Climate change and wales
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Transcript of Climate change and wales
Farmers’ Union of Wales
The Voice of Welsh FarmingNewid Hinsawdd a Chymru
Effects of Climate Change on
Wales and its People
Effeithiau Newid Hinsawdd ar
Gymru a’i Phobl
F
Farmers’ Union of Wales
The Voice of Welsh FarmingNewid Hinsawdd a Chymru
BACKGROUND: THE PERFECT STORM
• CLIMATE CHANGE
• World populations will rise to between nine and ten
billion by 2050
• Global agricultural productivity per hectare is expected
to fall by between 3 and 16 percent by 2080
• Peak Oil
• Rise in demand for water
F
Farmers’ Union of Wales
The Voice of Welsh FarmingNewid Hinsawdd a Chymru
DIRECT AND INDIRECT IMPACTS OF
CLIMATE CHANGE FOR WALES
URBAN COMMUNITIES RURAL COMMUNITIES
weather extremes
harvest extremes
increased commodity prices
CIVIL UNREST/WAR
Displacement of Populations
Immigration
Farmers’ Union of Wales
The Voice of Welsh FarmingNewid Hinsawdd a Chymru
PAST EXPERIENCE1939 – 45: 2nd World War
• Pre 1939 Britain imported around 55 million tons
• Nazi-occupied Jersey - children's growth
stunted by two and a half inches
• Starvation on mainland Europe was widespread
• European agriculture crippled
• No guaranteed food supplies
Farmers’ Union of Wales
The Voice of Welsh FarmingNewid Hinsawdd a Chymru
CAP
Priority for all European countries was
I. Peace
II. A stable supply of affordable food
III. A viable agricultural sector
RESULT:
UK EUROPE
1947 Agriculture Act 1957 Treaty of Rome defines
1973 Britain joins the EEC the objectives of a common
agricultural policy
1962 CAP comes into force
Farmers’ Union of Wales
The Voice of Welsh FarmingNewid Hinsawdd a Chymru
Farmers’ Union of Wales
The Voice of Welsh FarmingNewid Hinsawdd a Chymru
F
Farmers’ Union of Wales
The Voice of Welsh FarmingNewid Hinsawdd a Chymru
2007/8 FOOD SHORTAGES
Bangladesh Brazil Burkina Faso Cameroon
Côte d'Ivoire Egypt Ethiopia Haiti India
Indonesia Mexico Mozambique Pakistan
Myanmar Panama Philippines Russia Senegal
Somalia Tajikistan Yemen Ukraine USA
protests • rioting • export quotas • export bans •
rationing • increase in food bank use
CONFLICT!
Farmers’ Union of Wales
The Voice of Welsh FarmingNewid Hinsawdd a Chymru
2nd MARCH 2011
F
Farmers’ Union of Wales
The Voice of Welsh FarmingNewid Hinsawdd a Chymru
CONFLICT CLOSER TO HOME: MITIGATION
Farmers’ Union of Wales
The Voice of Welsh FarmingNewid Hinsawdd a Chymru
CONFLICT CLOSER TO HOME: MITIGATION
Farmers’ Union of Wales
The Voice of Welsh FarmingNewid Hinsawdd a Chymru
CONFLICT CLOSER TO HOME: MITIGATION
Farmers’ Union of Wales
The Voice of Welsh FarmingNewid Hinsawdd a Chymru
Farmers’ Union of Wales
The Voice of Welsh FarmingNewid Hinsawdd a Chymru
Farmers’ Union of Wales
The Voice of Welsh FarmingNewid Hinsawdd a Chymru
Farmers’ Union of Wales
The Voice of Welsh FarmingNewid Hinsawdd a Chymru
Farmers’ Union of Wales
The Voice of Welsh FarmingNewid Hinsawdd a Chymru
Farmers’ Union of Wales
The Voice of Welsh FarmingNewid Hinsawdd a Chymru
Farmers’ Union of Wales
The Voice of Welsh FarmingNewid Hinsawdd a Chymru
Farmers’ Union of Wales
The Voice of Welsh FarmingNewid Hinsawdd a Chymru
Farmers’ Union of Wales
The Voice of Welsh FarmingNewid Hinsawdd a Chymru
Yr Estron
Roedd rhuddgoch wawr y rhedynHyd lethrau gwyllt Moel Goch,A'r llwyni criafol dan eu llwythUwch ceunant Nant y Moch.Ond darfu'r hen gymdeithas,Diadell deg a roedYn aberth ar allorau gwiwDrachwantus dduwiau'r coed
Doi awel bêr o'r eigion,A'r heli ar ei minO ddyffryn Rhyd y Forwyn drawA ffriddoedd Gelli Grin.Ond darfu'r hen draddodiadGwastrodwyd yr hen ffyrddGan ddeiliaid Sgandinafia bellMae'r fro dan gwrlid gwyrdd
Ni welaf mwy un bugailYn adwy Bwlch y gwynt.Darfyddodd swyn y filltir sgwârA'm noddodd ddyddiau gyntA chlywaf gri y gigfranA grawciodd er cyn cofA thystia'i galwad cras yn glirI estron hawlio'r fro.
Morris J. Morris
The Alien
The dawn crimson of the brackenWas over the wild slopes of Moel Goch,
And the mountain ash groves under their loadAbove the ravines of Nant y Moch.
But the old community was scatteredThe fair flock given
As a sacrifice on the worthy altarOf the coveting gods of the trees
A pure breeze from the ocean came,The salt water on her lips
From the valley of Rhyd y ForwynAnd the sloping pastures of Gelli Grin.
But the old tradition was scatteredThe old ways were erased
By the natives of faraway ScandinaviaThe region is under a green blanket
No more will we see the shepherdIn Bwlch y Gwynt pass.
Ended is the charm of the square mileThat nurtured me in former days
And I hear the cry of the ravenThat's cawed since before memory
Its harsh call clearly testifiesThat an alien has the region.
Morris J. Morris
Y DIWEDD
THE END