GREATER METRO DENVER REAL ESTATE MARKET STATISTICS

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Denver Trends 2010 Year-End Analysis GREATER METROPOLITAN DENVER REAL ESTATE MARKET STATISTICS DECEMBER, 2010 YEAR END TRANSACTIONS SINGLE FAMILY 49,313 Single Family properties were placed under contract in ’10 versus 56,174 properties in ’09 ‐ ↓ 12% 38,818 Single Family properties closed in ’10 versus 42,070 properties in ’09 ‐ ↓ 8% YTD closed dollar volume was $9.9 Billion in ’10, ↔ even versus year to date ‘09 RESIDENTIAL 39,200 Residential properties were placed under contract in ’10 versus 44,546 properties in ’09 ‐ ↓ 12% 30,777 Residential properties closed in ’10 versus 33,114 properties in ’09 ‐ ↓ 7% YTD closed dollar volume was $8.6 Billion in ’10, ↔ even versus year to date ‘09 CONDO 10,113 Condo properties were placed under contract in ’10 versus 11,628 properties in ’09 ‐ ↓ 13% 8,041 Condo properties closed in ’10 versus 8,956 properties in ’09 ‐ ↓ 10% YTD closed dollar volume was $1.3 Billion in ’10, ↓ $ 0.1 Billion versus year to date ‘09 INVENTORY Single Family unsold homes on the market at 12/10 of 18,867 units ‐ ↑ 15% from 12/09 Residential unsold homes on the market at 12/10 of 14,450 units ‐ ↑ 18% from 12/09 Condo unsold homes on the market at 12/10 of 4,417 units ‐ ↑ 5% from 12/09 Jim Cimino 303.908.2276 [email protected] www.jimcfidelity.com

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GREATER METRO DENVER REAL ESTATE MARKET STATISTICS

Transcript of GREATER METRO DENVER REAL ESTATE MARKET STATISTICS

Page 1: GREATER METRO DENVER REAL ESTATE MARKET STATISTICS

Denver Trends

2010 Year-End Analysis

GREATER METROPOLITAN DENVER REAL ESTATE MARKET STATISTICS 

DECEMBER, 2010 YEAR END 

 

TRANSACTIONS 

SINGLE FAMILY 

49,313 Single Family properties were placed under contract in ’10 versus 56,174 properties in ’09 ‐ ↓ 12% 

38,818 Single Family properties closed in ’10 versus 42,070 properties in ’09 ‐ ↓ 8% 

YTD closed dollar volume was $9.9 Billion in ’10, ↔ even versus year to date ‘09 

 

RESIDENTIAL 

39,200 Residential properties were placed under contract in ’10 versus 44,546 properties in ’09 ‐ ↓ 12% 

30,777 Residential properties closed in ’10 versus 33,114 properties in ’09 ‐ ↓ 7% 

YTD closed dollar volume was $8.6 Billion in ’10, ↔ even versus year to date ‘09 

 

CONDO 

10,113 Condo properties were placed under contract in ’10 versus 11,628 properties in ’09 ‐ ↓ 13% 

8,041 Condo properties closed in ’10 versus 8,956 properties in ’09 ‐ ↓ 10% 

YTD closed dollar volume was $1.3 Billion in ’10, ↓ $ 0.1 Billion versus year to date ‘09 

INVENTORY 

Single Family unsold homes on the market at 12/10 of 18,867 units ‐ ↑ 15% from 12/09 

Residential unsold homes on the market at 12/10 of 14,450 units ‐ ↑ 18% from 12/09 

Condo unsold homes on the market at 12/10 of 4,417 units ‐ ↑ 5% from 12/09 

 

 

 

Jim [email protected]

Page 2: GREATER METRO DENVER REAL ESTATE MARKET STATISTICS

Denver Trends11

,839

 

,147

 

31 

  54 

11,000

 

11,093

 

0,35

16,482

  20,676

 

21,623

 

20,891

 

23,572

 

24,534

 

24,603

 

19,600

 

16,456

 

18,867

 

Greater Metropolitan Denver Real Estate StatisticsMonth End Inventory ‐ December

11,839

 

10,147

 

9,63

7,71

8,56

9,85

11,000

 

11,093

 

10,352

 

8,09

8,82

16,482

  20,676

 

21,623

 

20,891

 

23,572

 

24,534

 

24,603

 

19,600

 

16,456

 

18,867

 

90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10

Greater Metropolitan Denver Real Estate StatisticsMonth End Inventory ‐ December

© 2011 Garold D Bauer, All Rights Reserved, Information Deemed Reliable But Not Guaranteed

7  27,215

 

30,763

 

29,703

 

27,810

 

29,522

 

30,981

 

35,159

 

35,480

 

37,012

 

35,888

 

36,272

 

36,677

  41,682

 

41,365

 

39,208

 

38,845

 

37,988

 

33,114

 

30,777

 25,619

 

26,410

 

33,477

  38,598

 

38,072

 

36,038

 

38,101

 

40,185

  45,951

 

46,742

 

48,611

 

47,832

 

47,919

 

47,966

  53,482

 

53,106

 

50,244

 

49,789

 

47,837

 

42,070

 

38,818

 

20,000 

30,000 

40,000 

50,000 

60,000 

Greater Metropolitan Denver December Year To Date Closed Transactions

20,464

 

21,547

  27,215

 

30,763

 

29,703

 

27,810

 

29,522

 

30,981

 

35,159

 

35,480

 

37,012

 

35,888

 

36,272

 

36,677

  41,682

 

41,365

 

39,208

 

38,845

 

37,988

 

33,114

 

30,777

 

5,15

4,86

6,26

7,83

8,36

8,22

8,57

9,20

10,792

 

11,262

 

11,599

 

11,944

 

11,647

 

11,289

 

11,800

 

11,741

 

11,036

 

10,944

 

9,84

8,95

8,04

25,619

 

26,410

 

33,477

  38,598

 

38,072

 

36,038

 

38,101

 

40,185

  45,951

 

46,742

 

48,611

 

47,832

 

47,919

 

47,966

  53,482

 

53,106

 

50,244

 

49,789

 

47,837

 

42,070

 

38,818

 

10,000 

20,000 

30,000 

40,000 

50,000 

60,000 

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Greater Metropolitan Denver December Year To Date Closed Transactions

Res Cond Single Family

© 2011 Garold D Bauer, All Rights Reserved, Information Deemed Reliable But Not Guaranteed

AVERAGE PRICING 

Single Family ↑ 6%, $257,000 versus $242,413 

Residential ↑ 7%, $282,080 versus $264,803 

Condo ↑1%, $161,005 versus $159,628 

MEDIAN PRICING 

Residential ↑7%, $235,000 versus $219,000 

Condo ↑1%, $136,000 versus $135,000 

GENERAL 

A review of 2010 versus 2009 provides the following observations: 

The inventory of unsold Single Family homes started the year at 16,456 units, peaked at 23,933 units in July, and ended the year at 18,867 units. 

Under Contract and Sold units were down 12% and 8% respectively when compared to 2009. 

Largest number of Residential and Condo properties sold in price range of $100,000 to $199,999 for 2010. 

Million dollar plus homes accounted for 494 Residential closings in ’10 versus 439 in ’09. 

Million dollar plus homes accounted for 30 Condo closings in ’10 versus 32 in ’09. 

2010 saw several extensions of the First Time Home Buyer Tax Credit which caused a flurry of Under Contract activity in the first four months of the year followed by closings through September, 2010. 

2010 saw mortgage interest rates fall to levels never seen for many years. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

© 2011 Garold D Bauer, All Rights Reserved, Information Deemed Reliable But Not Guaranteed  

Page 3: GREATER METRO DENVER REAL ESTATE MARKET STATISTICS

Denver Trends

8  53 

72,215

 

4,46

0,31

$4,779

,902

 

$4,910

,865

 

$5,515

,801

 

$6,180

,791

 

$7,775

,673

 

$8,769

,865

 

$10,55

8,87

$11,15

2,51

$11,71

3,82

$12,16

8,92

$14,22

3,03

$14,94

0,42

$14,51

6,32

$14,03

1,63

$11,95

4,29

$10,19

8,33

$9,976

,222

 

$6,000,000 

$8,000,000 

$10,000,000 

$12,000,000 

$14,000,000 

$16,000,000 

Greater Metropolitan Denver December Year To Date Closed Dollar Volume($000's)

Res

Cond

Single Family

$2,411

,638

 

$2,669

,553

 

$3,572

,215

 

$4,460

,310

 

$4,779

,902

 

$4,910

,865

 

$5,515

,801

 

$6,180

,791

 

$7,775

,673

 

$8,769

,865

 

$10,55

8,87

$11,15

2,51

$11,71

3,82

$12,16

8,92

$14,22

3,03

$14,94

0,42

$14,51

6,32

$14,03

1,63

$11,95

4,29

$10,19

8,33

$9,976

,222

 

$0 

$2,000,000 

$4,000,000 

$6,000,000 

$8,000,000 

$10,000,000 

$12,000,000 

$14,000,000 

$16,000,000 

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Greater Metropolitan Denver December Year To Date Closed Dollar Volume($000's)

Res

Cond

Single Family

© 2011 Garold D Bauer, All Rights Reserved, Information Deemed Reliable But Not Guaranteed

$150,000 

$200,000 

$250,000 

$300,000 

$350,000 

Greater Metropolitan Denver December Year To Date Average PriceClosed Properties ‐ 1990 to 2010

$0 

$50,000 

$100,000 

$150,000 

$200,000 

$250,000 

$300,000 

$350,000 

90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10

Greater Metropolitan Denver December Year To Date Average PriceClosed Properties ‐ 1990 to 2010

Res Cond Single Family

© 2011 Garold D Bauer, All Rights Reserved, Information Deemed Reliable But Not Guaranteed

Page 4: GREATER METRO DENVER REAL ESTATE MARKET STATISTICS

Denver Trends

$170

,000

 

$195

,000

 

$213

,950

 

$221

,000

 

$230

,000

 

$237

,000

 

$247

,000

 

$249

,900

 

$245

,000

 

$219

,900

 

$219

,000

 

$235

,000

 

0  00 

500 

4,00

7,00

0,00

7,00

,000

 

00 

00 

00 

$150,000 

$200,000 

$250,000 

$300,000 

Greater Metropolitan Denver DecemberYear To Date Median Price ‐ Closed 

$170

,000

 

$195

,000

 

$213

,950

 

$221

,000

 

$230

,000

 

$237

,000

 

$247

,000

 

$249

,900

 

$245

,000

 

$219

,900

 

$219

,000

 

$235

,000

 

$107

,500

 

$126

,500

 

$141

,000

 

$149

,500

 

$154

,000

 

$157

,000

 

$160

,000

 

$157

,000

 

$150

,000

 

$138

,000

 

$135

,000

 

$136

,000

 

$‐

$50,000 

$100,000 

$150,000 

$200,000 

$250,000 

$300,000 

99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10

Greater Metropolitan Denver DecemberYear To Date Median Price ‐ Closed 

Res Condo

© 2011 Garold D Bauer, All Rights Reserved, Information Deemed Reliable But Not Guaranteed METROPOLITAN DENVER REAL ESTATE STATISTICS

AS OF DECEMBER 31, 2010

% % % % %Snapshot - YTD Change Change Change Change Change

YTD 2010 YTD 2009 YTD 2008 YTD 2007 YTD 2006 YTD 2005 10 vs '09 10 vs '08 10 vs '07 10 vs '06 10 vs '05

Single Family (Residential + Condo)

Active 18,867 16,456 19,600 24,603 24,534 23,092 14.65% -3.74% -23.31% -23.10% -18.30%Under Contract 49,313 56,174 62,647 61,663 61,736 65,256 -12.21% -21.28% -20.03% -20.12% -24.43%Sold 38,818 42,070 47,837 49,789 50,244 53,106 -7.73% -18.85% -22.03% -22.74% -26.90%

Avg DOM 92 98 102 105 102 90 -6.12% -9.80% -12.38% -9.80% 2.22%Avg Sold Price $257,000 $242,413 $249,897 $281,822 $288,916 $281,332 6.02% 2.84% -8.81% -11.05% -8.65%

Residential

Active 14,450 12,263 14,995 18,709 18,109 16,428 17.83% -3.63% -22.76% -20.21% -12.04%Under Contract 39,200 44,546 50,517 48,794 48,628 51,464 -12.00% -22.40% -19.66% -19.39% -23.83%Sold 30,777 33,114 37,988 38,845 39,208 41,365 -7.06% -18.98% -20.77% -21.50% -25.60%

Avg DOM 90 97 100 102 97 84 -7.22% -10.00% -11.76% -7.22% 7.14%Median Sold Price $235,000 $219,000 $219,900 $245,000 $249,900 $247,000 7.31% 6.87% -4.08% -5.96% -4.86%Avg Sold Price $282,080 $264,803 $270,261 $310,418 $317,112 $307,529 6.52% 4.37% -9.13% -11.05% -8.28%

Condo

Active 4,417 4,193 4,605 5,894 6,425 6,664 5.34% -4.08% -25.06% -31.25% -33.72%Under Contract 10,113 11,628 12,130 12,869 13,108 13,792 -13.03% -16.63% -21.42% -22.85% -26.67%Sold 8,041 8,956 9,849 10,944 11,036 11,741 -10.22% -18.36% -26.53% -27.14% -31.51%

Avg DOM 98 101 108 114 122 111 -2.97% -9.26% -14.04% -19.67% -11.71%Median Sold Price $136,000 $135,000 $138,000 $150,000 $157,000 $160,000 0.74% -1.45% -9.33% -13.38% -15.00%Avg Sold Price $161,005 $159,628 $171,350 $180,321 $188,745 $189,035 0.86% -6.04% -10.71% -14.70% -14.83%

Footnotes: Active, Under Contract, and Sold presented as # of units. Avg DOM = Average Days on MarketThis representation may or may not reflect all real estate activity in the market.Source: Metrolist, Inc.© 2011 Garold D Bauer, All Rights Reserved, Information Deemed Reliable But Not Guaranteed