MBA CORP FINC 5880 “Capital Structure” “Capital Structure” Session 1 The Disney DEMO...

24
MBA CORP FINC 5880 MBA CORP FINC 5880 Capital Structure” Capital Structure” Session 1 The Disney DEMO Session 1 The Disney DEMO Shanghai 2014 Shanghai 2014 邦邦邦 邦邦邦

Transcript of MBA CORP FINC 5880 “Capital Structure” “Capital Structure” Session 1 The Disney DEMO...

Page 1: MBA CORP FINC 5880 “Capital Structure” “Capital Structure” Session 1 The Disney DEMO Shanghai 2014 邦保罗.

MBA CORP FINC 5880MBA CORP FINC 5880

““Capital Structure”Capital Structure”Session 1 The Disney DEMO Session 1 The Disney DEMO

Shanghai 2014Shanghai 2014

邦保罗邦保罗

Page 2: MBA CORP FINC 5880 “Capital Structure” “Capital Structure” Session 1 The Disney DEMO Shanghai 2014 邦保罗.

The Finance Framework

Page 3: MBA CORP FINC 5880 “Capital Structure” “Capital Structure” Session 1 The Disney DEMO Shanghai 2014 邦保罗.

Look at Disney

Page 4: MBA CORP FINC 5880 “Capital Structure” “Capital Structure” Session 1 The Disney DEMO Shanghai 2014 邦保罗.

The Process

Page 5: MBA CORP FINC 5880 “Capital Structure” “Capital Structure” Session 1 The Disney DEMO Shanghai 2014 邦保罗.

Source: Damodaran…

Page 6: MBA CORP FINC 5880 “Capital Structure” “Capital Structure” Session 1 The Disney DEMO Shanghai 2014 邦保罗.

In 1996:

Page 7: MBA CORP FINC 5880 “Capital Structure” “Capital Structure” Session 1 The Disney DEMO Shanghai 2014 邦保罗.

Start with actual performance

Page 8: MBA CORP FINC 5880 “Capital Structure” “Capital Structure” Session 1 The Disney DEMO Shanghai 2014 邦保罗.

Ks% at different debt ratio’s

Page 9: MBA CORP FINC 5880 “Capital Structure” “Capital Structure” Session 1 The Disney DEMO Shanghai 2014 邦保罗.

Beta and Ks% at different debt ratio’s

Page 10: MBA CORP FINC 5880 “Capital Structure” “Capital Structure” Session 1 The Disney DEMO Shanghai 2014 邦保罗.

Estimate cost of debt at each level of debt…

Page 11: MBA CORP FINC 5880 “Capital Structure” “Capital Structure” Session 1 The Disney DEMO Shanghai 2014 邦保罗.

From 10%-90%

Page 12: MBA CORP FINC 5880 “Capital Structure” “Capital Structure” Session 1 The Disney DEMO Shanghai 2014 邦保罗.

Like this…

Page 13: MBA CORP FINC 5880 “Capital Structure” “Capital Structure” Session 1 The Disney DEMO Shanghai 2014 邦保罗.

Beware of tax implications

Page 14: MBA CORP FINC 5880 “Capital Structure” “Capital Structure” Session 1 The Disney DEMO Shanghai 2014 邦保罗.

Debt % and Kd%

Page 15: MBA CORP FINC 5880 “Capital Structure” “Capital Structure” Session 1 The Disney DEMO Shanghai 2014 邦保罗.

So find minimum WACC%

Page 16: MBA CORP FINC 5880 “Capital Structure” “Capital Structure” Session 1 The Disney DEMO Shanghai 2014 邦保罗.

You found best Debt ratio around 40%

Page 17: MBA CORP FINC 5880 “Capital Structure” “Capital Structure” Session 1 The Disney DEMO Shanghai 2014 邦保罗.
Page 18: MBA CORP FINC 5880 “Capital Structure” “Capital Structure” Session 1 The Disney DEMO Shanghai 2014 邦保罗.

Note on ratings…

Page 19: MBA CORP FINC 5880 “Capital Structure” “Capital Structure” Session 1 The Disney DEMO Shanghai 2014 邦保罗.

Cost of rating constraint:

Page 20: MBA CORP FINC 5880 “Capital Structure” “Capital Structure” Session 1 The Disney DEMO Shanghai 2014 邦保罗.

Different rating constraints

Page 21: MBA CORP FINC 5880 “Capital Structure” “Capital Structure” Session 1 The Disney DEMO Shanghai 2014 邦保罗.

Note: All Beta’s are levered..

• All beta’s we calculated are from All beta’s we calculated are from companies with LT debtcompanies with LT debt

• They are so called Levered They are so called Levered Beta’sBeta’s

• Only if a company has NO debt Only if a company has NO debt (Microsoft) the levered (Microsoft) the levered beta=unlevered betabeta=unlevered beta

• So we can calculate all So we can calculate all companies beta’s assuming that companies beta’s assuming that LT debt is zero, 10%, 20% etc….LT debt is zero, 10%, 20% etc….

• You can imagine what happens if You can imagine what happens if the debt ratio is 90% or more….the debt ratio is 90% or more….

Page 22: MBA CORP FINC 5880 “Capital Structure” “Capital Structure” Session 1 The Disney DEMO Shanghai 2014 邦保罗.

Levered and unlevered Beta’s

• How does the Debt ratio of a How does the Debt ratio of a company effects the beta and company effects the beta and Ks?Ks?

• Through the “financial leverage” Through the “financial leverage” (D/E ratio)(D/E ratio)

• We can calculate the effect on We can calculate the effect on Beta from the Debt ratio…Beta from the Debt ratio…

• The higher D/E the higher the The higher D/E the higher the beta for a companybeta for a company

• Let’s take a look at the Hamada Let’s take a look at the Hamada formula:formula:

ßetaßeta

Page 23: MBA CORP FINC 5880 “Capital Structure” “Capital Structure” Session 1 The Disney DEMO Shanghai 2014 邦保罗.

Hamada and Disney

• Levered Beta= Unlevered Beta*(1+(1-t%)*D/E)Levered Beta= Unlevered Beta*(1+(1-t%)*D/E)

• Unlevered Beta= Levered Beta/(1+(1-t%)*D/E)Unlevered Beta= Levered Beta/(1+(1-t%)*D/E)

My Beta ???

Page 24: MBA CORP FINC 5880 “Capital Structure” “Capital Structure” Session 1 The Disney DEMO Shanghai 2014 邦保罗.

Homework Assignment 1:

• Consider your company’s WACC

• Follow the attached searching process

• Do this for your company

• Put all in an Excel spread sheet

• Make the output look exactly like in attached PPT for your company

• Use FY2013 or any last relevant year…