Demand

75
Junhel Dalanon, DDM, MAT

Transcript of Demand

Page 1: Demand

Junhel Dalanon, DDM, MAT

Page 2: Demand

MODEL OF DEMAND• The model of demand is an attempt to

explain the amount demanded of any good or service.

Demand slide 2

DEMAND DEFINED

The amount of a good or service a consumer wants to buy, and is able to buy per unit time.

Page 3: Demand

THE “STANDARD” MODEL OF DEMAND

• The DEPENDENT variable is the amount demanded.• The INDEPENDENT variables are:

– the good’s own price– the consumer’s money income– the prices of other goods– preferences (tastes)

Demand slide 3

Page 4: Demand

YOU COULD WRITE THE MODEL THIS WAY:

• The demand for tacos

• QD(tacos) = D(Ptacos, Income, Pspaghetti, Pbeer,

• tastes)

Demand slide 4

Page 5: Demand

• ECONOMISTS HAVE HYPOTHESES ABOUT HOW CHANGES IN EACH INDEPENDENT

VARIABLE AFFECT THE AMOUNT DEMANDED

Demand slide 5

Page 6: Demand

THE DEMAND CURVE

• The demand curve for any good shows the quantity demanded at each price, holding constant all other determinants of demand.

– The DEPENDENT variable is the quantity demanded.

– The INDEPENDENT variable is the good’s own price.

Demand slide 6

Page 7: Demand

THE LAW OF DEMAND

• The Law of Demand says that a decrease in a good’s own price will result in an increase in the amount demanded, holding constant all the other determinants of demand.

• The Law of Demand says that demand curves are negatively sloped.

Demand slide 7

Page 8: Demand

A DEMAND CURVE

• A demand curve must look like this, i.e., be negatively sloped.

Demand slide 8

own price

quantity demanded

demand

Market for tacos

Page 9: Demand

The demand curve means:

Demand slide 9

You pick a price, such a p0, and the demand curve shows how much is demanded.

own price

quantity demanded

demand

p0

Q0

Market for tacos

Page 10: Demand

What if the price of tacos were less than p0?

How do you show the effect on demand?

Demand slide 10

Go to hidden slide

Page 11: Demand

AN IMPORTANT POINT

• When drawing a demand curve notice that the axes are reversed from the usual convention of putting the dependent (y) variable on the vertical axis, and the independent (x) variable on the horizontal axis.

Demand slide 12

Page 12: Demand

Other factors affecting demand

• The question here is how to show the effects of changes in income, other goods’ prices, and tastes on demand.

Demand slide 13

Page 13: Demand

• Suppose people want to buy more of a good when incomes rise, holding constant all other factors affecting demand, including the good’s own price.

Demand slide 14

own price

quantity of beer

demand @ I = $1000

Market for beer

How does this affect the demand curve?

How does this affect the demand curve?

$1/can

Go to hidden slide

Page 14: Demand

Normal and inferior goods defined

• Normal good: When an increase in income causes an increase in demand.

• Inferior good: When an increase in income causes a decrease in demand.

Demand slide 16

Page 15: Demand

Pizza is a normal good.

Demand slide 17

own price

quantity

demand @ I = $1000

Market for pizza

What’s the effect on the demand curve for pizza if income risesto $2,000?

What’s the effect on the demand curve for pizza if income risesto $2,000?

Go to hidden slide

Page 16: Demand

Suppose instead that pizza was an inferior good.

Demand slide 19

own price

quantity

demand @ I = $1000

Market for pizza

What’s the effect on the demand curve for pizza if income risesto $2,000?

What’s the effect on the demand curve for pizza if income risesto $2,000?

Go to hidden slide

Page 17: Demand

Substitutes defined

• Substitutes: Two goods are substitutes if an increase in the price of one of them causes an increase in the demand for the other.

• Thus, an increase in the price of pizza would increase the demand for spaghetti if the goods were substitutes.

Demand slide 21

Page 18: Demand

The graph shows the demand curve for spaghetti when pizzas cost $10 each.

Demand slide 22

own price

quantity

demand @ pizza price of $10

Market for spaghetti

What’s the effect of an increase in the price of pizza to $15?

What’s the effect of an increase in the price of pizza to $15?

Go to hidden slide

Page 19: Demand

Complements defined

• Complements: Two goods are complements if an increase in the price of one of them causes a decrease in the demand for the other.

• Thus, an increase in the price of pizza would decrease the demand for beer if the goods were complements.

Demand slide 24

Page 20: Demand

The graph shows the demand curve for beer when pizzas cost $10 each.

Demand slide 25

price of beer

quantity

demand @ pizza price of $10

Market for beer

What is the effect on the market for beer of an increase in the price of pizza to $15?

What is the effect on the market for beer of an increase in the price of pizza to $15?

Go to hidden slide

Page 21: Demand

The graph shows the demand curve for umbrellas on sunny days.

Demand slide 27

price of umbrellas

quantity

demand on sunny days

Market for umbrellas

What’s the effect on demand ofit being a rainy day?

What’s the effect on demand ofit being a rainy day?

Go to hidden slide

Page 22: Demand

DEMAND SUMMARY

• Demand is a function of own-price, income, prices of other goods, and tastes.

• The demand curve shows demand as a function of a good's own price, all else constant.

• Changes in own-price show up as movements along a demand curve.

• Changes in income, prices of substitutes and complements, and tastes show up as shifts in the demand curve.

Demand slide 29

Page 23: Demand

The Law of Demand

An increase in price will cause a decrease in the quantity demanded (inverse relationship)

EXPLAINERS:

Income effect

Substitution effect

Page 24: Demand

The Law of Demand

EXPLAINERS:

Income effect

Substitution effect

Diminishing Marginal Utility

Page 25: Demand

The Law of Demand

P

Q

A

B

P

Q

D1D2

CHANGE IN PRICE=

change in quantity demanded

CHANGE IN OTHER=change in demand

P1

P2

Q1 Q2

Page 26: Demand

The Law of Demand

P

Q

D1D2

CHANGE IN OTHER=change in demand

Page 27: Demand

Determinants of Demand

Things other than price that cause the whole curve to shift

Increase: shift to the rightDecrease: shift to the left

Page 28: Demand

Determinants of Demand

Change in consumer tastes

Change in people’s income

normal goods

inferior goods

Page 29: Demand

Determinants of Demand

Change in prices of related goods

complementary goods (inverse effect)

substitute goods (direct effect)

Change in expectations

Change in size of market

Page 30: Demand

What Happens to Demand if…?

SITUATION: You’re the owner of a hot dog making company:

(a) people change their preference from hamburgers to hot dogs?

Page 31: Demand

What Happens to Demand if…?

SITUATION: You’re the owner of a hot dog making company:

(b) U.S. negotiates a deal w/ China to trade hot dogs for egg rolls?

Page 32: Demand

What Happens to Demand if…?

SITUATION: You’re the owner of a hot dog making company:

(c) the price of ground beef plummets?

Page 33: Demand

What Happens to Demand if…?

SITUATION: You’re the owner of a hot dog making company:

(d) the minimum wage rises?

Page 34: Demand

What Happens to Demand if…?

SITUATION: You’re the owner of a hot dog making company:

(e) the MWU threatens a strike if owners fail to meet their demands?

Page 35: Demand

What Happens to Demand if…?

SITUATION: You’re the owner of a hot dog making company:

(f) unemployment hits an all-time high?

Page 36: Demand

What Happens to Demand if…?

SITUATION: You’re the owner of a hot dog making company:

(g) the price of buns increases due to a wheat shortage?

Page 37: Demand

Supply, Demand and Market Equilibrium

Page 38: Demand

Demand: Raw dataName Quantity Maximum price

willing to pay

Mary 1 4

Bob 1 1

Jane 1 5

Ed 1 3

Alice 1 21

Page 39: Demand

Demand Schedule

Price Quantity Total QuantityDemanded

5 1 1

4 1 2

3 1 3

2 1 4

1 1 51

Page 40: Demand

Demand Curve

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

1 2 3 4 5

Quantity demanded

Pri

ce

D

Page 41: Demand

Demand: Definition

• Relationship between price and quantity demanded at a given price

Page 42: Demand

Demand Curve

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

1 2 3 4 5

Quantity demanded

Pri

ce

D

Page 43: Demand

Demand Curve

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

1 2 3 4 5

Quantity demanded

Pri

ce

I

D

Page 44: Demand

Change in quantity demanded due to change in price

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

1 2 3 4 5

Quantity demanded

Pri

ce

I

II

D

Page 45: Demand

Shifts in the Demand Curve

• income• related goods• tastes• number of consumers• expectations of future prices

Page 46: Demand

Demand curve shifts to the right

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

1 2 3 4 5

Quantity demanded

Pri

ce

D

Page 47: Demand

Demand curve shifts to the left

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

1 2 3 4 5

Quantity demanded

Pri

ce

D

Page 48: Demand

Demand for an intangible good

• For example, a promise exchanged for money• Value of the promise depends on future

events• Examples

– loans– insurance

Page 49: Demand

Demand for an intangible good

• Application: a futures contract– value based on a future event– possible events

• price of a bushel of wheat in October• Microsoft stock price on 3rd Friday of June• value of the Euro in $ on February 1st• price of oil on April 21st

Page 50: Demand

Assignment

• Political futures contract– pays $1 if Bradley is the Democratic nominee for

2000– pays $0 otherwise

• Price that someone is willing to pay is based on their own prediction of a particular outcome

• Assignment: graphing a real demand curve

Page 51: Demand

Graph of Bradley demand data

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

0.4

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

Quantity Demanded

Pri

ce

Page 52: Demand

The effect of NBA party on demand for Bradley contracts

00.05

0.10.15

0.20.25

0.30.35

0.4

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

Quantity Demanded

Pric

e

Page 53: Demand

Supply: Raw dataCompany Name Quantity Minimum price

willing to accept

ADC 1 3

SSW 1 2

QWE 1 5

YYJ 1 1

AQD 1 41

Page 54: Demand

Supply Schedule

Price Quantity Total QuantitySupplied

1 1 1

2 1 2

3 1 3

4 1 4

5 1 51

Page 55: Demand

Supply Curve

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

1 2 3 4 5

Quantity supplied

Pri

ce

S

Page 56: Demand

Supply: Definition

• Relationship between price and quantity supplied at a given price

Page 57: Demand

Supply Curve

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

1 2 3 4 5

Quantity supplied

Pri

ce

I

S

Page 58: Demand

Change in quantity supplied due to a change in price

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

1 2 3 4 5

Quantity supplied

Pri

ce

I

II

S

Page 59: Demand

Shifts in the Supply Curve

• prices of relevant resources• technology• taxes• number of sellers• expectations of future prices

Page 60: Demand

Supply curve shifts to the right

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

1 2 3 4 5

Quantity supplied

Pri

ce

S

Page 61: Demand

Supply curve shifts to the left

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

1 2 3 4 5

Quantity supplied

Pri

ce

S

Page 62: Demand

Supply for an intangible good

• Simplified insurance example• Why would anyone supply car insurance?• Seller expects that you will not have an

accident during the next year• If you do, they pay the bills. If not, they still

keep the premium (price of policy)• Prices depend on how likely there will be a

claim

Page 63: Demand

Political Futures Contract

• Recall our example political futures contract• People holding this contract get $1 if Bradley

is the Democratic nominee for 2000 and $0 otherwise

• They may be willing to sell if they are not 100% sure that Bradley will be the nominee

• Assignment 4: graphing a real supply curve

Page 64: Demand

Graph of Bradley supply data

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

Quantity supplied

Pri

ce

Page 65: Demand

Effect of internet taxes on supply of Bradley contracts

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

Quantity supplied

Pri

ce

Page 66: Demand

A Market

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

1 2 3 4 5

Quantity

Pri

ce

S

D

Page 67: Demand

Surplus

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

1 2 3 4 5

Quantity

Pri

ce

S

D

Surplus

Qd Qs

Page 68: Demand

Market adjustment to surplus

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

1 2 3 4 5

Quantity

Pri

ce

S

D

Surplus

Qd Qs

Page 69: Demand

Shortage

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

1 2 3 4 5

Quantity

Pri

ce

S

DShortage

QdQs

Page 70: Demand

Market adjustment to shortage

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

1 2 3 4 5

Quantity

Pri

ce

S

DShortage

Qd Qs

Page 71: Demand

Equilibrium

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

1 2 3 4 5

Quantity

Pri

ce

S

D

Eq.Q

Eq.P

Page 72: Demand

Government interventions: Price controls

• The government sets a maximum price– Example: the price of basic commodities in many

countries (milk, flour, bread, rice)– what happens to the availability of this good?

• The government sets a minimum price for wages – Example: minimum wage– what happens to the supply of labor?

Page 73: Demand

Equilibrium in the Bradley market

Bradley Nomination Market (6/99-9/99)

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0 10 20 30 40Quantity

Pri

ce

S

D

Page 74: Demand

Supply and demand information available in a real market

Price

Quantity

S

D

Exchangesthat already have occurred

Offers to sell (ask price)

Offers to buy (bid price)

Market price (observed)

Page 75: Demand

Supply and demand information available in a real market

Price

Quantity

S

D

Eq.Q Eq.Q +1

Best Ask

Best Bid

Last Trade

Note: Eq.Q. is equilibrium quantity