 23% 35%

31% 33% 29%

 Base

Gender

Woman Man

Kaine/Radtke

Tim Kaine

Jamie Radtke

Undecided

 

49% 55% 44%

33% 26% 41%

17% 19% 16%

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February 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia votersFebruary 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 Base

Gender

Woman Man

Perriello/Radtke

Tom Perriello

Jamie Radtke

Undecided

 

40% 44% 37%

32% 26% 38%

28% 30% 25%

 Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Allen Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

 

39% 16% 67% 36%

40% 64% 12% 41%

21% 20% 22% 22%

 Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Boucher FavorabilityFavorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

 14% 16% 11% 15%

26% 28% 23% 27%

60% 56% 66% 57%

 Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Kaine FavorabilityFavorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

 46% 76% 15% 42%

38% 12% 65% 40%

17% 12% 21% 18%

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February 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia votersFebruary 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Marshall Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

 

8% 8% 8% 9%

20% 29% 12% 17%

72% 63% 80% 74%

 Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Perriello Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

 

20% 36% 7% 14%

22% 14% 31% 24%

57% 51% 62% 61%

 Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Radtke FavorabilityFavorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

 4% 3% 3% 4%

14% 18% 14% 10%

82% 79% 83% 86%

 Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Boucher/AllenRick Boucher

George Allen

Undecided

 42% 76% 6% 38%

47% 9% 8 9% 48%

11% 15% 5% 15%

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February 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia votersFebruary 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Kaine/Allen

Tim Kaine

George Allen

Undecided

 

47% 86% 7% 41%

47% 9% 8 7% 50%

6% 5% 5% 9%

 Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Perriello/Allen

Tom Perriello

George Allen

Undecided

 

41% 77% 5% 34%

48% 11% 90% 49%

11% 12% 4% 17%

 Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Boucher/MarshallRick Boucher

Bob M arshall

Undecided

 40% 71% 6% 36%

32% 4% 6 7% 29%

28% 25% 26% 35%

 Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Kaine/MarshallTim Kaine

Bob Marshall

Undecided

 49% 90% 8% 43%

35% 4% 6 8% 36%

16% 6% 2 4% 21%

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February 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia votersFebruary 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Perriello/Marshall

Tom Perriello

Bob M arshall

Undecided

 

39% 76% 4% 30%

35% 4% 7 1% 33%

26% 20% 25% 37%

 Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Boucher/Radtke

Rick Boucher

Jamie Radtke

Undecided

 

40% 75% 7% 32%

29% 3% 6 0% 26%

31% 21% 33% 43%

 Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Kaine/RadtkeTim Kaine

Jamie Radtke

Undecided

 49% 89% 8% 44%

33% 5% 6 7% 32%

17% 6% 2 5% 24%

 Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Perriello/RadtkeTom Perriello

Jamie Radtke

Undecided

 40% 80% 3% 30%

32% 4% 6 8% 26%

28% 16% 29% 44%

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February 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia votersFebruary 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 

Base

Race

White

African-

American Other

Perrie llo Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

20% 18% 28% 19%

22% 25% 14% 16%

57% 57% 58% 65%

 

Base

Race

White

African-

American Other

Radtke Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

4% 5% - -

14% 12% 25% 11%

82% 84% 75% 89%

 

Base

Race

White

African-

American Other

Boucher/Allen

Rick Boucher

George Allen

Undecided

 

42% 36% 67% 41%

47% 56% 14% 38%

11% 9% 19% 22%

 

Base

Race

White

African-

American Other

Kaine/Allen

Tim Kaine

George Allen

Undecided

 

47% 37% 83% 54%

47% 56% 14% 35%

6% 7% 3% 11%

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February 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia votersFebruary 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 

Base

Race

White

African-

American Other

Perriello/Allen

Tom Perriello

George Allen

Undecided

 

41% 32% 72% 43%

48% 58% 14% 38%

11% 10% 14% 19%

 

Base

Race

White

African-

American Other

Boucher/Marshall

Rick Boucher

Bob Marshall

Undecided

 

40% 33% 64% 41%

32% 39% 8% 22%

28% 28% 28% 38%

 

Base

Race

White

African-

American Other

Kaine/Marshall

Tim Kaine

Bob Marshall

Undecided

 

49% 39% 89% 46%

35% 43% 6% 27%

16% 18% 6% 27%

 

Base

Race

White

African-

American Other

Perriello/Marshall

Tom Perriello

Bob Marshall

Undecided

 

39% 31% 72% 35%

35% 43% 6% 30%

26% 27% 22% 35%

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February 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia votersFebruary 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 

Base

Race

White

African-

American Other

Boucher/Radtke

Rick Boucher

Jamie Radtke

Undecided

 

40% 33% 69% 32%

29% 35% 6% 22%

31% 32% 25% 46%

 

Base

Race

White

African-

American Other

Kaine/Radtke

Tim Kaine

Jamie Radtke

Undecided

 

49% 39% 92% 41%

33% 40% 8% 24%

17% 21% - 35%

 

Base

Race

White

African-

American Other

Perriello/Radtke

Tom Perriello

Jamie Radtke

Undecided

 

40% 31% 78% 38%

32% 39% 6% 24%

28% 30% 17% 38%

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Allen Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

39% 34% 28% 43% 44%

40% 47% 38% 40% 40%

21% 19% 34% 17% 15%

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February 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia votersFebruary 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Boucher Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

14% 24% 11% 13% 16%

26% 38% 29% 26% 19%

60% 39% 59% 61% 65%

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Kaine Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

46% 55% 46% 44% 44%

38% 29% 32% 43% 38%

17% 16% 22% 13% 18%

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Mars hall Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

8% 19% 9% 7% 5%

20% 32% 17% 19% 22%

72% 49% 75% 74% 73%

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Perrie llo Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

20% 26% 16% 21% 21%

22% 35% 22% 20% 23%

57% 39% 62% 59% 56%

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February 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia votersFebruary 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Radtke Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

4% 7% 4% 3% 2%

14% 32% 13% 12% 14%

82% 61% 83% 85% 83%

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Boucher/Allen

Rick Boucher

George Allen

Undecided

 

42% 57% 40% 42% 37%

47% 38% 44% 47% 53%

11% 5% 15% 11% 10%

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Kaine/Allen

Tim Kaine

George Allen

Undecided

 

47% 48% 50% 47% 43%

47% 41% 44% 46% 53%

6% 11% 6% 7% 3%

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Perriello/Allen

Tom Perriello

George Allen

Undecided

 

41% 54% 43% 40% 34%

48% 39% 44% 50% 55%

11% 7% 13% 10% 11%

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February 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia votersFebruary 24-27, 2011survey of 524 Virginia voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Boucher/Marshall

Rick Boucher

Bob Marshall

Undecided

 

40% 49% 40% 40% 34%

32% 31% 30% 34% 33%

28% 20% 30% 26% 33%

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Kaine/Marshall

Tim Kaine

Bob Marshall

Undecided

 

49% 59% 48% 51% 44%

35% 31% 32% 35% 38%

16% 10% 19% 14% 17%

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Perriello/Marshall

Tom Perriello

Bob Marshall

Undecided

 

39% 54% 36% 41% 34%

35% 35% 33% 35% 37%

26% 12% 31% 24% 29%

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Boucher/Radtke

Rick Boucher

Jamie Radtke

Undecided

 

40% 50% 42% 37% 40%

29% 31% 27% 30% 27%

31% 19% 31% 32% 34%

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February 24-27, 2011February 24-27, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd.R l i h NC 27604

3020 Highwoods Blvd.R l i h NC 27604

Crosstabs

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Kaine/Radtke

Tim Kaine

Jamie Radtke

Undecided

 

49% 57% 48% 50% 47%

33% 32% 32% 36% 30%

17% 11% 20% 14% 22%

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Perriello/Radtke

Tom Perriello

Jamie Radtke

Undecided

 

40% 52% 40% 40% 37%

32% 31% 30% 33% 32%

28% 17% 30% 27% 30%