OECD GIFF 2016 Session 4: Mariko Kawaguchi

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This handout is not intended as a solicitation for investment. Content herein is based on reliable information available at the time the handout was prepared and may be amended or otherwise changed in the future without notice. We make no representations as to accuracy or completeness. Daiwa Securities Group is the parent of Daiwa Institute of Research Holdings (parent of Daiwa Institute of Research) and Daiwa Securities. Daiwa Institute of Research retains all rights related to the content of this handout, which may not be redistributed or otherwise transmitted without prior consent. The current state of Sustainable Investment Market in Japan ESG Research Kawaguchi, Mariko Chief Researcher, Daiwa Institute of Research, Representative Board Member, Japan Sustainable Investment Forum October 13, 2016

Transcript of OECD GIFF 2016 Session 4: Mariko Kawaguchi

Page 1: OECD GIFF 2016 Session 4: Mariko Kawaguchi

This handout is not intended as a solicitation for investment. Content herein is based on reliable information available at the time the handout was prepared and may be amended or otherwise changed in the future without notice. We make no representations as to accuracy or completeness. Daiwa Securities Group is the parent of Daiwa Institute of Research Holdings (parent of Daiwa Institute of Research) and Daiwa Securities. Daiwa Institute of Research retains all rights related to the content of this handout, which may not be redistributed or otherwise transmitted without prior consent.

The current state of Sustainable Investment

Market in Japan

ESG Research

Kawaguchi, MarikoChief Researcher, Daiwa Institute of Research,

Representative Board Member, Japan Sustainable Investment Forum

October 13, 2016

Page 2: OECD GIFF 2016 Session 4: Mariko Kawaguchi

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What is happening now in Japan?

Sustainable Investment Market is TAKING OFF due toNew Framework : • Stewardship Code ( 2014 ) + Corporate Governance

Code(2015) Entry of the most influential investor• GPIF signed PRI (Sept 2015) → Japanese signatories Before GPIF (2006 ~ Sept2015 ) : 33

                     Now (Oct   2016 )      50Government is expecting GPIF (and other investors) as an

effective tool to promote green economy, SDGs and productivity improvement.

More CEOs are now aware that ESG is a core part of their Long term strategy.

More investors are now adopting ESG research.

 

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Snap shot of Japanese Sustainable Investment Market

Japanese Sustainable Investment Market been very minor

(less than \1 tril)

According to A JSIF Survey conducted December 2015 to 59 major institutions including signatories of Stewardship Code,

Balance of 24 institutions assets totaled \ 26.6 tril

Strategy: ESG integration \17.6 tril, Engagement \11.7 tril 3

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What does Sustainable Investment means by different asset class?

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Equity Investors: ESG valuation & ESG integration, Engagement

Corporations are now working on ;Long-term Strategy, Integrated Reporting, ESG information disclosure, governance

Fixed income Investors: Green Bond, Social Impact bond

Definition of GreenMeasurement of Social Impact

CarbonIs the first and most important step To graspIndustry-wide

①ESG value

②ESG impact

Page 5: OECD GIFF 2016 Session 4: Mariko Kawaguchi

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Performance of low carbon emission companies outperforming (CO2emission/sales)

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社数 1期前実績 ROE実績 ROE予想(社) ROE (%) (%) (%)

上場企業全体 3,132 6.0 5.6 7.5CO売上高当たり 2排出量が

20%以上減少76 9.0 8.8 9.0

CO売上高当たり 2排出量が減少 181 8.2 5.6 8.2CO売上高当たり 2排出量が増加 174 5.9 5.9 7.7

 ROE と 売上高当たり排出量増減率( 2010 年度- 2014 年度)

5年間の各ポートフォリオのリターン指数推移(2009年12月末=100 )

出所) 大和総研 伊藤正晴「CO2排出量の動向と企業パフォーマンス」  2015.7.17  出典 経済産業省、「環境報告書プラザ」、東洋経済新報社、東京証券取引所 等より大和総研作成

More than 20% reduction

More than 20% increase

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Developing economies are successful in decoupling but not Japan

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 主要排出7か国の CO2 排出量と GDP の関係

0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 0

5

10

15

20

25 一

人当

たり

CO2排

出量

(t

一人当たり GDP PPP ( 2005年米ドル)

日本

中国

米国

EU

インド

ロシア

1971

1971

ブラジル

( 2℃ 目標における 2030年の水準)

× : 2030( 予 )

2030(予 )

(注)ロシアおよびEUは 1990~ 2013年の推移。これ以外は 1971~ 2013 年の推移。(出所) CO2排出量は、 IEA、” CO2 Emissions from Fuel Combustion - 2015 edition”, 2015、人口は、 UN、” World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision.”, 2015、 GDP は、 IMF, “World Economic Outlook October 2015 Edi-tion”, 2015。から大和総研が作成

2013

1971

2013

1990

1990

2013

2013

2013

20131971 2013

Source ) Osawa,Shuichi 「 Ideal of Paris Accord and actual emissions reduction target’ Daiwa Quarterly  Vol 22

Japan

Russia

USA

China

Brazil;India

GDP PER Ca pita (US$)

CO2 PER Ca pita (t)

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Thank you for your kind attention !