PGR sea level - University of California, San Diego · If the ice sheets continue to melt during...
Transcript of PGR sea level - University of California, San Diego · If the ice sheets continue to melt during...
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Post Glacial Rebound and Relative Sea Level • ΔRSL = ΔOSL + ΔGIA+ ΔVCM • ΔVCM
- largest probable signals on 100-year timescale - areas of large ΔVCM - California ΔVCM = earthquake cycle + crustal fluids - Many coastal cities have large VCM
RSL - relative sea levelOSL - ocean sea levelGIA - glacial isostatic adjustmentVCM - vertical crustal motion
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Figure 6.14 Subsidence due to glaciation and subsequent postglacial rebound [Turcotte and Schubert, 2001]
The progression of glaciation cycles through the Quaternary Ice Age using oxygen-isotope ratios as a proxy for global ice volume. LGM is the Last Glacial Maximum. From Siegert et al. (2002).
Spatial and temporal variations in continental ice sheets
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Major northern hemisphere continental ice sheets
Laurentide
Fennoscandia
Greenland
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Major northern hemisphere continental ice sheets
Why is there no ice sheet here?
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✐“9781107006539c06” — 2013/12/3 — 15:31 — page 284 — #19
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284 Fluid Mechanics
Figure 6.16 Uplift of the mouth of the Angerman River, Sweden,as a function of time before the present compared with theexponential relaxation model, Equation (6.104), for wm0 = 300 mless 30 m of uplift yet to occur, τr = 4400 years, and an initiationof the uplift 10,000 years ago.
for the earliest times, there is quite good agreementwith the data.
This value of the relaxation time can be usedto obtain a viscosity for the mantle using Equa-tion (6.105). For the glaciation of Fennoscandia, areasonable value for the wavelength is λ = 3000 km.Taking ρ = 3300 kg m−3 and g = 10 m s−2 along withτr = 4400 years, we find that µ = 1.1 × 1021 Pa s.
We have considered only the response to a spa-tially periodic surface displacement. Because the prob-lem is linear, solutions can be superimposed in orderto consider other distributions of surface displace-ment. However, more complete studies of postglacialrebound include the flexural rigidity of the elasticlithosphere and a depth-dependent mantle viscosity.If the ice sheets continue to melt during the periodof rebound, the sea level will increase, and this mustbe taken into account. Available rebound data includ-ing changes in sea level are included on a world-wide basis. These studies require numerical solutions,and the results of one such effort are summarized inTable 6.2. We see that the mean mantle viscosity is ingood agreement with the value we obtained using theapproximate analytic solution.
Table 6.2 Distribution of Viscosity in the Mantlefrom Postglacial Rebound Studies
Region Depth (km) Dynamic Viscosity (Pa s)
Lithosphere 0–100 ElasticAsthenosphere 100–175 4 × 1019
175–2848 1021
M Problem 6.12The ice sheet over Hudson Bay, Canada, had an esti-mated thickness of 2 km. At the present time there isa negative free-air gravity anomaly in this region of0.3 mm s−2.
a. Assuming that the ice (density of 1000 kg m−3)was in isostatic equilibrium and displaced mantlerock with a density of 3300 kg m−3, determine thedepression of the land surface wm 0.
b. Assuming that the negative free-air gravityanomaly is due to incomplete rebound, determinew at the present time.
c. Applying the periodic analysis given above, deter-mine the mantle viscosity. Assume that the icesheet melted 10,000 years ago and that the appro-priate wavelength for the Hudson Bay ice sheetwas 5000 km.
d. Discuss the difference between the viscosityobtained in (c) and that obtained for Scandinavia.
A MATLAB solution to this problem is provided inAppendix D.
In the above, we have solved the postglacial reboundproblem in a two-dimensional Cartesian geometry.Section 12.8 discusses the generalization of this prob-lem to axisymmetric geometry, which is often bettersuited to describe the rebound associated with theremoval of ice sheets and the drying up of ancientlakes. The theory presented in Section 12.8 is alsorelevant to relaxation of impact craters on plane-tary bodies. Section 12.8 uses MATLAB to evaluatethe solutions of the axisymmetric postglacial reboundproblem.
Uplift decreases exponentially with time
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Uplift Rate from GPS
http://web.ics.purdue.edu/~ecalais/projects/noam/noam/
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Great Circle Distances from Hudson Bay to Near and Far Field Tide Gauges
Miller L , and Douglas B C Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 2006;364:805-820
Laurentide rebound centered at Hudsons Bay
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Relative Sea Level Trends and Distance from Hudson Bay
-10
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0
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0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000
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e Se
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Great Circle Distance from Churchill (Hudson Bay), KM
Churchill
Portland, ME
Hampton Roads, VA
Halifax, NS Balboa HonoluluKey WestBermuda
San Diego
Pensacola, FL
New York
Miller L , and Douglas B C Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 2006;364:805-820
RSL from tide gauges
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RSL from tide gauges - Fennoscandia
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Miller L , and Douglas B C Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 2006;364:805-820
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Rebound at Greenland: Present-day elastic rebound or past viscoelastic rebound?
[Bevis et al., 2012]
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vertical crustal motion from earthquakes
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Great Sumatra Earthquake, 2004
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Great Sumatra Earthquake, 2004
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Sieh et al., Science, 2008
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vertical surface deformation from withdrawal of crustal
fluids - water and oil
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Annual groundwater recharge in LA Basin
(Watson et al., JGR 2001)
(Watson et al., JGR 2001)
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Groundwater in LA Basin
(Watson et al., JGR 2001)
subsidence = 8 mm/yrannual 10-30 mm
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Berman, 2005maximum subsidence rate = 40 mm/yr
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Berman, 2005
maximum subsidence rate = 100 mm/yr
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Coastal Cities Nelson 2009
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Vertical Crustal Motions can dominate RSL
Global sea level rise ~3 mm/yrPost Glacial Rebound 0-20 mm/yrEarthquakes
Sumatra subduction - 1000 mmCalifornia strike-slip - 200 mm
InterseismicSumatra - 10 mm/yrCalifornia - 1.5 mm/yr
GroundwaterLA - secular - 3 mm/yr (Long Beach)LA - annual - 10-30 mm/yrHouston - secular - 40 mm/yrNew Orleans - secular - 8 mm/yr
OILHouston (1920s) - 100 mm/yr