全球支线航空市场及E系列飞机 ... -...
Transcript of 全球支线航空市场及E系列飞机 ... -...
全球支线航空市场及E系列飞机介绍 Global Regional Aviation Market and the E-Jets
保罗•席尔瓦 总裁兼首席执行官
巴西航空工业公司商用飞机 Paulo Cesar Silva, President & CEO,
Commercial Aviation, Embraer
中国民航支线航空论坛 China Regional Aviation Forum 2013
EMBRAER YESTERDAY AND TODAY Success story
Controlled by the Federal Government, Embraer is born in order to develop Brazil’s aeronautical engineering capacity and to produce airplanes.
1969 2013
1994
1949 One of the main global manufacturers of commercial and executive aircraft, with strong and growing involvement in defense and security.
The company is privatized, leading to a new structure that combines technological and industrial knowledge with an entrepreneurial culture.
Brazil creates strategic national aeronautics project – creation of CTA and ITA.
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.
DIVERSITY IS WEALTH
MORE THAN
PEOPLE 18,000
May/2013
90.18% 6.87%
1.63%
0.35% 0.40%
0.53%
0.02% 0.02%
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.
EMBRAER UNITS Global operations
CHINA Beijing
Harbin - HEAI
SINGAPORE Singapore
BRAZIL São José dos Campos
Gavião Peixoto
Botucatu
Taubaté
Brasília
Belo Horizonte
São Paulo
FRANCE Villepinte
Le Bourget
PORTUGAL Alverca - OGMA
Évora
UNITED
STATES Nashville
Fort Lauderdale
Melbourne
Mesa
Windsor Locks
Jacksonville
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.
UNITED KINGDOM Farnborough
UAE Dubai
IRELAND Dublin
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.
* Schedule and non-schedule companies, and only E-Jets and ERJ families
84 AIRLINES IN
51 COUNTRIES
1,644 AIRCRAFT IN SERVICE*
Global Presence of EMBRAER Commercial Jets
SEGMENTATION OF REVENUES
REVENUES PER
SEGMENT 2012 REVENUES PER
MARKET 2012
BRAZIL
14%
SOUTH AND
CENTRAL
AMERICA
3%
NORTH
AMERICA
24%
EUROPE
31%
CHINA
14%
ASIA PACIFIC
5%
OTHER
1%
COMMERCIAL
AVIATION
61%
DEFENSE &
SECURITY
17%
EXECUTIVE
AVIATION
21% AFRICA AND
MIDDLE EAST
9%
OUR KEY BUSINESS AREAS ARE:
COMMERCIAL AVIATION
EXECUTIVE AVIATION
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.
EMBRAER DEFENSE &
SECURITY
Economic growth in emerging markets
Economic growth driven by mid-small cities
Surge of an urban middle class
High fuel prices & increased environmental concerns
Increased competition and search for business efficiency
Global Trends
World Economy Growth – Real GDP
3.1% per year
GDP will increase 86% reaching US$ 96 tri
Traffic Demand – RPK
5.0% per year
RPK will increase 2.7 times reaching 13 tri
Aircraft Fleet
World fleet will grow 86% reaching 36,595 aircraft
The 30 to 120-seat fleet will increase from 4,150 to 7,375
Aircraft Deliveries
32,800 new aircraft deliveries (Jet+TP) worldwide
6,795 jets required in the 30 to 120-seat segment
Market Forecast Numbers (2012-31)
EMBRAER Market Outlook 2012-2031
Future Air Transport Demand by Region Asia Pacific and China will represent 36% of RPK in 2030
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000
Africa
CIS
Latin America
Middle East
China
Asia Pacific
Europe
North America
2011 Traffic Additional Traffic 2012-31RPK (Billion)
2012-2031 Annual
Growth Rate [%]
RPK GDP
3.2% 2.6%
4.1% 1.9%
5.8% 3.4%
7.0% 5.5%
7.2% 3.9%
7.0% 4.3%
5.6% 3.4%
5.3% 4.4%
5.0% 3.1% World
* At list price
2,515
405
2,625 3,765
17,305
6,185
TPs Jet 30-60 Jet 61-90 Jet 91-120 NB (121-210) WB (201+)
6,795 aircraft
(21%)
EMBRAER Market Outlook 2012-2031
World Projected Deliveries by Segment 32,800 new aircraft deliveries total market value of US$ 3.6 tri*
445 Russia + CIS 7%
2,195 North America 32%
1,460 Europe 21%
1,005 China 15%
670 Latin America 11%
505 Asia Pacific 7%
305 Middle East 4%
210 Africa 3%
EMBRAER Market Outlook 2012-2031
6,795 jet Deliveries by World Region
Jul/2013 Firm
Orders Deliveries
E195 193 185
E190 315 166
E175 563 473
E170 142 123
E195-E2 25 -
E190-E2 25 -
E175-E2 100 -
1,300+ firm E-Jets orders
950+ delivered
Market Leadership Commercial Aviation up to 130 seats
Source: Embraer (Jul/2013)
Source: Embraer (Jul/2013)
A Global Market Success 1,300+ firm E-Jet orders
950+ deliveries
1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
60 112
245
440
764
862
1,051
Net Orders
46
118
334
605
802
Deliveries
1,300 +
950+
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.
Leadership in the 60 to 130-Seat Segment
Share - Net Orders
Comac
Sukhoi
Others
Bombardier
E-Jets
50% 24%
12%
7% 7%
Source: EMBRAER and OEMs (as of Jul/2013)
Share - Deliveries Others
Bombardier
E-Jets
62% 32%
6%
Customer Country Firm
Orders
SkyWest Airlines USA 40 E175
100 E175-E2
ILFC USA 25 E190-E2
25 E195-E2
Republic – American Eagle USA 47 E75
United Airlines USA 30 E175
Conviasa Venezuela 7 E190
Japan Airlines Japan 4 E170
Austral Líneas Aéreas Argentina 2 E190
Air Costa India 1 E190
281 Firm Orders
2013: Market Confidence on E-Jets
Source: Embraer (Jul/2013)
E-Jets Financing Partners
Yangtze River
International
Leasing
Source: Embraer (Jul/2013)
Wide Range of Applications
Source: Embraer (% of E-Jets Fleet+Backlog as of Jun/2013)
Regional
Full-Service
LCC
18%
54%
28%
4 E170s
E-Jets Presence in Asia-Pacific
137 E-Jets
For the Region
18 E190s
8 E190s
3 E170s 4 E175s
15 E170s
2 E190s 2 E170s 1 E190
20 E190s
50 E190s
6 E190s
4 E190s
Source: Embraer (Jul/2013)
One E-Jet departs
every 2 minutes
in Asia-Pacific
E-Jets Presence in Asia-Pacific
Source: Embraer (Jul/2013)
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.
E-Jets are designed to maximize ease of Services & Support
High Standard of Global Services & Support
e-solutions Technical Support Field Support Flight Operations
Training Maintenance Material Aircraft Modification
E-Jets Main Applications “by design”
Natural evolution for existing
50-seat markets
Right-sizing of low load-factor narrow-
body flights
New market opportunities through lower
risk and flexibility
Replacement of old and
inefficient jets
Jets
120-1
80 s
eats
E-J
ets
Application 1: Right-sizing Matching aircraft capacity to market demand
A319/320 E190
A319/320 E190
737-700/800 E190
Virgin Australia
China Southern
Air Canada
Jets
50 s
eats
E170
E-J
ets
Application 2: Natural Growth of Regional Jets Offering more seats on regional routes
ERJ 145
ERJ 145 E190 Hebei Airlines
CRJ 200 E170
J-AIR
Air France Régional / HOP
Jets
60-1
20
sea
ts
RJ 85 E170/190
DC9 / MD80 E170/175
F100 E190
E-J
ets
Application 3: Replacement of Old Jets Operating cost reduction (maintenance and fuel consumption)
Delta
British Airways
KLM
Application 4: New Markets Expansion towards new markets with less risk
Lower cost per trip compared to larger jets
14%
31%
20%
28%
7%
% of Markets
NB Replacement
NB Complement
Natural Growth
New Markets
Direct Replacement
Right-sizing
45%
E-Jets Deployment Helping airlines to be more efficient
Source: Embraer (Jul/2013)
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Advanced Flight Deck
Fly-By-Wire Flight Control
Smart Probes
Integrated Avionics
Optimized Systems
Best-In-Class Cabin
Comfort and Flexibility
Advanced Materials
Superior Structural Efficiency
Advanced Central
Maintenance Computer
New Generation
Landing Gear
Superior Field Performance and
Range Capability
Proven Engine Reliability
E-Jets State of the Art Technology
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.
Glass cockpit
Fly-By-Wire
Advanced maintenance system
Integrated avionics system
E-Jets State of the Art Technology
Range from Beijing – E-Jets
Full PAX*
Passengers at 100 kg (220 lb)
E170/175 cruise at M 0.75
E190/195 cruise at M 0.78
85% annual winds
CAAC reserves
100 nm alternate
(*) Single-class seating at 32” pitch
EMBRAER 190 AR - 98 seats
EMBRAER 170 AR - 70 seats
EMBRAER 195 AR - 118 seats
EMBRAER 175 AR - 78 seats
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.
A Family that Continues to Evolve
New Avionics Functionalities
Interior
Improvements
SHM / PHM
2015
2012 Noise
Package 2011
Steep Climb 2010 Slim Seat
2008
Electronic Flight Bag (EFB)
ETOPS 120’ E190
E170/E175 AR
Operational Envelope
extension: ISA+39 E170/E190
14,000ft (E190)
2013 Maintenance
Improvements
Fuel Burn Reduction
2014
2009 Steep
Approach
ADSB-out
Fuel Burn Reduction
E-Jets | The Future
Availability of new, efficient
engines
Interaction with our
customer base
Opportunities for
maintenance cost reduction
Airbus and Boeing re-engine
E-Jets E2
the 2nd
Generation
E-Jets
Capacities to Match Market Demand
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
+1 row
same
+3 rows
20%
20%
97 Seats DC
106 Seats SC E190-E2
118 Seats DC 132 Seats SC
E195-E2
80 Seats DC 88 Seats SC
E175-E2
E2 New Features | Not Just a Re-engine
E175-E2 E190-E2 & E195-E2
New Wing
More efficient, high aspect ratio
metallic wing. Raked wing tip.
Improved Avionics
4 larger 13”x10” displays
and touchscreen controls
Main Landing Gear
Enabling larger engines. Gear
doors for improved fuel efficiency
Optimized Wing/Engine
Different wing and engine combinations for E175-E2 and E190/195-E2
New Engines
Larger fan diameter and
improved fuel efficiency
4th Gen Full Fly-by-Wire
digital closed-loop control
to improve flying qualities
and boost fuel efficiency
New Interior
nicer PAX experience
and more overhead
bin volume New Stabilizers
lower drag & weight
Evolution of other systems: Flight Controls, Hydraulics, Steering, Bleed and Ice Protection
E2 New Features | Not Just a Re-engine
APU
with higher starting/operating
altitude and air inlet door
for reduced drag Air Conditioning
higher capacity and improved control
Engines | PW1700G and PW1900G Total system design for maximum efficiency. Much more than just the gear.
Composite
fan case
Very high bypass
light-weight fan
Fan Drive
Gear System
(FDGS)
High efficiency advanced HPT
Advanced aerodynamics;
durability technologies
3-stage
high-speed LPT
2/3-stage
high-speed
LPC
Applications
Most efficient “hub feeder”
Lower cost-per-seat than current Turboprops
Efficient “hub feeder”
Efficient complement to narrowbody operations
New market developer
Capacity growth for current E-Jet operators
Similar cost-per-seat to A320neo and 737-8 Max
Low Cost operation in mid-density markets
E190-E2
E195-E2
E175-E2
E-Jets E2 | A Generational Leap led by New Technology
300 E-Jets E2 orders*
Source: Embraer (Jul/2013), * includes options and purchase rights
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.
謝謝
The information contained herein is the property of Embraer S.A. and shall not be copied or used
without Embraer’s written consent.
Performance and cost values are indicative only, do not represent any contractual offer or guarantee,
and must not be used for aircraft dispatch purposes.