Arunachal Pradesh SAPCC
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Transcript of Arunachal Pradesh SAPCC
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Arunachal Pradesh StateAction Plan on Climate Change
Government of Arunachal Pradesh
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Arunachal Pradesh StateAction Plan on Climate Change
July 2011
Government of Arunachal Pradesh
Disclaimer
The data and information used for rearing this reort have !een sourcedfrom secondary sources including state government deartments and officials"u!lished sources of Government of #ndia" and climate change assessmentmade !y the consultants$ %hile due care has !een ta&en to ensure authenticityof the data and other information used" any inadvertent 'rong data orinformation used is regretted$ %e are not lia!le to any legal or enalresonsi!ilities arising from this and also from the use of this reort !yanyone$(
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ore'ord
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Ac&no'ledgement
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Preface
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Ta!le of Contents
/).%/)DAC+/%-.DG..+TP).AC.TA3-. / C/+T.+TS
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SAPCC P).PA)AT#/+ P)/C.SS/3S.)4.D C-#AT. T).+DS A+D P)/J.CT.D C-#AT. C,A+G.STAT. G,G .#SS#/+
C-#AT. C,A+G. #PACTP).S.+T P/-#C#.S 7 P)/G)AS A+D -#+AG.S %#T, +APCCST)AT.G#.S T/ ADD).SS C/+C.)+S / C-#AT. C,A+G.
Strategies and Proosed #nvestmentC)/SS C*TT#+G ACT#4#T#.S8#+ST#T*T#/+A- A))A+G..+TS/+#T/)#+G A+D .4A-*AT#/+
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%ater )esources-anduseD./G)AP,6.C/+/6#+)AST)*CT*).Physical infrastructure
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G)..+ #+D#A #SS#/+ /).STS A+D ,/)T#C*-T*). 9 .5#ST#+G STAT. P/-#C#.S A+D P)/G)AS
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State .nergy Conservation und BS.C8#+D*ST)6
S*STA#+A3-. ,A3#TAT #SS#/+ 9 .5#ST#+G STAT. P/-#C#.S A+D P)/G)AS*r!an TransortSolid %aste anagement)oad
/ther schemeArunachal Pradesh 3uilding 3ye -a's 2010 notified)ural Develoment)ural )oads
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G)..+#+G #+D#A #SS#/+F .AS*).S T/ C/*+T.) C-#AT. C,A+G.Programme for reducing vulnera!ility to climate change under the Greening #ndia ission8Car!on sin& enhancement roects 'ith siHe" location and investment needs
Car!on sin& enhancement otential of the roosed roects under G#S*STA#+A3-. AG)#C*-T*). #SS#/+
#dentified vulnera!ility reduction measures in agriculture sector8
#dentified vulnera!ility reduction measures in livestoc& sector8,/)T#C*-T*).C-#AT. C,A+G. 4*-+.)A3#-#T6 ).D*CT#/+ .AS*).S
#nstitutional Suort.+,A+C.D .+.)G6 .#C#.+C6 #SS#/+
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Climate change vulnera!ility reduction interventions,.A-T, S.CT/) C-#AT. C,A+G. ST)AT.G6 A+D ACT#/+ P-A+
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A!!reviations
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APDA
AP.DA
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The Arunachal Pradesh Disaster anagement Authority
Arunachal Pradesh .nergy Develoment Agency
Aluminium Conductors Steel )einforced
3order Area Develoment Programme
3illion Cu!ic eters
3ureau of .nergy .fficiency
3ase -ine
3est anagement Practices
3elo' Po'erty -evel
Constitutional Amendment Act
Comound Annual Gro'th )ate
Climate Change
Cultura!le Command Area
Clean Develoment echanism
chief e
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Greening #ndia ission
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,igh Tension
,igh 4oltage Distri!ution System
#ndira A'aas 6oana
#ndustrial #nfrastructure Develoment Centers
#ndian #nsitute of anagement
#ndian #nstitute of Science
#ndian #nstitute of Technology
#ndian #nstitute of Troical eteorology
#ndian etrological Deartment
#ntergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
January" e!ruary
Joint orest anagement
June" July" August" Setem!er
Ja'aharlal +ehru +ational *r!an )ene'al ission
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ilo 4olts
ilo'att
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Pradhan antri Gram Sada& 6oana
Pu!lic Private Partnershi
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P).C#S
I*P
)7D
)C
)G+D%
)P/
)%,
SAPCC
S.C
S.)C
S.:
sM &m
S).S
S)T
S%AT
Tg
%)C
Providing )egional Climates for #mact Studies
Iuantifying *ncertainty in odel Predictions
)esearch and Develoment
)egional Climate odels
)aiv Gandhi +ational Drin&ing %ater ission
)ene'a!le Purchase /!ligation
rain %ater ,arvesting
State Action Plan of Climate Change
State .nergy Conservation und
State .lectricity )egulatory Commission
Secial .conomic :ones
SMuare ilometer
Secial )eort on .mission Scenarios
Shuttle )adar Toograhy ission
Soil and %ater Assessment Tool
Teragrams
%etland )ice Cultivation
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.
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cultivation" graHing" forest fires" encroachment" commercial lantations" human9'ildlife conflicts andillegal e
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/!served Climate Trends and Proected Climate Change
Current Climate8 The long term analysis for trends in o!served seasonal reciitation andtemerature over Arunachal Pradesh using #D gridded and temerature at daily time scales sho'that the rise in maoC to oC$ inimum temerature isroected to increase !y 1oC to 2$EoC during 20=0s and !y 2$@oC to oC during 20@0s$
State G,G .mission
State .mission8 Arunachal Pradesh ran&s among the lo'est G,G emitting states of #ndia$ -essinfrastructure develoment" lo' car!onisation levels" high utilisation of !io mass for energy ando'er generation from rene'a!le sources Bhydro and a!sence of industries are the maor factorscontri!uting to lo' levels of G,G emissions$ A!out of G,G emissions come from energycategory$ Agriculture sector contri!utes ? of C,> and = of +2/ emission in the state$
Climate Change #mact
##T Delhi and ##Sc 3angalore had made assessment of the imact of roected climate change on'ater and forests$
#mact on %ater resources8 Analysis for entire 3rahmautra !asin reveals an increase in the annualreciitation of 2$= for middle of century B20=0s as comared to !ase line$ ,o'ever" for the3rahmautra !asin lying 'ithin Arunachal Pradesh" analysis roects a decrease in annual
reciitation of a!out to 1 !y mid century$ The change in 'ater availa!ility sho' satialvariation from marginal reduction B to no change across the state to'ards 20=0s$ The green'ater flo' Bevaotransiration sho's increase !ut the magnitude is marginal under mid century ascomared to !aseline$ The situation of green 'ater storage Bsoil 'ater sho's no change from the!aseline under mid century scenario$ These roections are derived from S%AT distri!utedhydrologic modelling$
1
2
20=0s8 average of 20219200" 20@0s8average of 20?1920@
A13 #PCC S).S socio9economic scenario BcharacteriHed !y a future 'orld of very raid economic gro'th"
glo!al oulation that ea&s in mid9century and declines thereafter" and raid introduction of ne' and more
efficient technologies" 'ith the develoment !alanced across energy sources
=P).C#S BProviding )egional Climate for #mact Studies is the ,adley Centre orta!le regional climate model"
develoed to run on a PC 'ith a grid resolution of 0$>>Q < 0$>>Q$ P).C#S simulation datasets is rovided !y the#ndian #nstitute of Troical eteorology" Pune
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#mact on orest8 The dynamic vegetation model outut sho's that during short eriod of 20=0s
out of the 2EE forested grids in Arunachal Pradesh" ==1 B 12$> '$r$t$ !aseline 'ill !e imacted !yclimate change$ Percentage of forested grids roected to !e imacted !y 20@0 is less to the tune of? B'$r$t$ !aseline" the reason !eing rainfall is roected to increase to'ards 20@0s as comared to20=0s 'here decrease is roected" according to the A13 scenario$ A change in forest tyes isroected in northern region of *er Siang district" 'estern region of Di!ang 4alley" southern %est
Siang and 'estern region of urung umey districts$ Thus the !iodiversity rich districts of ArunachalPradesh are roected to !e adversely imacted !y climate change !y 20=0s$ This imlies that thefuture climate is not otimal or suita!le to the e
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Strategies to address concerns of climate change
To synergiHe sustaina!le develoment and adatation to climate change a list of rograms andolicies as erceived !y the State have !een identified !y state sectoral deartments$
orestry8 A reliminary list of climate change vulnera!ility reduction interventions and roect ideas"
!ased on the Greening #ndia ission have !een identified$ There is a need for conductingreliminary studies to identify locations for imlementing the vulnera!ility reduction measures$ The
e11 million ruees under the Car!on sin&enhancement roects$ This 'ill cover 1$?>? million hectares 'ith an intention to increase forestcover and eco9restoration of degraded forests$ The annual incremental car!on sin& enhancement
otential is estimated to !e 20$E million tonnes of Car!on or a!out ? million tonnes of C/2 !y2020$ Thus forest sector indeed can lay a large role in mitigation of G,G emissions not only forAurnachal Pradesh !ut also for #ndia$
Agriculture8 Deartment of Agriculture and Deartment of Animal ,us!andry and 4eterinary haveointly roosed the vulnera!ility reduction measures$ )eha!ilitation of shifting cultivation areas !y'ay of terraced rice cultivation to cover 0$011 ha 'ith a cost imlication of 1100 million ruees
and enhancement of livestoc& roduction !y introduction of climate change adative measures 'ith
a cost imlication of 120 million ruees have !een identified and the imlementation is roosed to!e carried out as short term sread over ne00$00million ruees resectively$ Part of the roosed investment of 2@$ ? million ruees has !eenta&en care of in the forestry sector under Green #ndia ission$ The lan mainly include climateresilient oriented cultivation ractices and imlementation resource conservation technology li&emicro irrigation and rain 'ater harvesting system$ Additional roosal for institutional suort for )
7 D and climate change information dissemination at a cost of ?0 million ruees$ urther"assistance is sought for in situ L e< situ conservation of germlasm of agricultural and horticultural
imortanceL conservation of 'ild relative of agricultural and horticultural cros found in ArunachalPrades and investigation on use of e
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!een su!mitted 'ith an estimated cost of E$@0 million ruees$ #mlementation eriod is sreadover years$
*r!an Develoment8 *nder +ational ission on Sustaina!le ,a!itat" roosed investment of
=@?@$@0 million ruees for ur!an transort B=00 million ruees and ur!an maing B=2@$@million ruees has !een identified$ aor art of the reMuired investment is to'ards !uildingse'erage line and storm 'ater drainage in t'enty si< ur!an settlements$ Part funding is e1 ha!itations through a road length of 1==$? &m$Connecting >2> ha!itations through rural road net'or&s 'ith a road length of 20?$>> &m$ 'asaccomlished through a nine hase roect involving >?@ road 'or& roects for =E$1 millionruees until Decem!er 2010$
%ater )esources8 *nder +ational %ater ission" mitigation roects 'ith a estimated cost of100$00 million ruees have !een roosed$ ain focus is on )oof to rain 'ater harvestingschemes" source rotection" gully lugging" chec& dam" catchment area rotection" contourtrenching" imounding reservoirs and artificial recharge$ Additional funding for la!our has !eenroosed to dra' from +).GA and #%P$ *nder adatation eco friendly schemes li&e non 'aterconsuming .co9San toilets 'ith an estimated cost of 112$0 million ruees have !een roosed$
.mhasis on advocacy and communication strategy on otimum 'ater use" re9use of 'ater" 'ise'ater use rograms and 'ater ricing has !een roosed$ #mlementation eriod is sread over years$
,ealth8 Some of the action lans and roects for a sustaina!le develoment and adatation toClimate Change as erceived !y the Deartment of ,ealth and family %elfare at a cost of @?0$0million ruees have !een roosed and imlementation eriod is ne !illion ruees" e
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Strategies and Proosed #nvestmentProosed activities and the investment reMuired are given the ta!le at the end$
Cross Cutting Activities8
The State has already recogniHed a large num!er of issues critical to the management of climate
change$ Some of the critical areas recognised and the areas of research that need to !e ta&en uunder the Strategic no'ledge ission$ The critical issues that are sread across the sectors anddomains include8 climate change vulnera!ility assessment studies across sectors" strengthening ofdata!ase and infrastructure for climate related data collection and analysis" Caacity !uilding andtraining" #P) and traditional &no'ledge rotection" documenting traditional ractices" local&no'ledge and fol& traditions" gender sensitive adatation otions li&e effective strategies forensuring 'ater suly and Muality" and reducing the !urden on 'omen caused !y 'ater collection"
gender9secific use of health facilities" 'omenNs access to ne' technologies" e
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Proosed activities and the investment reMuired Bconsidering Technical Potential under orest Sector
Proosed
investmentBin illion
)s
Target Area
Bha
To !e
covered
undercurrent
lan Bha
Sector Category of #nterventions Proosed activitiesL roects *nit costLha B)s Time Period
orest BG#
Anticiatory lanting of seciesacross latitudinal and longitudinal
gradient
Promotion of natural regenerationand mi
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Proosed
investment
Bin illion
)s
200
To !ecovered
undercurrent
lan Bha
Sector Category of #nterventions
Su!9 ission >8 Agro9forestry andsocial orestry Bincreasing !iomass 7
creating car!on sin&
Proosed activitiesL roects *nit costLha B)sTarget Area
Bha Time Period
armersO land including current fallo's"
shelter!elt lantations
1"2"000L9
Bresent cost 0$02
Agroforestry includes horticultural orchards and homestead gardens on farms
Total Car!on sin& enhancement
Total 9 orest
Agriculture
4ulnera!ility)eduction
Agriculture
-ivestoc&
Total Agriculture
,orticulture
A$ Climate Change orientedcultivation ractice
Ale
-o' chilling " disease and est resistant and
drought tolerant Cultivars" use of # 7 )%,"organic cultivation" ,DP etc
-o' chilling " disease and est resistant
Cultivars" # 7 )%," organic cultivation
9do9
*se of nuclear seedlings from highly tolerantlocal cultivars 'ith high roductivity and
longevity" drought tolerant and use of#7)%," /rganic cultivation etc$
,DP 'ith imroved cultivation management"
use of #7 )%," /rganic cultivation etc$
9do9
=12$
Ta'ang" %est
ameng" some
oc&ets of other
districts$
9do9
9do9
All Siang districts"
-ohit" -D4"PLPare"*er Su!ansiri"
.ast ameng"Tira and
Changlang
9do9
do9
12=0@ 200
)eha!ilitation of Shifting Cultivation areas !y
Terraced )ice Cultivation
.nhancement of livestoc& roduction !y
introduction of CC adative measures
1100
120
1220
1"00"000 er ha
?"00"000 er
district
0$011
Sread over years
#n all districts
>11
E201@
1$?>?
i'i
Adatation/ther temerate cros
12
12
20
>?
1000
1000
2011912 to 20191E
hasi andarinL citrus ?0 2?0 E000
Pineale
/ther su!9troical fruits
1@?$
1@?$
1022
11@00
100
100
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Proosed
investment
Bin illion
)s
12
To !ecovered
undercurrent
lan Bha
1000
Sector Category of #nterventions Proosed activitiesL roects *nit costLha B)sTarget Area
Bha Time Period
Ginger
*se of rhiHome rot and other disease tolerant
varieties" imroved cultivation management"use of #7 )%," /rganic cultivation etc
)elacing the higher altitude reMuiringvarieties 'ith mid9 and lo' hill varieties"
disease and est resistant verities and other
measures sho'n a!ove$
9do9
ulti croing" inter9croing and as
comonent of agro9forestry$
*se of drought and disease resistant cultivars"use of use of #7 )%," /rganic cultivation
etc
9do9 22@2
-arge Cardamom
/ther Sices
edicinal and aromatic cros
4egeta!les
Total BA
3$ icro #rrigation and )ain %ater
,arvesting System B#7 )%,
All cros
Total B3
Total BAR3
)esearch and Develoment
1@?$ 9do9
All districts
12>2
0
1000
1000
100
12
=?
200
All districts
All districts
1000
=000
20000
To !e installed in all cultivated areas forudicious use of %ater$ %), to ta the
surface run off !y rain 'ater and also forartificial recharge of ground 'ater
2011912 to 20191E
2>00
2>00
>00
All districts 12000
12000
#nfrastructure suort for )7D activities on
climate change effect on horticulture
Data !ase on Climate Change information
Develoment of adatation technologies
200
=0
1E0
1E0
1E0
1E0
100
> Agro9climatic
:ones
All 1E districts
All 1E districts
All 1E districts
All 1E districts
All 1E districts
All 1E districts
#nstitutional Suort Develoment of mitigation technologies
Jhum cultivation
Germlasm conservationL!iodiversity
conservation
Dissemination of Climate Changeinformation SeminarL%or&shoLTrainingLilm sho'
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Proosed
investment
Bin illion
)s
@?0
To !ecovered
undercurrent
lan Bha
Sector Category of #nterventions Proosed activitiesL roects *nit costLha B)sTarget Area
Bha Time Period
Total ,orticulture
.nergy
/verloaded old transformer
S*39,.AD 9 #Adotion of ,4DS
)elacement
* gradation
S*39,.AD 9 ##
4ulnera!ility
)eduction S*39,.AD 9 ###
S*39,.AD 9 #4
S*39,.AD 9 4
S*39,.AD 9 4#
*gradationLrelacement o f ASC) conductorof htLlt line 'ith aroriate siHes
Adoting high voltage distri!ution system
)elacement of defective energy meters
system consumer meters iLc roviding meterto unmetered consumers
)elacement of old reflector of e
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Proosed
investment
Bin illion
)s
0
1=
1>$@
20000
1000
10
=@?@$@
Sread over 10 years
To !ecovered
undercurrent
lan Bha
Sector Category of #nterventions Proosed activitiesL roects *nit costLha B)sTarget Area
Bha Time Period
aster Plan Prearation
aster Plan Prearation Cell
icroHonation and ris& assessment
*r!an aing Se'erage line in t'enty si< *r!an
settlementsStorm 'ater draining in t'enty si< ur!an
settlements
Plastic free Hone in t'enty si< ur!ansettlements
Total *r!an
%ater
)oof to rain ' ater harvesting schemes"
source rotection" gully lugging" chec& dam"catchment area rotection" contour
trenching" imounding reservoirs and
artificial recharge
4ulnera!ility )eduction +ote8 the -a!our cost of any recharging
systemLsurface 'ater imounding structures
should !e met from ahatma Gandhi+ational )ural .mloyment Guarantee
Scheme BG+).GS and #ntegrated%atershed anagement Programme B#%P
?00 .co9San toilets
AdatationA'areness" camaign" Caacity 3uilding
Afforestation and lantation 'ith G# and,orticulture mission
Total %ater
,ealth
.cological study on air ollutants andollen Bas triggers of Asthma 7 )es$
diseases 7 ho' they are affected !yPilot study is roosed for = ,ositals"
100 Sread over years
112$
Sread over years
1E12$
=
1 illionruees er
hositalSread over years
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Proosed
investment
Bin illion
)s
To !ecovered
undercurrent
lan Bha
Sector Category of #nterventions Proosed activitiesL roects *nit costLha B)sTarget Area
Bha
)eMuired
ed$ Secialistand Chest
Secialist areavaila!le$
Time Period
CC
1$ General ,osital" +aharlagun$
2$ General ,osital" Pasighat$
=$ )ama rishna ission ,osital" #tanagar$
To screen and study atients suffering from
3ronchial Asthma and other )es$ diseases$
)s$0$
million erdistricts and
)s$2$0 millionfor State ,M$
#ncludes alsotraining cost"
monitoring"field 'or& and
la!$ Test etc$Primary level8
)s$0$ million
er districts
and )s$1@$0million for
State ,MSecondary and
tertiary leveleach8
)s$10$0 million
of )s$0$million er
districts and)s$20$0 million
for State ,M$
Studies on resonse of diseasevectors to climate changes$
.ntomological study on revalence and
vector densities for alaria" J." Dengue"
CC, BChimean9Congo ,aemorrhagic ever
in the state$
10
.nhanced rovision of Primary"Secondary 7 Tertiary health care
facilities 7 imlementation of u!lichealth measures" including vector
control" sanitation 7 clean drin&ing'ater suly
i Primary level89 A'areness and sensitiHation
to all sectors on Climate change$
Sread over years
2
ii Secondary level89 .arly diagnosis and
treatment i$e Testing &its and drugs$
#ii Tertiary level89 Testing &its and treatment
'ith drugs
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Proosed
investment
Bin illion
)s
To !ecovered
undercurrent
lan Bha
Sector Category of #nterventions Proosed activitiesL roects *nit costLha B)sTarget Area
Bha
und 'ill !e
needed forengaging
)emoteSensing
deartment forhigh resolution
data transfer$
Time Period
Providing high resolution 'eather 7climate data to study the regional
attern of diseases$
Through #DSP B#ntegrated Disease Surveillance
Proect 'hich is a roect !y G/# o n Disease
Surveillance and is engaged in /ut!rea&L.idemic forecasting and
investigationLmanagement$
10
Develoment of a high resolution
health imact model at the state level
Assistance of deartment$ /f Science 7
Technology" )emote Sensing section 'ill !eta&en for real time high resolution 'eather 7
climate data$
3oth State )emote Sensing ,ealth
deartments" under +43DCP 'ill !e utiliHed
for G#S maing$
9G#S maing of access routes tohealth facilities
PrioritiHation of geograhic areas
!ased on .idemiological data and
the e
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Proosed
investment
Bin illion
)s
To !ecovered
undercurrent
lan Bha
Sector Category of #nterventions Proosed activitiesL roects *nit costLha B)sTarget Area
Bha
district for 1E
districts
Time Period
aroval of SAPCC and its
funding
a$ Carry out t he anti malarial activities
through out the year in all the districts$.g8DDT Lalethion srayLfogging
iii$ .nhance level of actions for rotectionagainst osMuito !ites e$g 3ed99netsL--#+ "
Treatment 'ith CloroMuineLIuinineLACTdrugs
!$ #ntensify osMuito Control measures
through source reductionLanti larval
measures in identified hotsot areasin alldistricts$ easures to include avoidance of
stagnation or collection of 'ater" through3iological Control e$g$ -arvivorous ,atchery "
through roer disosal of 'aste ;!iomedical'aste as 'ell as municial solid 'aste and
domestic 'aste 'ater
iii$ Strengthen measures for continuous
screening against ne' and emerging vector
!orne diseases including alaAHar" ilariasis"and Chi&ungunya and any other emerging
vector$
iv$ Strengthen reorting of 4ector !ornediseases in #DSP !y including reorts from all
health centres at all levels in all districts$
Total ,ealth
Grand Total in illion )uees
Caacity 3uilding 1
Proosed Total #nvestment in illion )uees
)s 2$0 Cr er
district=20
1E0
@?0$
1121E$>
1122
11==1@$>
)s 1$00 Cr for
each district
Proosed Total #nvestment in 3illion )uees8 11=$ = B)uees 11"==2 crores
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Proosed activities and the investment reMuired Bconsidering feasi!le areas under orest Sector till 2020
Proosed
investmentBin illion
)s
Target Area
Bha
To !e
covered
undercurrent
lan Bha
Sector Category of #nterventions Proosed activitiesL roects *nit costLha B)s Time Period
orest BG#
Anticiatory lanting of seciesacross latitudinal and longitudinal
gradient
Promotion of natural regenerationand mi
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Proosed
investment
Bin illion
)s
=00
To !ecovered
undercurrent
lan Bha
Sector Category of #nterventions Proosed activitiesL roects *nit costLha B)sTarget Area
Bha
2">0>
Brovided !y,orticulture
deartment
Time Period
Su!9 ission >8 Agro9forestry and
social orestry Bincreasing !iomass 7
creating car!on sin&
armersO land including current fallo's"
shelter!elt lantations
1"2"000L9
Bresent cost
Agroforestry includes horticultural orchards and homestead gardens on farms
Total Car!on sin& enhancement E00 2"10"000
+ote8 Area8 During the eriod 20129201" annual additional area to !e !rought under G# su!9missions" covering all activities is 1"000 haLyear and Area8 During 201E92020" the additional area covered under G#
su!9missions" covering all activities is =0"000 haLyear
Total 9 orest
Agriculture
4ulnera!ility
)eduction
Agriculture
-ivestoc&
Total Agriculture
,orticulture
A$ Climate Change orientedcultivation ractice
Ale
-o' chilling " disease and est resistant and
drought tolerant Cultivars" use of # 7 )%,"organic cultivation" ,DP etc
-o' chilling " disease and est resistantCultivars" # 7 )%," organic cultivation
9do9
*se of nuclear seedlings from highly tolerantlocal cultivars 'ith high roductivity and
longevity" drought tolerant and use of#7)%," /rganic cultivation etc$
=12$
Ta'ang" %est
ameng" some
oc&ets of other
districts$
9do9
9do9
All Siang districts"
-ohit"-D4"PLPare"
*er Su!ansiri".ast ameng"
Tira andChanglang
12"=0@ 200
)eha!ilitation of Shifting Cultivation areas !yTerraced )ice Cultivation
.nhancement of livestoc& roduction !y
introduction of CC adative measures
1100
120
1220
1"00"000 er ha
?"00"000 er
district
11"000
Sread over years
#n all districts
1>>0=
i'i
Adatation/ther temerate cros
12
12
20
>"?
1000
1000 2011912 to 20191E
hasi andarinL citrus ?0 2"?0 E000
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Proosed
investment
Bin illion
)s
1@?$
1@?$
12
To !ecovered
undercurrent
lan Bha
100
100
1000
Sector Category of #nterventions Proosed activitiesL roects *nit costLha B)sTarget Area
Bha Time Period
Pineale
/ther su!9troical fruits
Ginger
,DP 'ith imroved cultivation management"use of #7 )%," /rganic cultivation etc$
9do9
*se of rhiHome rot and other disease tolerant
varieties" imroved cultivation management"use of #7 )%," /rganic cultivation etc
)elacing the higher altitude reMuiringvarieties 'ith mid9 and lo' hill varieties"
disease and est resistant verities and othermeasures sho'n a!ove$
9do9
ulti croing" inter9croing and as
comonent of agro9forestry$
*se of drought and disease resistant cultivars"
use of use of #7 )%," /rganic cultivation
etc
9do9
do9
9do9
10"22
11"@00
2"2@2
-arge Cardamom
/ther Sices
edicinal and aromatic cros
4egeta!les
Total BA
3$ icro #rrigation and )ain %ater
,arvesting System B#7 )%,
All cros
Total B3
Total BAR3
)esearch and Develoment
1@?$ 9do9
All districts
12">2
0
1"000
1"000
100
12
=?
200
All districts
All districts
1000
=000
20000
To !e installed in all cultivated areas for
udicious use of %ater$ %), to ta thesurface run off !y rain 'ater and also for
artificial recharge of ground 'ater
2011912 to 20191E
2>00
2>00
>00
All districts 12000
12000
#nfrastructure suort for )7D activities onclimate change effect on horticulture
Data !ase on Climate Change information
200
=0
1E0
1E0
1E0
> Agro9climatic:ones
All 1E districts
All 1E districts
All 1E districts
All 1E districts
#nstitutional SuortDeveloment of adatation t echnologies
Develoment of mitigation technologies
Jhum cultivation
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A)*+AC,A- P)AD.S, STAT. ACT#/+ P-A+ /+ C-#AT. C,A+G.
Proosed
investment
Bin illion
)s
1E0
100
@?0
To !ecovered
undercurrent
lan Bha
Sector Category of #nterventions Proosed activitiesL roects *nit costLha B)sTarget Area
Bha
All 1E districts
All 1E districts
Time Period
Germlasm conservationL!iodiversity
conservation
Dissemination of Climate Changeinformation
Total ,orticulture
.nergy
/verloaded old transformer
S*39,.AD 9 #Adotion of ,4DS
)elacement
* gradation
S*39,.AD 9 ##
4ulnera!ility)eduction S*39,.AD 9 ###
S*39,.AD 9 #4
S*39,.AD 9 4
S*39,.AD 9 4#
*gradationLrelacement of ASC) conductorof htLlt line 'ith aroriate siHes
Adoting high voltage distri!ution system
)elacement of defective energy meters
system consumer meters iLc roviding meterto unmetered consumers
)elacement of old reflector of e2
=0$1E
00$0@
102$@E
E2$@
$@=
2E$E1
2@$>
DP) su!mitted
2@$>
1@>E$E
Sread over years
Ja'aharlal +ehru +ational Solar
ission
Total .nergy
*r!an
etro Ca!le System
4ulnera!ility)eduction *r!an Transort Jn+*)" C+G 3uses
Solid 'aste management
1000
EE0
@@0
Sread over years
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A)*+AC,A- P)AD.S, STAT. ACT#/+ P-A+ /+ C-#AT. C,A+G.
Proosed
investment
Bin illion
)s
EE0
=00
0
1=
1>$@
20000
1000
10
=@?@$@
Sread over 10 years
To !ecovered
undercurrent
lan Bha
Sector Category of #nterventions Proosed activitiesL roects *nit costLha B)sTarget Area
Bha Time Period
)oads imrovement
/ther Schemes
aster Plan Prearation
aster Plan Prearation Cell
icroHonation and ris& assessment
*r!an aing Se'erage line in t'enty si< *r!ansettlementsStorm 'ater draining in t'enty si< ur!an
settlementsPlastic free Hone in t'enty si< ur!an
settlements
Total *r!an
%ater
)oof to rain 'ater harvesting schemes"source rotection" gully lugging" chec& dam"
catchment area rotection" contourtrenching" imounding reservoirs and
artificial recharge
4ulnera!ility )eduction +ote8 the -a!our cost of any recharging
systemLsurface 'ater imounding structuresshould !e met from ahatma Gandhi
+ational )ural .mloyment GuaranteeScheme BG+).GS and #ntegrated
%atershed anagement Programme B#%P
?00 .co9San toilets
AdatationA'areness" camaign" Caacity 3uilding
Afforestation and lantation 'ith G# and
,orticulture mission
Total %ater
,ealth
100 Sread over years
112$
Sread over years
1E12$
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A)*+AC,A- P)AD.S, STAT. ACT#/+ P-A+ /+ C-#AT. C,A+G.
Proosed
investment
Bin illion
)s
=
To !ecovered
undercurrent
lan Bha
Sector Category of #nterventions Proosed activitiesL roects *nit costLha B)sTarget Area
Bha
1 illion
ruees erhosital
)eMuireded$ Secialist
and Chest
Secialist are
availa!le$
Time Period
Pilot study is roosed for = ,ositals"
.cological study on air ollutants andollen Bas triggers of Asthma 7 )es$
diseases 7 ho' they are affected !y
CC
1$ General ,osital" +aharlagun$
Sread over years
2$ General ,osital" Pasighat$
=$ )ama rishna ission , osital" #tanagar$
To screen and study atients suffering from3ronchial Asthma and other )es$ diseases$
)s$0$million er
districts and
)s$2$0 millionfor State ,M$
#ncludes also
training cost"monitoring"
field 'or& andla!$ Test etc$
Primary level8)s$0$ million
er districtsand )s$1@$0
million for
State ,M
Secondary andtertiary level
each8
Studies on resonse of disease
vectors to climate changes$
.ntomological study on revalence and
vector densities for alaria" J." Dengue"CC, BChimean9Congo ,aemorrhagic ever
in the state$
10
Sread over years
.nhanced rovision of Primary"
Secondary 7 Tertiary health care
facilities 7 imlementation of u!lichealth measures" including vector
control" sanitation 7 clean drin&ing
'ater suly
i Primary level89 A'areness and sensitiHationto all sectors on Climate change$
2
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A)*+AC,A- P)AD.S, STAT. ACT#/+ P-A+ /+ C-#AT. C,A+G.
Proosed
investment
Bin illion
)s
To !ecovered
undercurrent
lan Bha
Sector Category of #nterventions Proosed activitiesL roects *nit costLha B)sTarget Area
Bha Time Period
ii Secondary level89 .arly diagnosis andtreatment i$e Testing &its and drugs$
#ii Tertiary level89 Testing &its and treatment'ith drugs
Through #DSP B#ntegrated D isease Surveillance
Proect 'hich is a roect !y G/# o n DiseaseSurveillance and is engaged in /ut!rea&L
.idemic forecasting andinvestigationLmanagement$
)s$10$0 million of )s$0$
million erdistricts and
)s$20$0 millionfor State ,M$
und 'ill !eneeded for
engaging)emote
Sensing
deartment for
high resolutiondata transfer$
Providing high resolution 'eather 7
climate data to study the regional
attern of diseases$10
Develoment of a high resolutionhealth imact model at the state level
Assistance of deartment$ /f Science 7
Technology" )emote Sensing section ' ill !eta&en for real time high resolution 'eather 7
climate data$
3oth State )emote Sensing ,ealthdeartments" under +43DCP 'ill !e utiliHed
for G#S maing$
9G#S maing of access routes to
health facilities
PrioritiHation of geograhic areas!ased on .idemiological data and
the e
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A)*+AC,A- P)AD.S, STAT. ACT#/+ P-A+ /+ C-#AT. C,A+G.
Proosed
investment
Bin illion
)s
To !ecovered
undercurrent
lan Bha
Sector Category of #nterventions Proosed activitiesL roects *nit costLha B)sTarget Area
Bha
0 -a&hs er yr
Time Period
on imacts of climate change on vector
sread" mor!idity and mortality ; all vectorsincluding malaria
Bto !e started
immediately after thearoval of SAPCC and its
funding
ii$ #mrove access to and use of services asthe transmission 'indo' for alaria is
lengthening and going to higher altitudes9
a$ Carry out the anti malarial activities
through out the year in all the districts$.g8DDT Lalethion srayLfogging
iii$ .nhance level of actions for rotectionagainst osMuito !ites e$g 3ed99netsL--#+ "
Treatment 'ith CloroMuineLIuinineLACTdrugs
!$ #ntensify osMuito Control measures
through source reductionLanti larvalmeasures in identified hotsot areasin all
districts$ easures to include avoidance of
stagnation or collection of 'ater" through3iological Control e$g$ -arvivorous ,atchery "
through roer disosal of 'aste ;!iomedical
'aste as 'ell as municial solid 'aste anddomestic 'aste 'ater
iii$ Strengthen measures for continuousscreening against ne' and emerging vector
!orne diseases including alaAHar" ilariasis"and Chi&ungunya and any other emerging
vector$
iv$ Strengthen reorting of 4ector !ornediseases in #DSP !y including reorts from all
health centres at all levels in all districts$
Total ,ealth
)s 2$0 Cr erdistrict
undreMuirement
2$00 Cr erdistrict for 1E
districts
=20
All through 12th lanBto !e started
immediately after thearoval of SAPCC and its
funding
=20
1E0
@?0$
)s 1$00 Cr for
each district
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Proosed
investment
Bin illion
)s
E>@1
E>E
E22?
To !ecovered
undercurrent
lan Bha
Sector Category of #nterventions Proosed activitiesL roects *nit costLha B)sTarget Area
Bha Time Period
Grand Total in illion )uees
Caacity 3uilding 1
Proosed Total #nvestment in illion )uees
Proosed Total #nvestment in 3illion )uees8 E$2 B)uees E"2= crores
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#ntroduction
Chater 1
Chater 1 V Government of Arunachal Pradesh
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#ndiaOs +ational Action Plan on Climate Change B+APCC released in 200@ > outlines its strategy tomeet the challenge of Climate Change$ +APCC is guided !y the rinciles of sustaina!le
develoment BSD and aligns the environmental and economic o!ectives$ $#t outlines a nationalstrategy that aims to ena!le the country adat to climate change and enhances the ecologicalsustaina!ility of #ndiaOs develoment ath$ #t stresses that maintaining a high gro'th rate is essentialfor increasing living standards of the vast maority of eole of #ndia and reducing their vulnera!ilityof the imacts of climate change$ There are eight +ational issions( 'hich form the core of the+ational action lan$ They focus on romoting understanding of climate change" adatation and
mitigation" energy efficiency and natural resource conservation$
As a second ste" after the +ational Action Plan on Climate Change B+APCC 'as announced" allStates have !een as&ed to reare a State level action lan to deal 'ith the challenges of climate
change$ 3roadly the State level action lans are envisioned to !e an ehtt8LLmindia$nic$inLclimateWchange$htm
1 Chater 1 9 #ntroduction V Government of Arunachal Pradesh
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Arunachal Pradesh State rofile
Physiograhy
Arunachal Pradesh is the largest State in +orth .ast #ndia and is !ounded !y 3hutan to the 'est"China to the north9east" yanmar B3urma to the east and the lains of Assam to the south$
Arunachal Pradesh is the home of 2E maor tri!es and ac&no'ledged to !e one of the most slendid"variegated and multilingual tri!al areas of the 'orld$
The state is situated in the .astern ,imalayas !et'een latitudes 2Eo =0O+ and 2o =0O+" longitudes1o =0O. and ?o =0O.$ The state has a geograhical area of @="?>= &m2 Bigure 1$ Terrain of the statehas dee valleys rising to stee mountains$ uch of the state is covered !y the .astern ,imalayas$,o'ever" arts of -ohit" Changlang and Tira districts are covered !y the Pat&ai hills$ The state has
comle< hill system 'ith varying elevations ranging from 0 m in the foot hills gradually ascending toa!out ?000 m$ The imortant hill systems are angto assif and +amcha 3ar'a assif$ The angtoassif lies in a gigantic S curve running roughly 'est9south'est and east9north east$ #t is !ecause ofthe e
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Climate
Climate of the state is influenced greatly !y the ,imalayan ountains and large variations in altitudeacross the state$ Areas that are at a very high elevation in uer ,imalayas close to the Ti!etan!order e
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the state is flood rone$ To tac&le the flood ro!lems" construction of em!an&ment" surs and guide!unds etc$ are utmost necessary$ Presently" rotection and restoration 'or&s have !een ta&en9u$
-anduseThere are Agro9climatic Hones in Arunachal Pradesh reflecting the climatic diversity due the largesiHe of the state$ igure 2 sho's the agro climatic Hones of the state$
igure 2 8 Agro ecological Hones of Arunachal Pradesh
Around $1 million hectares BE1$> is under forests$ The ara!le land Bthe net area so'n lus thecurrent 7 fallo' lands is estimated at 0$2 million hectares B=$0@ of the total reorting area B@$=?million ha$ -and under miscellaneous tree cros and groves" not included in the net area so'n" is0$0> million hectares B0$= and the cultura!le 'aste9land is 0$0= million hectares B0$> of thetotal reorting area$
orest
orest is the most imortant resource in Arunachal Pradesh 'ith the redominantly large tri!aloulation living in close association 'ith forests and highly deendent on it$ Traditional shiftingBhum cultivation is racticed !y the eole 'hich imacts uon forest conservation$ The totalforest and tree cover of the state is E$? ha" 'hich is @1$1> of the total geograhical area BS#"200 $ The Protected Areas BPA constitutes 11$@2 of the geograhical area of the state$ orests inthe state can !e categoriHed as troical" su! troical" ine" temerate and aline 'ith !am!oos and
grasses common in the degraded forests$ Car!on seMuestration of forests of Arunachal Pradesh is
Source 8 Source8 State of orest )eort" S#" 200
> Chater 1 9 #ntroduction V Government of Arunachal Pradesh
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igure > 8 Trends in area under different tyes of forest in Arunachal Pradesh
@$00
?$00
E$00
Area Bha$00
>$00
=$00
2$00
1$00
0$00
$==2
2001
$=11
200=
$2=@@
200
$2>1>
200?
0$01>1
1$>11=
0$0111
1$>0@
0$012@
1$=@
0$0111
1$>=
Assessment 6ear
Dense forest /en forest Scru! forest
The dense forest has declined significantly during this eriod and conseMuently the area under oen
forest has increased$ According to the 200? assessment ho'ever" a slight increase in area underdense forests and a decline in scru! forests o'ing to lantation activities underta&en in the state isreorted$
3iodiversity
Arunachal Pradesh ossesses #ndiaOs second highest level of genetic resources$ Although occuyingonly 2$ of #ndiaOs geograhical area" the state occuies a significant lace in terms of floral andfaunal !iodiversity" !eing considered one of the 'orldOs 1@ !iodiversity hotsots and home to @
secies of terrestrial mammals" ?E0 secies of !irds" >"00 secies of angioserms and 0 seciesof orchids$ #t has !een recogniHed !y #nternational %orld Conservation *nion in 1 as one of themaor centers of lant diversity$
Agriculture and ,orticultureAgriculture is the main occuation for a!out = ercent of the oulation of Arunachal Pradesh$Jhum cultivation BShifting Cultivation and Terrace farming B%etland )ice Cultivation B%)C are thet'o maor atterns that farmers emloy$ Jhum is a 'ay of life in the high altitude areas$ Jhum area
roductivity is very lo' B0$? to 0$@ tonnesLha of organic rice against average of = tonnesLha$JhumLshifting cultivation accounts for 0$11 million hectares and ermanent cultivation is a!out 0$0
million hectares$ 1? of total cultivated area is under irrigation$ Jhum cultivation contri!utes onlya!out 1> as comared to Terrace farming contri!ution of @E of total grain roduction in thestate$
Toograhy and climate of Arunachal Pradesh is conducive for cultivation of rice" millets" 'heat"maiHe" ulses" sugarcane and otatoes$ Areas of agricultural imortance in Arunachal Pradeshinclude8 /ff9Season Potato and 4egeta!les in Ta'ang" %est ameng" -o'er Su!ansiri and echu&asu!9division of %est Siang" Commercial Tomato gro'ing in )ua su!division of %est ameng
district" Terraced )ice Cultivation in Shimong B6ing&iong"Pangin" 3oleng" 3asar" *er Su!ansiri"
E Chater 1 9 #ntroduction V Government of Arunachal Pradesh
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%et )ice Cultivation in Paumare" .ast Siang" -o'er Di!ang 4alley" -ohit and Changlang" amousPaddy cum ish culture in Aatani lateau" Command area Commercial Cro gro'ing in Jamaniarea of .ast Siang" ustard cultivation in .ast Siang" -o'er Di!ang 4alley" -ohit and Changlang"
Ginger cultivation in -o'er Di!ang 4alley" -o'er Su!ansiri" .ast Siang" Cold Storage underconstruction in .ast Siang and -ohit" %holesale )egulated ar&et at Pasighat" iao"TeHu" PotentialAgro9.co tourism destinations viH$ Ta'ang" 3omdila" :iro" 3asar" echu&a" 3oleng" Pangin" e!o"
Jamani" Pasighat" 6ing&iong" )oing" +amsai" %a&ro" iao" 3orumsa" anu!ari$
,orticulture is an imortant sector in Arunachal Pradesh having tremendous otential for alleviationof rural overty due to e
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.conomy
Agriculture is the rimary source of the economy of the State$ ood grains cultivation includesF rice"maiHe" millet" 'heat" ulses" sugarcane" ginger and oilseeds$ A!out @0 of oulation living in ruralarea is deendent on agriculture and a!out E2 of total 'or&ing oulations are engaged inagriculture$ orest9roducts are the secondary source in the sector of the economy$ Arunachal isalso ideal for horticulture and fruit orchards$ aor industries of sa'mills and ly'ood" rice mills"
fruit reservation units and handloom handicrafts contri!utes their share to the economy of thestate$
Per caita income is around )s$ 2=?@@ er annum in 2009200E Bnational average is )s$ =1"000L9$ #n,uman Develoment #nde< rating of the states" Arunachal Pradesh ran&s at 20th osition E$
Arunachal Pradesh registered a gro'th rate of $ ercent in GSDP against GDP gro'th rate of ?$@ercent BAll9#ndia during the Tenth Plan$ Agriculture and animal hus!andry constitutes maor art
B2 of the state GSDP follo'ed !y manufacturing industry B1=" trade" hotel and restaurantB11" transort" storage and communication B10 and construction B$ District level gross
domestic roduct BGDP distri!ution of the state is sho'n in igure E$
igure E 8 District Poulation and Gross domestic Product of Arunachal Pradesh
Ehtt8LL'cd$nic$inLu!licationLGD#G.)eortLPart2$df
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#nfrastructure
Physical infrastructure li&e road and transort" irrigation" o'er" telecommunication etc contri!utesto economic gro'th through generation of income and emloyment and social infrastructureconsisting of education" health" housing and financial infrastructure li&e !an&ing and insurancecontri!utes to the rocess of gro'th through generation of human caa!ilities and caacity !uilding$
Physical infrastructure
TransortThe State has the lo'est road develoment inde< in the country 'ith road density of 2$1E &m er100 sM$ &m Bnational average is ?= &m er 100 sM &m$ The +ational high'ays account for a!out 12
&m" and maor distract roads is a!out 121E &m$
#rrigationAn area of more than @?"00 hectares has !een irrigated in Arunachal Pradesh$ inor #rrigationCensus of the State reveals that a!out 0$12 million hectare Ba!out EE$E? of availa!le otential
area is irrigated$ The net irrigation area under utiliHation is around 1"?00 hectares 'ith croingintensity in the level of 1=0$E$ resh Potential Assessment !eing done under G#S environment and
ultimate otential is e0 % and an additional 2000 % hydroo'er otential is assessed from microLminiLsmallhydro electric roects$
TelecommunicationThe state has a tele9density of 2?$0 Btelehone connections er 100 oulations$ The state hasa!out 10? telehone e
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*r!an infrastructure*nder the Ja'aharlal +ehru +ational *r!an )ene'al ission BJ++*)" three roects have !eensanctioned for #tanagar" the state caital$ Proects for 'ater suly" solid9'aste management and
ur!an transort have !een identified for develoment under the J++*)$ The ur!an transortroect 'as aroved in 200 'hile t'o other roects on 'ater suly and solid9'astemanagement 'ere aroved in 200?$
%ater sulyAverage er caita suly of 'ater in the cities is 11 lcd" higher than the desired suly of 10lcd$
#ndustrial infrastructure
Arunachal Pradesh has several small and medium scale industries !ased on forest roducts$ Theindustries include ly'ood" rice mills" fruit reservation units and handicrafts$
The state has its o'n mineral develoment and trading cororation 'hich loo&s after the fairtransortation and e00ersons are served !y around hositals and 20 hosital !eds$
SAPCC Prearation Process
Deartment of .nvironment and orests acted as the State +odal Agency for the rearation ofSAPCC$ State Steering Committee BSSC under the chairmanshi of Chief Secretary 'as constituted$/ther mem!ers in the SSC included Princial SecretariesLCommissionersLSecretaries of the various
line deartments" research institutions" +G/s" academia and the %% B#ndia$ Thereafter" the linedeartments dealing 'ith the sectors sensitive to climate change constituted the sectoral %or&ingGrous B%Gs 'ith one erson designated as the +odal /fficer B+/ of the sector$ igure ? sho'sthe ste involved in the rearation of Arunachal Pradesh SAPCC$
10 Chater 1 9 #ntroduction V Government of Arunachal Pradesh
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igure ? 8 Process of SAPCC Prearation
Steering Committee BChief Secretary
%or&ing Grou B%ater )esources
B+odal /fficer 8 S." %D
%or&ing GrouB.nvironment and orest
BChairman 8 Addl$ PCC
%or&ing Grou BPo'er
B+odal /fficer 8 S. 9 AP.DA
%or&ing Grou BAgriculture
BChairman8 Commissioner
%or&ing Grou B,orticulture
BChairman8 Commissioner B,ort
%or&ing Grou
BPu!lic %or&s Deartment
BChairman8 Princial Secretary" P%D
%or&ing GrouB)ural %or&s Deartment
B9
%or&ing GrouBPu!lic ,ealth .ngineering 7 %ater Suly
B+odal /fficer8 S." P,.7%SD
%or&ing Grou
BTo'n Planning 7 *r!an Develoment
BChairman8 Secretary" *r!an Dev$ 7 TP
%or&ing Grou
B,ealth
B+odal /fficer8 State .idemiologist
/rientation meeting
'ith 'or&ing grou
#ncetion %or&sho
Draft /utline of sectoral aers
Draft !ac&ground
sectoral aer
3ac&ground aers to
Draft SAPCC document
Circulation amongst
sta&e holders
inalisation meeting of
Draft SAPCC document
State Steering Committee aroval
and ratification
Su!mission to o.
The 'or&ing grou 'as reresented !y mem!ers from different relevant sectorsLdeartments 'hocontri!uted to the sectoral action lans reared !y the 'or&ing grou$ These 'or&ing grous 'erechaired !y Princial Secretary of the resective sector 'ith a designated nodal officer$ #n addition tothe e
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January 'as held at #tanagar 'hich 'as 'ell reresented !y line deartment heads" officers" e
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Climate ; Current 3aseline 7 Climate Proections
Chater 2
1= Chater 2 V Government of Arunachal Pradesh
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Chater 2 ; Climate Current 3aselineand Climate Proections
D)AT ).P/)T A)*+AC,A- P)AD.S, STAT. ACT#/+ P-A+ /+ C-#AT. C,A+G.U
The long term trends in o!served seasonal reciitation and temerature over Arunachal Pradeshusing #D gridded rainfall and temerature at daily time scales has !een erformed to arrive at
current !aseline climatology for Arunachal Pradesh$ Summary is resented in the follo'ingaragrahs$
Data used
X
X
#D gridded rainfall at 0$ degree satial resolution for the time eriod 1?19200 B=years
#D gridded ma$?0$=@ 9 0120$?0$0 9 200$20 9 0$
EE0$10$=0 9 101$0 9 0$1@1$0E0$=2
0 9 2E>$2@
0 9 0$@222$0E0$10 9 2@>$@E0 9 0$@=
>$=
2=$>
E>$>
?$
@Coefficient of 4ariation BC48 A statistical measure of the disersion of data oints in a data series around themean$ The coefficient of variation reresents the ratio of the standard deviation to the mean" and is a measure
of relative disersion used to comare variation in series 'hich differs in magnitude of their averages$
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D)AT ).P/)T A)*+AC,A- P)AD.S, STAT. ACT#/+ P-A+ /+ C-#AT. C,A+G.U
Source8 #D Gridded rainfall data B1?19200
The mean south9'est monsoon BJune" July" August 7 Setem!er rainfall B1@1 mm contri!utesE>$> of annual rainfall B2@1@ mm$ ean monthly rainfall during July B@1 mm is highest andcontri!utes a!out 20$E of annual rainfall$ The mean rainfall during June is slightly lo'er andcontri!utes a!out 1@$0 of annual rainfall$ August and Setem!er rainfall contri!ute 1>$@ and
1=$2 of annual rainfall" resectively$ Contri!ution of re9monsoon Barch" Aril 7 ay rainfall and
ost9monsoon B/cto!er" +ovem!er 7 Decem!er rainfall in annual rainfall is 2=$> and ?$resectively$ Coefficient of variation is higher during the months of +ovem!er" Decem!er" Januaryand e!ruary igure @$
igure @ 8 /!served rainfall Statistics ; Seasonal Average and #nter annual variation
)ain has !een regroued into three !road categories BPattanai& and )aeevan" 2010 for calculatinge$> Y ) Z 12>$>
mm and iii very heavy to e$> mm$ )ainfall [ 12>$> mm isreferred as e
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D)AT ).P/)T A)*+AC,A- P)AD.S, STAT. ACT#/+ P-A+ /+ C-#AT. C,A+G.U
igure 8 /!served rainfall Statistics ; Average and inter annual variation in rainy days
Average num!er of rainydays in the state during
the south 'est monsoon
is a!out ?@ days andvaries from E0 days to@@ days$ Days 'henthere is high rainfallevents range from 1 to
days and similarly thee
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Trend
Average#nter annual variation
BC4
)ange 9 Average B0C
Trend
Average
#nter annual variationBC4
)ange 9 Average B0C
Trend
Average
#nter annual variation
BC4)ange 9 Average B0C
Trend
Average
#nter annual variation
BC4)ange 9 Average B0C
Trend
0$=>
=10$022
2$2 9 =2$>0$=?
=?$?0$01?
=>$@ 9 >0
0$0@=2$
0$02
=1$E 9 =
0$2>
=0$2
0$022
2@$@ 9 =1
0$?2
0$2
1@0$0>?
1E 9 1$E0$=E
2>$0$02=
2$ 9 22$?
0$02>$2
0$01E
22$> 9 2$?
0$2
1$>
0$0>1
1?$2 9 21$>
0$==
%inter BJ
Pre onsoon BA
onsoon BJJAS
Post onsoon B/+D
Source8 #D Gridded temerature data B1E9200
igure 10 8 /!served Temerature Statistics ; Average" inter annual variation and trend
Annual Statistics8
Satial attern of trends inthe mean ma
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igure 10 8 /!served Temerature Statistics ; Average" inter annual variation and trend
Seasonal Statistics8
Average a
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igure 10 8 /!served Temerature Statistics ; Average" inter annual variation and trend
Days 'ith ma
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atmosheric and land surface model of limited area and high resolution 'hich is locata!le over anyart of the glo!e$ P).C#S is the ,adley Centre orta!le regional climate model develoed to run on aPC 'ith a grid resolution of 0$>>Q < 0$>>Q$ ,igh9resolution limited area model is driven at its lateral
and sea9surface !oundaries !y outut from glo!al couled atmoshere9ocean B,adC= and glo!alatmosheric B,adA= general circulation models$ P).C#S catures imortant regional informationon summer monsoon rainfall missing in its arent GC simulations$
#ndian )C P).C#S has !een configured for a domain e
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D)AT ).P/)T A)*+AC,A- P)AD.S, STAT. ACT#/+ P-A+ /+ C-#AT. C,A+G.U
Change in seasonal rainfall for 20=0s and 20@0s as comared to the !aseline is sho'n in igure 12$
igure 12 8 Climate Change scenario rainfall Statistics ; Average and inter annual variation in rainy days
Seasonal Statistics8
Season 'ise" decrease in
rainfall is redicted for all
seasons e
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igure 1= 8 Climate Change scenario Temerature Statistics ; Average and inter annual variation
Seasonal Statistics8
The increase intemerature is sho'n in
!oth to'ards 20=0s and20@0s as comared to the
!aseline$ inimum
temerature is redicted to
00increase !y 1 C to 2$E C 0during 20=0s and !y 2$@
C 9
0[ C during 20@0s
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State G,G .mission
Chater =
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A greenhouse gas BG,G is a gas in an atmoshere that a!sor!s and emits radiation 'ithin thethermal infrared range$ G,Gs of anthroogenic origin in the atmoshere such as car!on dio$ ,ydro o'ergeneration !y the state utility accounts for a!out @ of the state o'er generation and hasincreased at 1$2 rate er annum since 10 'here as o'er consumtion has increased at around
?$1 rate er annum during the same eriod$ The ga in the o'er generation and consumtion isfulfilled through central o'er suly$ Per caita monthly e also indicates the maor driving forces of non9C/2 emissions 9nitrogenous fertiliHer alication" rice roduction and livestoc& oulation in Arunachal Pradesh$ Ascan !e seen" fertiliHer usage has gro'n at a rate of > er annum against only 0$? and 0$2 gro'thrate of foodgrain and rice roduction resectively$
12
1= #ndia8 Greenhouse Gas .missions 200?" 2010" inistry of .nvironment and orests" Government of #ndia )a'at J$S$" Sharma D$" +imacho' G$" and Dai / B2010" .nergy efficient chulha in rural Arunachal Pradesh$
C*)).+T SC#.+C." 4/-$ @" +/$ 12" 2 J*+. 2010
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D)AT ).P/)T A)*+AC,A- P)AD.S, STAT. ACT#/+ P-A+ /+ C-#AT. C,A+G.U
igure 1> 8 Thermal o'er generation" consumtion and other driving forces of greenhouse gases in
Arunachal Pradesh
1@0
1200
illion &%h120
@00
>00
0
10 12000
Generation8 Diesel B*tility
Generation8 ,ydro B*tility
Consumtion
200
E0
010 12000200
oodgrain B000 tonnes
oodgrain area so'n B000 ha
)ice B000 tonnes
)ice area so'n B000 ha+9ertiliserused Btonnes
livestoc& B000 num!er
Total @@ t B&ilo or thousand tonnes C/2e BC/2 eMuivalent G,Gs have !een emitted fromArunachal Pradesh during the year 200$ C,> emission contri!utes a!out 1 of the stateOs G,Gemissions follo'ed !y C/2 B>E and +2/ B=$ The trend of G,G emissions and other indicators ofArunachal Pradesh state during 10 to 200 can !e seen from igure 1$ GDP and oulation" the
main driving forces of G,G emissions" have increased at ?$ and 2$= CAG) resectively$ %hile
electricity consumtion and C/2 emissions have increased at ?$1 and =$ CAG) resectively$ Percaita G,G emissions of Arunachal Pradesh are 0$? tonnes" 'hich is Muite lo'er than the nationalaverage of 1$@ ton C/2e er erson$ The state has continuously imroved efficiency of its economyand has reduced G,G intensity of its GDP !y >0 during the same eriod$ igure 1E indicates districtlevel emissions of various greenhouse gases in Arunachal Pradesh$ Paum Pare" -ohit and Changlang
are the three highest C/2 emitting districts during 200$ #n case of C,> and +2/ emissions" fe'highest emitting districts are -ohit" .ast Siang" Paum Pare and Changlang$ ,igher oulation"livestoc& rearing and agricultural activities in these districts are the maor contri!utor to their higheremissions$
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igure 1 )elative increase in GDP" oulation" electricity consumtion and G,G emissions in Arunachal
Pradesh B#nde
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Assessment of e 'aste as 'ell as relative share of source activities in C/2" C,> and +2/ emissions of ArunachalPradesh can !e seen from igure 1?$ A!out of G,G emissions from Arunachal Pradesh comefrom energy category$ This category includes emissions due to fossil fuel and !iomass !urning 'ithino'er lants" manufacturing industries" transort sector and residential sector$ Agriculture sectorcontri!utes a!out ? and = of C,> and +2/ emissions of the state$ aority of C,> emissions
occur from enteric fermentation of livestoc& BE2 follo'ed !y !iomass !urning B21 and manuremanagement B1=$ %hile maority of +2/ emissions occur from !iomass !urning B>@ follo'ed !yorganic nitrogen alied on field B22 and unicial solid 'aste and domestic 'aste 'atertreatment B10$ .ach of Synthetic nitrogen fertiliHer alication and nitrogen from cro residue lefton field contri!ute a!out to +2/ emissions of the state$
igure 1? 8 Sectoral greenhouse gas emissions Be
>1>
C,>
>$E=
1E$2
0$?2
21$E0
+2/
0$01
0$0=
0$010
0$0
C/2e
2?
==
1@
@@Po'er2
#ndustry =@
)esidential
sector 1E
Transort >>
C/2
.ntericfermentation E2
3iomass!urning21
ossil fuelcom!ustion =
/rganic9+alied to the soil 22
Agri$ residue !urning = + from cro residue left
#ndirect +2/ emissions Synthetic fertiliHer used >
3iomass!urning>@
Agri$ residue !urning
1 ossil fuel !urning %aste =0$1
%aste10
anuremanagement 1=
C,> +2/
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Chater > 9 Climate Change #mactsand 4ulnera!ility
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A !rief summary of assessment of the imact of roected climate change on 'ater" forest andenergy sectors carried out !y ##T Delhi" ##Sc 3angalore and ## Ahemeda!ad is resented here$
#mact of climate change on 'ater resources of Arunachal Pradesh
ethods and odels8 An assessment of the imact of roected climate change on 'ater resourcesin Arunachal Pradesh is made using the hydrologic model S%AT 1> BSoil and %ater Assessment Tool$The model reMuires information on terrain" soil rofile and landuse of the area as inut 'hich have!een o!tained from the glo!al sources$ These three entities are assumed to !e static for future as
'ell$
The 3rahmautra )iver !asin 'hich has its tri!utaries in Arunachal Pradesh has !een modelled usingthe follo'ing8
Satial data and the source of data used for the study areas include8
XX
XX
Digital .levation odel8 S)T" of 0 m resolution 1
Drainage +et'or& ; ,ydroshed 1E
Soil mas and associated soil characteristics Bsource8 A/ Glo!al soil 1?-and use Bsource8 Glo!al landuse 1@
The ,ydro9eteorological data ertaining to the river !asin reMuired for modelling" includes dailyrainfall" ma
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o.$ or the resent analysis ertains to the modeling of )iver 3rahmautra using the hydrologicmodel S%AT$
The study determines the resent 'ater availa!ility in sace and time 'ithout incororating anyman made changes li&e dams" diversions" etc$ The same frame'or& is then used to redict theimact of climate change on the 'ater resources 'ith the assumtion that the land use shall not
change over time$ A total of 0 years of simulation have !een conductedF =0 years !elonging to #PCCS).S A13 !aseline B3-" =0 years !elong to #PCC S).S A13 near term or mid9century BC climatescenario$
%hile modelling" the river !asin has !een further su!divided into reasona!le siHed su!9!asins so asto account for satial varia!ility of inuts under the !aseline and G,G scenarios$ Detailed analyseshave !een erformed to Muantify the ossi!le imacts on account of the climate change$
Analysis for entire 3rahmautra !asin reveals an increase in the annual reciitation of 2$= for midcentury from the !aseline$ The outcome of the S%AT hydrological modeling has redicted a
conseMuent increase of 'ater yield !y =$ under mid century from !aseline 'ater yield$ Thesituation of the actual evaotransiration is decrease !y @$0 under mid century from the actualevaotransiration under !aseline resectively$ ,o'ever" for the 3rahmautra !asin lying 'ithinArunachal Pradesh" analysis roects a decrease in annual reciitation of a!out to 1 !y mid
century$
Detailed assessment of the different comonents of fresh'ater availa!ility !oth in sace and time iscritical for identifying the vulnera!le regionsLhotsots$ This ena!les a roer develoment Lidentification of the adatation and mitigation strategies in addressing climate change coingmechanisms$ resh'ater comonents i$e$" !lue 'ater flo' Bi$e$" 'ater yield lus dee aMuifer
recharge" green 'ater flo' Bi$e$" actual evaotransiration" and green 'ater storage Bi$e$" soil'ater has !een estimated at a su!9!asin level 'ith daily 'eather data for 3rahmautra !asin under!aseline as 'ell as G,G scenarios Bigure 1@$ This deiction is imortant in understanding thegeneral availa!ility of !lue and green 'ater across the !asin$ The change in !lue 'ater availa!ilitysho' satial variation from marginal reduction B to no change across the state to'ards 20=0s$The green 'ater flo' also sho's increase !ut the magnitude is marginal under mid century as
comared to !aseline$ The situation of Green 'ater storage sho's no change from the !aselineunder mid century scenario$ The green 'ater storage can otentially !enefit the agriculture inmonths 'ith little or no reciitation$ This information is Muite helful in lanning croing seasonand hels to model scenarios of changing croing seasons and atterns and arriving at aroriateadatation measures$
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igure 1@ 8 Change in Annual !lue and green 'ater availa!ility to'ards 20=0s 'ith resect to 1?0s B#PCC
S).S A13 scenario in Arunachal Pradesh
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#mact of climate change on forests of Arunachal Pradesh
ethods and odels8 An assessment of the imact of roected climate change on forestecosystems in Arunachal Pradesh is made using the follo'ing8
X
XXX
Climate imact modelF glo!al dynamic vegetation model #3#S
Climate change scenarioF A13 scenarioPeriod of assessmentF short9term B20219200 eriod$#nut dataF monthly mean cloudiness B" monthly mean reciitation rate B mmLday"monthly mean relative humidity B" monthly minimum" ma 'ill!e imacted !y climate change$ The distri!ution of forested grids roected to !e imacted !yclimate change is resented in igure 1 for 20=0s$ A change in forest tyes is roected in thenorthern region of *er Siang district" 'estern region of Di!ang 4alley" southern %est Siang and'estern region of urung umey districts$ Thus the !iodiversity rich districts of Arunachal Pradeshare roected to !e adversely imacted !y climate change !y 20=0s$
igure 1 8 orest vegetation change roected !y 20=0s under A13 scenario in Arunachal Pradesh
2==@2EE
==1
Total num!er of forest grids+um!er of grids roected to !e affected in 20=+um!er of grids not affected in 20=
20
oley" J$ A$" #$ C$ Prentice" +$ )aman&utty" S$ -evis" D$ Pollard" S$ Sitch" and A$ ,a" E0=9E2@$
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Present Policies 7 Programs and -in&ages 'ith +APCC
Chater
== Chater V Government of Arunachal Pradesh
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Chater 9 Present Policies 7 Programsand -in&ages 'ith +APCC
D)AT ).P/)T A)*+AC,A- P)AD.S, STAT. ACT#/+ P-A+ /+ C-#AT. C,A+G.U
At the national level" the integration of climate change in national develoment is guided !y thePrime inisterOs Council on Climate Change" 'hich includes reresentation of &ey inistries" as 'ell
as e
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+ational ission for Sustaina!le Agriculture aims to suort climate adatation in agriculture
through the develoment of climate resilient cros and aroriate agricultural ractices
+ational ission on Strategic no'ledge for Climate Change is for gaining a !etter understanding
of climate science" imacts and challenges$ #t envisions imroved climate modeling and increasedinternational colla!oration to develo adatation and mitigation technologies$
-in&ages 'ith +APCC
As a follo' u to the Prime inisterOs Action Plan for com!ating the imacts of climate change
several stes have !een ta&en !y the Government of Arunachal Pradesh$
%ater ission 9 .
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Sustaina!le Agriculture ission and ,orticulture 9 .
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