m Prc 0913 Omnibus
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Transcript of m Prc 0913 Omnibus
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7/29/2019 m Prc 0913 Omnibus
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MAINE PEOPLES RESOURCE CENTER
PUBLIC OPINION SURVEY
September 8-10, 2013 N=652
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Accuracy
Uncannily close Considering the final results, the center receives
kudos for its work. Portland Press Herald
MPRC is bringing transparency and accountability to a challengingarea of public debate MPRC is elevating the discourse around what
Maine people actually think and want. Portland Phoenix
While there are conflicting numbers from two pollsters, I tend to
believe the Maine People's Resource Center, or MPRC, has the moreaccurate findings. Over the last two years they have polled eight
contests and, without fail, their findings among the published public
polls have been closest to the actual results. Former LePageAdministration Communications and Policy Director Dan DemerritMPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.
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Methodology
A survey of 652 likely Maine voters was conducted by interactive voiceresponse from September 8-10, 2013. Calls were made at differenttimes of day to maximize the diversity of possible respondents.Questions were recorded by a female interviewer.
Survey results were mathematically weighted by gender, age andgeographic area to ensure an accurate representation of the populationbeing surveyed. The sample was not weighted by party or ideology.
The margin of error of this survey is 3.84%, 95 times out of 100. Sub-samples may have a larger margin of error.
Frequencies and percentages may not always add up to the total
number of responses or to 100%, due to weighting and rounding.
MPRC is a non-partisan, non-profit organization dedicated to givingpeople, especially those groups that are under-represented in civic life,skills and information to participate in the decision-making processes thataffect them.
MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.
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LePage Favorability
Do you have a
favorable or an
unfavorable opinionof Governor Paul
LePage?
favorable 37.9
unfavorable 56.9
not sure 3.4
not familiar 1.7
0
20
40
60
Peen
MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.
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Cutler Favorability
Do you have a
favorable or an
unfavorable opinionof Eliot Cutler?
favorable 25.9
unfavorable 46.0
not sure 6.7
not familiar 21.4
0
20
40
60
Peen
MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.
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Michaud Favorability
Do you have a
favorable or an
unfavorable opinionof Congressman
Mike Michaud?
favorable 56.1
unfavorable 31.2
not sure 4.0
not familiar 8.8
0
20
40
60
Peen
MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.
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Governor Three-Way Contest
If the race for MaineGovernor were held today
and the candidates were
Republican Paul LePage,Democrat Mike Michaud
and independent Eliot
Cutler, who would you
vote for?
LePage 34.0
Michaud 40.0
Cutler 16.8
undecided 9.1
0
20
40
Peen
MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.
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Governor Two-Way Contest
If the race for MaineGovernor were held today
and the candidates were
Republican Paul LePageand Democrat Mike
Michaud, who would you
vote for?
LePage 36.1
Michaud 55.9
undecided 7.9
0
20
40
60
Peen
MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.
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U.S. Senate Generic Democrat
If the election for UnitedStates Senate were held
today, would you vote for
Republican Susan Collinsor for a Democratic
candidate?
Collins 59.5
democrat 25.7
undecided 14.8
0
20
40
60
80
Peen
MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.
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U.S. Senate - Cutler
If the election for UnitedStates Senate were held
today, and the candidates
were Republican SusanCollins and independent
Eliot Cutler, who would
you vote for?
Collins 57.5
Cutler 28.0
undecided 14.4
0
20
40
60
80
Peen
MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.
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Anti-Discrimination Law
Maine's non-discrimination
law makes it illegal for
businesses and
organizations to deny
services to people based oncharacteristics like their
race, religion or whether or
not they are gay or lesbian.
Do you support or oppose
this law?
strongly support 55.2
somewhat support 19.2
somewhat oppose 10.4
strongly oppose 6.9
not sure 8.5
0
20
40
60
Peen
MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.
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Anti-Discrimination Change
Some people have
proposed creating
new laws in Maine
that would allowbusinesses and
organizations to deny
services to gays and
lesbians if it violates
their religiousbeliefs. Would you
support such a law? yes 27.7no 60.5
not sure 11.8
0
20
40
60
80
Peen
MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.
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Immigration Bill
As you may know, the U.S.Senate recently voted to passlegislation reforming theimmigration system. The bill
would allow illegalimmigrants already in thecountry to become citizensafter 13 years if they pay afine and learn English. Thebill would also double thenumber of border patrolagents, and double theamount of fencing along theMexican border. In general,do you support or oppose thisbill?
support 52.8
oppose 29.6
not sure 17.5
0
20
40
60
Peen
MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.
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Frequencies
MPRC adheres to the AAPOR Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.
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Gender %Female 52.9
Male 47.1
Party %Democratic 36.4
Republican 29.6
Independent/other 34.0
Age %18-34 18.6
35-49 23.3
50-64 32.9
65+ 25.2
Congressional District %1 52.0
2 48.0
Ideology %Very liberal 11.5
Somewhat liberal 21.7
Moderate 32.6
Somewhat conservative 18.6
Very conservative 13.4
Not sure 2.3