pipino

download pipino

of 20

Transcript of pipino

  • 8/14/2019 pipino

    1/20

  • 8/14/2019 pipino

    2/20

    The Role of PrivateEquity in Aquaculture

    #$%$ &'(')*

    6,1$)'+ &$25)12+

  • 8/14/2019 pipino

    3/20

    *+,"(&- &- " -',+&"6&7,1 '.&8"/, ,9:&/;:66; >)+:-,1 )( /?, "9:"@+

    .,-):.+, -,+/).

    M

    New York

    Dubai

    ! Oceanis is the worlds first globalprivate equity player to be dedicated

    exclusively to the seafood and aquaticresource sector

    ! Founded in 2010, the company hasoffices in Dubai and New York

    ! Oceanis works with a selected numberof investors through customized

    investment structures

    ! Our team combines capital markets,private equity, strategy consulting and

    aquatic resources operational /

    technical expertise

    Oceanis Partners Key Highlights

  • 8/14/2019 pipino

    4/20

    NA'+ (21+1)5$

  • 8/14/2019 pipino

    5/20

    A:.&(B /?, '"-/ -&C ;,".-="6/,.("@8, &(8,-/5,(/- ?"8, 5).,

    /?"( 1):36,1

    P

    SUPPLY

    2.9 4.2 5.7 5 5.66.2 6.5

    34.8

    39.843.1

    35.440.4

    43.638.9

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Non-alternative Alternative

    Global Assets Under Management Institutional andRetail2005-2011, USD Trillions

    ! Despite a very public flame-out during the financial crisis,

    alternative investments grew

    up to USD 6.5 TN in 2011,

    around 15% of the global

    institutional and retail

    investment market

    ! This represents acompounded annual growth

    rate of 14.2% over 6-year

    period, outperforming

    traditional asset class growth

    ! Alternative includes PrivateEquity, Hedge Funds, Real

    Estate, Infrastructure and

    Commodities

    Comments

    CAGR

    1.9%

    14.2%

    Source: McKinsey Financial Investment Practice

  • 8/14/2019 pipino

    6/20

    %.&8"/, ,9:&/; "66)+"@)( &( '".@+:6".&- ,C',+/,1 /) 1):36, 3; DEFG=

    +)5'".,1 /) DEEH

    Q

    SUPPLY

    3.16.2

    6.8

    0

    1

    23

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    2009 2011 2013E

    4.2

    6.4 6.8

    0

    1

    23

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    2009 2011 2013E

    Average Percentage of Total Portfolio AUM (simpleaverage)

    2009-2013 ExpectedPrivate Equity Hedge Funds

    4.1

    5.9 6.5

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    2009 2011 2013E

    Real Estate

    0.72 2.2

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    2009 2011 2013E

    Commodities

    ! Private Equityspercentage allocation

    will more than double

    from 2009 to 2013,

    particularly in the US

    market where it will

    reach 7.3% (5.1%

    expected in Europe)

    Comments

    Source: McKinsey Financial Investment Practice, Global Survey on Institutional Investing, 2011

  • 8/14/2019 pipino

    7/20

    I, "6-) )3-,.8, &(+.,"-&(B-',+&"6&7"@)( &( /?, %4 &(1:-/.;=

    J&/? 5)., >)+:-,1 "(1 /?,5"@+ >:(1-

    R

    ! Thematic investing is about capitalising on future macro trends, as opposed toallocating to incumbent sectors, based on the assumptions that past winners will

    continue to win

    ! Increase of thematic PE and venture capital funds observed in the last decade! Examples of popular thematic funds:

    " Clean-tech

    "Agriculture

    " Timberland

    " Biotech

    " Healthcare

    " Energy & Natural resources

    SUPPLY

    At our recent London Ideas Exchange

    conference, the majority of the audience believed

    that thematic investing is an under-exploited way

    to capture value

    Towers Watson (firm), March 2011

    In our view, investors should focus on thematic

    private equity investment

    Credit Suisse Research Monthly, Swiss edition June 2010

  • 8/14/2019 pipino

    8/20

    %4 &(8,-/).- /;'&+"66; -,,K ,C+,66,(/ .&-KL"1M:-/,1 .,/:.(-= "- J,66 "- -/.)(B

    1)J(-&1, +"'&/"6 '.)/,+@)(

    S

    ! Substantial capital gains

    ! Dividends

    Risk-adjustedreturns

    Control

    Downside

    protection

    !Ability to steer key strategic decisions,

    and protect their interests

    ! Minority positions with negative control

    are acceptable to some funds

    !Avoid losses in any possible scenario

    ! Have a clear Plan B

    ! Empirical support for the strategic plan and

    financial forecast

    ! Exit options after 4-6 years

    Visibility

    Typical PE Investors Core Goals

    3-4 X

    5 Years

    SUPPLY

    Multip

    leof

    Investment

    Expected Return Profile -Conceptual

  • 8/14/2019 pipino

    9/20

    %4 &(8,-/).- +"( )N,. '.&8"/, +)5'"(&,-5,"(&(B>:6 8"6:, )8,. "(1 "3)8, M:-/

  • 8/14/2019 pipino

    10/20

    O,">))1 "(1 "9:"+:6/:., &- " 6".B, ,+)()5&+ -,+/).= ;,/

    6".B,6; '.&8"/,6; )J(,1 P -:BB,-@(B -/.)(B %4 ')/,(@"6

    !U

    Total Market

    SizeUSD 500 BN

    USD 30 BN

    ! Total seafood and aquaculture market

    (yearly revenue) is estimated at USD 500

    BN1

    !Yet the aggregate market capitalization ofpublic companies accounts for less than

    USD 30 BN (June 2012)2

    ! Private owners control more than 90% of

    the sector

    ! In comparison, private owners only control

    25% of the total US economy

    ! Marine Harvest, the largest public

    company is only USD 3 BN market cap

    Comments

    Seafood & Aquaculture Market Size Comparison

    Total market capitalization ofpublicly traded companies2

    DEMAND

    1) Estimate based on annual production of 150MM MT of fish (2012), at an average retail selling value of around 3 USD/Kg

    2) Estimate based observing 65 of the largest seafood / aqua companies by market capitalization as of June 2012

    Bubbles to Scale

    Estimates

  • 8/14/2019 pipino

    11/20

  • 8/14/2019 pipino

    12/20

    I)0 ;)$??:7 $9/$,/?5/21 $((1$2+ 5* V1 5A1 3*+5 1W,'1)5

    +*/2,1 *. (2*51') D'5A $ ?*D 219/'2131)5 .*2 .21+A D$512

    !B

    ! Aquaculture is one of the most efficient ways to produce animal protein, when considering feed! Furthermore, marine based aquaculture uses very limited fresh water, as opposed to land based

    animal production which actually consumes huge volumes

    !"#!"$

    %"&%"'

    $"&

    K$?3*)N'?$('$&*/?52:KD')1H$X?1

    1) Cattles FCR values vary from 7 to 10, Poultrys from 2 to 4.

    2) The analysis does not include water requirements for feed production.

    Source: FAO Fishery and Aquaculture Statistics, FAO report Livestocks long shadow, environmental issues

    and options.

    !"#!

    !"$#

    !

    %!

    $!

    &!

    '!

    (!!

    (%!

    ($!

    !"!

    !"(

    !"%

    !")

    !"$

    !"#

    !"&

    Y'521+Z[4Y'521+

    &*/?52:

    U=M

    U=!B

    KA11(

    !R=T

    KD')1

    RS=M

    \2: H*D

    SO=B

    \$'2:

    H*D

    !MQ=S

    U=BU

    \2')E')4 ]$512

    K128',1 ]$512

    Y'521+Z[4 *. F*0: #$++

    Average(1)FCR Values Livestock Average Daily WaterRequirements(2)

    DEMAND

    U=!B

  • 8/14/2019 pipino

    13/20

    O)= J?; 1)(R/ J, -,, 5"(; 5)., %4"9:"+:6/:., /."(-"+@)(-S

    !M

    ?

  • 8/14/2019 pipino

    14/20

    29:"+:6/:., '.)M,+/- "., /;'&+"66;+"'&/"6 &(/,(-&8,= )T,( :('.)8,( ).

    ?&-/).&+"66; 6)--L5"K&(BU

    !O

    Aquaculture Project - Typical Proposition PE Investors Concerns

    Capital atRisk

    MaturityStage

    ! Many business plans for greenfieldprojects

    ! Often, unproven technology or pilotscale testing that is too small to

    extrapolate

    ! Most of the business plans are highlycapital intensive

    ! Residual value of CAPEX is minimal ifthe business does not work

    Track Record

    ! Often, track record is flimsy! Limited profits generated, or volatile

    performance

    ! Often, track record just shows mistakesand bad decisions

    ! Deep industry knowledge anddedicated resources / time

    required to assess the

    opportunity

    ! Difficult to protect thedownside

    ! Risk of total write off in aworst case scenario

    ! PE investors want to seeproven ability to execute

    plans and generate sustained

    cash flows with high ROEs

  • 8/14/2019 pipino

    15/20

    U"(1 )T,( '.,-,(/ +?"66,(B&(BB)8,.("(+, &--:,- J&/? 6)(B,. /?"(

    ,C',+/,1 @5,6&(,- /) -:++,--

    !P

    Timing

    ! Track records often show that it alwaystakes longer than expected

    ! Break-even for start ups sometimesrequires more than 5 years

    ! Typical PE investors requirevisibility on a credibleexitwithin 4-6 years

    Aquaculture Project - Typical Proposition PE Investors Concerns

    Governance

    ! Projects are often in jurisdictions withhigh perceived or real political / legal

    risk

    ! Founder frequently wishes to retaincontrol

    ! Governance and regulatoryissues

    ! Can they gain control, or atleast negative control?

    InvestmentSize

    ! Many investment opportunities fall belowa minimum threshold ticket size for

    institutional investors

    !Aquaculture investments maybe perceived to have a low

    return-on-effort

  • 8/14/2019 pipino

    16/20

    2/ *+,"(&-= J, 3,6&,8, /?"/ "9:"@+.,-):.+,- "., ()/ >). ,8,.; %4 &(8,-/).

    !Q

    Required Characteristics for a PEinvestor in Aqua

    Investor Type

    ! Patient capital provider

    ! Long term focus

    ! Thematic investment mindset

    ! Commitment to fundamentals

    ! Desire for inflation protection

    ! Belief in the efficient protein story

    ! Family Offices

    ! Sovereign Wealth Funds

    ! Endowments

    ! Pension funds

    ! Life insurance companies

    The aquaculture sector still needs more nurturing and development before it will be seriously

    interesting to a large number of classic PE funds. Oceanis therefore works with more patient

    pools of capital to catalyse such development

    EarlyStage

    Later Stage

  • 8/14/2019 pipino

    17/20

    2( &1,"6 '"/? >). /?, "9:"+:6/:.,,(/.,'.,(,:. -,,K&(B '.)>,--&)("6

    %4 +"'&/"6

    !R

    Phase

    Source ofFunds

    ! Prove the concept on

    semi-commercial

    scale! Generate consistent

    revenue stream

    ! Focus on themarket

    ! Development banks! Founder capital!Angel investors

    ! Generate some profit! Build a solid scale-up

    plan

    ! Private equity capital

    (thematic players)! Reinvested profits

    ! Reach full vertical

    integration!

    Diversification intovarious markets and

    species

    ! Private equity capital

    (generalists)

    ! Public markets / banks

    !Reinvested profits

    Revenues

    EBITDA

    Ideal Aquaculture Venture Evolution

    Years

    $

  • 8/14/2019 pipino

    18/20!S

    2( *+,"(&- +"-, -/:1;V !4W2X!,18,?&+6, /".B,@(B -/."/,B&+ "--,/-

    "(1 B.,,(

  • 8/14/2019 pipino

    19/20!T

    Y?, OZ[ J&66 &(8,-/ &( 1&N,.,(/ -',+&,-"(1 "/ 8".&):- -/"B,- )> /?, 8"6:, +?"&(

    Sea bream

    Sea bass

    Mussels and Shellfish

    AmberjackBluefin Tuna

    PrawnExisting Aquaculture Species

    To be DevelopedTilapia

    \)3&"

    Grouper/Hammour

    Lobster

    Logistics/Processing/Technology/Cages/RAS/Feed

    Snapshot of SIV TargetsNON COMPREHENSIVE

    & PRELIMINARY

    ! The MENA region offers good endemic bio-diversityand excellent natural aquatic resources

    ! Geographic differentiation will minimize extreme risks(e.g. natural catastrophes, diseases, political risk) and

    provide overall protection to the invested capital

    ! The MENA region has the potential to become asignificant international production centre for aquaticproducts

    Export to Asia

    ExporttoRussia

    MENA Demand

    Algae

  • 8/14/2019 pipino

    20/20

    Y?"(K ]):

    Mattia Pipino Oceanis Partners

    Bangkok 2012