Cost of capital and betas - The E.On case
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Transcript of Cost of capital and betas - The E.On case
Main features: } Major global social and
economic business } Few large companies
(multi-utilities) that share the energy market
} Entry barriers (need for large investments, political and legal constraints)
In Europe: } Tendency to establish a
single and competitive market (Directive 98/30/ECC)
} Energy production of domestic markets < consumption
} Was founded in 2000 (merger of VEBA and VIAG) in Germany, Dusseldorf
} Turnover of 113 billion euro (2010) } 12 regional units and five global units } Company listed on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange
Main competitors in Europe:
RWE (Germania) GDF Suez (Francia) Iberdrola (Spagna) EDF (Francia)
• Multiutilities with business mainly in Europe • Listed companies • Large cap
} Taxes estimates taken from the report "Corporate and Indirect Tax Survey 2011" by KPMG (personal taxes are not considered)
} Tax rate in force in 2011 } Time horizon of two years (from 29/10/2010 to
26/10/2012) and data weekly frequency } Beta Debt = 0 } Market risk premium derived from the study of
Fernandez (Data sources: Bloomberg)
We define the Beta Industry the average beta of the securities of the company (in this case limited to the selected sample) that are part of the same sector: • Sample companies:
*Risk-Free: ten-year government bonds yield 20/10/2012
• Beta Unlevered: βU = βL / (1+(1-tc)*D/E)
*Beta Industry is the simple average of the companies’ betas
Beta industry 0,561
Società Beta unleveredGSZ 0,556EON 0,664EDF 0,433RWE 0,621IBE 0,529
Società D/E Raw Beta Tc Risk free(paese)GSZ 1,519 1,119 33,33% 2,23%EON 0,965 1,116 29,37% 1,58%
EDF 2,040 1,021 33,33% 2,23%RWE 1,079 1,095 29,37% 1,58%IBE 1,506 1,087 30,00% 5,62%
The cost of equity (Keu) measures the acceptable performance to investors in a company, considering the risk profile of the same.
o Levered cost of capital (Kel): Kel=Rf+βi*Risk-‐Premiumi
*(CAPM model) • Sample companies:
Keu settore 3,75%
Beta industry 0,561Rf ponderato 2,52%RP ponderato 5,58%
Società Market Cap (miliardi) Debt (miliardi) Tc Kd KeuGSZ 41,1 62,43 33,33% 1,50% 3,56%EON 36,52 35,23 29,37% 1,90% 4,13%EDF 31,44 64,12 33,33% 1,40% 3,20%RWE 21,49 23,19 29,37% 1,60% 3,90%IBE 24,24 36,51 30,00% 2,60% 4,08%
WACC is the weighted average cost of capital
• Hp : Debt = Current Debt
Assumptions: • growth - g=0 • Risk-free yield derived from E.On annual review 2011
WACC 5,33%
• Hp: Debt = Target Debt (equal to average industry D/E by European Power Generation)
WACC 5,21%
D/E 0,965Weight of equity 0,509Tc 29,37%Beta relevered 0,943Kel 9,18%
D/E 1,110Weight of equity 0,474Tc 29,37%Beta relevered 1,000Kel 9,50%
E.On Annual Report 2011
Hp : } Risk Free 4% } Wacc After Taxes
European Utilities, Kepler Research, (October 2012)
Hp: } Tasso Risk Free ? } Equity Risk Premium ?
WACC7,51%
WACC6,10%