Foresighting Future Fuel Technology

OpenSpace( innovative ideas) Delphi () Scenario (, )

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early weak signals of change

Source: modified from Bezold and Hancock 1993

Possible and Plausible Futures

The generic foresight process framework

inputsanalysisinterpretationprospectionoutputsstrategyForesight

Source: Voros (2003)Strategic intelligence scanning, DelphiEmerging issues/trends analysisSystems thinking, Causal Layered AnalysisScenarios, visioning, backcasts, roadmapsReports, presentations, workshops, multimediaStrategy development & strategic planning: individual, workgroup, organisation, society, etc.

Note possible loops of feedback throughout the process

1998 Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation

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: SCG, PTT, CDG, TPA, NSTDA, EGAT, CAT, TRIDI, KNIT, , , SIRIM, NISTPASS etc.

APEC Member EconomiesAPEC Official Observers Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) Secretariat Pacific Economic Cooperation Council (PECC) Pacific Islands Forum (PIF)

2008 APEC Secretariat

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A4

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7 November 2009

APEC Center for Technology Foresight www.apecforesight.org