La chine en Asie du Sud-Est: Birmanie / Myanmar
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La Chine en Asie du Sud-‐Est: Birmanie/Myanmar
Source: h:p-‐//www.economist.com/node/17965601
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IntroducEon
La Birmanie ou le Myanmar ?
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IntroducEon
Avril 2014: Premier recensement en Myanmar depuis trente ans
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IntroducEon Histoire
(en 20 secondes)
1948 2007 1988
Aujourd’hui
Wikipedia
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Introduc2on Myanmar aujourd’hui
1. L’économie 2. La société 3. Le système poliEque 4. L’acteur internaEonal
#NLD #AungSanSuuKyi #TheinSein #violencesethniques #Rohingya #elecEons2015
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La Chine était un pilier du régime autoritaire et devient profondément ancrée dans le système poliEque et économique
du Myanmar. Cependant, peut-‐elle maintenir sa posiEon exclusive en dépit de
la démocraEsaEon et l'ouverture du pays?
h:p-‐//www.africancrisis.org/images/Cartoon_ZAPIRO_Myanmar_junta_Chinese_support
Introduc2on
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3) Quel avenir?
2) Les rela2ons entre la Chine et le Myanmar dans un contexte de démocra2sa2on.
1) Les réformes en Myanmar: un processus irréversible et complet?
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1) Les réformes en Myanmar: un processus irréversible et complet?
A) Les facteurs intérieurs et extérieurs nécessaires à la démocraEsaEon
Wikipedia
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1) Les réformes en Myanmar: un processus irréversible et complet?
B) Les limites des réformes
25%
h:p-‐//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/b/b5/MMarmyflag
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2) Les rela2ons entre la Chine et le Myanmar dans un contexte de
démocra2sa2on A) Les conséquences du processus de réforme -‐> un réexamen
des relaEons poliEques et économiques avec le Myanmar
h:p-‐//www.islandbreath.org/2011Year/09/110930burma.jpg h:p-‐//www.bbc.com/news/world-‐asia-‐pacific-‐15123833
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2) Les rela2ons entre la Chine et le Myanmar dans un contexte de démocra2sa2on
B) De forts enjeux stratégiques
h:p-‐//cdn.staEc-‐economist.com/sites/default/files/imagecache/full-‐width/images/print-‐ediEon/20130525_SRM934.png h:p://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2013/05/daily-‐chart-‐9
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3) Quel avenir pour le Myanmar? A) Le Myanmar: ses défis et ses atouts • me:re la fin a la guerre
civile • l’amélioraEon des
condiEon de vie et la poursuite du développement durable
h:p-‐//www.courrierinternaEonal.com/files/illustraEons/arEcle/2012/03/1117/1117-‐MyanmarEthnie
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Quel Avenir pour le Myanmar? B) un territoire qui cristallise les enjeux internaEonaux
h:p-‐//www.carto-‐presse.com/wp-‐content/uploads/2011/10/0203_Birmanie_V4 h:p-‐//www.taipeiEmes.com/images/2012/11/20/thumbs/P01-‐121120-‐304.jpg h:p-‐//wisdomquarterly.blogspot.fr/2011/07/india-‐trying-‐to-‐woo-‐burma-‐from-‐china
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Conclusion
က"#ဇ%#တ'()တယ္။ Kyeizu (n ba de
Merci de votre a:enEon
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Bibliographie: • Jane Pelez, „U.S. and China Press for Influence in Myanmar,“ New York Times, March 20, 2012, accesed April 10, 2014,
h:p://www.nyEmes.com/2012/03/31/world/asia/myanmar-‐reforms-‐set-‐us-‐and-‐china-‐in-‐race-‐for-‐sway.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0. • David Cohen, „China’s Myanmar Problem,“ The Diplomat, January 17, 2013, accessed April 9, 2014, h:p://thediplomat.com/2013/01/chinas-‐myanmar-‐problem/. • Brian P. Klein, “How Not to Invest in Myanmar,” Foreign Affairs, July 25, 2012, accessed April 8, 2014,
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h:p://www.monde-‐diplomaEque.fr/2012/01/BOUCAUD/47173,. • Steve Finch, “Burma’s Forgo:en Dilemma,” The Diplomat, September 21, 2012, accessed April 4, 2014, h:p://thediplomat.com/2012/09/burmas-‐forgo:en-‐dilemma/1/. • “China media: Burma gas pipeline,” BBC, October 21, 2013, accessed March 30, 2014, h:p://www.bbc.com/news/world-‐asia-‐china-‐24605706. • Jeffrey A. Bader, “President Obama's Message to Myanmar: "We're With You and We're Watching You." Brookings, November 16, 2012, accessed March 30, 2014,
h:p://www.brookings.edu/research/expert-‐qa/2012/11/16-‐myanmar-‐bader-‐qa. • Tridivesh Singh Maini, “Can India Catch Up With China in Myanmar?” The Diplomat, March 16, 2014, accessed March 20, 2014,
h:p://thediplomat.com/2014/03/can-‐india-‐catch-‐up-‐with-‐china-‐in-‐myanmar/. • ChrisEna Larson, “China’s Oil Pipeline Through Myanmar Brings Both Energy and Resentment,” BloombergBusinessweek, February 4, 2014, accessed March 30, 2014,
h:p://www.businessweek.com/arEcles/2014-‐02-‐04/chinas-‐oil-‐pipeline-‐through-‐myanmar-‐brings-‐both-‐energy-‐and-‐resentment#r=rss. • Yun Sun, “China’s IntervenEon in the Myanmar-‐Kachin Peace Talks,” Brookings, February 20, 2013, accessed March 25, 2014,
h:p://www.brookings.edu/research/arEcles/2013/02/20-‐china-‐myanmar-‐sun. • Yun Sun, “China’s Strategic Misjudgment on Myanmar,” Journal of Current Southeast Asian Affairs 1 (2012): 73-‐96. • David I. Steinberg, “The Problem of Democracy in the Republic of the Union of Myanmar, Neither NaEon-‐State Nor State-‐NaEon?,” Southeast Asian Affairs (2012): 220-‐237. • “How Myanmar will connect up Asia,” The Economist, May 23, 2013, accessed April 2, 2014, h:p://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2013/05/daily-‐chart-‐9. • Winston Set Aung, “Informal Trade and Underground Economy in Myanmar, Cost and Benefits,” Irasec, June, 2011, accessed 30 April, 2014, Informal Trade and Underground Economy in
Myanmar Costs and Benefits.pdf. • Kyaw Yin Hlaing, “Understanding Recent PoliEcal Changes in Myanmar,” Contemporary Southeast Asia 34 (2012): 197-‐216. • Sudha Ramachandran, “China-‐South Asia Strategic Engagement -‐ 3, Sino-‐Myanmar RelaEoship: Past Imperfect, Future Tense,” ISAS 158 (August 2012): 1-‐19. • Maxwell Harrington, “Conference Report: China-‐Myanmar RelaEons: The Dilemmas of Mutual Dependence Georgetown University,” Journal of Current Southeast Asian Afffairs 1 (2012):
133-‐139. • Yun Sun, “China, the United States and the Kachin Conflict,” S(mson Issue Brief 2 (January 2014). • OECD (2014), “ExecuEve summary”, in OECD Investment Policy Reviews: Myanmar 2014, OECD Publishing. h:p://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264206441-‐4-‐en • James O’Connor, “State Building, Infrastructure Development and Chinese Energy Projects in Myanmar,” in Les notes de l’Irasec n10, March 2011, IRASEC.