ASSET ALLOCATION MUST BE ACTIVELY MANAGED Richard Temperley Head of Investment Development –...

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Page 1: ASSET ALLOCATION MUST BE ACTIVELY MANAGED Richard Temperley Head of Investment Development – Zurich.

ASSET ALLOCATION MUST BE ACTIVELY MANAGED

Richard Temperley

Head of Investment Development – Zurich

Page 2: ASSET ALLOCATION MUST BE ACTIVELY MANAGED Richard Temperley Head of Investment Development – Zurich.

Source: Zurich Life, September 2014

Active Management adds value

Page 3: ASSET ALLOCATION MUST BE ACTIVELY MANAGED Richard Temperley Head of Investment Development – Zurich.

Source: Zurich Life, September 2014

25 years – Good Active Management Expertise

Page 4: ASSET ALLOCATION MUST BE ACTIVELY MANAGED Richard Temperley Head of Investment Development – Zurich.

Source: Zurich Life, September 2014

25 years – Good Active Management Expertise

Page 5: ASSET ALLOCATION MUST BE ACTIVELY MANAGED Richard Temperley Head of Investment Development – Zurich.

Source: Zurich Life, September 2014

25 years – Good Active Management Expertise

Page 6: ASSET ALLOCATION MUST BE ACTIVELY MANAGED Richard Temperley Head of Investment Development – Zurich.

“Valuations and unprecedented policy response make strong equity gains possible”

Zurich Investment Outlook - 2009

Making the Right Calls

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Active Fund ManagementActive Management of Asset Classes

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Cash

Alternatives

Property

Bonds

Equities

Source: Zurich Life, September 2014

Active Management of Asset Classes

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ProcessAn Active Management Process

Page 9: ASSET ALLOCATION MUST BE ACTIVELY MANAGED Richard Temperley Head of Investment Development – Zurich.

THE OUTLOOK FOR ASSET CLASSES

Page 10: ASSET ALLOCATION MUST BE ACTIVELY MANAGED Richard Temperley Head of Investment Development – Zurich.

Equity Bull Market - a record breaking run…

Source: Zurich Life, September 2014

4thLongest bull market on

record!

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Page 12: ASSET ALLOCATION MUST BE ACTIVELY MANAGED Richard Temperley Head of Investment Development – Zurich.
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Bull Market’s End – the warning signs…

Very tight monetary policy

Sustained acceleration in inflation

A big rise in short-term interest rates

An overheating economy

Severe overvaluation of equities compared with interest rates

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Source: BlackRock, September 2014

Long-term Rates – Government 10-year Bond Yields

Page 15: ASSET ALLOCATION MUST BE ACTIVELY MANAGED Richard Temperley Head of Investment Development – Zurich.

Short-term Rates – ECB

Source: European Central Bank, September 2014

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House Prices – Global Developed Markets

Source: BIG, 24.06.14

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Asset Class Performance

Source: J.P. Morgan, Guide to Markets, Q3 2014.

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A Multi-asset solution is the answer

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Warning: Past performance is not a reliable guide to future performanceWarning: The value of your investment may go down as well as upWarning: Benefits may be affected by changes in currency exchange rates.Warning: If you invest in this product you may lose some or all of the money you invest.