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Transcript of Chap006
Chapter 06
Politicaland Trade Forces
McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
6-2
Learning Objectives• LO1 Discuss expropriation and privatization.• LO2 Explain the changing sources and reasons
for terrorism and the methods and growing power of terrorists.
• LO3 Evaluate the importance to business of government stability and policy continuity.
• LO4 Explain country risk assessment by international business.
• LO5 Discuss types of trade restrictions.
6-3
Why Firms are Nationalized1. Extract money: government suspects hidden
profits2. Profitability: government seeks to increase
firm’s efficiency and profits3. Ideology 4. Job preservation: government saves jobs by
saving dying industries 5. Control follows money: subsidized firms often
targets of nationalization6. Happenstance: nationalization of German firms
after World War II
6-4
Unfair Competition?Government-owned companies can:
1. cut prices unfairly – don’t have to make profits2. access cheaper financing3. access government contracts4. receive export assistance 5. hold down wages with government assistance6. receive government subsidies
6-5
Privatization• Transfer of public sector assets to the
private sector
• Transfer of management of state activities through contracts & leases
• Contracting of activities previously conducted by the state
6-6
Privatization Anywhere• Need not involve
ownership transfer from government to private sector
• Activities can be contracted out
6-7
Government Protection• Historical function
of government is to protect economic activities within its geographic areas of control:– Attacks, destruction, or
robbery by bandits, foreign invaders, or terrorists
• Aftermath of war shows influence of politics on business:– Solidify Political
Alliances– Solidify Military
Alliances– Gratitude for Support– Appeasement
6-8
Terrorism• Unlawful acts of
violence for a variety of reasons:– Ransom– Overthrow government– Release of imprisoned
colleagues– Revenge– Punish religious
nonbelievers
• Situations:– Kidnapping for ransom– Paying ransom
becomes counterproductive
– Countermeasures by industry
– Chemical and biological terrorism
6-9
Government Stability• Stability:
– Characteristic of a government’s ability to maintain itself in power and keep fiscal, monetary, and political policies predictable
• Instability:– Characteristic of a government’s inability to
maintain power, becomes unpredictable
6-10
International Companies (ICs)
6-11
Country Risk Assessment (CRA)• Evaluation carried out by bank or
business that assesses a country’s economic situation and policies to determine how much risk exists of losing an investment.
6-12
Types of Country Risks• Political
– Wars– Revolutions– Coups– New
governments hostile to private or foreign-owned business
• Economic/ Financial– BOP Deficits– High
Inflation– Low Labor
Productivity– Militant
Labor Unions
• Legal-related– Taxes– Currency
Conversion– Tariffs – Quotas– Labor
Permits– Fair Trial
6-13
Country Risk Assessment
6-14
Trade Restrictions• Arguments for:
– National defense– Sanctions to punish offending nations– Protection for infant (or dying) industry– Protection for domestic jobs from cheap foreign
labor– Scientific tariff or fair competition– Retaliation– Dumping– Subsidies
6-15
Arguments For Trade Restrictions
• National Defense– Industries vital to
national security must be kept operating even though not competitive with foreign suppliers
• Sanctions to Punish Offending Nations– Inflict economic
damage to punish or encourage desired change
6-16
Arguments For Trade Restrictions
• Protect Infant (or Dying) Industry– Protect new industries
till they gain comparative advantage
– Protect new industries against lower cost imports
– Protect smooth transition of dying industry’s resources to other sectors
• Protect Domestic Jobs from Cheap Foreign Labor– Low labor costs bring in
lower priced goods and eliminate home-country jobs
• Fallacies:– Wages not total labor or
production cost– Productivity rates greater
in developed countries
6-17
Arguments For Trade Restrictions
• Scientific Tariff/Fair Competition– Import duty to bring
cost of imports up to cost of domestic goods
• Retaliation– Industries facing
restrictions ask their governments to retaliate with similar restrictions
6-18
Dumping• WTO Definition:
– Selling a product abroad for less than:
• the average cost of production in the exporting nation, or
• the market price in the exporting nation, or
• the price to third countries
• Predatory Dumping:– Lowering export
price to force import country’s producer out of business, then expecting to raise price
6-19
New Types of Dumping• Social Dumping
– Unfair competition from lower labor costs and poor working conditions
• Environmental Dumping– Unfair competition caused by lax environmental standards
• Financial Services Dumping– Unfair competition caused by low requirements for bank
capital-asset ratios• Cultural Dumping
– Unfair competition caused by cultural barriers aiding local firms
• Tax Dumping– Unfair competition cause by different corporate tax rates or
special breaks
6-20
Arguments For Trade Restrictions
• Subsidies– Financial contributions to encourage
exports or protect against imports:• Cash payments• Ownership Participation • Low cost loans• Preferential taxes
6-21
Tariff Barriers• Taxes on imports to raise their price to reduce
competition for local producers or to stimulate local production.
• Official Prices:– guarantees that a minimum import duty is paid
• Variable Levy:– import duty set at the difference world-market prices and
government-supported local prices • Lower Duty for More Local Input
– Lower duty on goods requiring local assembly, repackaging, etc.
6-22
Nontariff Barriers (NTBs)• All forms of
discrimination against imports other than import duties
• Quotas:– Absolute quota– Global quota– Allocated quota
• Voluntary Export Restraints (VERs)
• Orderly Marketing Arrangements
• Nonquantitative Nontariff Barriers
6-23
Quantitative NTBs• Absolute Quota
– When specific quantity of imports reached, imports are prohibited for rest of period (usually 1 year)
• Global Quota– Total import quantity is
fixed regardless of source• Allocated Quota
– Importing government assigns quantities to specific countries
• Voluntary Export Restraints (VERs)– Export quotas imposed
by the exporting nation
• Orderly Marketing Arrangements– Formal agreements
between importing & exporting countries stipulating quotas for each country
6-24
Nonquantitative Nontariff Barriers• Direct government participation in trade:
– Government subsidy – to protect and support targeted industries (agriculture)
– Government procurement policies – restrict purchases of imported goods by government agencies
– Local content – domestic manufacturing using local materials & labor (Buy America Act)
• Customs and other administrative procedures:– Government policies/procedures that favor exports or
discriminate against imports • Standards:
– Protect a nation’s citizens’ health and safety, but can be complex and discriminatory
6-25
Costs of Barriers to Trade
6-26
GLOBAL gauntlet• Chocolate,
Coffee, and Fair Trade– When you savor
these, do you consume a product made with child labor?
• What is the extent of world-wide exploitation of child labor?
• How do Fair-Trade Practices factor in to this situation?
• Should a country’s labor practices be a relevant management consideration in international trade?