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The Role of PrivateEquity in Aquaculture
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New York
Dubai
! Oceanis is the worlds first globalprivate equity player to be dedicated
exclusively to the seafood and aquaticresource sector
! Founded in 2010, the company hasoffices in Dubai and New York
! Oceanis works with a selected numberof investors through customized
investment structures
! Our team combines capital markets,private equity, strategy consulting and
aquatic resources operational /
technical expertise
Oceanis Partners Key Highlights
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SUPPLY
2.9 4.2 5.7 5 5.66.2 6.5
34.8
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35.440.4
43.638.9
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Non-alternative Alternative
Global Assets Under Management Institutional andRetail2005-2011, USD Trillions
! Despite a very public flame-out during the financial crisis,
alternative investments grew
up to USD 6.5 TN in 2011,
around 15% of the global
institutional and retail
investment market
! This represents acompounded annual growth
rate of 14.2% over 6-year
period, outperforming
traditional asset class growth
! Alternative includes PrivateEquity, Hedge Funds, Real
Estate, Infrastructure and
Commodities
Comments
CAGR
1.9%
14.2%
Source: McKinsey Financial Investment Practice
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SUPPLY
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2009 2011 2013E
4.2
6.4 6.8
0
1
23
4
5
6
7
8
2009 2011 2013E
Average Percentage of Total Portfolio AUM (simpleaverage)
2009-2013 ExpectedPrivate Equity Hedge Funds
4.1
5.9 6.5
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
2009 2011 2013E
Real Estate
0.72 2.2
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
2009 2011 2013E
Commodities
! Private Equityspercentage allocation
will more than double
from 2009 to 2013,
particularly in the US
market where it will
reach 7.3% (5.1%
expected in Europe)
Comments
Source: McKinsey Financial Investment Practice, Global Survey on Institutional Investing, 2011
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! Thematic investing is about capitalising on future macro trends, as opposed toallocating to incumbent sectors, based on the assumptions that past winners will
continue to win
! Increase of thematic PE and venture capital funds observed in the last decade! Examples of popular thematic funds:
" Clean-tech
"Agriculture
" Timberland
" Biotech
" Healthcare
" Energy & Natural resources
SUPPLY
At our recent London Ideas Exchange
conference, the majority of the audience believed
that thematic investing is an under-exploited way
to capture value
Towers Watson (firm), March 2011
In our view, investors should focus on thematic
private equity investment
Credit Suisse Research Monthly, Swiss edition June 2010
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! Substantial capital gains
! Dividends
Risk-adjustedreturns
Control
Downside
protection
!Ability to steer key strategic decisions,
and protect their interests
! Minority positions with negative control
are acceptable to some funds
!Avoid losses in any possible scenario
! Have a clear Plan B
! Empirical support for the strategic plan and
financial forecast
! Exit options after 4-6 years
Visibility
Typical PE Investors Core Goals
3-4 X
5 Years
SUPPLY
Multip
leof
Investment
Expected Return Profile -Conceptual
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!U
Total Market
SizeUSD 500 BN
USD 30 BN
! Total seafood and aquaculture market
(yearly revenue) is estimated at USD 500
BN1
!Yet the aggregate market capitalization ofpublic companies accounts for less than
USD 30 BN (June 2012)2
! Private owners control more than 90% of
the sector
! In comparison, private owners only control
25% of the total US economy
! Marine Harvest, the largest public
company is only USD 3 BN market cap
Comments
Seafood & Aquaculture Market Size Comparison
Total market capitalization ofpublicly traded companies2
DEMAND
1) Estimate based on annual production of 150MM MT of fish (2012), at an average retail selling value of around 3 USD/Kg
2) Estimate based observing 65 of the largest seafood / aqua companies by market capitalization as of June 2012
Bubbles to Scale
Estimates
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! Aquaculture is one of the most efficient ways to produce animal protein, when considering feed! Furthermore, marine based aquaculture uses very limited fresh water, as opposed to land based
animal production which actually consumes huge volumes
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1) Cattles FCR values vary from 7 to 10, Poultrys from 2 to 4.
2) The analysis does not include water requirements for feed production.
Source: FAO Fishery and Aquaculture Statistics, FAO report Livestocks long shadow, environmental issues
and options.
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Average(1)FCR Values Livestock Average Daily WaterRequirements(2)
DEMAND
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Aquaculture Project - Typical Proposition PE Investors Concerns
Capital atRisk
MaturityStage
! Many business plans for greenfieldprojects
! Often, unproven technology or pilotscale testing that is too small to
extrapolate
! Most of the business plans are highlycapital intensive
! Residual value of CAPEX is minimal ifthe business does not work
Track Record
! Often, track record is flimsy! Limited profits generated, or volatile
performance
! Often, track record just shows mistakesand bad decisions
! Deep industry knowledge anddedicated resources / time
required to assess the
opportunity
! Difficult to protect thedownside
! Risk of total write off in aworst case scenario
! PE investors want to seeproven ability to execute
plans and generate sustained
cash flows with high ROEs
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Timing
! Track records often show that it alwaystakes longer than expected
! Break-even for start ups sometimesrequires more than 5 years
! Typical PE investors requirevisibility on a credibleexitwithin 4-6 years
Aquaculture Project - Typical Proposition PE Investors Concerns
Governance
! Projects are often in jurisdictions withhigh perceived or real political / legal
risk
! Founder frequently wishes to retaincontrol
! Governance and regulatoryissues
! Can they gain control, or atleast negative control?
InvestmentSize
! Many investment opportunities fall belowa minimum threshold ticket size for
institutional investors
!Aquaculture investments maybe perceived to have a low
return-on-effort
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Required Characteristics for a PEinvestor in Aqua
Investor Type
! Patient capital provider
! Long term focus
! Thematic investment mindset
! Commitment to fundamentals
! Desire for inflation protection
! Belief in the efficient protein story
! Family Offices
! Sovereign Wealth Funds
! Endowments
! Pension funds
! Life insurance companies
The aquaculture sector still needs more nurturing and development before it will be seriously
interesting to a large number of classic PE funds. Oceanis therefore works with more patient
pools of capital to catalyse such development
EarlyStage
Later Stage
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Phase
Source ofFunds
! Prove the concept on
semi-commercial
scale! Generate consistent
revenue stream
! Focus on themarket
! Development banks! Founder capital!Angel investors
! Generate some profit! Build a solid scale-up
plan
! Private equity capital
(thematic players)! Reinvested profits
! Reach full vertical
integration!
Diversification intovarious markets and
species
! Private equity capital
(generalists)
! Public markets / banks
!Reinvested profits
Revenues
EBITDA
Ideal Aquaculture Venture Evolution
Years
$
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Sea bream
Sea bass
Mussels and Shellfish
AmberjackBluefin Tuna
PrawnExisting Aquaculture Species
To be DevelopedTilapia
\)3&"
Grouper/Hammour
Lobster
Logistics/Processing/Technology/Cages/RAS/Feed
Snapshot of SIV TargetsNON COMPREHENSIVE
& PRELIMINARY
! The MENA region offers good endemic bio-diversityand excellent natural aquatic resources
! Geographic differentiation will minimize extreme risks(e.g. natural catastrophes, diseases, political risk) and
provide overall protection to the invested capital
! The MENA region has the potential to become asignificant international production centre for aquaticproducts
Export to Asia
ExporttoRussia
MENA Demand
Algae
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Y?"(K ]):
Mattia Pipino Oceanis Partners
Bangkok 2012