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Transcript of Electricity Network Planning until 2050 – The e-HIGHWAY2050 project Romanian Energy Center - REC...
Electricity Network Planning until 2050 – The e-HIGHWAY2050 project
Romanian Energy Center - REC
Round Table
Dr. Mihai PAUNNetwork DevelopmentENTSO-E
Brussels 26 April 2012
Key activities set out in Regulation 714/2009 (on cross-border electricity trade, part of the 3rd IEM Package)
• Deliver network codes binding to all network users (through ‘Comitology’)
• Deliver network plans European / regional view of system needs (“TYNDP”)
• Deliver crucial aspects of market integration (“market coupling”)
• R&D Plan (fully included in EEGI – European ElectricityGrid Initiative, part of the SET Plan)
Through its members deliver the infrastructure to:
• enable markets to function, • secure energy supply, • meet climate change objectives through connecting RES
ENTSO-E has significant role in deliveringEuropean energy and climate change objectives
41 TSOs (among whom swissgrid) from 34 countries;530 million people; 910 GW gen.; 300 000 km transm.
ENTSO-E Organizational Structure
What are the tools needed for infrastructure development?
1. The EC’s Infrastructure Legislation!
Transmission line permitting in <3 years with one-stop shops
Transmission regulatory improvements for better financing
The ENTSO-E TYNDPs with better and better cost-benefit methodologies as the basis for
“Projects of Common Interest”
2. A 2030 and 2050 modular transmission plan for a Electricity Highways system
A 3-year R&D study with TSOs + broad consortium for the definitive 2050 grid study
Major changes in electricity generation and use major changes in transmission
Need to know soon whether to introduce a higher voltage level, of which kind
Transmission becomes cheaper and more efficient (less losses, less land needed) at
higher voltage
3. And: Public acceptance campaigns by MS governments for Electricity
Highways, linking European infrastructure to their daily needs
Excursion: what does an Electricity Highways system mean? Examples exist (China, USA, Brazil, Korea): 750, 765 or even 1000 kV AC, 800 kV DC, but key
technology still missing (DC breakers)
May make sense for corridors thousands of km long for 3, 5 or more GW per corridor
...but only if planned with long-term, European view – each corridor otherwise optimal with 400 kV AC
Must be managed in integrated way with the existing 400 kV-based European transmission system
(secure operations, market, planning)
Why does it take 3 years? The market can and will decide the generation mix but transmission reacts to generation decisions
Long-term scenarios for relative costs of PV, offshore wind, gas w/ CCS, nuclear are highly uncertain
The flexibility, reserves or storage needed to balance RES fluctuations = crucial for security of supply
...and this interplays with the Electricity Highway planning
What are the tools needed for infrastructure development (2)
The Modular Development Plan on pan-European Electricity Highways System 2050 – MoDPEHS
ENTSO-EEC
MoDPEHS
Regulators (+ Florence Forum)
PRIMES
KEMA
EEGIDii RGI
FOSGMEDGRID
NSCOGI
Related external Study Work
Internal Study Work
• EIP• Energy
Roadmap 2050
OPTIMATE
TWENTIES
MEDRING
REALIZEGRID
EWIS
IPS/UPS
PRIMES
• TYNDP • RIPs• NS2030
• R&D Plan• SO&AF
Monitoring Body
Parallel platforms with involvement of ENTSO-E members
SteerCo of EH Stakeholder Platform
SUSPLAN
METSO
ENTSO-E Roadmap - the MoDPEHS approach
The ENTSO-E Study Roadmap was published in July 2011 (after a consultation process).
The realization of the study program will be done by a large consortium (TSOs, DSOs, universities, institutes, manufacturers…). First comprehensive electricity highways concept is intended to be available by end 2014. Context: SET-Plan, EEGI, ENTSO-E R&D Plan
The Timeline: Main steps towards MoDPEHS
Broad consultation of Study Roadmap
Start of dedicated FP7 project
Stakeholder involvement, dissemination of intermediate results
Modular Development Plan on Pan-EuropeanElectricity Highways System 2050
MoDPEHS
Q1-Q2 2011
Mid 2012
End 2014
Preparation of Study Roadmap
Q3-Q4 2010
Q2-Q3 2011
Consortium establishment and submission of FP7 proposal
Technological issues
Economical/financialissues
Political/sociopoliticalissues
• Technical feasibility of existing transmission concepts
• Proper technology; - AC, DC (also reliable multi-
terminal solutions) and mixed
- OHL / cables / etc
• Power quality / Level of SoS
• Voltage level / EMF
• Upgrade of existing HV lines to UHV AC/DC
• Technological improvements
• Electricity storage
• Power reserve margin
• Level of reliability
• Different generation and load scenarios
• Cost/benefit (business case) of scenarios
• Electricity prices
• Financial demand per scenario
• Realization and ownership of the Supergrid
• European funding
• Potential investors
Supergrid
• Legal and regulatory framework
• Social acceptance / Public support of the Supergrid
• Permitting processes, harmonization of national rules
• European policy on Demand Side Management
• New areas to be incorporated; e.g. MENA, Russia, Nordic
• Political stability of regions
• Risk of terrorists attacks
Technological issues
Economical/financialissues
Political/sociopoliticalissues
• Technical feasibility of existing transmission concepts
• Proper technology; - AC, DC (also reliable multi-
terminal solutions) and mixed
- OHL / cables / etc
• Power quality / Level of SoS
• Voltage level / EMF
• Upgrade of existing HV lines to UHV AC/DC
• Technological improvements
• Electricity storage
• Power reserve margin
• Level of reliability
• Different generation and load scenarios
• Cost/benefit (business case) of scenarios
• Electricity prices
• Financial demand per scenario
• Realization and ownership of the Supergrid
• European funding
• Potential investors
Supergrid
• Legal and regulatory framework
• Social acceptance / Public support of the Supergrid
• Permitting processes, harmonization of national rules
• European policy on Demand Side Management
• New areas to be incorporated; e.g. MENA, Russia, Nordic
• Political stability of regions
• Risk of terrorists attacks
Technological issues
Economical/financialissues
Political/sociopoliticalissues
• Technical feasibility of existing transmission concepts
• Proper technology; - AC, DC (also reliable multi-
terminal solutions) and mixed
- OHL / cables / etc
• Power quality / Level of SoS
• Voltage level / EMF
• Upgrade of existing HV lines to UHV AC/DC
• Technological improvements
• Electricity storage
• Power reserve margin
• Level of reliability
• Different generation and load scenarios
• Cost/benefit (business case) of scenarios
• Electricity prices
• Financial demand per scenario
• Realization and ownership of the Supergrid
• European funding
• Potential investors
Supergrid
• Legal and regulatory framework
• Social acceptance / Public support of the Supergrid
• Permitting processes, harmonization of national rules
• European policy on Demand Side Management
• New areas to be incorporated; e.g. MENA, Russia, Nordic
• Political stability of regions
• Risk of terrorists attacks
3-year study programe
In line with
Energy Infrastructure
Package
Composition of the consortium
26 direct partners
AMPRION
ELIA Gr.
RTE(incl. overall
coordination)
REN
ČEPS
TERNA
SWISSGRID
RG NS
RG BS via 50HzT
RG CSW
RG CCE
RG CCS
RG CSE
WP TSOs Leaders
TSOs Partners
APG
RGs representation
ENTSO-E
Energinet.dk
HTSO
REE
PSE Operator
Svenska Kraftnät
TRANSELECTRICA
7 TSOs 3rd Party Relationship
EKC
Options TPA
Participating or Represented in the Steering Committee
Regional and contractual representation by the TSO Partnerse-HIGHWAY2050
IPE
3rd Party Relationship
Project application: e-Highway2050
OBJECTIVE OF E-HIGHWAY2050
The overarching goal of the e-Highway2050 project is to
develop the foundations of a modular and robust expansion
of the pan-European network from 2020 to 2050 which will be
required to be in line with the three European energy policy
pillars.The project aims at developing mid to long term planning approaches at European level, supported by R&D activities, and implementing the 5 following steps
1. To frame the scope of an ENTSO-E 2050 transmission infrastructure plan
2. To detail the candidate grid architectures able to meet the challenges of electricity markets between 2020 and 2050.
3. To validate a portfolio of technologies, which will impact directly or indirectly the grid architecture studies.
4. To detail the non-technical drivers and barriers which new grid architectures must overcome.
5. To study the governance issues raised by some of the candidate architectures.
6. To perform socio-economic analyses of the candidate grid architectures.
7. To involve stakeholder groups at all stages of the scenario-based planning process.
8. To improve and experiment a long term planning methodology able to circumvent the limitations of existing scenario-based techniques.
9. To disseminate the project results.
Detailed objectives of the project
Work packages and Leaders
RSE
WP1
WP2
WP3
WP4
WP5
WP6
WP7
WP8
WP9
WP10
Leaders
Sintef
Amprion
REN
Technofi
Elia Gr
RTE
ENTSO-E
DENA
RTE
The overall Governance Structure as proposed
Effective control and monitoring measures ensure efficient working procedures of the highly complex and interrelating Work Packages.
Governance of the project (2/2)
2050ElectricityHighways
Effective control and monitoring measures ensure efficient working procedures of the highly complex and interrelating Work Packages.
ENTSO-E involvement via monitoring body
Stakeholder involvement
Generation mix
Storage Cap.
RES incentives
Market principles
Technical solutions
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X
X
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XX
Generation mix
Storage Cap.
RES incentives
Market principles
Technical solutions
?????
?????
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
Generation mix
Storage Cap.
RES incentives
Market principles
Technical solutions
?????
?????
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
WP 1: Setting boundaries in multi-dimensional scenario room
Generation mix
More relevant dimensions xx, yy, zz
Technology pathways
Market principles
Policy pathways
Regulation scheme
Legal framework
Social acceptance
2030
2040
…
2050
Electricity Highways 1st Information Meeting | Jean Verseille | 29.02.12 | Page 17 of 19
Generation mix
Storage Cap.
RES incentives
Market principles
Technical solutions
?????
?????
X
X
X
X
X
X
XX
Generation mix
Storage Cap.
RES incentives
Market principles
Technical solutions
?????
?????
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
Generation mix
Storage Cap.
RES incentives
Market principles
Technical solutions
?????
?????
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
WP 2: Definition of working scenarios within the defined boundaries.
XX
X
XX
X
XX
2030
2040
2050
…
Generation mix
More relevant dimensions: xx, yy, zz
Technology pathways
Market principles
Policy pathways
Regulation scheme
Legal framework
Social acceptance
X
X
XXX
XXXX
ENTSO-E paves the way to MoDPEHS
2010 205020302020
TYNDPNSCOGI
MoDPEHS
Planned projectsEnvisaged projects
Possible projects
2050 Energy Pathways (National analysis)FP7 Projects (Susplan, Realisegrid, Twenties, Optimate,…..)….
TSOs PlanEU Policies
Time
Possibilities
For 2020 updated North Seas grid analysis shows that the links identified in the pilot TYNDP are sufficient
First analysis shows that 2030 offshore wind capacities (80 GW) demand new thinking
Grid developments in North Sea
2030 offshore wind capacities demand new thinking
RadialRadial
International co-ordinationInternational co-ordination Fully integrated solutionFully integrated solution
Local co-ordinationLocal co-ordinationRadial
International coordination Fully integrated solution
Local coordination
Smart grids vision 2020: by 2020 European grids need to...
1. Actively integrate efficient new generation and consumption models
Integrate RES at the different voltage levels
Enable and integrate active demand from end users
Enable & integrate new electricity uses: electric vehicles, heat pumps
Enable energy efficiency by end users
Enable new business opportunities and innovations for market players
2. Coordinated planning and operation of the whole electricity network
For the pan-European transmission network
Between transmission and distribution networks
3. Study and propose new market rules to maximize European welfare
New market rules at national and European levels
Smart grids from the TSO view point…
… enable demand response to bid into Europe-wide intra-day and balancing markets.
Conclusion: The future grids must be European, and they must be very smart
• EU policies on security of supply, market, and RES integration call for:
• Massive development of transmission grids
• ENTSO-E’s first TYNDP was a timely initiative to enable the policy debate
• Smart grid solutions and e-Highways2050 prepare for the future systems
• ENTSO-E R&D Plan, EEGI are key to reaching the 20/20/20 goals
• Complete communication/control chain TSOs-DSOs-suppliers-customers
• Permitting and public acceptance is a central issue:
• Without radical changes policy objectives will not be met
• A huge financial effort requires new financing tools and regulatory stability
ENTSO-E works to prepare the future power system associated with increasing variable RES generation, increasing need for demand response, increasing energy efficiency and steeply decreasing CO2 emissions.